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Oil slips as U.S. storm threat eases, China stimulus disappoints
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices extended declines on Monday as the threat of a supply disruption from a U.S. storm eased and after China's stimulus plan disappointed investors seeking fuel demand growth in the world's No. Oil consumption in China, the world's driver of global demand growth for years, has barely grown in 2024 as its economic growth has slowed, gasoline use has declined with the rapid growth of electric vehicles and liquefied natural gas has replaced diesel as a truck fuel. Oil prices have also eased after concerns about supply disruption from storm Rafael in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico subsided. More than a quarter of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil and 16% of natural gas output remained offline on Sunday, according to the offshore energy regulator. Looking ahead, uncertainty from policies under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump have clouded the global economic outlook although expectations that he could tighten sanctions on OPEC producers Iran and Venezuela and cut oil supply to global markets partly caused oil prices to gain more than 1% last week.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Rafael, Donald Trump, refiners Organizations: Brent, West Texas, National People's Congress, ANZ, Central Economic Work Conference, U.S Locations: U.S, China, U.S . Gulf, Mexico, Iran, Venezuela
Since Trump's win, the market has already seen some major gains. Those sectors in particular had several winners in the rally following Trump's 2016 win , and analysts believe gains may likewise be in store this time around – especially for energy. Defense stocks could also see some gains, according to Barclays analyst David Strauss. That would be above the 14.2% rally the stock saw after Trump's first win from Nov. 7, 2016, until year's end. Among the 15 analysts covering it, 11 have a hold rating, while only two have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Wells, Roger Read, David Strauss, Trump, Chris Caso, Trump's, Huntington Ingalls, it's Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Energy, Trump, Defense, Barclays, Semiconductor, Wolfe Research, CNBC Pro, ConocoPhillips Locations: industrials, China, Texas
According to Clearview Energy Partners, Russian crude prices over the last four weeks have averaged about six cents below the Brent crude price. Record volumes of sanctioned Russian oil were carried by the "dark fleet" and known sanctioned tankers without known insurance over September, according to a recent report from Lloyd's List. The Price Cap Coalition continues to engage with industry to ensure compliance with the price cap and to increase Putin's costs of going outside it." The increased use of dark fleet vessels comes with greater maritime safety and environmental risks. Insurance giant Allianz said in May that dark fleet tankers had been linked to more than 50 accidents.
Persons: Kevin Book, Vortexa, Avebury, Andy Lipow, Putin, Lipow Organizations: Windward, Clearview Energy Partners, CNBC, European Union, Brent, Intelligence, Iranian Tanker Co, U.S . Office, Foreign, Control, Lipow Oil Associates, Treasury, Kremlin, Coalition, Group, Insurance, Allianz Locations: Morocco, U.S, Ukraine, Australia, India, China, Russian, Barbados, Seychelles, UAE, Avebury Shipmanagement . Greece, Russia, United States, Iran, Israel, Straits, Hormuz, Canada, Guyana
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi initiates FedEx and UPS as buy Citi said in its initiation note that FedEx and UPS are well positioned. "Netflix remains a compelling growth story with significant room for revenue, earnings, and FCF growth over the next several years." Wells Fargo upgrades Valero to overweight from equal weight Wells said the company is one of the "best independent refiners." Mizuho reiterates Nvidia and Broadcom as outperform Mizuho said it's sticking with its outperform ratings on Nvidia and Broadcom. Wells Fargo reiterates Roblox as overweight Wells Fargo raised its price target on Roblox ahead of earnings in late October to $54 per share from $46.
Persons: underperform Jefferies, Guggenheim, TD Cowen, Cowen, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone, Piper, Piper Sandler, Wells, Jefferies, Wolfe, VALE, Chewy, it's, Mizuho, Wells Fargo, Evercore Organizations: Citi, FedEx, UPS, Jefferies, Southwest, Deutsche Bank, Netflix, Deutsche, Inc, MetLife, Barclays, Apple, Apple Intelligence, New York Times, Industry, Nvidia, Broadcom, Mizuho, Lowe's Locations: Valero, underperform, Underperform
The move could drive oil prices up further, creating a headache for Harris' campaign. If Israel did strike Iran's oil, it would likely have two main targets. Then, on Thursday, he said the US and Israel were discussing whether the US would support Israel striking Iran's oil facilities. Biden has indicated there are conversations between the US and Israel about whether Iran's oil facilities are a legitimate retaliatory strike option. Back in September, global oil prices fell to the lowest level in almost three years, and the US has seen a historic year of oil production.
