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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPrivate credit ETFs could provide opportunity to retail investors, says Moody's Ana ArsovAna Arsov, Moody’s Ratings global head of private credit, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss Wall Street's efforts to bring private credit to retail investors, how private credit ETFs differ from bank loan ETFs, and more.
Persons: Moody's Ana Arsov Ana Arsov
London CNN —In late September, as Israel’s nearly year-long war widened and its credit rating was downgraded yet again, the country’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, said that, while Israel’s economy was under strain, it was resilient. Israel’s economy could shrink even more than that, based on a worst-case estimate by the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Before the October 7 attack and ensuing Israel-Hamas war, the International Monetary Fund forecast that Israel’s economy would grow by an enviable 3.4% this year. Smotrich, the finance minister, is confident that Israel’s economy will bounce back once the war ends, but economists are concerned the damage will far outlast the conflict. Florion Goga/ReutersOther sectors of Israel’s economy, while less important than tech, have been hit much harder.
Persons: London CNN —, Bezalel Smotrich, ” Smotrich, Hassan Nasrallah, ratcheting, Karnit, , Menahem Kahana, , “ Israel, , Smotrich —, Flug, Ahmad Gharabli, Fitch, , Coface, Avi Hasson, Hasson, Florion Goga, Yaron Liberman, ” Liberman Organizations: London CNN, CNN, West Bank, United Nations, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Institute for National Security, Tel Aviv University, International Monetary Fund, of Israel, Getty, Bank of Israel, Israel Democracy Institute, Institute for National Security Studies, Moody’s, Startup Nation Locations: Lebanon’s, Beirut, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Israel’s, Iran, AFP, Egypt, Syria, Golan, Jerusalem's Old City, United States, Tel Aviv, housebuilding . Tourism
New York CNN —With barely a month to go before the US presidential election, a trifecta of economic shocks is threatening to sap Vice President Kamala Harris’ momentum on voters’ No. 1 issue: a port strike, a hurricane and an escalation of fighting in the Middle East. Price pain could crop up elsewhere if the East Coast port strike, which began Tuesday, drags on longer than a week. “If the Boeing strike and the port strike … last through the second week of October, job growth for October could be negative,” researchers at Oxford Economics wrote Wednesday. A negative jobs report hasn’t been seen in this country since December 2020, the last full month of the Trump administration.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump hasn’t, , , Harris, Emily Elconin, Harris ’, Price, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Moody’s, Helene, hasn’t, Trump, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, Democratic, Bloomberg, Getty, Boeing, Biden, Oxford Economics Locations: New York, Georgia, East, Maine, Texas, Carolinas, Florida, Tennessee
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe East & Gulf port workers strike will be felt at grocers in a few days, says Xeneta’s Peter SandMoody’s Adam Kamins and Xeneta’s Peter Sand, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the impact of the East and Gulf Port workers strike.
Persons: Peter Sand, Adam Kamins Organizations: Gulf Port Locations: East, Gulf
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEast Coast port worker strike will hit every industry, says Moody's John DonigianJohn Donigian, Moody’s senior director of supply chain strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the economic impact of the port worker's strike, the products likely to be most affected, and much more.
Persons: Moody's John Donigian John Donigian, Moody’s
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic data shows 'tenuous' resilience: Moody's chief economist Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics chief economist, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss what new jobs numbers say about the economy, the Fed's playbook for rate cuts, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi, Squawk
The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, , Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, , Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows
Since October 8, the day after Hamas’ deadly attack on Israel, there has been regular cross-border fire between Hezbollah and the Israeli military. Hezbollah first fired at Israel to protest the war in Gaza, demanding a ceasefire there as a condition to end its attacks. Should Israel enter full-scale war with Hezbollah, experts say it will face a much stronger threat than Hamas – and commensurate costs. “It’s devastating on the Israeli economy, on Israeli society,” Guzansky said, adding that the impacts will live on for years to come. Domestically, while Israelis showed a greater appetite for fighting at the outset of the Gaza war, polls show that domestic support has waned over the last months.
