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New York CNN —Hopes for avoiding a recession are growing on Wall Street. Now, investors are looking to the upcoming earnings season for clues about the US economy’s health. The earnings season begins in earnest Friday with quarterly updates from big banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BlackRock. Wall Street will also parse the September Consumer Price Index report and wholesale inflation figures due later this week. Wall Street will also eye developments from the tech companies whose mammoth stock returns have helped power this year’s bull market.
Persons: Motors, , , Sarah Henry, Wells, Mark Malek, Siebert, Dave Sekera Organizations: New, New York CNN, Economic, PepsiCo, Conagra Brands, Logan Capital, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Tech, , FactSet, Apple, Nvidia, Communication, Morningstar Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, BlackRock
Why a key borrowing rate is above 4% again
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
New York CNN —A key borrowing rate for American consumers has jumped to a level not seen in months. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note breached 4% on Monday for the first time since August. The 10-year yield closed at 3.98% on Friday, up from 3.85% on Thursday. The 10-year yield tracks the rate on everything from mortgages to student loans to car loans, leaving consumers looking to borrow for big-ticket purchases with elevated costs. Investors will parse the Consumer Price Index report for September and wholesale inflation figures.
Persons: , Karl Schamotta Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Solutions, Fed Locations: New York
What a hot job market means for inflation
  + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —The US job market is still piping hot. That comes after the Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, signaling that it is turning its attention from tamping down inflation to keeping the job market steady. But some warn that a still-strong labor market could make it more difficult for inflation to continue cooling. That’s because a low unemployment rate and hot job market underline a strong American consumer, whose spending helps drive up the cost of goods and services. Consumer inflation eased to its slowest annual pace since February 2021 in August, continuing a trend of cooling down in recent months.
Persons: FactSet, , Seema Shah, , Gina Bolvin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, , Fed, Asset Management, Labor Statistics, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance Locations: New York, July’s, Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference on September 18 in Washington, DC. Anna Moneymaker/Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve’s recent half-point cut will take some time to work through the system, Noah Yosif, chief economist and head of research at the American Staffing Association, told CNN. “Just because the Federal Reserve votes to decrease interest rates in September does not mean that employers are going to see lower costs in October,” he said, adding that it could take three to six months to filter through to businesses. More rate cuts are expected for later this year, but the extent will depend on the health of the labor market, and that outlook could be quite murky due to impact from the strikes and Hurricane Helene. Fed officials, who are scheduled to make the central bank’s next interest rate decision just days after the October jobs report lands, will do their best to look through the noise and what are likely idiosyncratic factors, said Ryan Sweet at Oxford Economics.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, Noah Yosif, , , Helene, Ryan Sweet, Ejindu Ume Organizations: American Staffing Association, CNN, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Miami University in Locations: Washington , DC, Miami University in Ohio
New York CNN —The stock market is racking up record highs again. Investors are wasting no time moving into riskier assets from bitcoin to tech stocks after last week’s long-awaited rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Fresh data this week has offered further encouragement that the economy is on solid footing. Applications to refinance a mortgage soared 20% last week from the prior week, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data. Meanwhile, tech shares have continued to gain this week on rate cut optimism and after Micron reported strong earnings.
Persons: Dow, FactSet, , Gregory Daco, Freddie Mac, Bitcoin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage Bankers Association, Investors, Employers, Micron, Nvidia, Meta, Financial Times Locations: New York, China, Saudi Arabia
Gold, traditionally perceived as a haven, has climbed roughly 30% this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index’s 20% gain. Fresh consumer confidence data on Tuesday indicated that Americans are feeling pessimistic about the US economy and future of the job market. JPMorgan Chase researchers said in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue running toward their 2025 target price of $2,850 an ounce as the Fed brings down rates. Silver, another precious metal that tends to move in tandem with gold, has jumped roughly 34% this year, outperforming the yellow metal. New moves from China to revive its economy also has the potential to lift precious metals, said Rhind.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Kristina Hooper, JPMorgan Chase, “ There’s, Will Rhind, Rhind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Traders, JPMorgan, Treasury, GraniteShares, Citi Locations: New York, China, Turkey, India, China’s
What lower rates mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
The Fed on Wednesday lowered interest rates, marking the first rate cut since March 2020. A decline in interest rates should, theoretically, mean good news for the stock market. The Fed likely won’t take rates lower as aggressively as they were raised, unless the economy takes a downturn and necessitates loose economic conditions. While mortgage rates and bond yields have begun drifting lower, companies and consumers still might not feel the effects of lower rates right away. But investors with outsized positions in Big Tech stocks should eye beaten-down areas of the market that benefit from lower interest rates, says Diton.
Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, , Jeff Buchbinder, Powell, Eric Diton Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, LPL, Wealth Alliance, Tech, Meta, Apple, Big Locations: New York, Big Tech
New York CNN —Stocks jumped Thursday morning as investors cheered the Federal Reserve’s eye-popping half-point interest rate cut. Tech stocks surged: Nvidia shares popped 4.8%, Tesla shares gained 5.4%, Meta Platforms shares rose 3.5% and Apple shares climbed 3.5%. The Fed on Wednesday cut rates by half a point, marking its first rate cut since the onset of the Covid pandemic and bringing rates down from a 23-year high. A large rate cut can be a double-edged sword for the economy. The Fed faced pressure to cut rates in July but held steady instead.
Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, Tesla, Jerome Powell, , Ronald Temple, Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Fed, Lazard Locations: New York, August’s
The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building in Washington, DC, on June 25. Ting Shen/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesAfter all the hype that’s been brewing for over a year, you might think that once the Federal Reserve finally cuts interest rates the economy will look and feel completely different. Sure, the stock market could have some big swings the second the Fed releases its interest rate decision at 2 pm ET on Wednesday and when Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks a half hour later. Mortgage rates and the interest rates Americans pay on a variety of loans will quickly drop as well. That’s because when the Fed lowers or raises rates, it takes a while for the full effect of those moves to be felt across the economy.
Persons: Ting Shen, there’s, Jerome Powell, Milton Friedman, Read Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Washington ,
Enter underconsumption core, or a lifestyle that involves using just a small rotation of things for years rather than chasing the latest trend. Users are posting videos on TikTok showing off their underconsumption core lifestyles, with many receiving hundreds of thousands of likes. Experts say the underconsumption core trend isn’t just about maintaining a budget or wanting to get rid of stuff. Still, Americans are spendingDespite the underconsumption core trend’s popularity, spending in the US remains strong overall. Suzanne Lambert, a 32-year old consultant based in Virginia, says she canceled her subscription to a beauty box after watching underconsumption core videos.
Persons: , , Megan Doherty Bea, Bea, Stanley, Diana Wiebe, Wiebe, ’ ”, Nikki Baird, Katrina Leibee, Leibee, , Norah Jones Eleanor, Eleanor, June’s, Suzanne Lambert, Lambert, Scott Rick, Rick Organizations: New, New York CNN, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Savings, Kohl’s, , Denver, CNN, Commerce Department, University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business Locations: New York, United States, Ohio, Utah, West Africa, Arlington , Virginia, Virginia
New York CNN —Wall Street is eyeing what could be the most consequential economic data report in months due out Friday. At the same time, Wall Street is looking for signs that the job market is cooling steadily, rather than plummeting into conditions for a recession. That uncertainty has been palpable in recent days as Wall Street parsed several economic reports before Friday’s main event. Big Tech shares gained Thursday, but suffered steep losses earlier this week. Tesla, the only Magnificent Seven tech stock up for the week, has jumped 7.5%.
Persons: That’s, Jerome Powell, , , Christopher Larkin, Morgan, Stocks, Dow, BeiChen Lin, Tesla Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply Management, , Russell Investments, Big Tech, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: New York, China
OPEC+ extends oil output cuts again through November
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
This isn’t the first time OPEC+ has extended output cuts in a bid to boost crude prices. That same month, OPEC+ extended a cut of 1.65 million barrels per day announced in April 2023 until the end of 2025. Oil prices rose initially but settled slightly lower Thursday. Oil prices have declined this year despite continued output cuts and ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East. In June, the International Energy Agency said that a glut of oil supply could weaken the sway OPEC+ has over oil prices.
