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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket Veteran Howard Marks is optimistic on China's long-term possibilitiesHoward Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, while optimistic on China said the country could not produce economic growth through stimulus "perpetually."
Persons: Howard Marks Organizations: Email Market, Oaktree Capital Management Locations: China
Veteran investor Howard Marks said he was hopeful about China's economy, but cautioned that the country's growth target was a monumental challenge. China has set a growth target of "around 5%" for 2024, though Bank of America and Citigroup, among others, have projected the world's second-largest economy will grow at under 5%. The World Bank has pegged China growth in 2024 at 4.8%, and expects it to decline further to 4.3% next year, despite a recent slate measures to boost the economy. The World Bank cited headwinds such as sluggish Chinese consumer spending, a struggling property market and an ageing population as key concerns for the world's second-largest economy. "You can't produce economic growth through stimulus perpetually.
Persons: Howard Marks, Marks, CNBC's Emily Chan, it's, Donald Trump's, Xi Jinping Organizations: Oaktree Capital Management, Global Financial, Investment Summit, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Bank of America, Citigroup, Bank, People's Bank of China Locations: China
Read previewThe presidential election is running on promises that just don't hold up, according to billionaire investor Howard Marks. "Like me, you've undoubtedly noticed that politicians ranging from former President Trump and Vice President Harris to down-ballot candidates are back to making promises that ignore economic reality," Marks wrote in his latest memo. AdvertisementDonald Trump: Tariffs and taxesIn Trump's case, plans for higher tariffs on virtually all US imports are equivalent to a price hike on average American consumers, Marks said. As these disappear, consumers should prepare for higher prices. Kamala Harris: Price gouging and housingMarks' primary criticism aimed at Harris' anti-price gouging policy.
Persons: , Howard Marks, you've, Trump, Harris, Marks, Donald Trump, they'll, Kamala Harris, Price, Marks isn't Organizations: Service, Business, Oaktree
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The 36-minute video was sent to Business Insider ahead of its public debut. Related stories"The efficient market hypothesis is that the market is always right," Marks said in a recent interview with Business Insider. Studying stocks' correlation with each other adds another dimension to investing, Marks said. Advertisement"3D chess is much harder than 2D chess, and so correlation is much harder than just risk and return," Marks said.
Persons: , Howard Marks, Marks, that's, you'll, heeding Marks, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Oaktree Capital Management, Investors
Shares of Hims & Hers (HIMS) , a digital consumer-facing health-care company, look poised to break out to a new all time high, according to the charts. HIMS announced in May a controversial weight loss injection product to compete with Lilly's Ozempic and Novo Nordisk's Wegovy. HIMS is not only marketing weight loss drugs, it has over one million subscribers using a wide variety of treatments. It's no secret that the total addressable market for weight loss drugs is gigantic. he volume was massive that day at over 70 million shares traded with average daily volume at round 18 million.
Persons: Howard Marks, HIMS, Lilly's, We've, Goldman Sachs, Eli Lilly's, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Capital Management, Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Tighter lending could weigh heavily on private equity and real estate, according to Howard Marks. Experts have cautioned on commercial real estate in particular as looming debt maturities pose a risk. That's created "fundamental questions" in specific parts of the real estate market, like office and retail properties, he added. The wider commercial real estate sector has over $1 trillion in debt set to mature in 2024, per Goldman Sachs. Billionaire investor Barry Sternlicht recently said he foresaw weekly bank closures and extreme losses in commercial real estate as high interest rates impact the sector.
