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☆ Grocery prices are high. Trump’s mass deportations could make matters worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Matt Egan | Maya Blackstone | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Soon, Trump’s ability to fix America’s affordability crisis will collide head-on with another, perhaps more prominent, campaign trail promise: Mass deportations. And perhaps no industry relies on undocumented workers more than the food and agriculture industries. “The only question is how high prices will go.”Zandi noted that food prices could also be pushed higher by another element of the Trump agenda: Massive tariffs. The Trump transition team did not respond to a request for comment about how mass deportations would impact food prices. The current immigration system does not allow for green cards for farm workers.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, you’re, ”, Chuck Conner, don’t, Conner, Fred Leitz, Leitz, Mark Zandi, “, ” Zandi, Trump’s, It’s, Rick Naerebout, that’s, Biden, Scott Bessent, ” Bessent, Axios, Trump “, David Paul Morris, Zeke Hernandez, “ It’s, Hernandez, Chloe East, Letiz, Naerebout, “ aren’t, ” Robert Lynch, Lynch, —, ” Naerebout Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, National Council of Farmer Cooperatives, US Department of Agriculture, Center for American Progress, Moody’s, Trump, United, Idaho Dairymen’s Association, Wall, Bloomberg, Getty, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Immigration, University of Colorado Denver, The Hamilton, Brookings Institution, Washington College, American Locations: New York, United States, Michigan, Idaho, San Francisco, Brookings, Maryland

☆ NFL Week 10 review: QB plays like ‘best player on planet’ in win
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Ben Morse | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —Week 10 of the NFL season was one full of drama, talking points and some big solo performances. QB plays like ‘best player on planet’ in historic gameThe Arizona Cardinals had a successful afternoon and that largely came thanks to the historic performance of their quarterback, Kyler Murray. He completed 22 out of 24 of his passing attempts, throwing for one touchdown and running for two more scores. Chris Coduto/Getty ImagesMurray also became the first player in NFL history to complete 85% of his passes with 250 passing yards and two rushing touchdowns. “I think the quarterback was the best player on the planet today,” Gannon said.

Persons: Kyler Murray, Murray, Carson Palmer, Chris Coduto, Aaron Rodgers, Jonathan Gannon, ” Gannon, Ross D, ” Murray, Drew, We’re, Rodgers, “, Deebo Samuel, Jake Moody, Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, Taybor Pepper, Moody, Raymond James Stadium, Samuel, Pepper, ”, Moody “, I’m, ” Pepper, Jake, ” Moody, Julio Aguilar, Kyle Shanahan, ” Shanahan, they’ve, It’s, Dennis Allen, Darren Rizzi, Derek Carr, Marquez Valdes, Scantling, Younghoe Koo, Kirk Cousins, Tyrann Mathieu, ” Rizzi, Jonathan Bachman, Rizzi, couldn’t, Payton Turner, I’ve Organizations: CNN, NFL, Carolina Panthers, New York Giants, Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys, Arizona Cardinals, Cardinals, New York Jets, NFC West, Jets, Getty, Franklin, State, San Francisco 49ers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 49ers, Buccaneers, San, Saints, New, New Orleans Saints, NFC South, Atlanta Falcons, Falcons, Atlanta, NFC, New England Patriots, Chicago Bears, Buffalo Bills, Indianapolis Colts, Minnesota Vikings, Jacksonville Jaguars, Denver Broncos, Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington, Tennessee Titans, Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans Locations: Germany, Arizona, ”, California, San Francisco, New Orleans

☆ Inflation haunted Harris. If Trump isn’t careful, it will cost him too
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Donald Trump rode a powerful wave of discontent over the cost of living back to the White House. Trump reminded voters often that inflation wasn’t a problem when he was calling the shots. But if he’s not careful, Trump could have an inflation problem of his own. They point to study after study that shows Americans bore almost the entire cost of Trump’s tariffs on China. “When Trump uses tariffs as a negotiating tool, I’m fine with that,” Moore said during a phone interview in late October.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, he’s, ” Ryan Sweet, won’t, ” Sweet, “, Joe Biden, CNN’s Phil Mattingly, ” He’s, Trump’s, “ We’re, ” Daniel Alpert, CNN’s Allison Morrow, Stephen Moore, CNN he’s “, ” Moore Organizations: New, New York CNN, Voters, Oxford Economics, CNN, Trump, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, National Retail Federation, Westwood Capital Locations: New York, Washington, Pennsylvania, China

☆ Here's what's at stake for equity markets ahead of the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what's at stake for equity markets ahead of the electionMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss each candidate's housing plans, which candidate will be better for the economy, and more.