Persons: Organizations: New, New York CNN, of, Petroleum, West Texas, Brent, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: New York, OPEC, China, United States
New York CNN —Stocks rose Friday morning as Wall Street cheered a signal from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that long-awaited interest rate cuts are finally coming. Powell said that “the time has come” to ease rates, currently perched at a 23-year high, at a key economic summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He also noted that the labor market has cooled enough not to pressure inflation higher and that the central bank does not want to see more weakening in job market conditions. Some officials also fretted that the softening labor market could weaken considerably if policy stays restrictive for too long. Recent data has shown that US job growth was weaker than previously estimated in the 12 months leading up to March.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Powell, there’s, , Jack Janasiewicz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Statistics, Solutions, National Association of Realtors, Target, Boeing Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
New York CNN —US stocks wavered Wednesday, giving back earlier gains as investors tried to recover from the week’s bruising losses. The Dow fell 234 points, or 0.6%, after gaining more than 400 points earlier in the day. CNN’s Fear & Greed Index, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment, closed in “extreme fear” territory. The Cboe Volatility Index — Wall Street’s fear gauge — which measures bets on expected stock market volatility, fell to 27. The Magnificent Seven companies lost $615.6 billion in value on Monday, according to S&P Global data.
Persons: Dow, , Sean Frank Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, . West Texas, Brent, Dow, Cloud Equity Group Locations: New York, Japan
mapodile/E+/Getty ImagesFor individual investors, the quick-turn global rout in stocks on Monday was unsettling, even with news Tuesday that there is somewhat of a bounce-back going on. But if you’re investing in a 401(k), daily market dramas are no reason to take dramatic actions with your portfolio. Andy Smith, executive director of financial planning at Edelman Financial Engines, puts it this way: “Separate your emotion from your money. Say you set up a portfolio of 70% stocks and 30% bonds but now it’s morphed into a 60/40 portfolio. And remind yourself periodically that even bear markets have not stopped the long-term increases in stocks over time.
Persons: you’re, ” Quincy Krosby, Andy Smith, it’s, Smith Organizations: LPL, Edelman
New York CNN —Stocks slid Friday as a disappointing jobs report added to fears that the US economy is weakening. Stocks have also whipsawed in recent days as investors also digested the Federal Reserve’s July policy meetings and Big Tech earnings reports. Big Tech earningsInvestors have also parsed a mixed bag of Big Tech earnings this week. Shares of Apple, which reported in-line earnings but missed sales expectations Thursday evening, are up 2.1%. Investors have in recent weeks moved out of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks that powered the market to repeated record highs this year.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, That’s, , David Russell, Jerome Powell, ” Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, of Labor Statistics, Institute for Supply Management, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Meta, Intel Locations: New York, tamping
New York CNN —Stocks tumbled Thursday after fresh data stoked fears that the US economy is weakening as interest rates stay at a 23-year high. Wage growth is running at a cooler pace and the unemployment rate is now at its highest point in more than two years, at 4.1%. Investors will get their next look at the state of the economy on Friday morning from the July jobs report. Economists polled by FactSet project a net gain of 175,000 jobs — a touch below the average for the past three months — and for the unemployment rate to hold steady. Powell said Wednesday that any significant weakening in the job market would be concerning.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, , Jerome, Powell, , Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Independent, Alliance, , Fed, Investors Locations: New York
New York CNN —Bill Ackman, billionaire hedge fund manager and chief executive of Pershing Square Capital Management, is seeking $2 billion to take the company’s investment fund public. In a letter to strategic partners last week, Ackman said that he expected to raise between $2.5 billion to $4 billion. The company will offer 40 million shares priced at $50 apiece, according to a Tuesday filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. That would be an additional $300 million value for the investment fund, Pershing Square USA. Pershing Square officially hung up its activist megaphone in 2022, opting to work with a small group of companies behind the scenes.
