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Historically, November is the best month of the year for the stock market, and December is third, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Under the surface this week, we also saw signs of a possible market rotation in the works. Rotation watch : We must look to next week's trading for confirmation that we're in the grips of a rotation or simply a head fake. Signs of the former were on display this week as the two of the biggest sector winners of the year, communication services and technology , trailed the market. Jobs, jobs, jobs : The most important release of the week comes Friday in the form of the November nonfarm payrolls report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, That's, Locker, it's, Hock Tan, We'll, Joann, JOAN, JM Smucker, OLLI, Campbell Soup, Brown, Forman, LULU, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, Cisco Systems, VMWare, Club, PMI, Labor, Signet Jewelers, SIG, Brands, Toll, Thor Industries, Natural Foods, GameStop, Vail Resorts, MTN, Smith & Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Asana, ASAN, New York City
In the final run-up to the late-July peak in stocks this column surveyed the rally , and asked, "Enough for now? .SPX YTD line The S & P 500's year-to-date performance Yes, the market is overbought by various technical measures. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo and Barclays are seeing the S & P 500 as dead money next year, at best. The virtues of owning the S & P 500 passively have always been low cost, tax efficiency, low turnover and broad exposure to the asset class. While 2021 was a Nasdaq 100 melt-up year, 2022 was the mirror image: Big Tech got blasted and the equal-weight S & P 500 held up better.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Jack Bogle, Alan Greenspan's Organizations: Federal, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank and Bank of America, Barclays, Hamas, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, matchless, Treasury Locations: Wells Fargo, Israel
Zero-day commodity options have now entered the ETF space
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Natalie Zhang | )   time to read: +1 min
Investors can now trade commodities and a Treasury with a popular short-term options strategy. The Nasdaq recently launched five zero-day options-based exchange-traded funds: United States Oil Fund (USO) , United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) , SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) , iShares Silver Trust (SLV) and iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) . It has taken the options market by storm. The surge in activity surrounding zero-day options has some analysts worried about a negative impact on the market. "I don't think the tools themselves are inherently breaking the market," Nadig said.
Persons: Dave Nadig, CNBC's, Nadig, it's Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, United States Oil Fund, United States Natural Gas Fund, Bond ETF Locations: United
Analysis: The 2023 stock rally is back on track
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Krystal Hur | )   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —The US stock market has rebounded from its months-long rut. Stocks finished out their best month of the year on Thursday, breaking a three-month streak of declines for all the major indexes. “The only way I see a rally continuing is if the bond market behaves itself,” said Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group. While those stocks have remained at the top of Wall Street’s scoreboard, the recent rally has encompassed a wider range of stocks. Long-neglected pockets of the stock market, from beaten-down financials to small-caps to cyclical stocks, have climbed higher in recent weeks.
Persons: Stocks, , Richard Steinberg, , Santa Claus, Ned Davis, Anna Cooban, Elisabeth Buchwald, Nelson Peltz, Nelson Peltz’s, Bob Iger, ” Trian, Trian, Trian’s, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Sky Jeremy Darroch, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, The Colony, Wall Street, Ned Davis Research, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Press Agency, Ministry of Energy, Saudi, United Emirates, Reuters, Disney, Management, Peltz, Sky Locations: New York, Santa, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Vienna, Russia, Iraq, United, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman, Brazil, Brazil’s
Ulta Beauty — The beauty stock rallied nearly 11% after posting third-quarter results that surpassed analysts' estimates. Samsara — Samsara shares popped 16% after the cloud company posted better-than-expected quarterly results and shared stronger-than-expected guidance. The chip company posted third-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street's estimates but shared weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter. Ambarella — Shares slipped 1% after Ambarella reported third-quarter gross margins of 62.6%, down from 63.5% in the year-ago period. Otherwise, the semiconductor design company posted quarterly results that topped estimates.