Persons: Israel, Harris, , Kamala Harris, Patrick De Haan, De Haan, Clay Seigle, Siegle, ATTA KENARE, Kit Haines, Haines, Hassan Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, Wisam, Seigle, Joe Biden, backtrack, Michael M, Nicholas Carl, there's, Privately, JIM WATSON Organizations: Service, Incumbents, Getty, Analysts, Energy, Wednesday, National Iranian Tanker Company, American Enterprise, Business, Publicly Locations: Iran, Israel, Ukraine, Tehran, Yemen, AFP, Hormuz, Saudi, Anadolu, Russia
The West is still taking in billions worth of Russian oil products, a new think tank analysis shows. AdvertisementRussia is still passing off billions of dollars worth of oil products to the West — a sign that the West is still struggling to throttle Moscow's war revenue with strict sanctions. CREA data shows that Russia sold $1.3 billion worth of oil to three Turkish refineries in the first half of the year. G7+ nations, meanwhile, purchased around $2 billion of oil products of Russian origin from Turkish refiners, the think tank estimated. Turkey is the last-remaining "short-haul market" for Russian oil sent from its western ports, taking in around 210,000 barrels of Russian crude a day the last month, the outlet reported.
Persons: , It's, crimp Organizations: Service, Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, Argus Media, Bloomberg Locations: Russia, Turkey, West, Turkish, Ukraine, ., New York
Oil exports from Russia dropped to their lowest level in seven months. Crude oil exports peaked in April and have fallen 620,000 barrels a day since. AdvertisementRussian oil exports have dropped to the lowest levels since December. The drop in exports of Russian crude oil also comes amid recent sanctions from Ukraine against Russian oil supplier Lukoil, which has diverted some oil flows to European countries like Hungary and Slovakia. Those sanctions are driving refiners in some countries, like those in India, to refuse deliveries of Russian oil.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Pipes Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Lukoil Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Primorsk, Ust, OPEC, Hungary, Slovakia, India
Oil extends losses as dollar strengthens following Trump attack
  + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices fell for a second day on Monday as the dollar gained ground amid political uncertainty in the U.S. following an attack on U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump while investors eyed the progress of talks for a Gaza ceasefire. Brent crude futures fell 55 cents, or 0.7%, to $84.48 a barrel by 0109 GMT after settling down 37 cents on Friday. The dollar firmed on Monday while U.S. bond futures slipped as investors wagered the attack on Trump made his victory in the upcoming presidential election more likely. A stronger dollar tends to lower oil prices as buyers using other currencies have to pay more for their dollar-denominated crude. Still, oil markets are broadly underpinned by supply cuts from OPEC+ with Iraq's oil ministry saying it will compensate for any oil overproduction since the beginning of 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Tony Sycamore, Brent, Baker Hughes Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, ., Hamas Locations: Stanton , Texas, U.S, Gaza, China, Beijing, Israel
Oil rises on cooling U.S. inflation but heads for weekly dip
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Brent crude futures rose 33 cents, or 0.4%, to $85.73 a barrel by 0300 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 46 cents, or 0.6%, to $83.08 a barrel. Indications of strong summer fuel demand in the U.S. also kept prices buoyed. Jet fuel demand on a four-week average basis was at its strongest since January 2020. The strong fuel demand encouraged U.S. refiners to ramp up activity and draw from crude oil stockpiles.
Persons: Brent, stoking, Jerome Powell, Jun Rong, Emril Jamil Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Federal Reserve, Fed, IG, Jet, Gulf Locations: United States, U.S
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaking to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during their meeting at Taj Exotic Hotel on October, 15, 2016 in Benaulim, Goa, India. Mikhail Svetlov | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesIndia's Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to meet President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Monday, marking his first visit to the Kremlin since the invasion of Ukraine. Their meeting is significant as it's the Indian premier's first bilateral trip overseas since he was reelected for a rare third term in June. watch now"This trip will rankle many Western observers," an analyst at the Lowy Institute pointed out in a published commentary. India's refiners have been snapping up discounted Russian oil since the start of the Ukraine war.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Narendra Modi, Mikhail Svetlov, Vinay Kwatra, Kwatra, India's, Lowy Organizations: Indian, Taj Exotic, Getty, India's, Kremlin, Shanghai Cooperation Organization, United Nations, East Asia Summit, Lowy Institute Locations: Benaulim, Goa, India, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Europe
An offshore oil platform is seen at sunset near Huntington Beach, California, on Feb. 9, 2024. U.S. crude oil was on pace Friday for its worst month of the year, ahead of an OPEC+ meeting this weekend during which the cartel will review its production levels. Here are today's energy prices:OPEC+ members on Sunday are expected to review voluntary output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day. Oil market analysts generally agree that the group will likely keep those cuts in place. Chinese refiners' output has also slumped, and European refiners have been slow to return from spring maintenance, which has also pressured demand, according to the investment bank.