Persons: Mark Zandi

☆ UK budget leaves government with less buffer against shocks, Moody's says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUK budget leaves government with less buffer against shocks, Moody's saysEvan Wohlmann, U.K. lead analyst at Moody’s Ratings, weighs in on the Labour government's budget announcement, saying it does not materially change the firm's long-term outlook.

Persons: Moody's, Evan Wohlmann Organizations: Labour

☆ The bogeyman haunting Harris (and Biden) that Trump is cashing in on
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Now, the inflation rate is nearly back to normal – miraculously, without the recession and loss of millions of jobs that many predicted. Harris also gets that the economic anxiety fueled by inflation has helped boost the popularity of her opponent, former President Donald Trump. And he’s got a point: The inflation rate never exceeded 3% under Trump – a far cry from the four-decade high of 9.1% under Biden. “I will end inflation,” Trump told a roaring crowd of supporters in battleground North Carolina on Wednesday. More than two-thirds of economists (68%) surveyed by The Wall Street Journal say prices will be higher under Trump than Harris.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, It’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Harris, Donald Trump, he’s, Trump, Biden, it’s, Moody’s, ” Trump, “, aren’t, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Federal Reserve, Trump, Biden, Wall Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, North Carolina, China, Mexico

Whoever is elected the 47th president of the United States will start with a rare and clear advantage: a remarkably solid economy. Tuesday’s election will show how much that all matters to voters, who will soon decide which candidate they want to entrust the economy to from here. But to regular American households, it’s more of a “Yes, but” economy: Yes, the job market is strong, but my boss wants me in five days a week, and that doesn’t work for me anymore. Yes, inflation has fallen, but I can’t afford day care. Prices across the rest of the service economy were 4.7% higher overall, and medical care was up 3.9%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Spencer Platt, Yuki Iwamura, they’re, Helene, Milton, Patrick T, Fallon, Harris, ”, Greg Valliere, Joe Biden wasn’t, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, “ Kamala Organizations: Investment, Stock, Getty, Consumer, Bloomberg, CNBC, First Street Foundation, NBC, AGF Investments, Biden Locations: United States, Ukraine, Israel

☆ Florida bail bondsman allegedly offered female inmates bond in exchange for sex; sold women he bonded out to other buyers
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Minyvonne Burke | Minyvonne Burke Is A Senior Breaking News Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

A Florida bail bondsman allegedly targeted incarcerated female inmates and offered them bond in exchange for sex, the state's attorney general said. Moncrief, the owner of Moncrief Bail Bonds in multiple Florida counties, allegedly offered to bond out the women "in exchange for sex." He also offered to bail out inmates "in exchange for sex from someone outside of jail" and allegedly sold women he bonded out to other buyers, Moody's office said. Authorities learned of Moncrief's scheme while investigating former defense attorney John Gillespie for committing similar crimes, the attorney general said. Victims of Gillespie told investigators they had also been forced to perform sex acts with Moncrief, the office said.

Persons: Russell Bruce Moncrief, Ashley Moody’s, Moncrief, Phelan M, Moody, John Gillespie, Gillespie Locations: Florida, Orange County, Moncrief

☆ A radical idea to solve inflation from a radical former Fed pick
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

A zero percent inflation target might be popular, but it would represent a sharp departure – one that mainstream economists warn would backfire. “Stable inflation is an oxymoron because it means it’s not stable,” Shelton told CNN in a recent interview. In fact, one reason the Fed set its inflation target at 2% is because it’s safely away from that deflation-danger zone. A zero inflation target would mean a path right on the edge. But even some of Shelton’s biggest fans are opposed to her embrace of a zero-inflation target.