Persons: Tesla, Nelson Peltz, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Dell, Altimmune, Ambarella, Jefferies, Yun Li, Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Jesse Pound Organizations: Disney — Disney, Trian Fund Management, Pfizer, Paramount Global, Street Journal, Paramount, Apple, Marvell Technology, Invest, Nasdaq, Dell —, LSEG, JPMorgan, Norfolk Southern, Bank of America, CSG Locations: Texas, China, Wells Fargo, Norfolk, Ohio
Opening Bell: December 1, 2023
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( )   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOpening Bell: December 1, 2023Watch the opening bell for the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange from December 1, 2023.
Organizations: Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Friday: Stifel initiates Boeing at buy Stifel said it sees a "favorable" setup for Boeing shares. Citi downgrades Spotify to neutral from buy Citi said in its downgrade of Spotify that the risk/reward is less compelling. Jefferies initiates Arcos Dorados as a buy Jefferies said the Latin American McDonald's franchisee is a "consistent compounder." Jefferies initiates CSG Systems as buy Jefferies said in its initiation of the software-as-a-service company that it sees burgeoning growth. Jefferies initiates Amdocs as buy Jefferies said it sees opportunity for the Israel-based software and systems integration supplier. "
Persons: Stifel, TD Cowen, Morgan Stanley downgrades Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, it's, Alibaba, Tesla, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, Jefferies, Piper Sandler, TXRH, Wells, Wells Fargo, Emerson, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Bonnie Herzog's, MarketWise, Redburn, Johnson Organizations: Boeing, Delta, Air Lines, Citi, Spotify, RBC, Western Alliance, Novo Nordisk, Arcos, American, Crescent Energy, Fortrea Holdings, ISI, Aspen Technology, Emerson, JPMorgan, Constellation Brands, Constellation, UBS, Bank of America, Norfolk Southern, of America, Norfolk, CSG Systems, Communication Service, Financial Services, Technology, Healthcare, Westinghouse, Johnson, Innovative Medicine, Pharmaceutical Locations: Europe, China, Arcos, 4Q24, reaccelerate, Aspen, Norfolk, Israel
Pfizer — Shares dropped 4.2% after the drugmaker said it would halt development of its twice-daily experimental weight loss pill. Marvell Technology — The semiconductor stock fell more than 5% after Marvell issued lower-than-expected revenue guidance for the fourth quarter. Ulta Beauty — The stock gained nearly 12% after the beauty products retailer reported third-quarter earnings that beat analysts' expectations. Ulta reported earnings of $5.07 per share, higher than the $4.95 per share analysts polled by LSEG were expecting. Dell — Stock in the computer maker fell nearly 6% on the heels of a mixed third-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Pfizer, Andrew Nowinski, Nelson Peltz, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Coinbase, Ulta, LSEG, Jessica Fye, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Pfizer —, Paramount Global, Wall Street Journal, Apple, Disney —, Trian Fund Management, Marvell Technology, Marvell, Invest, Nasdaq, Dell —, Wall, LSEG, JPMorgan Locations: , Wells Fargo
Futures tied to major U.S. equity indexes are split between small gains and losses, while Treasury yields are inching down. Look out for any pushback against the notion, gripping the bond market, that the central bank will soon cut interest rates. November was the best month for the S&P 500 since July last year. They were volatile on Thursday, after Fed Bank of New York President John Williams said he thought it best to keep interest rates high for some time. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index dropped more than 1.2% to close at its lowest in more than a year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dow, John Williams, Brent Organizations: Federal, Dow industrials, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fed Bank of New York Locations: Atlanta, Europe, Hong Kong
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The personal consumption expenditures price index, excluding food and energy prices, rose 0.2% for the month and 3.5% on a year-over-year basis, the Commerce Department reported. Headline inflation was flat on the month and at a 3% rate for the 12-month period, the release also showed. Energy prices fell 2.6% on the month, helping keep overall inflation in check, though food prices rose 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Nelson Peltz, Ike Perlmutter, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Jeremy Darroch, Francis deSouza Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Energy, of, Petroleum, OPEC, Disney, Marvel, Sky, Peltz, United Arab Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, COP28, United Arab Emirates, COP27, Egypt
