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☆ The economist who predicted the election outcomes in detail tells BI his forecasts for 2025 GDP, inflation, and the threshold that would explode the deficit
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-23 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementChristophe Barraud predicted a Republican sweep and spike in the 10-year yield. Barraud, a top US economy forecaster, expects GDP growth to exceed consensus forecasts. He also expects higher inflation and shares concerns over the deficit crossing 7.5% of GDP. AdvertisementHe previously said that US GDP growth in 2025 would be stronger than expected at 2.1%, above Bloomberg's consensus forecast of 1.9%. A stronger labor market will cause this, especially wage growth and new job creation, combined with labor shortages from restrictive immigration policy.

Persons: Christophe Barraud, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Barraud, I'm, Trump Organizations: Republican, Market Securities Monaco, Bloomberg, Trump, Congressional, Office, Tax Foundation

☆ Goldman says 2025 will be the 'year of generating income'
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs Asset Management is predicting 2025 will be the "year of generating income." One focuses on the S & P 500 — Goldman Sachs S & P 500 Core Premium Income ETF (GPIX) and another on the Nasdaq-100 index — Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Core Premium Income ETF (GPIQ ). High-yield muni bonds Shah also sees opportunity for income within high-yield municipal bonds . "Municipal high yield is a good way of generating income that can compete with your appreciation," Shah said. GHYAX YTD mountain Goldman Sachs High Yield Municipal Fund Dividend stocks and bonds Investors can also turn to more traditional forms of income in dividend stocks and fixed income, Shah said.

Persons: Goldman, Ashish Shah, Shah, — Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Management, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Crane Data, nab, Investors, Goldman, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Nasdaq Locations: securitized

☆ 'Shark Tank' investor Barbara Corcoran says young people's dreams of buying a home are being crushed
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementBarbara Corcoran says it's "disturbing" how young people are being locked out of the housing market. The "Shark Tank" investor pointed to first-time buyers getting older and losing out to cash buyers. High prices, steep mortgage rates, and fierce competition are locking young people out of becoming homeowners, Barbara Corcoran says. Plus, the median age of first-time buyers climbed from 35 to 38. Corcoran also dismissed concerns that the housing market is overheated and headed for a slump.

Persons: Barbara Corcoran, Corcoran, Trump, Sellers, —, they're, Trump's Organizations: Fox Business Network, The Corcoran Group, National Association of Realtors

☆ Trump names former NFL player Scott Turner as his pick for HUD secretary
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Piper Hudspeth Blackburn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —President-elect Donald Trump on Friday named former NFL player and White House official Scott Turner to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development. If confirmed by the Senate, Turner would lead an agency that enforces fair housing laws, administers mortgage insurance to prospective homeowners and gives rental subsidies to lower-income families, among other things. In 2019, Turner traveled with former HUD Secretary Ben Carson touting the program. After leaving the league, Turner mounted an unsuccessful run for California 50th Congressional District in 2006. He was elected to the Texas House in 2012 and finished out his term in 2017 after losing a bid for the state House speakership.

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Turner, Turner, Ben Carson, “, ” Turner Organizations: CNN, NFL, White, of Housing, Urban, Senate, Center for Education Opportunity, America, Policy Institute, Council, Trump, Economic, Washington Redskins, Washington Commanders, San Diego Chargers, Denver Broncos, California, Congressional District, Texas House Locations: Texas, Washington

☆ Bad news if you’re looking to buy a house in the next two years
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

After hitting two-decade highs nearing 8% late last year, mortgage rates have fallen, dipping nearly as low as 6% in September. Mortgage rates are expected to stay stuck above 6% for at least the next two years, according to economists and recent forecasts. Home sales are on track for their worst year since 1995 due to home-price growth and elevated mortgage rates. Mortgage rates are closely tied to the 10-year US Treasury yield. Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones last month said a swelling national debt under Trump would be frowned upon by the bond market.