Persons: Howard Marks, Marks, , Banks, That's, Goldman Sachs, Barry Sternlicht Organizations: Service, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Billionaire
CNN —US-based investment firm Oaktree Capital Management said on Wednesday it has “assumed ownership” of recently crowned Serie A champion Inter Milan. Inter’s Chinese owner, Suning, failed to repay a loan now worth €395 million ($428 million) that was taken out to help finance the club during the Covid pandemic. In a statement, Oaktree said: “We understand the great responsibility towards the community and the historical legacy of Inter. Mattia Ozbot/Inter/Getty ImagesAfter contacting Oaktree for comment on Zhang’s statement, the firm referred CNN to its press release. “As new owners, we recognize our responsibility to Inter Milan’s community, history and legacy,” Oaktree’s Alejandro Cano said in a statement.
Persons: Suning, Oaktree, , Howard Marks, Steven Zhang, Mattia Ozbot, ” Oaktree’s Alejandro Cano Organizations: CNN, Oaktree Capital Management, Serie, Inter Milan, Inter, Club, Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, Juventus Locations: Italy, Oaktree
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Oaktree's Howard Marks on AI, interest rates and moreHoward Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, discusses his outlook on the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, interest rates, and how credit should play an important role in portfolios.
Persons: Oaktree's Howard Marks, Howard Marks Organizations: Oaktree Capital Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Every bubble ensues from widespread conviction,' says Oaktree's Howard Marks amid AI boomHoward Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, discusses the AI boom and market bubbles, saying "this stuff isn't easy."
Persons: Oaktree's Howard Marks, Howard Marks Organizations: Oaktree Capital Management
The Galaxy Leader cargo ship is escorted by Houthi boats in the Red Sea in this photo released November 20, 2023. The large numbers mean Filipinos are disproportionately exposed to the dangers posed by Houthis targeting ships in the Red Sea. Two Filipino crew members remain in Djibouti to receive medical treatment. Most of the Filipino crew members on board returned to Manila on Tuesday, reuniting with their families after their ordeal at sea. It’s very painful for us, especially for the families,” Mark Dagohoy, one of the ship’s crew members, told journalists after their return.
Persons: It’s, “ There’s, , Eduardo de Vega, Israel, Houthis, , Al, ” Houthi, Nasr Al, Din Amer, De Vega, de Vega, They’re, Mohammed Al, it’s, Ray Car, Abraham Ungar, Eloisa Lopez, Houthi, Yahya Sarea, ” Mark Dagohoy, Celine Alkhaldi, Paul P, Murphy Organizations: CNN, Galaxy Leader, Houthi Military Media, Reuters, Philippines, Yemeni, Nippon, Ray, Ray Car Carriers, Ambrey Analytics, Ambrey, Indian Navy, Manila International Airport, , Liberian, Financial Times, Oaktree Locations: Filipino, Gaza, Red, Romanian, Iran, Yemen, Cairo, Philippines, Aden, Saudi, Hodeidah, Suez, Africa, Bab, Mandab, United States, Britain, Djibouti, Manila
Twin Rivers Farm could break records as Tennessee's priciest home if it fetches its $65 million asking price. Apart from the 10,626 square foot main residence, the estate features a barn, guesthouse and a man-made lake, stocked with trout for fishing and swimming. McEwen GroupThe previous record for the most expensive home sold in the state, set in 2010, stood at $28 million. McEwen GroupThe estate has multiple hidden passages leading to a game room, a safe room and a wine cellar. McEwen GroupThe property's barn houses the Keeles' chickens and sheep.
Persons: Tennessee's, Justin Timberlake, Nicole Kidman, Dan McEwen, McEwen, It's, McEwen Group Larry Keele, Larry, He's, " McEwen Organizations: McEwen Group, CNBC, McEwen, Oaktree Locations: Nashville, Leipers, Middle Tennessee, New York , Illinois, California, Twin Rivers, Rivers, Los Angeles, LA, Tennessee, France
The Secrets to Charlie Munger’s Success
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Jason Zweig | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Charlie Munger in 2019 at his home in Los Angeles. Photo: Michael Lewis for The Wall Street JournalBusiness and financial leaders made frequent pilgrimages to Los Angeles to hear Charlie Munger ’s thoughts as he held court while peering through thick eyeglasses over high, rosy cheekbones. Among the attendees at his weekly “Friday lunch club” and periodic dinners were John and Patrick Collison , founders of the online payment firm Stripe; Bobby Kotick , chief executive of videogame company Activision Blizzard ; Pradeep Khosla , chancellor of the University of California, San Diego; Maria Pope , chief executive of Portland General Electric , Oregon’s largest utility; and Howard Marks , co-founder of investment firm Oaktree Capital Management.