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Market participants now await policy comments from Powell at two separate discussions scheduled for 11 a.m. After recent conflicting remarks from other policymakers, investors are concerned that Powell could push back against the rate cut narrative. Other officials, including Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee are also scheduled to speak during the day. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell's, Dow Jones, underscoring, Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, danuglipron, Paula Oyibo, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Chicago Fed, P Global, ISM, Dow e, Pfizer, Marvell Technology, Automation, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
Vlad Tenev, co-founder and CEO of Robinhood, rings the opening bell at the Nasdaq on July 29, 2021. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev says he doesn't believe that the payment for order flow (PFOF) model of market-maker routing that the company incorporates in the U.S. is under threat. Speaking with CNBC, Tenev defended the practice of PFOF, saying that it's "inherently here to stay." PFOF is the practice of routing trades through market-makers like Citadel Securities in return for a slice of the profits. Critics say that brokers have an incentive to direct order flow to market makers offering PFOF arrangements over the interests of their clients.
Persons: Vlad Tenev, Tenev, Robinhood, we've, Ameritrade, Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Citadel Securities, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, European Union Locations: U.S
On the flip side, some oversold names could be due for some near-term gains. A 14-day RSI reading above 70 typically indicates that a stock is overbought and could face a pullback. Here are some of the most overbought names: Equifax was the most overbought name on the list, with a 14-day RSI reading of 97.13. Other overbought names on the list include BlackRock and Northern Trust . Stocks that are oversold include Cigna , which has a 14-day RSI of 20.49.
Persons: Equifax, Shlomo Rosenbaum, Nick McKay, McKay, Cigna, Hormel, Fred Imbert Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, CNBC, BlackRock, Northern Trust, CNBC Pro, Street, Humana, Cisco, Wynn Resorts, Locations: Equifax, 2H24
Why investors should stick with Eli Lilly
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Jeff Marks | )   time to read: +2 min
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a Morning Meeting livestream at 10:20 a.m. The treatment — which Jim Cramer has said could become the greatest-selling drug of all time — received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration last month, bolstering Eli Lilly shares. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bond, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, STZ, Eli Lilly, , Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Club, Constellation Brands, Pfizer, U.S . Food, Drug Administration Locations: U.S
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian shares declined on Friday even after Wall Street closed out its best month of the year with big gains in November. Thursday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 4,567.80. Cloud-computing company Snowflake rose 7% after also giving Wall Street an encouraging financial forecast. Compared with a year ago, consumer prices rose 3% in October, below the 3.4% annual rate in September. That was the lowest year-over-year inflation rate in more than 2 1/2 years.
Persons: Brent, Hang Seng, Caixin, Korea’s Kospi, Australia’s, India’s Sensex, Dow Organizations: New York Mercantile Exchange, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Labor Department, Fed, Treasury Locations: HONG KONG, Shanghai
S&P 500 Slips, Halting November Gains
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Gunjan Banerji | )   time to read: 1 min
Investors have been reassured in recent weeks by inflation and economic data suggesting a soft economic landing. Photo: brendan mcdermid/ReutersStocks wavered Wednesday, dampening a November rally that has sent the S&P 500 toward its best month since July 2022. The S&P 500 edged lower 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 13 points, or less than 0.1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2%.
Persons: brendan mcdermid, Reuters Stocks, dampening Organizations: Reuters, Dow Jones, Nasdaq
Stock futures fell slightly in overnight trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a new 2023 high and capped off its best month in more than a year. Futures tied to the 30-stock index dipped 20 points, or 0.06%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures slipped 0.1% and 0.15%, respectively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 520 points, or 1.47%, to settle at 35,950.89 and top its previous 2023 high hit in August. The S&P and Nasdaq rallied 8.9% and 10.7%, respectively, to notch their best monthly performances since July 2022. Both the Dow and S&P are also headed for a winning week, with the Dow on pace to hit a fifth consecutive winning week for the first time in more than two years.
