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☆ The economist who predicted the election outcomes in detail tells BI his forecasts for 2025 GDP, inflation, and the threshold that would explode the deficit
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-23 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementChristophe Barraud predicted a Republican sweep and spike in the 10-year yield. Barraud, a top US economy forecaster, expects GDP growth to exceed consensus forecasts. He also expects higher inflation and shares concerns over the deficit crossing 7.5% of GDP. AdvertisementHe previously said that US GDP growth in 2025 would be stronger than expected at 2.1%, above Bloomberg's consensus forecast of 1.9%. A stronger labor market will cause this, especially wage growth and new job creation, combined with labor shortages from restrictive immigration policy.

Persons: Christophe Barraud, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Barraud, I'm, Trump Organizations: Republican, Market Securities Monaco, Bloomberg, Trump, Congressional, Office, Tax Foundation

☆ Insider Today: Vacation-rental red flags
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-23 | by ( Joi-Marie Mckenzie | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementThis post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter. BI's movie reviewer said that "Wicked," starring Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo, is worth the two hours and 41 minutes. This week's dispatchGMVozd/ Getty ImagesHow to win ThanksgivingNo matter how you try to slice it, hosting Thanksgiving dinner is a task. Vacation-rental red flagsMartin Puddy/Getty ImagesAs a full-time traveler, it's fair to say Tammy Barr knows what she's doing when it comes to finding a good vacation rental. AdvertisementMore of this week's top reads:The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, deputy editor and anchor, in New York City.

Persons: Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, It'll, she's, Ozempic Michael M, Chelsea Jia Feng, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Big, Martin Puddy, Tammy Barr, Barr, Harold Cunningham, Rebecca Zisser, Philippe, Reid, Craig Karger, Olga Rolenko, Willink, it's, Chad Michael Murray, Jamie, Claire Fraser, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Lisa Ryan, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, US Naval Academy, Costco, RFK, Getty, Department of Health, Human Services, Big Pharma, nab, BI, Retired Navy, Hulu, Starz Locations: New York City, New York

Move over Jimmy Kimmel, there's a new late-night talker in town — in Philadelphia, that is. Former Philadelphia Eagles star Jason Kelce announced that he will host "They Call It Late Night with Jason Kelce" on ESPN during an appearance on Thursday's episode of ABC’s "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" The Super Bowl champion said the hour-long show will be filmed in front of a live audience from Union Transfer in Philadelphia. Its filming location also pays homage to the film, as NFL Films originated in Philadelphia, according to ESPN. Kelce and his brother, Kansas City Chiefs star tight end Travis Kelce, host the hit “New Heights” podcast that recently scored a $100 million deal with Amazon's Wondry.

Persons: Jimmy Kimmel, there's, Jason Kelce, It'll, I’ve, Conan O’Brien, Kelce, Travis Kelce, Amazon's Wondry Organizations: Former Philadelphia Eagles, ESPN, NFL Films, ESPN2, YouTube, Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs Locations: —, Philadelphia

☆ Another US wholesale favorite is bumping its membership prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Alex Bitter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

AdvertisementThe wholesale chain BJ's said it would raise its membership fees in 2025. Its rival Costco raised its membership fees in September. Another wholesale retailer is planning to raise its membership fees. Related VideoIt said the new cost of a Club membership would be $60 annually, up by $5 from the current price, and a Club+ membership would cost $120, up by $10. The chain's rival Costco raised membership fees in September.

Persons: It'll, BJ's Wholesale, Robert Eddy Organizations: Costco, BJ's, Gold Star, Sam's

☆ The salary Americans say they need to feel successful at every age—it's over $500,000 for Gen Z
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Kamaron Mcnair | In Kamaronmcnair | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But with living costs pinching even high earners and the fact that more money almost always brings individuals more happiness , it's understandable that Americans say you need a substantial salary to be considered successful. While the average salary Americans say they need to be successful is high compared with what the average person is currently earning, Gen Z sets their sights even higher. The average salary adults between the ages of 18 and 27 say they need to be successful is $587,797, Empower found. That could be part of the reason they say they'd need such a high salary to feel accomplished, says Rebecca Rickert, head of communications at Empower. On average, Americans say you need a net worth of about $5.4 million to be considered successful, Empower reported.