Persons: Israel, , , Yoel Guzansky, Tsur Shalom, Abbas Ahmad Srour, Mohammad Hussein Kassem, Chris McGrath, Hassan Nasrallah, ⁠ Behnam Ben Taleblu, ” Ben Taleblu, Mizrahi, ” Orna Mizrahi, ” Mizrahi, Yoav Gallant, Guzansky, Netanyahu, Mostafa Alkharouf, ” Guzansky, , Lebanon's, Jack Guez, Amir Yaron, That’s, Moody’s Organizations: CNN, Hamas, Israel, Institute for National Security Studies, National Security Council, Reuters, Military, Ramat, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Washington DC, IDF, Israel Defense Forces, Israeli, Division, Getty, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Lebanon's Hezbollah, Bank, Israel Democracy Institute Locations: Gaza, Israel, Lebanon, Tel Aviv, Kiryat, Moreshet, Haifa, Aita al Chaab, Israel’s, Iraq, Yemen, , Ramat David, Lebanese, Iran, , Anadolu, Independence, Kiryat Bialik, AFP
But a series of data points showing worsening economic conditions has made some analysts believe a 0.5% cut is more likely — and perhaps even necessary. “We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions,” Fed Chair Jay Powell said in a speech last month. “A (0.5%) cut is usually done in emergencies,” like the Covid-19 pandemic, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s financial group. Mortgage interest rates have hit their lowest level since February 2023, while auto loan rates are also falling. A 0.5% cut would more directly affect rates tied to the fed funds rate, including credit cards, home equity lines of credit and small-business loans.
Persons: Steve Liesman, Jay Powell, Bill Dudley, ” Dudley, Preston Mui, Mui, , , Mark Zandi, Greg McBride, ” McBride Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Wall, Minneapolis Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bankrate Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are poised for a 50bps cut, but this is a 'much more cautious Fed', says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what he would like to see from the Federal Reserve moving forward.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Markets, Federal Reserve
Boeing announced sweeping cost cuts on Monday, including a hiring freeze, a pause on nonessential staff travel and a reduction on supplier spending to preserve cash as it deals with a strike of more than 30,000 factory workers. Boeing factory workers, mostly in the Seattle area, started walking off the job early Friday after overwhelmingly rejecting a tentative labor deal, halting most of Boeing’s aircraft production. It was the first clear sign of how the strike will affect the hundreds of suppliers that rely on Boeing work. The financial impact of the strike will depend on how long it lasts, but Boeing is focused on conserving cash, West said at a Morgan Stanley conference Friday. On Friday, Moody’s put all of Boeing’s credit ratings on review for a downgrade and Fitch Ratings said a prolonged strike could put Boeing at risk of a downgrade.
Persons: Brian West, ” West, West, Morgan Stanley, Kelly Ortberg, Moody’s Organizations: Boeing, Morgan, Fitch Locations: Seattle
How long the strike lasts will determine how serious the problems are for Boeing. Boeing has a long way back to profitability, no matter how long the strike lasts. So as bad as the strike might be for Boeing, it has plenty of other problems to deal with. So even with financial problems that might kill another company, Boeing isn’t going anywhere. The strike could last a whileNegotiations between Boeing, the union and federal mediators are expected to resume early this week.
Persons: Brian West, Boeing’s, Fitch, Moody’s, Poor’s, Richard Aboulafia, ” Aboulafia, ” Jim Bloomer, Max, , you’ve, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, Airbus, CNN Locations: New York, Washington, Renton , Washington
CNN —With a massive ongoing strike, Boeing is making some temporary cutbacks that could hit non-union staff hard. Boeing Chief Financial Officer Brian West on Monday announced the company is instituting a freeze on hiring and non-essential travel, and it will consider furloughs for employees, managers, and executives. The company is temporarily restricting first-class and business travel, including for Boeing executives – although the company didn’t comment on whether top brass will still be able to use private corporate jets. West’s memo was a direct response to the ongoing strike with the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers union. The company will also reduce charitable contributions, stop catering at Boeing facilities, and pause participation in trade shows and events.
Persons: Brian West, ” West, West, , Fitch, Moody’s Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Monday, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers
Mortgage rates fall to lowest level since February 2023
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
Washington CNN —Mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest point since February 2023, in a welcome sign for Americans grappling with a tough housing market. The standard, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.20% in the week ended September 12, mortgage financing giant Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates started to drop early last month on news affirming lower interest rates in the future, specifically after a weaker-than-expected jobs report for July, and have gradually edged lower since. “Mortgage rates have fallen more than half a percent over the last six weeks and are at their lowest level since February 2023,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a release. The Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, but its action do influence them through movements in bond yields.