Persons: Helima Croft Organizations: Brent, Sunday, RBC Capital Markets, JPMorgan Locations: Huntington Beach , California, U.S
Gas prices trending lowerOil prices surged last month as Israel and OPEC member Iran stood on the brink of war, raising concern at the White House that gasoline prices could jump heading into the summer. When adjusting for inflation, pump prices are about 2% lower compared to last year, according to the Energy Information Administration. Even in costly California, gasoline prices are down about 27 cents over the past four weeks, he said. But de Haan said gasoline prices will likely edge lower through the Fourth of July holiday as refiners increase output, which should keep downward pressure on pump prices. "Since the pandemic, the summer driving season has not seen a surge in demand, which can push pump prices higher," said Gross, the AAA spokesperson.
Persons: Kevin Carter, Biden, Patrick de Haan, It's, de Haan, Andrew Gross, De Haan, Superstorm Sandy, Donald, Trump, Brent, Gross Organizations: Getty, The Department of Energy, Northeast Gasoline Supply, AAA, Energy Information Administration, Congress, Reserve Locations: San Diego, San Diego , California, Israel, Iran, California
Oil prices held firm Thursday as stockpiles in the U.S. fell for a second week and inflation eased. U.S. crude stockpiles declined by 2.5 million barrels last week as refiners processed more crude in a sign that demand might be perking up. With inflation easing slightly in April, futures traders penciled in a higher probability that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates help stimulate the economy which can boost crude oil demand. Here are today's energy prices:
Persons: Brent Organizations: Federal Reserve, West Texas Intermediate Locations: Fort Stockton , Texas, U.S
Youth unemployment, income inequality, regional disparities, and Russian oil remain big problems. But the work starts there, as he'll have to navigate thorny issues such as youth unemployment, income inequality, and reliance on sanctioned Russian oil. "The other key economic policy was JAM — the trinity of bank accounts for the poor, mobile numbers and a biometric card. Indian demand for Russian oil has cooled in recent months as new sanctions have made it more expensive, but the buying remains controversial. Alexandr Demyanchuk/AFP/Getty ImagesIndia the IT hubUnder Modi, India has made big strides in modernizing its economy, combating bureaucracy, and appealing to foreign investors.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon, Tim Cook, , Modi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan's Dimon, He's, Musk, Apple's Cook, Joe Biden, Sundar Pichai, Anna Moneymaker, Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella, Alphabet's Sundar Pichai, Richard Rossow, Demonetisation, Kunal Sen, Sen, Tim Graham, Rossow, tycoons Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Mukesh Ambani, Isha Piramal, Rihanna, Shloka Mehta Ambani, Akash Ambani, Radhika Merchant, Anant, Radhika, Ambani, they'd, Neelima Jain, Vladimir Putin, Alexandr Demyanchuk, Sanjay Shetty, Shetty Organizations: Service, titans, Monetary Fund, Gross, World Bank, Economic, of New, Google, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, India, Studies, Center for Strategic & International Studies, United Nations, United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics, University of Manchester, International Labor Organization, Oxfam, Bloomberg, Reliance Industries, Adani, CSIS, Indian, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, Getty, Modi, Big Tech, Randstad, Economic Times Locations: India, Britain, Japan, Germany, China, of New York, Nimaj, Rajasthan, North Korea, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Russia, Ukraine, Europe, Moscow, Western, Samarkand, AFP, Randstad India
An oil pumpjack is pictured in the Permian basin, Loco Hills regions, New Mexico, U.S., April 6, 2023. Liz Hampton | ReutersU.S. crude oil edged higher on Thursday after selling off to a seven-week low on a surge in petroleum inventories on softening demand. Here are today's energy prices: West Texas IntermediateBrentRBOB Gasoline June: $2.59 a gallon, up 0.57%. Natural Gas Oil prices tumbled more than 3% on Wednesday after U.S. commercial crude inventories, which exclude the strategic petroleum reserves, surged by 7.3 million barrels to 461 million barrels total last week. The rate at which refiners process crude and the average demand for gasoline is lower than the year-ago period despite summer driving season rapidly approaching.
