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Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Chip equipment stocks — Global chip equipment stocks rose on news that the Biden administration is considering further sanctions on sales of semiconductor equipment and artificial intelligence memory chips to China that could be less strict than earlier proposals. Advance Auto Parts — Shares dropped 7% after credit rating agency Moody's Ratings downgraded the auto parts company's senior unsecured debt to Ba1, below investment grade, according to FactSet. Hasbro — Shares jumped 2% after Elon Musk floated the prospect of acquiring the toymaker to secure the rights to Dungeons & Dragons. Zeta Global Holdings — The marketing software stock climbed 5.5% after the company's CEO called a recent short seller report "erroneous" on CNBC's "Closing Bell" on Wednesday. Crypto stocks — Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin rose as the cryptocurrency climbed closer to the $100,000 milestone.
Persons: Biden, ASML, Robinhood, Moody's, Elon Musk, Stocks, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim, Sarah Min, Sean Conlon, Pia Singh, Tanaya Macheel Organizations: Materials, KLA Corporation, Lam Research, Bloomberg, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Trump, Advance, Hasbro —, Elon, U.S . Target, Costco, Walmart, Zeta Global Holdings, Holdings Locations: China, Dutch, Ba1
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump policies could start to impact economic data in spring, summer of '25, says Moody's ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics chief economist, and CNBC’s Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss outlooks on the economy, expectations for the Fed, and more.
Persons: Moody's, Mark Zandi, Steve Liesman Organizations: Fed
Starbucks' airport location staff — and company technology — will be put to the test this week during some of the busiest travel days of the year. For the aviation industry, bottlenecks at airport Starbucks are just another sign of soaring demand and overcrowded airports. Licensing modelA challenge for Starbucks is that licensees — not Starbucks itself – operate its airport locations. Starbucks opened its first airport location with licensee HMSHost in 1991 at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, which serves Starbucks' hometown. While HMSHost still operates the overwhelming majority of Starbucks' airport cafes, more operators, such as Paradies Lagardere and OTG, have since taken a swing at it.
Persons: Jeff Greenberg, Coresa Barrino, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Jennifer Simkins, Ursula Cassinerio, HMSHost, Paradies, OTG, Mark Kalinowski, Leslie Josephs, Kevin Schimpf, Sara Senatore ., Senatore Organizations: Miami International Airport, Universal, Getty, Starbucks, New, Transportation Security Administration, U.S . Department of Transportation, Aviation Administration, Dallas Fort Worth International, International, Airlines, Tacoma International Airport, HMSHost, Equity Research, LaGuardia, CNBC, Bank of America Locations: Miami, Charlotte , North Carolina, Charlotte, Chipotle, U.S, Seattle, New York City
Gautam Adani, chairman of Adani Group, following a Bloomberg Television interview at the company's headquarters in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India, on Saturday, May 25, 2024. The head of a $25 billion Indian energy company, the former CEO of a New York-listed energy firm, and one of Asia's wealthiest men were set to meet in New Delhi to discuss business. To prepare for the meeting, Vneet Jaain, chief executive of $25 billion Adani Green Energy , photographed a document on his cellphone. There are also concerns about whether Adani companies will be able to raise debt in the future in U.S. markets. Earlier this year, the stock market regulator's chair, Madhabi Buch, was accused of having a conflict of interest while investigating Adani group companies, according to short-seller Hindenburg.