Persons: Freddie Mac, ” Lawrence Yun, “, Wells, Fannie Mae, Donald Trump’s, Trump, ” Bernard Baumohl, Paul Tudor Jones, “ We’re, ”, Nick Dus, “ They’ve, Dus, NAR’s Yun, Yun, ” Yun, Samantha Delouya Organizations: Washington CNN, National Association of Realtors, Federal, Treasury, Economic Outlook, Billionaire, Trump, CNBC, CNN, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo, Evansville , Indiana

A sharp drop in mortgage rates brought homebuyers off the fence in October after a slow summer. Sales were 2.9% higher than October of last year, marking the first annual increase in more than three years. While mortgage rates remain elevated, they are expected to stabilize.”There were 1.37 million units for sale at the end of October, an increase of 19.1% from October 2023. That is still high historically, but lower mortgage rates likely caused that share to drop. Mortgage rates are much higher now, at 7.05% on the 30-year fixed.

Persons: ”, Lawrence Yun, ” Yun, Chen Zhao Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Mortgage News, Fed Locations: Redfin

☆ Home sales jumped in October, and housing demand is set to pick up from here, NAR says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

That's partly due to higher inventory levels, which rose 19% in October compared to last year. Existing home sales rose 3.4% in October, the group said. Sales rose 2.9% year-over-year for the first annual rise since July 2021 when Americans were still in the midst of a pandemic homebuying boom. Despite higher inventory levels, existing home prices have continued to rise, with the median existing home price climbing 4% in October to $407,200. Last week, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate ticked lower but remained elevated at 6.78%, three basis-points higher higher than the 52-week average, according to Freddie Mac.

Persons: Lawrence Yun, Freddie Mac, Yun, Zillow Organizations: National Association of Realtors, NAR, Bank of America Locations: Real

☆ The DOJ vs. Google: Breaking down the latest in the antitrust case and what it means for Chrome's future
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementThe DOJ has asked the judge in its antitrust case against Google to force the tech giant to sell Chrome, its massively popular browser. In August, a judge ruled Google violated antitrust laws and acted as a monopoly when it came to its search engine. Google will have a chance to respond next month with its own plan before the judge makes a ruling next year. That makes it a powerful distribution arm for Google since Chrome's default search engine is … Google. And Apple was making at least $20 billion a year by defaulting to Google Search .

Persons: Billy Bob Thornton, Trump, Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chelsea Jia Feng, Hugh Langley, Lara O'Reilly, Lara, Apple, Donald Trump, Matt Gaetz, Marc Rowan, Arturo Holmes, Apollo, Scott Kleinman, Jim Zelter, Morgan Stanley's, Jeff McMillan's, he's, You've, that's, Michael M, Tyler Le, Google's DeepMind, John Deere, Biden, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Justice Department, Google, Tech, Nvidia, Elon, DOJ, Microsoft, YouTube, Bloomberg, Big Tech, Trump, Getty, —, Comcast, Boston Celtics, White Locations: Los Angeles, New York, Chicago, London

Together with her friend Mariah Allen, she started a company called Controlled Chaos in 2021 to sell pre-worn festival outfits. Getting thriftyThough she went to music festivals like Warped Tour when she was in high school, Karasack started regularly going to festivals, especially electronic dance music festivals like Electric Forest, in 2018. So in 2021, she decided to make her own festival outfits, using the sewing skills her grandmother had taught her as a child. In 2024, she'll attend eight music festivals, and she typically goes to nine or 10 per year. "The music festival scene is the most open and welcoming scene that there is — it is so much fun," she says.

Persons: She's, Karasack, Brooklyn Karasack, Andrea Desky, Mariah Allen, she's, Allen, she'll, —, Hurricane Milton, Pete, automates, whatever's Organizations: CNBC, Insurance, Transportation, Hulu, Spotify, Hurricane Locations: Brooklyn, St . Petersburg , Florida, TikTok, Florida, Canada, Las Vegas, St

☆ Home buyers are accepting higher mortgage rates, says Compass CEO Robert Reffkin
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHome buyers are accepting higher mortgage rates, says Compass CEO Robert ReffkinRobert Reffkin, Compass co-founder and CEO, joins CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the state of the real estate market, where inventory is building, and more.

Persons: Robert Reffkin Robert Reffkin

After flatlining the week before, mortgage demand rose last week, despite mortgage rates increasing for the fourth straight week. Total application volume climbed 1.7% compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index. Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home rose 2% for the week but were 1% lower than the same week one year ago. Purchase demand was driven by conventional and FHA loans, with FHA purchase applications seeing a 7% increase. Mortgage rates are about flat so far this week, according to a separate survey from Mortgage News Daily.