Persons: Liz Hampton, Brent Those, Bob Yawger, Tamas Varga Organizations: Reuters, West Texas Intermediate Brent, Natural Gas, Mizuho Americas, Federal Reserve Locations: Loco Hills, New Mexico, U.S
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell met with the press after the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which was pretty fraught. Data centers If there is the whiff of a data center or anything in one, the stock goes higher. It's why Meta stock is a buy a tad lower as stocks tend to revisit those kinds of declines. I worry about Club stock Stanley Black & Decker for this reason, but the dividend will keep it propped up for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: what's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell isn't, Voltaire, Vertiv, Eaton, Meta, It's, jetsam, Darius Adamczyk, Vimal, Stanley Black, Decker, Azek, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo, Chipotle, that's, Johnson, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Mlyn Organizations: Federal, Market, Broadcom, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Travel American Express, Raytheon, GE Aerospace, Royal, AAR, Honeywell, Southwest Airlines, Housing, Stanley, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Colgate, Merck, Bristol, Myers, PepsiCo, Energy, Coterra Energy, Diamondback, drillers, CNBC Locations: California, Royal Caribbean, Delta, Devon
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser praised China for making solar panels and electric vehicles affordable. Saudi Arabia is fostering closer ties with China and wooing Chinese investments and business partnerships. Unlike the West, Saudi Arabia is cozying up to China. "There are lots of opportunities for China to invest in Saudi Arabia," Alibrahim told the media outlet. In March last year, China brokered a détente between Saudi Arabia and Iran, prompting concerns over waning US influence in the Middle East.
Persons: Amin Nasser, Nasser, China's overcapacity, Janet Yellen, Olaf Scholz, China Nasser's, Faisal Alibrahim, Alibrahim, Jon Alterman Organizations: Saudi, Service, Saudi Aramco, World Energy, Financial Times, West, Nikkei, Aramco, Center for Strategic, International Studies, China Economic, Security Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco, Saudi, Rotterdam, East Asia, Beijing, Saudi Arabian, Iran, United States
Investors should consider commodities due to a "big change" involving international expansion, according to VanEck CEO Jan van Eck. "The world economy started growing again," van Eck told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. Manufacturing PMI is now positive in China as of March," said van Eck. Its exchange-traded funds include the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) . Van Eck highlights copper 's momentum as a positive sign for demand.
Persons: Jan van Eck, van Eck, CNBC's, Van Eck Organizations: PMI, Gold Miners Locations: China
The energy sector has pulled up from behind to overtake nearly every other sector of the market this year and may still have room to advance, according to analysts. The energy sector has gotten a lift as crude oil prices are on a tear this year after plummeting in the last quarter of 2023. The refiners Marathon Petroleum , Phillips 66 and Valero also hit all-time highs on Friday. Diamondback Energy is trading at all-time highs Monday dating back to its IPO in October 2012, while ConocoPhillips is at levels that have not been seen since November 2022. "We think it's a theme that has more to go as well," Ginsberg said of the energy sector rally.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, it's, Rob Ginsberg, Brent, Iran teeter, Ginsberg, Valero Organizations: Energy, BTIG, Exxon Mobil, Wolfe Research, Fund, JPMorgan, OPEC, refiners, Petroleum, Phillips, Diamondback Energy, ConocoPhillips Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Iran, Occidental
Mounting geopolitical tensions stemming from conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have helped drive oil prices to five month highs, challenging the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation. U.S. crude oil gained 4.5% this week, touching $87 a barrel on Friday before settling at $86.91. Rising energy prices may affect the timing or magnitude of interest rate cuts, he said. The Federal Reserve is focused on bringing down core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food prices. Escalating attacks are coming against a backdrop of an already tightening global crude market.
Persons: Brent, Bart Melek, Andy Lipow, Lipow, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Netanyahu, Manish Raj, White, Biden, John Kilduff, Kilduff, Melek, Saudi Arabia doesn't Organizations: Federal, American Automobile Association, West Texas, TD Securities, Lipow Oil Associates, Mizuho Americas, Valero, Philips, Marathon Petroleum, Velandera Energy Partners, Kyiv, JPMorgan, Financial Times, Again Capital, Bank of America, Saudi Locations: East, Eastern Europe, Iran, Israel, Ukraine, Damascus, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Russia, Saudi Arabia
The strategist highlighted the industrial and energy sectors, which he said should benefit from reports of a robust American economy. The stock is also already outperforming the S & P 500 this year, up nearly 29% year to date. As a group, industrials have gained 10.3% this year, or a little less than 1% above the S & P 500. After a rocky 2023, energy has established itself as one of the S & P 500's top outperformers in 2024. Among energy stocks, Tentarelli favors refiners.