Persons: Gautam Adani, Sumit Dayal, Vneet Jaain, Gautam, Jaain, James Dennehy, Adani, Adani Green, What's, firm's, Matt Orton, Raymond James, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Orton, it's, India's, Rahul Gandhi, Madhabi Organizations: Adani, Bloomberg, Getty, Green Energy, Eastern, of, NYSE, U.S, Securities Exchange Commission, New York Stock Exchange, SEC, U.S . Department of Justice, Energy, Adani Enterprises, GQG Partners, firm's Sydney, Citi, State Bank of India, DBS Group, DBS, Regulators, Federal Bureau of Investigations, Central Bureau of Investigations, Securities and Exchange Board of India, CNBC Locations: Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India, New York, New Delhi, of New York, U.S, Foreign, Singapore, Madhabi Buch
Mortgage rates were forecast to go down in 2025. Expectations of higher inflation and more government debt under Trump have helped mortgage rates rise in recent weeks. Why mortgage rates rose ahead of the election — and are still high nowMortgage rates went down a lot in September, with 30-year rates dropping near 6%, according to Freddie Mac. How Trump's policies could lead to higher mortgage ratesZhao says that right now it's "nearly impossible" to predict where mortgage rates will go in 2025. More supply would help moderate home price growth, improving affordability even if mortgage rates remain high.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump's, , Freddie Mac, they're, Chen Zhao, Melissa Cohn, Trump, Zhao, Kamala Harris, Cohn Organizations: Trump, Service, Bond, William, Mortgage, Analytics
"We are seeing [deflation] to some extent," said Stephen Brown, deputy chief North America economist at Capital Economics. Energy prices and electronicsGasoline prices are also "way down," Zandi said. Consumers "could get more relief there because global oil prices are soft," Zandi said. Food prices are also generally underpinned by their own unique supply-and-demand dynamics, economists said. Lower energy prices can also take pressure off food prices, as it costs less to transport and distribute food to grocery store shelves.
Persons: Stephen Brown, Mark Zandi, women's outerwear, they've, Zandi, They've, Donald Trump's, they'd, Bacon Organizations: North, Capital Economics, U.S, Moody's, Finance, CPI, Bank of America, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Consumers Locations: U.S, North America, China
Chinese authorities last month announced high-level plans for subsidies and tax breaks to households with children under the age of 3. China's efforts to bolster birth rates have yet to address the core reasons for their rapid decline, according to analysts. Births in China have been on a drastic downward trend since the government implemented its "one-child policy" nationwide in 1980. An increasingly pressing factor for families in China is uncertainty about income for raising a child. After decades of rapid expansion, China's economy has slowed down, dragged down by a real estate slump.
Persons: Lauren Johnston, Harry Murphy Cruise, Austin Schumacher, Schumacher, Sheana Yue, Yue Organizations: Dongfang, China Studies Center, University of Sydney, United Nations, Moody's, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington, Oxford Locations: Lianyungang, China, U.S
Opportunities abound for income-seeking investors, even as the 10-year Treasury has seen a volatile week, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder. The iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) , for instance, has a duration of 3.2 years and a 30-day SEC yield of 7.22%. Meanwhile, the Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund (VWEHX) has an average duration of 2.9 years, and a 30-day SEC yield of 6.03%. "You can stay higher quality, floating rate oriented, and clip yield," Rieder said. He thinks it's prime time for income investors to snap up yield without stretching into lower quality.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Donald Trump, Rieder, CLOs, Janus Henderson Organizations: Treasury, Federal, BlackRock, CNBC, Standard, SEC, Fund, AAA, Janus Henderson AAA CLO Locations: CLOs, Europe
The tax cuts and tariffs floated by Trump has raised worries of a widening fiscal deficit, spurring Treasury yields higher as of late. Bond yields move inversely to their prices. A buying opportunity in bonds Sinead Colton Grant, chief investment officer at BNY Wealth, believes that bond investors overreacted. US10Y YTD mountain U.S. 10-year Treasury "The biggest determinant of your long-term return is the yield," Grant said. Munis While municipal bond yields don't move as quickly as Treasury yields, they are expected to follow, said BNY Wealth's Grant.
