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Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
Euro zone factory downturn eased a touch in November -PMI
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( )   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Ina Fassbender/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The broad-based downturn in euro zone manufacturing activity eased slightly last month but the sector remained deeply rooted in contractionary territory, prompting factories to trim staffing levels for a sixth straight month. HCOB's final euro zone manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, rose to 44.2 in November from October's 43.1, above a preliminary estimate of 43.8. An index measuring output, which feeds into a composite PMI due on Tuesday and seen as a good gauge of economic health, climbed to 44.6 from 43.1. "November has not been the prettiest, and this does not refer only to the weather but also to the situation in the manufacturing sector of the euro zone," said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. The employment index dropped to a low not seen since August 2020 when the COVID-19 pandemic was cementing its grip on the world.
Persons: Ina Fassbender, Cyrus de la Rubia, Rubia, Jonathan Cable, Toby Chopra Organizations: ThyssenKrupp AG, REUTERS, P, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Thomson Locations: German, Duisburg, October's, Hamburg
An employee works on a production line manufacturing steel structures at a factory in Huzhou, Zhejiang province, China May 17, 2020. The data shows that factories are producing less and hiring fewer people," Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank China, said of China's PMI readings, which have different samples. Export-reliant Japan, South Korea and Taiwan bore the brunt of sluggish global demand with their manufacturing activity remaining stagnant in November, surveys showed. Japan's final au Jibun Bank manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 in November from 48.7 in October, shrinking at the fastest pace in nine months. Manufacturing activity also shrank in Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia, but expanded in Indonesia and the Philippines, the surveys showed.
Persons: Dan Wang, Toru Nishihama, Leika Kihara, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, Korea Soft, P Global, Hang Seng Bank, Dai, Research, Jibun Bank, Research Institute, Thomson Locations: Huzhou, Zhejiang province, China, Japan, S, TOKYO, Europe, United States, Hang Seng Bank China, South Korea, Taiwan, Asia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines
Americans are doom saving, too
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Dominick Reuter | )   time to read: +4 min
While some are "doom spending" — mindlessly spending money — others are looking for ways to save. <ore than a quarter of Americans say they're turning to the financial equivalent — doom spending — to quell their concerns. If the antidote to "doomscrolling" is putting down the phone, then the opposite of "doom spending" might well be putting down the credit card in favor of "doom saving." AdvertisementAnd while the Intuit report that coined the "doom spending" neologism noted that a troubling 22% of Americans have no savings at all. AdvertisementSpending on discounts and deals is, of course, not saving — it's still spending — but the mindset of "doom saving" is about responding to uncertainty by trying to conserve a finite resource.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, we've, Brian Cornell, Doug McMillon, — it's, they'd Organizations: Service, Intuit, Walmart, Target
Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Citi raises Club holding Costco (COST) price target to $585 per share from $530, citing an acceleration of November sales. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion.
Persons: Marc Benioff, Einstein, Jeff Marks, Charles Munger, Warren Buffett's, Charlie, Peter Arduini, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, UAW, General Motors, Citi, Club, Costco, Barclays, Company, NBA, GE Healthcare, Nvidia, Brands, Barrick, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Economic Cooperation, APEC, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Asia, San Francisco , California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're looking at 'slow at best' growth in 2024, says former OMB Director Douglas Holtz-EakinBharat Ramamurti, former White House National Economic Council deputy director, and Douglas Holtz-Eakin, American Action Forum president and former Office of Management and Budget director, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss October's PCE inflation data, the state of the U.S. economy, and more.
Persons: Douglas Holtz, Bharat Ramamurti Organizations: White, National Economic Council, Action, of Management Locations: U.S
Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by 2 basis point at 4.299%, after having fallen below 4.3% for the first time since September on Wednesday. The 2-year Treasury yield was nearly 1 basis point higher at 4.657%. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Thursday as investors assessed the outlook for Federal reserve monetary policy and awaited key economic data that could give fresh inflation insights. Also on Thursday, initial weekly jobless claims and pending home sales for October are expected and euro zone inflation data for November will be published.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell Organizations: Wednesday, Wednesday . U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Wednesday .
The Weakest U.S. Housing Report in 13 Years: Existing Home SalesOctober's existing home sales report details the current state of the all-important U.S. housing market and how Americans reacted to mortgage rates that have declined, but still remain much higher than they have been in more than a decade. WSJ's Dion Rabouin breaks it down.