Persons: Stocks, Everyone's, Wells, Chris Harvey, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Disney, Dow, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Cardinal Health
Opening Bell: November 30, 2023
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( )   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOpening Bell: November 30, 2023Watch the opening bell for the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange from November 30, 2023.
Organizations: Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange
Aggregate bond index is up 4.8% in price this month. Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have also rallied, with traders betting the Fed is done lifting interest rates as inflation continues to ebb. On Thursday, the latest personal-consumption expenditures price index—the Fed's preferred inflation gauge —offered the latest sign that pricing pressures are softening. The Nasdaq Composite is up 11% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. Salesforce's stock rose, lifting the blue-chip Dow, after the business-software company reported results last night.
Persons: Stocks, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Bloomberg U.S, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, Benchmark U.S Locations: Russia, Europe
November's trading is in its last hours, with stocks—and a range of other asset classes—on pace for strong monthly gains. Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have all risen, with traders betting the Fed is done lifting interest rates as inflation ebbs. The Dow is on track for its highest close of 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite is on track for its best month since January. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note ticked up, rising to around 4.343%, after three days of declines. Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 finished its best month since January.
Persons: Dow, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Benchmark U.S, Overseas
Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have also rallied, with traders betting the Federal Reserve is done lifting interest rates. In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 inched higher after data showed French inflation softening in November. Up ahead: Tesla will update investors on the Cybertruck. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE, or personal-consumption expenditures price index, is also due. Economists expect to see signs of softening inflation.
Persons: Stocks, Tesla, Brent Organizations: Bloomberg U.S, Federal, Nasdaq, Stock, Dow, Treasury, RBC, Kroger, Dell, Marvell, PCE Locations: Russia, Europe
The regulator said in a memo that it met with Grayscale on Thursday about the potential conversion of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into an ETF. SEC officials also met with representatives from BlackRock and the Nasdaq on Wednesday, according to a separate memo. BlackRock filed for a bitcoin ETF in June, followed shortly by a handful of other asset management firms. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has been a vocal critic of crypto but has said in recent public appearances that he would listen to his staff's input on a potential bitcoin ETF. The growing confidence in the market that a bitcoin ETF will eventually be approved appears to have boosted the price of bitcoin.
Persons: Gary Gensler, John Hoffman, Hoffman Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, BlackRock, Nasdaq, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S
While the Dow rose to 35,725.11 points, crossing its intraday high of 35,679.13 points hit in August, all three main indexes were on course for their strongest November since 2020. The S&P 500 (.SPX) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) were also poised for their biggest monthly percentage gain since July 2022, on signs of cooling price pressures. The personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - showed inflation remained unchanged in October on a monthly basis, against economists' projections of a 0.1% increase. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% on a monthly basis, in line with estimates. But most megacap stocks edged lower, with Tesla (TSLA.O) down 1.4% and leading declines, keeping the S&P 500 (.SPX) and Nasdaq (.SPX) under pressure.
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Salesforce, Dow Jones, Dow, Anthony Saglimbene, Mary Daly, John Williams, Jefferies, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Bank of New York, Dow Jones, Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Troy , Michigan, Bengaluru
Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Citi raises Club holding Costco (COST) price target to $585 per share from $530, citing an acceleration of November sales. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. Ford (F) issues slightly worse full-year guidance: $10 billion to $10.5 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $5.5 billion.
Persons: Marc Benioff, Einstein, Jeff Marks, Charles Munger, Warren Buffett's, Charlie, Peter Arduini, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, UAW, General Motors, Citi, Club, Costco, Barclays, Company, NBA, GE Healthcare, Nvidia, Brands, Barrick, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Economic Cooperation, APEC, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Asia, San Francisco , California
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