Persons: Donald Trump, Bond, Mark Haefele, Sinead Colton Grant, overreacted, Trump, Grant, it's, Brian Rehling, Charles Failla, BNY Wealth's Grant, Sudip Mukherjee Organizations: White, Federal Reserve, Trump, UBS, Fargo Investment, Sovereign Financial Group, AAA, Moody's Locations: Fargo, Stamford, Conn, New York City, muni
Trump's plan would reduce average after-tax incomes by almost 3%, according to the tax think tank. "If we get tariffs, we will pass those tariff costs back to the consumer," Daniele said in September. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests a 10% across-the-board tariff would be roughly equivalent to a $320 billion tax on consumers, Cross said. "The administration could take tariff revenue and redistribute to households via tax cuts in some form or another," explained Pugliese of Wells Fargo. However, the typical U.S. household would still lose $2,600 a year from Trump's tariff plan, even after accounting for an extension of the 2017 tax cuts, according to an analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Olson, Biden, Trump, There's, Mark Zandi, didn't, Mike Pugliese, Moody's, Philip Daniele, Daniele, Olivia Cross, Cross Organizations: Getty, NBC, Trump, CNBC, Tax, National Retail Federation, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, AutoZone, Capital Economics, U.S ., Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan, Mexico, Wells Fargo, U.S, North America
Former President Donald Trump's universal tariff proposals could cause prices to skyrocket on clothing, toys, furniture, household appliances, footwear and travel goods, according to a new report from the National Retail Federation. Trump has said he would impose a 10% or 20% tariff on all imports across the board. In both cases, the NRF found that the impact of Trump's tariffs would be "dramatic" double-digit percentage price spikes in nearly all six retail categories that the trade group examined. The report found that the greatest price spikes could occur for toys: between 36.3% and 55.8%. The report found that the more expensive retail goods would lead to a $46 billion decrease in purchasing power, if Trump imposes both universal tariffs and especially high China rates.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Mark Zandi Organizations: Abercrombie, Fitch, National Retail Federation, Republican, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC Locations: Manhattan, New York City, China, Mexico, Raleigh , North Carolina
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUK budget leaves government with less buffer against shocks, Moody's saysEvan Wohlmann, U.K. lead analyst at Moody’s Ratings, weighs in on the Labour government's budget announcement, saying it does not materially change the firm's long-term outlook.
Persons: Moody's, Evan Wohlmann Organizations: Labour
Fast food chains say they're locked in a "value war" to win increasingly choosy US customers. As a flurry of summer deals come to an end, quick-serve chains say they're now locked in a "value war" to win increasingly choosy US customers. Between higher ingredient usage and other costs on the one hand, and a more competitive consumer economy, interim CEO Scott Boatwright said Chipotle was well-positioned to win the "value war" in fast-casual dining. "We absolutely believe that value in an environment of value-seeking consumers is not about only executing price-pointed promotions and value deals and value bundles — there's more to that." Plosch added that beyond the burger chain's creative promotions, the core menu remains essential to getting customers to come back.
Persons: , Michael Zuccaro, Chipotle, Scott Boatwright, Brian Niccol, who's, we've, Alex Kaleida, Chris Kempczinski, Kempczinski, Ian Borden, Shack, Robert Lynch, Gunther Plosch Organizations: Service, Starbucks
A Florida bail bondsman allegedly targeted incarcerated female inmates and offered them bond in exchange for sex, the state's attorney general said. Moncrief, the owner of Moncrief Bail Bonds in multiple Florida counties, allegedly offered to bond out the women "in exchange for sex." He also offered to bail out inmates "in exchange for sex from someone outside of jail" and allegedly sold women he bonded out to other buyers, Moody's office said. Authorities learned of Moncrief's scheme while investigating former defense attorney John Gillespie for committing similar crimes, the attorney general said. Victims of Gillespie told investigators they had also been forced to perform sex acts with Moncrief, the office said.