Persons: WSJ's Dion Rabouin Organizations: Weakest, Housing
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 15, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures opened higher on Wednesday night as all three major stock indexes prepared to wrap a winning November. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.07% and 0.10%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.16% during the day, but is also roughly 0.7% away from its 2023 closing high. The S&P 500 is up 8.5% in November, while the Nasdaq has advanced nearly 11%.
Persons: Salesforce, Nutanix, Dow, Jay Woods, We've Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Freedom Capital Markets, CNBC, Fed, Kroger, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City . U.S, Snowflake, Nutanix
MOSCOW, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Russia's industrial output growth slowed in October as the unemployment rate dropped to a record low 2.9%, federal statistics showed on Wednesday, with deepening labour shortages showing signs of cooling Moscow's military production capacity. Analysts say wages are growing faster than productivity and the central bank has warned of the impact it has on inflation. Industrial output rose 5.3% year-on-year in October, down from a 5.6% rise in September and driven once again by military production. Rosstat said industrial output had grown since March at a monthly rate of more than 5% compared with the corresponding months of 2022. But when discounting seasonal factors, industrial production dropped 0.4% in October, Rosstat said.
Persons: Maxim Oreshkin, Vladimir Putin, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Rosstat, Alexander Marrow, Darya, Alex Richardson, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: Kremlin, Reuters, VW, Central Bank Governor, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: MOSCOW, Russia, Volkswagen's, Moscow, Ukraine, Putin's Russia
WASHINGTON (AP) — A key Federal Reserve official said Tuesday that he is “increasingly confident” that the Fed's interest rate policies will succeed in bringing inflation back to the central bank's 2% target level. The official, Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed's Board of Governors, cautioned that inflation is still too high and that it's not yet certain if a recent slowdown in price increases can be sustained. Waller's remarks follow Chair Jerome Powell's more cautious comments earlier this month, when Powell said “we are not confident” that the Fed's key short-term interest rate was high enough to fully defeat inflation. Inflation, measured year over year, has plunged from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to 3.2% in October. Slower spending and hiring, he said, should help further cool inflation.
Persons: , Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Waller Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Fed's, of Governors, American Enterprise Institute Locations: Washington
Don't listen to the bears: The incredible rally in stocks this month isn't over yet. The Dow and S & P 500 are on track to finish November — ending with Thursday's close — 7% and 8.4% higher, respectively. .SPX ALL mountain Long term look at the S & P 500 index We don't see any reason to curb our enthusiasm for stocks heading into the final month of 2023. With nearly all S & P 500 companies reporting results as of Nov. 17 (the last update from FactSet), 82% beat estimates on earnings while 62% beat on sales. The S & P 500 is bumping up against the highs of the year last reached in July, and the S & P Oscillator came into the week very overbought, a factor prompting us to book some profits and raise some cash.
Persons: Thursday's, Let's, Locker, bullish, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow, Stock Traders, Federal Reserve, Energy, Meta, Adobe Analytics, Mastercard, Adobe, Shoppers, TJX Companies, PCE, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Santa, New York City, U.S
China's imports are being driven by increased arrivals from Indonesia, the world's largest exporter of thermal coal, with Kpler estimating 18.03 million metric tons will arrive this month. This is up from imports from Indonesia of 16.70 million metric tons in October, according to Kpler data. Imports from Indonesia are expected to decline to 10.92 million metric tons in November from 12.19 million in October. Thermal coal arrivals from Australia are forecast to be 1.11 million metric tons in November, up slightly from the 1.02 million in October. Overall, its possible that China's increased appetite for imported thermal coal ahead of the northern winter is crowding out some demand in India, which tends to be a more price-sensitive buyer.
Persons: Stephen Coates Organizations: Argus, CHINA, Atlantic, Indonesian, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, Indonesia, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Beijing, Canberra, South Africa, Asia, Europe
Toys, games and hobby gear are on track to be less expensive this holiday season for the first time since 2020, while sporting goods prices are down this holiday for the first time since 2018, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)showed. To be sure, prices overall are higher in 2023 despite slowed price growth, with October's consumer price index climbing to 3.2% year-over-year. The figure remained flat on a month-over-month basis, signaling some holiday item prices may be slow to come down. Despite a dip in sporting goods prices, they continue to pace above 2019 levels. Walmart WMT.N said prices of general merchandise - clothing, electronics, furniture - had declined by low to mid-single-digit percentages versus last year, enabling the retailer to cut prices this holiday season.