Persons: Charlie Munger, Michael Lewis, Charlie Munger ’, John, Patrick Collison, Bobby Kotick, Pradeep Khosla, Maria Pope, Howard Marks Organizations: The Wall Street Journal, Activision Blizzard, University of California, Portland General Electric, Oaktree Capital Management Locations: Los Angeles, San Diego, Portland
Editor's note: Morgan Stanley announced on October 25 that Ted Pick would replace James Gorman as CEO. Employees knew they were getting promoted if Pick told them to wear a tie the following day, an ex-managing director recalled. While Morgan Stanley currently trades at a premium among its Wall Street peers, its enviable success isn't thanks to Pick. Gonzalo Marroquin/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Show less Morgan Stanley investment management head and dark horse in the race for CEO, Dan Simkowitz. Despite enjoying the stock price gains under Gorman's reign, plenty of longtime employees want another dyed-in-the-wool Morgan Stanley loyalist, according to a former senior executive.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Pick, Gucci loafers, Blackstone, Tony James, Morgan, Gorman, Andy Saperstein, Dan Simkowitz, John Mack, Ted, James, Phil Purcell, Mack, Purcell, Merrill Lynch, Paul Taubman, Colm Kelleher, coheads, Gonzalo Marroquin, Patrick McMullan, Saperstein, Euromoney, Parker Gilbert, He's, John, cohead, Bolu, Goldman Sachs, Pablo, tony, Betsey Kittenplan, Smith Barney, James cochairs, Jim Breyer, Anna Wintour, John Mack pranking Pick, John Waldron, I'm, Howard Marks, Bill Parcells, atta, Brian Moynihan, aren't, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon's, Eaton Vance, he's, you've, Richard Drew, , Hayley Cuccinello Organizations: Employees, Archegos Capital Management, Blackstone, McKinsey, Getty, Middlebury College, China Construction Bank, Harvard Business School, Mitsubishi, Wall, Autonomous Research, Anguilla, Agricultural Bank of China, Capital Management, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Vogue, New York Rangers, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Staten, Disney, JPMorgan, Trade, AP Locations: China, Beijing, Manhattan, New York City, Caracas, Venezuela, Brookville, tony Long, hcuccinello@insider.com
Bond yields have surged as investors realize the asset is a bad inflation hedge, Jeremy Siegel told CNBC. Instead, stocks are a much better hedge and will perform "beautifully" against inflation, he added. "Bonds are great hedges against geopolitical risk, against financial crises, but they're very bad against inflation." AdvertisementAdvertisementThe bond market crash of recent weeks stems from the asset class' ineffectiveness against inflation, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC. Though Siegel sees inflation slowing down, he warned that growing federal deficits and other factors could bring back inflation to pandemic levels.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Bonds, , Wharton, Siegel, that's, Howard Marks Organizations: CNBC, Service, Treasury, Oaktree Capital
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're focused on large loans to private companies as banks step away, says Oaktree's PanossianArmen Panossian, incoming Oaktree Capital Management co-CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how big the private credit market is, what's driving the demand for lending, and the risks associated with the private credit market.
Persons: We're, Oaktree's Panossian Armen Panossian Organizations: Oaktree Capital Management
For investors who had expected more economic strife, sticking to those calls has become increasingly difficult. "It's going to take longer for rates to rally," said John Madziyire, senior portfolio manager and head of U.S. Treasuries and TIPS at Vanguard Fixed Income Group. "Recession or no recession, we think the probability of higher-for-longer interest rates is far greater than the likelihood of near-term cuts," credit investment firm Oaktree Capital said in a recent note. A re-acceleration in inflation could lead to higher rates than the market has priced in. Some are navigating the uncertainty by combining exposure to higher-yielding short term bonds with long-term bonds in case of a downturn.