Persons: Bill Ackman, Ackman, ” Ackman, Pershing, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Pershing, Capital Management, Wall, US Securities and Exchange Commission, Underwriters, Citigroup, Bank of America, Jefferies, USA, New York Stock Exchange, Herbalife, Trump Locations: New York, Israel
The stock market is gearing up for its rate cut era
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Data Thursday showed the economy expanded at a robust 2.8% annualized rate during the second quarter, blowing past economists’ expectations. While the Fed has penciled in just one rate cut for this year, traders are betting on up to three, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. While the market was broadly higher on Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday logged their worst daily performances since 2022. Shares of smaller companies tend to perform poorly when rates are high, since they have more floating rate debt than their larger counterparts. Investors are also picking at other areas of the market poised to gain when rates come down.
Persons: , Dow, Russell, Stephen Lee Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Nasdaq, MRB Partners, YouTube, Logan Capital Locations: New York
New York CNN —Tech shares led a selloff Wednesday after lackluster earnings reports from two of the market’s most prominent heavyweights. The Nasdaq Composite declined 3%, on pace for its worst daily percentage decline since December 2022. The electric vehicle maker faces growing competition from established automakers domestically and internationally and a slowdown in EV sales growth. Wall Street has rotated out of the tech bigwigs that led stocks higher over the past year in favor of smaller stocks that have been beaten down by sky-high rates. The Russell 2000, which tracks the performance of US small-cap stocks, is up 9.3% for the month, outperforming the S&P 500’s 0.1% loss.
Persons: didn’t, Russell, cybercriminals, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN — Tech, Nasdaq, Dow, YouTube, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bloomberg Locations: New York, China
New York CNN —US stocks sold off broadly Thursday as Wall Street continued to shed tech stocks. The Dow fell 464 points, or 1.1%, retreating from a record high reached a day ago. Investors have this week moved out of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks that powered the market to repeated record highs this year. Shares of smaller companies that tend to do well in a lower-rate environment began rallying last week, helping the Dow reach fresh highs. Tech stocks also took a hit this week after Bloomberg reported Tuesday that the Biden administration is mulling plans to impose more sanctions on Chinese tech firms and to heighten semiconductor trade restrictions between the US and China.
Persons: Dow, , Louis Navellier, Russell, Tesla, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Wednesday . Energy, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Tech, Bloomberg Locations: New York, China
New York CNN —Tech shares slumped Wednesday as investors shed the behemoths that fueled Wall Street’s monster stock rally this year. The Nasdaq Composite index tumbled 2.8%, logging its worst day since December 2022. Investors are also selling tech stocks after a cool inflation report last week and stronger-than-expected retail sales data on Tuesday pushed up bets for a rate cut in September. The Magnificent Seven tech stocks, which have led most of the gains this year thanks to the artificial intelligence boom, tumbled. Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell 1.3%, Apple (AAPL) shares slid 2.5%, Amazon (AMZN) shares declined 2.6%, Alphabet shares declined 1.6%, Tesla shares slipped 3.1% and Meta Platforms shares lost 5.7%.
Persons: Biden, Russell Organizations: New, New York CNN — Tech, Dow, Nvidia, Devices, Bloomberg, US Commerce Department, Microsoft, Apple, Meta Locations: New York, China
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New York CNN —US markets rose Monday as investors processed the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump over the weekend. The Dow rose 169 points, or 0.4%, paring its gains after hitting a fresh all-time high earlier in the session. The Republican Party’s campaign platform promises to “end Democrats’ unlawful and un-American crypto crackdown.”Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group, the former president’s social media company, popped 35.6%. A Trump win in November likely means the preservation or expansion of tax cuts and increased tariffs. While economic growth sounds positive for the US, some investors worry that it could reaccelerate inflation.
Persons: Donald Trump, Bettors, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, , Trump, , Mark Malek Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, Trump, Republican Party’s, Trump Media & Technology Group, CNN, Federal Reserve, Siebert Financial Locations: New York
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