Persons: Judy Shelton, Donald Trump, It’s, ” Shelton, Shelton, Trump, ”, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Justin Wolfers, Kamala Harris, it’s, Wolfers, Bill English, “, ” Trump, Stephen Moore, Jerome Powell, Moore, Powell, Kevin Hassett, Reagan, Arthur Laffer, ” Moore, CNN’s KFile, CNN he’s, he’d, Elon, ‘, haven’t, James Grant Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Federal Reserve Board, Moody’s, University of Michigan, Yale University, Heritage Foundation, Trump White House, Trump Locations: New York

☆ Moody’s Analytics: Yen weakness could force Bank of Japan to act sooner rather than later
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody’s Analytics: Yen weakness could force Bank of Japan to act sooner rather than laterStefan Angrick of Moody's Analytics says gradual economic recovery within the Japanese economy validates a BOJ rate hike come December.

Persons: Stefan Angrick Organizations: Bank of Japan, Analytics

☆ One of Republicans’ biggest inflation cudgels against Democrats has evaporated
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

It’s a crucial trend that undercuts one of the biggest arguments Republicans have used to hammer Democrats over the cost of living. Although gas prices are down and the rate of inflation has cooled sharply, consumers are still hurting from years of price hikes. After Russia invaded Ukraine, oil prices skyrocketed due to fears of massive supply disruptions. Drivers rolling up to gas stations in some battleground states are enjoying significant price drops, including Nevada (79 cents cheaper than a year ago), Arizona (78 cents cheaper), Pennsylvania (36 cents cheaper) and Wisconsin (32 cents cheaper). But for now the markets appear to be bracing for muted prices, a situation that should keep a lid on gas prices.

Persons: Harris, ” Patrick De Haan, It’s, we’re, ”, De Haan, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Tom Kloza, Kloza, Brent, “ Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden, CNN, AAA, Drivers, Iran, Oil Price Information Service, Citigroup, ClearView Energy Partners Locations: New York, Nevada, Arizona, Russia, Ukraine, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Israel, Iran, Persian, China, United States

☆ A full economic recovery in Asheville and Tampa ravaged by Milton and Helene may happen faster than you think
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —The economic successes of Asheville, North Carolina and Tampa, Florida, have been the envy of many cities across the United States. Will the economies in hard-hit areas like Asheville and Tampa ever fully recover from the hurricanes? Economic activity plunged in the immediate months following Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans, Hurricane Harvey in Houston and Hurricane Irma in Columbia, South Carolina. But within one year after those hurricanes, among the costliest in the US in the last 20 years, economic activity rebounded to levels similar to or greater than before the hurricanes. People could similarly leave parts of Florida if home and flood insurance rates, which have gone up significantly in recent years, continue to jump post Helene and Milton, Kamins told CNN.

Persons: Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Hurricane Harvey, Hurricane Irma, Harvey, Irma, Eric Gay, Helene, Adam Kamins, ” Kamins, Kamins, he’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Hurricanes, Office, National Guard, Hurricane, ” Local, Moody’s, CNN Locations: New York, Asheville , North Carolina, Tampa , Florida, United States, Will, Asheville, Tampa, New Orleans, Hurricane, Houston, Columbia , South Carolina, Sandy, New Orleans , Louisiana, Texas, ”, ” Local Louisiana, Orleans, Florida, North Carolina

☆ Can Harris Really Build 3 Million New Housing Units?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Conor Dougherty | Anna Watts | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +5 min

Pretty much since they arrived, Mr. Muir and his family have been trying and failing to find a single-family house for no more than $500,000. “I’m like, ‘Wow, I thought this would be a more affordable place to live,’” said Mr. Muir, who is 44 and works in financial services. They disagree, however, about whether Ms. Harris’s plan would actually do that. (Economists also agree that former President Donald J. Trump’s housing plan, which aims to free up housing by deporting immigrants, would probably make the housing crisis worse by devastating the construction work force). Ms. Harris’s main challenge will be convincing them to build.