Persons: , Felipe Villarroel, John Madziyire, Oaktree Capital, Danielle Poli, Anthony Woodside, Woodside, Stephen Dover, Chip Hughey, Davide Barbuscia, Richard Chang Organizations: Bond, Federal Reserve, TwentyFour Asset Management, Bank of, Fitch's U.S, Treasury, Oaktree, Fund, Reuters, U.S, Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, Truist Advisory Services, Vanguard, Thomson Locations: U.S, Oaktree
Employees knew they were getting promoted if Pick told them to wear a tie the following day, an ex-managing director recalled. While Morgan Stanley currently trades at a premium among its Wall Street peers, its enviable success isn't thanks to Pick. Succession has traditionally been a bloody sport on Wall Street, and Morgan Stanley is no exception. Gonzalo Marroquin/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Show less Morgan Stanley investment management head and dark horse in the race for CEO, Dan Simkowitz. Despite enjoying the stock price gains under Gorman's reign, plenty of longtime employees want another dyed-in-the-wool Morgan Stanley loyalist, according to a former senior executive.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Pick, Gucci loafers, Blackstone, Tony James, Morgan, James Gorman, Gorman, Andy Saperstein, Dan Simkowitz, John Mack, Ted, James, Phil Purcell, Mack, Purcell, Merrill Lynch, Paul Taubman, Colm Kelleher, coheads, Gonzalo Marroquin, Patrick McMullan, Saperstein, Euromoney, Parker Gilbert, He's, John, cohead, Bolu, Goldman Sachs, Pablo, tony, Betsey Kittenplan, Smith Barney, James cochairs, Jim Breyer, Anna Wintour, John Mack pranking Pick, John Waldron, Goldman, I'm, Howard Marks, Bill Parcells, atta, Brian Moynihan, aren't, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon's, Eaton Vance, he's, you've, Richard Drew, Organizations: Employees, Archegos Capital Management, Blackstone, McKinsey, Getty, Middlebury College, China Construction Bank, Harvard Business School, Mitsubishi, Wall, Autonomous Research, Anguilla, Agricultural Bank of China, Capital Management, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Vogue, New York Rangers, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Staten, Disney, JPMorgan, Trade, AP Locations: China, Beijing, Manhattan, New York City, Caracas, Venezuela, Brookville, tony Long
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOaktree: It's hard to imagine how a recession would be avoided with rates this highArmen Panossian, Head of Performing Credit and the incoming Co-CEO of Oaktree Capital Management, discusses the markets, the Fed, and private credit.
Persons: Armen Panossian Organizations: Performing Credit, Oaktree Capital Management
REUTERS/Jan LopatkaPRAGUE, June 30 (Reuters) - Cyanide maker Draslovka is considering an equity fundraising worth hundreds of millions of dollars support the roll out of new technology that could help miners slash use of cyanide, its CEO said in an interview on Friday. The privately-held Czech company is the world's leading sodium cyanide maker. It acquired Australian Mining & Process Solutions last year, which developed innovative glycine leaching technology that can cut cyanide usage in mining by about half, depending on the circumstances. Draslovka hopes the technology will spearhead a transformation of the industry, raising its effectiveness and reducing environmental impacts. Bruzek said Draslovka had another 10 similar potential projects lined up by year-end, including a top nickel and cobalt miner.