Persons: Russell Bruce Moncrief, Ashley Moody’s, Moncrief, Phelan M, Moody, John Gillespie, Gillespie Locations: Florida, Orange County, Moncrief
After a messy election, the Bank of Japan decided to hold its benchmark policy rate at 0.25%, as expected. These outlook risks highlight that the timing of the next BOJ rate hike could depend heavily on developments overseas, as well as the exchange rate and its impact on the Japanese economy, Otani added. He added that it would surpass the 13 trillion yen ($84.6 billion) allocated in last year's supplementary budget. When Ishiba returns, he is expected to hold an extraordinary Diet session, during which he hopes to pass the supplementary budget plan, according to local news. Then I would probably rule out a rate hike in December, because that would create a lot of uncertainty about the fiscal situation."
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Stefan Angrick, Angrick, Akira Otani, Goldman Sachs, Otani, Marcel Thieliant, Shigeru Ishiba, Ishibia, Ishiba, Thieliant Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan, Moody's, Liberal Democratic Party, Asia Pacific, Capital Economics, CNBC, Democratic Party Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Brazil
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody’s Analytics: Yen weakness could force Bank of Japan to act sooner rather than laterStefan Angrick of Moody's Analytics says gradual economic recovery within the Japanese economy validates a BOJ rate hike come December.
Persons: Stefan Angrick Organizations: Bank of Japan, Analytics
Plagued by shrinking birth rates and a rapidly aging population, tens of thousands of Chinese kindergartens have scaled back operations, closed down entirely or pivoted industries to survive. One preschool in the eastern province of Zhejiang still operates as a daycare, but instead of serving children, they're now catering to senior citizens. Last year, Zhuang Yanfang, 56, repurposed her kindergarten in the city of Jinhua, Zhejiang, into a senior nursing center. Conversely, as preschools suffer, the senior care industry is thriving in China's aging population crisis. "China's aging will only intensify," said Harry Murphy Cruise, an economist at Moody's Analytics.
Persons: Zhuang Yanfang, Harry Murphy Cruise, Cruise Organizations: China's Ministry of Education, China's Communist Party, Office, State Council, Moody's Locations: Zhejiang, Jinhua, China
Moody's downgrades France's outlook
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody's downgrades France's outlookMoody's changes the outlook for France to "negative" on concerns over its debt and deficit levels. CNBC's Charlotte Reed reports.
Persons: Charlotte Reed Locations: France
Sparking controversy is language within the USMCA that covers how a product gains the "Made in Mexico" designation from U.S. Customs. There is bipartisan concern about Mexico serving as a trade "back door" for Chinese exports to evade tariffs. Trump threats not slowing trade boom Trump has said he wants to renegotiate the USMCA deal he struck with the North America partners in 2020. Chinese manufacturing in Mexico will be a likely part of the trade renegotiation. Threats of additional tariffs are not slowing down trade with Mexico.
Persons: Donald Trump, Zekelman, San Luis Potisi, Jordan Dewart, Biden, Trump, Mary Lovely, Anthony Solomon, Dewart Organizations: U.S . Customs, Zekelman Industries, Bloomberg, Getty, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Trump, North America, Companies, DHL, Uber, Moody's Analytics Locations: United States, Mexico, Canada, U.S, North America, Republic of Mexico, Beach, Calif, Chicago, San Luis, Luis Potisi, Redwood Mexico, China, Mexican, El Paso, Laredo , Texas, East Asia
Commercial real estate foreclosures spiked last month. AdvertisementCommercial real estate foreclosures jumped on a monthly and year-over-year basis in September, according to real estate data and analytics firm ATTOM. Commercial foreclosures saw the biggest year-over-year increase in California, with foreclosures on commercial buildings soaring 238% from the same time last year. In New York, foreclosures rose 48% year-over-year, while in Florida, foreclosures rose 49% year-over-year. Related storiesReal estate experts have been warning of more distress to come for commercial real estate, particularly in the office segment.