Persons: Luke Muir, Muir, ’ ”, “ It’s, Kamala Harris, Harris’s, Donald J, Mark Zandi, Harris, ”, Ed Pinto, playbook, Jason Morris, Withey Morris Baugh, Ms, “, Mr Organizations: American Enterprise Institute, Arizona Legislature Locations: Phoenix, Louisiana, San Diego, Maricopa County, California, Arizona

☆ Data centers will prolong coal demand, benefiting these miners, Moody’s says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The power needs of data centers will temporarily prolong the demand for coal, maintaining the reliability of the electric grid but delaying the nation's decarbonization goals, according to Moody's Ratings. The electricity demand from data centers could more than double to 35 gigawatts by 2030 compared to 17 gigawatts in 2022, according to a Moody's report published Monday. "It can be cost effective for them to supply coal to those power plants, and those power plants can, in turn, meet the incremental demand coming in from the new data centers," Sama said. The benefit to U.S. coal producers, however, will be temporary as data center developers transition to cleaner sources of power, according to Moody's. But sustained coal demand in the U.S. due to data centers could briefly lift prices before coal resumes its decline after a few years, according to Moody's.

Persons: Elena Nadtotchi, Sandeep Sama, Sama, Joseph Craft, Consol Organizations: Coal, Resource Partners, Arch Resources, Consol Energy, CNBC, Resources, Energy Information Administration, Department of Energy, PJM, Alliance, Wall Street Locations: U.S, Appalachia, Virginia

☆ Florida’s home insurer of last resort is in serious trouble. Will Milton put it over the edge?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +13 min

Flood waters inundated a neighborhood after Hurricane Milton came ashore on October 10 in Punta Gorda, Florida. Andrew West/The News-Press/USA Today Network/Imagn Images A vehicle drives though a flooded street after Hurricane Milton in Siesta Key on Thursday. Rebecca Blackwell/AP The roof of Tropicana Field, destroyed by Hurricane Milton, is seen in St. Petersburg on Thursday. Chris O'Meara/AP David Jalving throws outdoor furniture into his father's pool in Fort Myers to prepare for Hurricane Milton. Marta Lavandier/AP A man in Progreso boards up an apartment building to protect it from Hurricane Milton on Monday.

Persons: Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Ron DeSantis, Joe Raedle, Milton, Helene, ” Mark Friedlander, ”, ’, Hurricane Ian, Giorgio Viera, Rebecca Blackwell, Ricardo Arduengo, Liz Kelly, Matt, Andrew West, Chandan Khanna, Nadia Zomorodian, Julio Cortez, Austin, Sean Rayford, Marta Lavandier, Jefferee Woo, Cristobal Herrera, Bryan R, Smith, Chris Urso, Marco Bello, Brandon Marlow, Marie Cook, Bill Ingram, Reuters Stephen Lundgren, Doug Engle, Ron Rook, Paul Hennessy, Saul Martinez, Payton Wyse, Andrew Goncharsky, Christian Burke, Lee, Connor Ferran, Fort Myers, Nicolette Mariano, Kaila Jones, Damon Higgins, Ted Carlson, McKenzie, Evan Purcell, Purcell's, Anna Maria Island, Carlson, Yamil Lage, Matthew Dominick, NASA Aurelio Ortiz, Lorenzo Hernandez, Mike Carlson, Jose Luis Gonzalez, Reuters John Fedor, Chris O'Meara, David Jalving, Pete, Octavio Jones, Tristan Wheelock, Gerald, Martin Zetina, Gregg Newton, Floridians ’, Denise Rappmund, Rappmund, Bobby Atwood, Atwood, won’t, isn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Property Insurance Corp, Citizens, Dade, “, Insurance Information Institute, CNN, DeSantis, Republican, CNBC, Hurricane, Getty, AP, USA, Daytona, Network, Reuters, Bradenton, Tropicana, Major League, Tampa Bay Rays, Celtic Ray Public, Tampa Bay Times, NOAA, Vanguard, School, Ocala, Orlando International Airport, Anadolu, Disney, Fort, Palm Beach Daily, Florida Army National Guard, Tampa General Hospital, NASA, International, Milton, Tampa International Airport, Bloomberg, AP Contractors, New Port Richey, AP Tropicana, Moody’s Investors Service Locations: New York, Florida, Miami, Monroe, Hurricane, Punta Gorda , Florida, Central Florida, Lakewood Park , Florida, Siesta Key, North Fort Myers , Florida, Siesta, Volusia, South Daytona , Florida, Bradenton Beach, St . Petersburg, Punta Gorda, Odessa , Florida, Venice , Florida, Matlacha , Florida, Palmetto Beach, Tampa, Bradenton , Florida, Venice, St . Petersburg , Florida, Clearwater, AFP, Sarasota , Florida, Segundo, Davis, Fort Myers , Florida, Wellington , Florida, Palm, Ocala , Florida, County, Wellington, Orlando, Gulfport , Florida, Lee County, Fort Myers, Sebastian , Florida, Palm Beach , Florida, Palm Beach, Havana, Cuba, Celestún, Mexico, Port Richey , Florida, Tampa Bay, Treasure Island , Florida, St, Pete Beach , Florida, Treasure, Fort Myers Beach, Progreso, New Port, Kissimmee , Florida, Milton