Persons: Pavel Bruzek Jr, Jan Lopatka, Draslovka, Bruzek, JP Morgan, Barrick, Emma Rumney Organizations: Draslovka, REUTERS, Australian Mining, U.S, Oaktree Capital Management, Partners, Thomson Locations: Prague, Czech Republic, Jan Lopatka PRAGUE, Czech, London, United States, Sasol, South Africa
ICYMI: This is the last week of 10 Things on Wall Street. Insider's Rebecca Ungarino has more details on how long the beef between Overdeck and Siegel has been brewing behind the scenes. What stands out to me about the drama at Two Sigma is how it all seems to be so petty. The Two Sigma cofounder was included only as an example of the type of managers Haider had eclipsed. The asset manager tapped two internal executives to serve as co-CEOs of the firm, succeeding CEO Jay Wintrob, The Wall Street Journal reports.
Persons: Dan DeFrancesco, I'm, Billy Joel's, , we've, Goldman, Cofounders David Siegel, John Overdeck, David Siegel, cofounders, Insider's Rebecca Ungarino, Siegel, Rebecca, Haidar Capital's Said Haidar, Haider, Penny, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Scott Olson, Ruobing Su, Michael Broadbery, Goldman Sachs, Maza, Andreessen Horowitz, Seth Klarman, Jay Wintrob, Robert O'Leary, Armen Panossian, Everybody's, they're, Joey Hadden, Jeffrey Cane, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Sigma, Baupost, Oaktree Capital, Street, Wall, LinkedIn Locations: Omaha, New York, London
In 2020, Bain Capital set up a previous global fund after securing $3.2 billion in commitments. The program was previously called Bain Capital Distressed and Special Situations Fund and used to sit within Bain Capital's credit business. Bain Capital's special situations strategy is now a standalone business, after being carved out with an independent team outside the umbrella of the credit unit. Globally, Bain Capital currently has $16 billion of assets under management as part of its special situations strategy. Last year, Bain Capital closed a $2 billion "special situations fund" for Asia Pacific to cover a range of asset types, which included a focus on real estate.
Howard Marks told clients that he is taking a leave of absence after a throat cancer diagnosis. Marks, who cofounded Oaktree, said he expects to be "fully back in action around mid-summer." Marks, 77, does not expect "any negative consequences from the treatment, or any lasting limitations on my activities." Billionaire investor and Oaktree Capital Management co-chairman Howard Marks said in a note to Oaktree clients on Wednesday that he is taking a leave of absence while he undergoes treatment after a recent throat cancer diagnosis. "I'm writing to let you know I was recently diagnosed with a relatively common form of throat cancer.
Market veteran Howard Marks is sounding the alarm on commercial real estate, with an anticipated wave of mortgage defaults set to add stress to the financial system. The longtime investor called commercial real estate loans "one of the biggest worries" U.S. banks face today in the face of higher interest rates and a looming recession. "Higher interest rates call for higher demanded capitalization rates, which will cause most real estate prices to fall," Marks said. To be sure, Marks said he's not sure if banks will suffer losses on their commercial real estate loans, or what the magnitude will be. "Mortgage defaults generally don't signal the end of the story, but rather the beginning of negotiations between lenders and landlords," Marks said.
Howard Marks says interest rates won't return to zero anytime soon. The billionaire investor warns the ballooning US federal debt may cause problems in the future. Marks says AI won't replace the best investors, and the banking fiasco shone a light on bitcoin. (Marks was warning that continued growth in the US federal debt will likely have serious consequences down the line.) It should be harder and harder and harder to run money and be paid highly for producing inferior.
Guest view: Direct lending may be entering new era
  + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Armen Panossian | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
NEW YORK, April 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Challenges in the banking system are expanding the opportunities available to direct lenders. I believe direct lenders’ market share will increase significantly in the future due to the substantial mismatch of supply and demand that has emerged in the market for funding large-scale LBOs. Direct lenders, including funds at Oaktree, are now seeking to fill this gap. Not all direct lenders will be able to take advantage of this opportunity, though. This, in turn, is attracting interest and capital from those direct lenders able to fill the massive gap.
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