Persons: ”, Joel Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, Mortgage News Locations: Ukraine, Russia

☆ A boomer built a $350K ADU in her backyard to grow old. It's also a win for her daughter, who moved into the main house.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Meanwhile, her 34-year-old daughter lives in the 2,000-square-foot, three-bedroom, two-bathroom main house with her three-and-a-half-year-old daughter. The ADU was a win for mom, daughter, and granddaughterFor Wilder-Abrams, building an ADU in her backyard and having her daughter move into the main house was much more affordable than purchasing a new home in Oakland. Courtesy of Christine Wilder-AbramsConstruction on Wilder-Abrams' ADU began in 2021. By May 2022, her daughter had moved into the main house, and she had settled into the ADU. To finance the construction of the ADU, Wilder-Abrams took out a second mortgage on her home, as the original mortgage had been paid off years earlier.

Persons: Christine Wilder, Abrams, Wilder, Zillow, Thomas Winz, ADUs, ADU Wilder, it'll, ADU, Everybody's, wasn't, it's Organizations: Wilder Locations: California, Oakland , California, Wilder, Oakland, Oakland , Orange County

☆ Stanley Black & Decker updates targets, plus Nvidia and Palo Alto earnings on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, Don Allen, Jim Cramer's, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: CNBC, ., Bloomberg, Nvidia, Palo Alto, Deere, BJ's Wholesale, Baidu, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Getty Locations: radiopharmaceuticals, Colma , California

☆ Housing market weakness is in the entry-level but move-up market's strong: Zelman and Associates CEO
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHousing market weakness is in the entry-level but move-up market's strong: Zelman and Associates CEOIvy Zelman, Zelman and Associates CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the recent moves in mortgage rates, the solution to low supply in the entry-level housing market, and how optimistic Zelman is about government fixing the housing situation.

Persons: Ivy Zelman

☆ We're making another trim of a stock under pressure to protect hard-fought profits
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We're selling 165 shares of Best Buy at roughly $86 each. Following Wednesday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 600 shares of BBY, decreasing its weighting to about 1.5% from 1.9%. BBY YTD mountain Best Buy YTD On Wednesday, however, we're selling some Best Buy shares for another reason: discipline. But we have to acknowledge that Best Buy competes with the big three on electronics. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, There's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Amazon, Costco —, TJX Companies, CNBC Locations: BBY, Williams, Sonoma

☆ 49-year-old started his business 'to make $5,000 a month to survive, pay my mortgage'—he sold it for $100 million
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Tom Huddleston Jr. | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

When Tomas Gorny started a tech business in 2001, he wasn't thinking about becoming a billionaire someday. Gorny started a business called Ipower, which sold software that helped people build their own websites. Six years later, he sold Ipower to web hosting company Endurance International for a reported $100 million. Perhaps ironically, Gorny says the more modest goal helped helped him grow his company's bottom line far more effectively. Once he released his more developed products, Ipower started adding hundreds of new customers per day, he says.

Persons: Tomas Gorny, Nextiva, who'd, he'd, Gorny, —, Interliant, Ipower Organizations: Endurance, Internet Communications, Endurance International, Google, Microsoft Locations: Scottsdale , Arizona, Polish, U.S

☆ China expectedly keeps benchmark lending rates steady as Beijing assesses stimulus measures
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

China's central bank on Wednesday kept major benchmark lending rates unchanged, as Beijing assesses the effects of its recent stimulus measures. The People's Bank of China said it would keep the 1-year loan prime rate at 3.1%, and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%. The 1-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the 5-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates. Only retail sales beat expectations, with a 4.8% year-on-year increase, indicating that recent stimulus had started seeping into certain sectors of the economy. Goldman, however, maintained "overweight" stance on China equities, forecasting a 13% upside to the benchmark CSI 300 index next year.

Persons: Bruce Pang, Pang, Pan Gongsheng, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Donald Trump's Organizations: People's Bank of China, People's Bank of, Reuters, Ministry of Finance Locations: Beijing, China's, People's Bank of China, China, JLL

If the Fed doesn't cut rates in December, we may see mortgage rates inch up. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.60%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down compared to where they were a year ago.

Persons: Jerome Powell, It's, they've, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Mortgage Research, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Weekly mortgage demand inched up, despite higher interest rates. Here's why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

After flatlining the week before, mortgage demand rose last week, despite mortgage rates rising for the fourth straight week. Total application volume increased 1.7% compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home rose 2% for the week but were 1% lower than the same week one year ago. Purchase demand was driven by conventional and FHA loans, with FHA purchase applications seeing a 7% increase. Mortgage rates are about flat so far this week, according to a separate survey from Mortgage News Daily.