Persons: Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, industrials, refiners, Phillips Organizations: Blue, General Electric, GE Healthcare, Valero, Banking, JPMorgan
But what if I told you this group shrunk its share count dramatically since 2019? The numbers tell the story: Lennar now has 276 million shares outstanding, down from 318 million five years ago. Other than Toll, most of the homebuilder management teams do not emphasize this fundamental change in share count. Management has been buying hand over fist since 2019, shrinking the share count to 215 million from 264 million. My rather unassailable conclusion is pretty simple: Check the share count before you buy a stock.
Persons: PulteGroup, DR Horton, , Douglas Yearley hadn't, homebuilders, Jim Umpleby, Eaton, Dow, Cummins, Elliott, Marc Benioff, Colette Kress, Williams, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mike Blake Organizations: Federal Reserve, DR, Management, Dick's, Goods, Abercrombie, Fitch, Williams, Walmart, Caterpillar, DuPont, Marathon Petroleum, Elliott Management, Valero Energy, Pacific, Norfolk Southern, CSX, Apple, Microsoft, NFL, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: tatters, California, Sonoma, America, Williams Sonoma, San Marcos , California
Citi upgrades Thor Industries to buy from neutral Citi said it see a "favorable event path" for the RV company. " Citi initiates Pure Storage as buy Citi said in its initiation of Pure Storage that the data storage company is an AI beneficiary. Citi reiterates Apple as buy Citi said it's standing by its buy rating on shares of Apple. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's bullish heading into Amazon's Spring Sales event next week. Citi reiterates Micron as buy Citi raised its price target on the stock to $150 per share from $95 and says it's bullish heading into earnings next week. "
Persons: Piper Sandler, Piper, Morgan Stanley, RSG, Cummins, Baird, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Tesla, Telsey, Todd Vasos, it's, Stellantis, Five9, PBF, DINO, Truist, Eli Lilly, LLYs, Dave Ricks, Patrik Jonsson Organizations: EV, Bank of America, Adobe, Citi, Thor Industries, Morgan Stanley downgrades Republic Services, UBS, Cummins, CMI, Microsoft, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Guggenheim, Apple, Worldwide, " Bank of America, Micron, Catalyst Watch, RBC, UFC, WWE, Inc, Valero Energy, Sinclair, of America, Entertainment, Golden Entertainment, Diabetes, Obesity Locations: Snowflake, F4Q24, China, Nevada
Oil prices ease, U.S. crude stock build fuels demand fears
  + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices eased early on Thursday after a larger-than-expected build in U.S. crude stockpiles stoked worries about slow demand, while signs that U.S. interest rates could remain elevated for longer also added to pressure. Oil prices eased early on Thursday after a larger-than-expected build in U.S. crude stockpiles stoked worries about slow demand, while signs that U.S. interest rates could remain elevated for longer also added to pressure. "The anticipation of delayed U.S. rate cuts also weighed on the market sentiment as it could undermine oil demand," he said. Traders have already dialed back expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts after a slew of strong data, including hot consumer price index and producer price index readings. Still, the conflict in the Middle East is expected to keep a floor under oil prices, Rakuten's Yoshida said.
Persons: refiners, Satoru Yoshida, Rakuten's Yoshida, Jerusalem's Al, Joe Biden Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Energy Information Administration, EIA, Rakuten Securities, Traders, U.S, Hamas Locations: U.S, Aqsa, Gaza, Israel
Hardeep Singh Puri, India's minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas, at the ADIPEC conference in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2023. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesIndia keeps global crude prices affordable by buying oil from Russia, India's energy minister said. "The world is grateful to India for buying Russian oil. Such uncertainty would typically push energy prices higher but gains have been limited amid record output from the U.S., and an ongoing global economic slowdown. "The fact of the matter is half the work is in recession," he said, adding that higher oil prices will invariably end up becoming a "self fulfilling prophecy" where higher prices will curtail demand.
Persons: Hardeep Singh Puri, Singh Puri, CNBC's Sri, India's Organizations: Petroleum, Natural, United, Bloomberg, Getty, Natural Gas, India Energy Locations: Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, Russia, India, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Goa, Ukraine, Moscow, U.S
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