Persons: Theresa Forsberg, Jill Lizzo, Barbie, Walmart WMT.N, it's, , Christina Hennington, Vincent Alban, Jessica Ramirez, Jane Hali, Jeffrey Roach, Macy's, Kevin Simpson, Simpson, Siddharth Cavale, Amina Niasse, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Walmart, Reuters Graphics Reuters, REUTERS, Associates, LPL, Dick's Sporting, Reuters, Wealth, Target, Home Depot, Wayback Machine, Thomson Locations: New Milford , Connecticut, New York's Harlem, Chicago , Illinois, U.S, New York
Despite lingering cost-of-living pressures, GfK's headline consumer confidence index was stronger than anticipated in November, increasing to -24 from October's three-month low of -30. November's reading was above the -28 forecast in a Reuters poll of economists, and follows a sharp fall the month before. While British consumer price inflation fell significantly from a 41-year high of 11.1% just over a year ago to 4.6% in October, households are still grappling with the highest inflation rate among major rich economies. Official data published last week showed shoppers spent less in October as finances remain stretched. GfK conducted its poll of 2,000 people from Nov. 1 to Nov. 14.
Persons: GfK, Joe Staton, Andrew Bailey, Jeremy Hunt's, Staton, Suban Abdulla, David Milliken Organizations: Bank of England, Thomson
Euro zone business activity fell again in November
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( Jonathan Cable | )   time to read: +3 min
LONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - The downturn in euro zone business activity eased in November but remained broadbased, suggesting the bloc's economy will contract again this quarter as consumers continue to rein in spending, a survey showed. "Ongoing weakness in the euro zone business surveys suggests a recession is on the horizon. The new business index rose to 46.7 from 45.6. Manufacturing activity, which has contracted every month since July 2022, fell again in November. Its PMI rose to 43.8 from 43.1, beating the poll expectation for 43.4 but resolutely below breakeven.
Persons: Mike Bell, Stephane Mahe, Bert Colijn, Jonathan Cable, Christina Fincher Organizations: PMI, P Global, Reuters, Morgan Asset Management, REUTERS, European Union, ING, Thomson Locations: October's, J.P, France, Nantes, Britain
Nicky Loh | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set for a lower open after Wall Street went into the Thanksgiving holiday with a broad based rally. The tech-heavy Nasdaq also saw greater participation, with 62.9% of the stocks in the index rising. The country saw its business activity contract at a faster pace in November, according to flash estimates from Judo Bank. South Korea's Kospi gained 0.18%, on pace for a fourth straight day of gains, while the small-cap Kosdaq also advanced 0.16%. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 17,692, pointing to a weaker open compared with the HSI's close of 17,734.6.
Persons: Nicky Loh, Australia's, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Wall, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Judo Bank Locations: Bay, Asia, Pacific, October's
Formula One trials AI to tackle track limits breaches
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( )   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsABU DHABI, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Formula One's governing body is trialling artificial intelligence (AI) to tackle track limits breaches at this weekend's season-ending Abu Dhabi Grand Prix. The Paris-based FIA said it would be using 'Computer Vision' technology that uses shape analysis to work out the number of pixels going past the track edge. By the title-deciding Qatar weekend in October there were eight people assigned to assess track limits and monitor 820 corner passes, with 141 reports sent to race control who then deleted 51 laps. Stewards said this month that their inability to properly enforce track limits violations at turn six was "completely unsatisfactory" and a solution needed to be found before the start of next season. Malyon said the extra Computer Vision layer would reduce the number of potential infringements being considered by the ROC, with still fewer then going on to race control for further action.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, ABU, Abu, Tim Malyon, Malyon, I’ve, Alan Baldwin, Toby Davis Organizations: REUTERS, Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, FIA, October's U.S, Prix, Stewards, Computer, Thomson Locations: ABU DHABI, Abu Dhabi Grand, Paris, Qatar, Austin, ROC, London
Morning Bid: AI buzzes but market shrugs at Nvidia beat
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( )   time to read: +5 min
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly before the closing bell as the market takes a significant dip in New York, U.S., February 25, 2020. Remarkably, Nvidia managed to vault the sky-high bar for quarterly earnings, revenue and projections yet again in its latest update overnight. Bond volatility (.MOVE) has also fallen to two-month lows, while currency market 'vol' (.DBCVIX) is plumbing 20-month lows. CONCERN OVER HOME SALES, HOLIDAY SEASON SALESNews of a drop in U.S. existing home sales last month to a 13-year low was perhaps as important as the Fed minutes - as was warnings from more major U.S. retailers, this time Best Buy and Nordstrom, about sticky holiday season sales and the need for discounting. The dollar (.DXY) was a touch higher on Wednesday, meantime, with most overseas stock markets firmer too.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, thrall, OpenAI, Sam Altman, Changpeng Zhao, October's, Jeremy Hunt's, underperformed, Jeremy Hunt, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Nvidia, Federal, Nordstrom, University of Michigan, Bank of Canada, Treasury, Deere, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York, U.S, Gaza, China, yearend, York, Beijing
WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve officials concluded earlier this month that inflation was steadily falling and agreed to closely monitor incoming data to ensure that the pace of price increases would continue slowing toward their 2% target, according to the minutes of their meeting released Tuesday. As a result, the policymakers decided to leave their key benchmark rate unchanged but to keep it elevated for an extended period. The officials agreed at the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting that they would raise their key rate again if incoming economic data “indicated that progress” toward the 2% target “was insufficient,” the minutes said. The minutes released Tuesday suggested that the Fed's policymakers hope to see forthcoming data confirm that inflation is headed back toward their target level. He said “we're making progress” in taming inflation, though he acknowledged that such progress would come “in lumps and be bumpy."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Organizations: WASHINGTON, — Federal, Fed
"The combination of high prices, high mortgage rates, and millions of homeowners unwilling to move, given they've locked in low rates, has frozen the market," said Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union in Vienna, Virginia. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast home sales would slide to a rate of 3.90 million units. Existing home salesTIGHT SUPPLYThere were 1.15 million previously owned homes on the market last month, down 5.7% from a year ago. Most homeowners have mortgage rates under 5%, making many reluctant to sell. At October's sales pace, it would take 3.6 months to exhaust the current inventory of existing homes, up from 3.3 months a year ago.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Robert Frick, Freddie Mac, Lawrence Yun, Yun, Jeffrey Roach, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, WASHINGTON, National Association of Realtors, Navy Federal Credit Union, homebuyers, Reuters, Treasury, realtors, U.S, Congress, Builders, LPL Financial, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Vienna , Virginia, Northeast, West, Midwest, Charlotte , North Carolina
The US stock rally faded ahead of the release of the Fed meeting minutes and Nvidia earningsFed minutes will give investors a better grasp of where interest rates may be headed. Tuesday also disappointed markets with weak earnings from retailers. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The stock rally was also hobbled by weak retail earnings, which led stocks including home improvement retailer Lowe's and clothing retailer American Eagle to tumble at the open. AdvertisementInvestors will be closely watching he upcoming Nvidia earnings report, a staple of the "Magnificent 7" tech cohort.
Persons: Tuesday, Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Apple
Siemens Energy shares down 11% as investor day underwhelms
  + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( )   time to read: +1 min
Miniatures of windmill, solar panel and electric pole are seen in front of Siemens Energy logo in this illustration taken January 17, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMILAN, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Germany's Siemens Energy (ENR1n.DE) shares turned sharply lower on Tuesday to fall as much as 11%, with traders citing profit taking as the company held its capital markets day (CMD). The shares have risen 80% from October's record low after the group said it was in talks with the German government about state guarantees following big setbacks at its wind unit, Siemens Gamesa. On Tuesday, Siemens Energy said Siemens Gamesa plans to cut costs by around 400 million euros ($436.28 million). ($1 = 0.9168 euros)Reporting by Danilo Masoni; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Dado, Danilo Masoni, Amanda Cooper Organizations: Siemens Energy, REUTERS, Germany's Siemens Energy, CMD, Siemens, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt
"In the more recent macro environment, consumer demand has been even more uneven and difficult to predict," Best Buy CEO Corie Barry said. U.S. holiday sales are expected to rise at its slowest pace in five years, according to data from the National Retail Federation, as Americans are likely to pull back on holiday shopping. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLast week, industry bellwether Walmart (WMT.N) warned of cautious consumer spending as the holiday shopping season gets underway. Retail executives said higher interest rates, inflation and a resumption in student loan repayments will keep consumer wallets under pressure. Still, some investors expect holiday sales starting Black Friday to hold "some positive surprises."
Persons: Corie Barry, Bing Guan, Fitch, David Silverman, Marvin Ellison, Thomas Hayes, Rachel Wolff, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Savyata Mishra, Granth Vanaik, Juby Babu, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: National Retail Federation, REUTERS, Walmart, Retail, Apparel, Abercrombie, Fitch, American Eagle Outfitters, Insider Intelligence, Thomson Locations: United States, SoHo, New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was less than 1 basis point lower at 4.42%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.913%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed Tuesday as investors looked to the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting and assessed the state of the economy. Treasury yields fell after an auction of 20-year Treasury notes worth a total of $16 billion that saw slightly higher than average demand on Monday. Questions about when the Fed may start cutting rates and if a recession is likely to hit the U.S. economy have instead grown louder among investors.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed
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