Persons: Joel Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, Mortgage News, U.S Locations: Ukraine, Russia

☆ The CEO of the biggest homebuilder association blames pricey land, a worker shortage, and bureaucratic obstacles for high housing costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Eliza Relman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementUS home prices and rents have soared in part because of a shortage of housing. These are the cost of land, a shortage of construction workers, regulations, and NIMBYism. The US is suffering from a deep shortage of homes, and it's driving sky-high home prices and rents. Advertisement"We just hear more and more that it's harder to find affordable pieces of land to develop for housing," Tobin said. Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction and higher wages for workers, which in turn leads to higher home prices.

Persons: Jim Tobin, Tobin, —, ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, NIMBY, Donald Trump Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Trump Locations: Los Angeles, Seattle, Chicago, Brambleton , Virginia

☆ The DOGE commission explains how it will reduce head count at federal agencies with a plan to get rid of remote work and offer workers early retirement
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementElon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy offered more details on their DOGE government efficiency commission. They said their plans to cut government spending will lead to layoffs across federal agencies. The leaders of President-elect Donald Trump's government efficiency commission have more details on how they will reduce head count across government agencies. With the federal government being the largest employer in the US, with a workforce of over 2 million Americans, the DOGE commission could have a wide-ranging impact. Are you a federal worker with thoughts on DOGE?

Persons: Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump's, Ramaswamy, Trump, Musk Organizations: Tesla, GOP, Street, of Government, Management, Trump, Treasury Department, Department of Health, Human Services, Social Security Administration, Department of Defense, Congress, Social Security, Medicare

☆ A homebuilder-association CEO told us the 4 obstacles keeping America from having more housing
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Eliza Relman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

☆ Home prices may fall 20% as the housing market thaws — and help get baby boomers moving, research legend says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementMeredith Whitney expects home prices to fall by 10% to 20% as the frozen housing market starts thawing. The veteran researcher said baby boomers aren't selling, restricting the number of homes available. Home prices are poised to fall by up to a fifth as the frozen housing market thaws — and that could help baby boomers sell at last and younger people to become homeowners, Meredith Whitney says. Advertisement"The problem is the baby boomers own 60% of the housing stock," she said, referring to single-family, owner-occupied homes. AdvertisementSeveral economists have predicted a "silver tsunami" as baby boomers sell their homes to downsize or move into care homes, increasing the available supply of single-family homes and reducing prices.

Persons: Meredith Whitney, It's, Price, Whitney, millennials Organizations: Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, Homeowners, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, CNBC

☆ 89% of Americans say they do not consider themselves wealthy — here's what stands in the way
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

High home prices and higher mortgage rates along with low inventory have put ownership just out of reach for many households. Jose Luis Pelaez Inc | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesAlthough vacationing has also gotten more expensive, Americans are still determined to travel. Rising debt is another threat to wealthAt the same time, rising consumer debt has weighed on household balance sheets. Nearly half, 44%, of Americans said credit card debt is the biggest threat to their ability to build wealth, according to a separate report by Edelman Financial Engines. "That stands in the way of people building actual wealth and therefore feeling wealthier," she said.

Persons: —, Freddie Mac, Jose Luis Pelaez, Jean Chatzky Organizations: Jose Luis Pelaez Inc, Deloitte, Edelman Financial, Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNBC Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Student loan servicers are pulling incorrect payments from borrowers' bank accounts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Annie Nova | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Lenders often encourage federal student loan borrowers to enroll in automatic payments. "Unfortunately, autopay errors were one of the most widespread, basic and consequential servicer errors we saw this year," CFPB Student Loan Ombudsman Julia Barnard told CNBC. In some cases, borrowers had money pulled from their bank accounts despite never consenting to autopay, Barnard said. Other autopay users saw incorrect amounts taken or were charged multiple times in the same month. In March, one borrower told the CFPB that their student loan servicer took $6,897 from their account when they only owed $1,048.

Persons: Julia Barnard, Barnard, aren't, wouldn't, servicer Organizations: Consumer Financial, Bureau, CNBC, autopay, Finance, Black

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