Persons: Freddie Mac, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, that’s, Lawrence Yun Organizations: Washington CNN —, , Federal Reserve, Treasury, Las, P Global, Apple, Fed, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York City, San Diego, Las Vegas, America, Los Angeles, Miami
Since Harris replaced President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee, Trump has constantly attempted to portray her as weak on immigration and crime. On Friday, Harris also chose not to mention mass deportation during a radio interview with Univision, when the host asked her to summarize her argument to undecided Hispanic voters. “There is a way in which those [crime and immigration] issues in particular are also about bigger things,” said Adrianne Shropshire, executive director of BlackPAC, a group working to mobilize Black voters for Harris and Democrats. And many of those voters might recoil from these Trump policies on crime and immigration if they heard more about them. “What he is hoping is that the Black voters who he is [courting] don’t see that stuff,” Shropshire said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Gary Segura, UnidosUS, Segura, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Stephen Miller, Miller, Michael Ettlinger, Goldman Sachs, Jeffrey Passel, Passel, Rudolph Giuliani, Michael Bloomberg, Black, Ed Chung, Vera Action, Tim Walz, Trump’s, she’s, surrogates, , Adrianne, , ” Segura, ” Tom Wong, Wong, ” Wong, Daniela Gilbert, That’s, Biden, Gilbert, ” Gilbert, ” Anthony Baber, Baber, “ Trump, ” Baber, ” Harris, She’s, Chung, , Dana Bash, , Daniel Cox, BlackPAC Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Unidos, , White, Trump, of Police, National Guard, University of New, Carsey, of Public, Boston Globe, Pew Research Center, New York Police Department, Minnesota Gov, Univision, Black, GOP, US Immigration, Center, University of California, America’s, Marquette Law School, Religion Research Institute, Detroit, Whites, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute Locations: California, Wisconsin, Texas, New York City, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Savannah, Adrianne Shropshire, San Diego, United States, CNN’s, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Shropshire, ” Shropshire
The Trump policy that freaks out economists the most
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump wants to spend trillions of dollars on tax cuts. “It’s enormously protectionist and terrible economic policy,” said Holtz-Eakin, who served as an economic adviser to former President George H.W. The cost of the Trump tax cutsTrump has called for extending his signature 2017 tax cuts, which expire next year if no action is taken by Congress. Trump has argued that extending the tax cuts will boost the economy, create jobs and help families. The Trump campaign has not detailed significant spending cuts or tax hikes to offset these tax cuts.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Goldman, , ” David Kelly, Kelly, “ It’s, , ’ Trump, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Holtz, George H.W, Bush, GOP Sen, John McCain, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, Karoline Leavitt, they’ll, ” Leavitt, Trump’s, ” Harris, “ Donald Trump, ” Brian Nelson, Harris, Kimberly Clausing, Mary Lovely, ” Trump, Joe Biden, Penn, Penn Wharton, The Trump, CNN’s Katie Lobosco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Asset Management, CNN, America, New York Economic Club, American, GOP, Moody’s, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, US Customs, Louis Federal Reserve, Biden, Congress, Princeton University, University of Chicago, Harvard University, US Treasury Department, Penn Wharton Model, Social Security Locations: New York, United States, China, America
New York CNN —The US Securities and Exchange Commission fined six major credit rating organizations a total of $49 million for their “significant failures” to keep electronic communications. Moody’s Investor Services and S&P Global Ratings agreed to pay the heftiest fines, a $20 million civil penalty each. Fitch Ratings agreed to pay $8 million, A.M. Best Rating Services agreed to pay $1 million, HR Ratings de México, S.A. de C.V. $250,000, and Demotech agreed to pay $100,000, respectively. That included an associate managing director making off-channel comments about credit rating clients. “Moody’s is fully committed to upholding our regulatory record-keeping obligations, and we are pleased to put this matter behind us,” a Moody’s spokesperson said in a statement.
Persons: Demotech, , Sanjay Wadhwa, A.M, Demotech “, Fitch, México, Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Securities and Exchange, Moody’s Investor Services, Fitch, S.A, SEC, Services, P Global, CNN Locations: New York, SEC’s
Israel’s credit rating cut as conflicts drag on
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Israel’s credit rating was downgraded by Fitch Ratings on Monday, after the agency cited concerns around the ongoing war with Hamas and geopolitical risks. Analysts from Fitch said the “the conflict in Gaza could last well into 2025,” and there are risks of the conflict spreading. The agency predicts Israel’s budget deficit to reach 7.8% of its GDP in 2024, compared to 4.1% in 2023. Fitch also expects Israel’s debt-to-GDP to remain above 70% into 2025, whereas the median A rating ratio is 55%. Moody’s Investor Service downgraded Israel’s credit rating from A1 to A2 in February.
Persons: Fitch, ” Fitch,  Fitch, Moody’s, , Samantha Delouya Organizations: CNN, Fitch, Lebanese, Moody’s Investor, Hamas Locations: Gaza, , Israel
Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese shares soared Tuesday, clawing back some of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a tentative recovery on global markets. Markets around the world plunged during Monday’s session when a combination of fears about a slowing US economy, rising Japanese interest rates and crumbling tech stocks combined to trigger a meltdown. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. “It is too early to conclude that the Japanese stock market has hit a bottom,” they said, adding that any recovery would likely only occur after Japanese companies report first-half earnings in October, or even after the US presidential election in November. A stronger yenJapan’s stock market, in particular, was hard-hit by the rapid appreciation of the yen, which undermines the export competitiveness of the country’s manufacturers.
Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman, , , Stephen Innes, ” Newman, Newman, Fumio Kishida Organizations: London CNN, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Advisory, CNN, UBS Chief Investment, Moody’s, Bank of Japan, Management, Tokyo “, Traders, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, London, Asia, South, Taiwan, Europe, Japan, Tokyo, South Korea
CNN —The governor of Hawaii on Friday announced a $4 billion settlement to resolve lawsuits stemming from the wildfires that devastated Maui last year. The defendants include the state of Hawai‘i, County of Maui, Hawaiian Electric, Kamehameha Schools, West Maui Land Co., Hawaiian Telcom and Spectrum/Charter Communications, according to the release. ”Our objective is to make sure a tragedy like this never happens again,” Shelee Kimura, president and CEO of Hawaiian Electric, said in a statement. Pictures and crosses are displayed at a public hillside memorial to Lahaina wildfire victims on August 1, 2024 in Lahaina, Hawaii. August 8 marks the one-year anniversary of the Maui wildfires which killed 102 people and devastated the historic community of Lahaina in West Maui.
Persons: Josh Green’s, ” Green, ” Shelee Kimura, Mario Tama Organizations: CNN, Hawaii Gov, Electric, Kamehameha Schools, Maui Land Co, Charter Communications, Hawaiian Electric, Green, Maui Locations: Hawaii, Maui, Hawai‘i , County, Lahaina, Lahaina , Hawaii, West Maui, Mario, Kula, Olinda
There are cracks forming in the US jobs market
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. Labor force participation/employment to population ratio: These metrics are key reasons why Bunker and others believe the labor market remains in good shape. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Labor, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
39% of Americans worry they can’t pay the bills
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Many Americans regularly worry they won’t be able to make ends meet. Even higher percentages of Latino (52%) and Black (46%) Americans said they’re worried most or all of the time about making ends meet, according to the poll. More than half (55%) of those making less than $50,000 a year similarly worry about having enough money to meet expenses. Even higher percentages of Latinos (52%), Black Americans (44%) and those under the age of 45 (47%) say they’ve taken extra work. Others say they’ve cut back on driving (41%) and they are taking on credit card debt to afford necessities (37%).
Persons: they’re, it’s, , Angela Russell, Russell, – they’re, Greg McBride, they’ve, McBride, who’ve, “ I’ve, Joe Biden, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, Dana Elobaid Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Centers for Disease Control, Prevention, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bankrate, Ohio, Walmart, SSRS Locations: New York, Ohio, Cincinnati
Lucy Haverfield, 71, Florida With her retirement savings drained, she's living on $2,400 a month in Social Security. “Not even remotely like that.”Primary source of income: Widowed and with her retirement savings drained, Haverfield lives on $2,400 a month in Social Security benefits, totaling $28,800 a year. Living situation: Haverfield owns her home in Alva, a small community about 20 miles inland from Fort Myers, with mortgage payments of $1,500 a month. “That’s my economy.”Before she retired about a decade ago to care for her ailing husband, Haverfield taught at a community college and worked in a variety of senior-level telecommunication roles in South Florida. Sometimes Haverfield skips paying one of her bills to cover food and gas, only to pay a late fee the next month, she said.
Persons: Lucy Haverfield, hasn’t, , Haverfield, , Lucy, I’m, haven’t, she’d, “ It’s Organizations: NBC, Social Security, AARP Locations: Florida, Alva , Florida, Alva, Fort Myers, South Florida, Fla
At first glance, The Crosby, an apartment building that opened in 2020 in Los Angeles’ Koreatown neighborhood, seems like a typical luxury high-rise. And most office buildings have central air conditioning, so the system needs to be replaced with individual cooling and heating systems for each unit. “Only about 15% of office buildings here in the markets that we’re based in are potentially good candidates for office-to-housing conversions,” Sherman said. While that may initially seem like a positive, apartment units need to have access to windows facing the exterior. Local governments aren’t only pushing for office building conversions, though.
Persons: CBRE, Crosby, West, , Jaime Lee, , we’ve, ” Lee, Chris Sherman, ” Sherman, Sherman, you’re, Jason Ward, Ward, Eric Adams, John Watson, ” Watson, Watson, Kelly Wilkinson Organizations: CNN, Moody’s, Texaco, Jamison Group, , Jamison, Sherman Associates, , Local, RAND, Housing, Homelessness, New York City, Pfizer, Indianapolis Star Locations: United States, Los Angeles, Koreatown, West Coast, Minneapolis, New York, New, Indianapolis, , Indiana University's
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