Persons: ATTOM, Organizations: Service, Mortgage, Association, International Monetary Fund Locations: California, ATTOM's, New York, Florida
Homeowners everywhere are feeling the impact as home insurance premiums skyrocket. Here are the top 13 states where home insurance premiums are expected to increase the most in 2024. As hurricanes become more severe, neighboring states such as Alabama are seeing big increases in insurance prices. Even so-called "climate havens"— typically Midwestern states insulated from severe hurricanes and wildfires — aren't safe from a climate or insurance crisis. Listed below are the 13 states with climate-induced insurance crises and their projected home insurance rate increase in 2024, according to Insurify.
Persons: Hurricanes Milton, Helene, it's, Insurify Organizations: Service, Hurricanes, Hurricanes Milon Locations: Florida , California, Louisiana, Alabama, Vermont
Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty ImagesLONDON — The U.K. is likely to see interest rates drop at a faster pace than previously expected, according to economists who flagged key data releases that indicated inflationary pressures are finally easing. However, economists at Goldman Sachs in a Monday note forecast rate cuts "notably below market pricing." As a result, they see consecutive 25 basis point cuts taking the Bank Rate to 3% as early as September 2025, and to 2.75% in November next year. "Recent data have cemented expectations of another cut in interest rates in November. "That said, uncertainty around the economic outlook is high, and interest rate expectations will be sensitive to what the government announces in the Budget," Muir added.
Persons: Mike Kemp, Goldman Sachs, BOE, Price, , James Smith, Smith, David Muir, Muir, Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves Organizations: of England, Labour, Bank of England's, BOE policymakers, Bank of England, ING . Services, Reuters, International Energy Agency, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Moody's, Finance Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom
Hurricane Milton's estimated damage to Florida's agriculture could go up to $2.5 billion. That's according to estimates from the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services. AdvertisementHurricane Milton singlehandedly wrecked as much havoc on Florida's agriculture as three other major hurricanes combined, according to new estimates from the state's agriculture department. The commodities affected by hurricane damage include animal products, citrus and non-citrus fruit farming, field crops, greenhouses, and vegetable farming, per the damage assessment. Representatives of Florida's Department of Agriculture didn't respond to a request for comment from Business Insider, sent outside business hours.
Persons: Idalia, Debby, , Milton, — Helene, Wilton Simpson, Tom Vilsack, Simpson, Hurricane Milton, Hurricane Helene, Helene Organizations: Florida Department of Agriculture, Consumer Services, Hurricanes, Service, Milton, US Department of Agriculture, Department of, Agricultural Statistics Service, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Fitch, Hurricane, Analytics, Moody's Analytics, Florida's Department, Agriculture, Business Locations: Milton, Florida, Florida's
Won't be surprised if China restructures several regional banks
  + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWon't be surprised if China restructures several regional banks: Moody's RatingsDavid Yin of Moody's Ratings says that the net interest margins of Chinese banks will continue to decline and that the small regional banks are the weakest part of China's banking system.
Persons: David Yin, Moody's Locations: China
The power needs of data centers will temporarily prolong the demand for coal, maintaining the reliability of the electric grid but delaying the nation's decarbonization goals, according to Moody's Ratings. The electricity demand from data centers could more than double to 35 gigawatts by 2030 compared to 17 gigawatts in 2022, according to a Moody's report published Monday. "It can be cost effective for them to supply coal to those power plants, and those power plants can, in turn, meet the incremental demand coming in from the new data centers," Sama said. The benefit to U.S. coal producers, however, will be temporary as data center developers transition to cleaner sources of power, according to Moody's. But sustained coal demand in the U.S. due to data centers could briefly lift prices before coal resumes its decline after a few years, according to Moody's.
Persons: Elena Nadtotchi, Sandeep Sama, Sama, Joseph Craft, Consol Organizations: Coal, Resource Partners, Arch Resources, Consol Energy, CNBC, Resources, Energy Information Administration, Department of Energy, PJM, Alliance, Wall Street Locations: U.S, Appalachia, Virginia
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