☆ Private credit ETFs could provide opportunity to retail investors, says Moody's Ana Arsov
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPrivate credit ETFs could provide opportunity to retail investors, says Moody's Ana ArsovAna Arsov, Moody’s Ratings global head of private credit, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss Wall Street's efforts to bring private credit to retail investors, how private credit ETFs differ from bank loan ETFs, and more.

Persons: Moody's Ana Arsov Ana Arsov

☆ Israel’s economy is paying a high price for its widening war
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

London CNN —In late September, as Israel’s nearly year-long war widened and its credit rating was downgraded yet again, the country’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, said that, while Israel’s economy was under strain, it was resilient. Israel’s economy could shrink even more than that, based on a worst-case estimate by the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Before the October 7 attack and ensuing Israel-Hamas war, the International Monetary Fund forecast that Israel’s economy would grow by an enviable 3.4% this year. Smotrich, the finance minister, is confident that Israel’s economy will bounce back once the war ends, but economists are concerned the damage will far outlast the conflict. Florion Goga/ReutersOther sectors of Israel’s economy, while less important than tech, have been hit much harder.

Persons: London CNN —, Bezalel Smotrich, ” Smotrich, Hassan Nasrallah, ratcheting, Karnit, ‘, Menahem Kahana, ”, “ Israel, “, Smotrich —, Flug, Ahmad Gharabli, Fitch, —, Coface, Avi Hasson, Hasson, Florion Goga, Yaron Liberman, ” Liberman Organizations: London CNN, CNN, West Bank, United Nations, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Institute for National Security, Tel Aviv University, International Monetary Fund, of Israel, Getty, Bank of Israel, Israel Democracy Institute, Institute for National Security Studies, Moody’s, Startup Nation Locations: Lebanon’s, Beirut, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Israel’s, Iran, AFP, Egypt, Syria, Golan, Jerusalem's Old City, United States, Tel Aviv, housebuilding . Tourism

☆ A three-headed economic monster lurches into the presidential campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —With barely a month to go before the US presidential election, a trifecta of economic shocks is threatening to sap Vice President Kamala Harris’ momentum on voters’ No. 1 issue: a port strike, a hurricane and an escalation of fighting in the Middle East. Price pain could crop up elsewhere if the East Coast port strike, which began Tuesday, drags on longer than a week. “If the Boeing strike and the port strike … last through the second week of October, job growth for October could be negative,” researchers at Oxford Economics wrote Wednesday. A negative jobs report hasn’t been seen in this country since December 2020, the last full month of the Trump administration.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump hasn’t, “, ”, Harris, Emily Elconin, Harris ’, Price, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Moody’s, Helene, hasn’t, Trump, — Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, Democratic, Bloomberg, Getty, Boeing, Biden, Oxford Economics Locations: New York, Georgia, East, Maine, Texas, Carolinas, Florida, Tennessee

☆ East Coast port worker strike will hit every industry, says Moody's John Donigian
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEast Coast port worker strike will hit every industry, says Moody's John DonigianJohn Donigian, Moody’s senior director of supply chain strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the economic impact of the port worker's strike, the products likely to be most affected, and much more.

Persons: Moody's John Donigian John Donigian, Moody’s

☆ The East & Gulf port workers strike will be felt at grocers in a few days, says Xeneta’s Peter Sand
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe East & Gulf port workers strike will be felt at grocers in a few days, says Xeneta’s Peter SandMoody’s Adam Kamins and Xeneta’s Peter Sand, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the impact of the East and Gulf Port workers strike.

Persons: Peter Sand, Adam Kamins Organizations: Gulf Port Locations: East, Gulf

☆ Economic data shows 'tenuous' resilience: Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic data shows 'tenuous' resilience: Moody's chief economist Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics chief economist, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss what new jobs numbers say about the economy, the Fed's playbook for rate cuts, and more.

Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi, Squawk

☆ Trump’s promises would spike inflation and wipe out jobs, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, “, Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, ”, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, ”, Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows

☆ Hezbollah is not Hamas. Can Israel afford another all-out war?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Nadeen Ebrahim | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Since October 8, the day after Hamas’ deadly attack on Israel, there has been regular cross-border fire between Hezbollah and the Israeli military. Hezbollah first fired at Israel to protest the war in Gaza, demanding a ceasefire there as a condition to end its attacks. Should Israel enter full-scale war with Hezbollah, experts say it will face a much stronger threat than Hamas – and commensurate costs. “It’s devastating on the Israeli economy, on Israeli society,” Guzansky said, adding that the impacts will live on for years to come. Domestically, while Israelis showed a greater appetite for fighting at the outset of the Gaza war, polls show that domestic support has waned over the last months.

Persons: Israel, –, ”, Yoel Guzansky, Tsur Shalom, Abbas Ahmad Srour, Mohammad Hussein Kassem, Chris McGrath, Hassan Nasrallah, ⁠ Behnam Ben Taleblu, ” Ben Taleblu, Mizrahi, ” Orna Mizrahi, ” Mizrahi, Yoav Gallant, Guzansky, Netanyahu, Mostafa Alkharouf, ” Guzansky, “, Lebanon's, Jack Guez, Amir Yaron, That’s, Moody’s Organizations: CNN, Hamas, Israel, Institute for National Security Studies, National Security Council, Reuters, Military, Ramat, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Washington DC, IDF, Israel Defense Forces, Israeli, Division, Getty, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Lebanon's Hezbollah, Bank, Israel Democracy Institute Locations: Gaza, Israel, Lebanon, Tel Aviv, Kiryat, Moreshet, Haifa, Aita al Chaab, Israel’s, Iraq, Yemen, –, Ramat David, Lebanese, Iran, ”, Anadolu, Independence, Kiryat Bialik, AFP

But a series of data points showing worsening economic conditions has made some analysts believe a 0.5% cut is more likely — and perhaps even necessary. “We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions,” Fed Chair Jay Powell said in a speech last month. “A (0.5%) cut is usually done in emergencies,” like the Covid-19 pandemic, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s financial group. Mortgage interest rates have hit their lowest level since February 2023, while auto loan rates are also falling. A 0.5% cut would more directly affect rates tied to the fed funds rate, including credit cards, home equity lines of credit and small-business loans.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Jay Powell, Bill Dudley, ” Dudley, Preston Mui, Mui, ”, “, Mark Zandi, Greg McBride, ” McBride Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Wall, Minneapolis Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bankrate Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, America

☆ Markets are poised for a 50bps cut, but this is a 'much more cautious Fed', says Moody's Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are poised for a 50bps cut, but this is a 'much more cautious Fed', says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what he would like to see from the Federal Reserve moving forward.

Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Markets, Federal Reserve

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