Persons: Gen Z, Rebecca Rickert, boomers, Rickert Organizations: . Census, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Nvidia's Blackwell era will test the world's most valuable company in a highwire act
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Hasan Chowdhury | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

To deliver with Blackwell, Nvidia must juggle performance expectations and complex supply chains. How next year plays out will significantly depend on the performance of Blackwell, its next-generation AI chip. The Santa Clara-based chip giant reminded everyone why it has grown more than 200% this year to become the world's most valuable company. AdvertisementNvidia must navigate complex supply chainsFirst, Blackwell is what Nvidia CFO Colette Kress called a "full-stack" system. There had been some recent suggestions that cooling issues were plaguing Blackwell, but Huang seemed to suggest they had been addressed.

Persons: Blackwell, Dan Ives, Jensen Huang, Colette Kress, Kress, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Huang, I've, Hopper, Hamish Low, Low Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Revenue, Hopper, SK Hynix, Blackwell's, AMD, Enders Analysis Locations: Santa Clara, Silicon Valley, Connecticut

☆ Goldman: Market volatility will surge—it'll be a December to remember.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman: Market volatility will surge—it'll be a December to remember. Gene Goldman, CIO at Cetera, discusses market volatility, rising inflation, and geopolitical risks. He highlights diversification as a key 2025 strategy, focusing on small caps, mid-caps, international stocks, and high-quality fixed income to navigate uncertainties.

Persons: Gene Goldman Organizations: Goldman

☆ If you want to buy a coveted Patek Philippe timepiece, it'll take patience and a few social skills
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Amanda Krause | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementWhere can you buy a Patek Philippe watch? Karger, a former lawyer who now runs a publication called Wrist Enthusiast, said that Patek Philippe "generally doesn't own their own stores." Representatives for Patek Philippe did not respond to a request for comment from BI on its sales processes. Reaching the level of Patek PhilippeWhen collectors, jewelers, and other fans discuss Patek Philippe watches, awe almost always enters their voices. Brad Pitt wears a Patek Philippe watch while in Venice.

Persons: Philippe, Phil Reid, Patek Philippe timepieces, Queen Victoria, it's, Birkin, Kelly, Reid, Craig Karger, Philippe timepiece, Patek Philippe, Eugene Gologursky, Karger, That's, Patek, Philippe Aquanaut, Jeremy Moeller, there's, Krager, Audemars Piguet, I've, they've, Brad Pitt, JB Lacroix, Variety, who's Organizations: Swiss, Rolex, Cartier, IWC, Nautilus, Getty Locations: London, Patek, Swiss, Miami, Lisbon, Switzerland, New York City, Venice

☆ What Trump's presidency means for the future of AI
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Lakshmi Varanasi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementDonald Trump has surrounded himself with people who have competing views on AI regulation. Elon Musk, for example, has supported more AI regulation in the past. Some Silicon Valley veterans are betting that president-elect Donald Trump's new administration will make AI development a top priority. AdvertisementMusk, who spent over $130 million on Trump's campaign, has called for greater regulation of AI in the past. It's not clear if that effort will impact their views on AI regulation.

Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, JD Vance, Donald Trump's, Big, Marc Andreessen, Trump, Joe Biden, California's, Gavin Newsom, OpenAI, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, It's, Vance, Calvin Newport, Eric Schmidt Organizations: Trump, Trump Super PAC, Washington Post, California, Department of Government, Big Tech, Georgetown University Locations: Washington, Silicon Valley, China

☆ A boomer built a $350K ADU in her backyard to grow old. It's also a win for her daughter, who moved into the main house.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Meanwhile, her 34-year-old daughter lives in the 2,000-square-foot, three-bedroom, two-bathroom main house with her three-and-a-half-year-old daughter. The ADU was a win for mom, daughter, and granddaughterFor Wilder-Abrams, building an ADU in her backyard and having her daughter move into the main house was much more affordable than purchasing a new home in Oakland. Courtesy of Christine Wilder-AbramsConstruction on Wilder-Abrams' ADU began in 2021. By May 2022, her daughter had moved into the main house, and she had settled into the ADU. To finance the construction of the ADU, Wilder-Abrams took out a second mortgage on her home, as the original mortgage had been paid off years earlier.

Persons: Christine Wilder, Abrams, Wilder, Zillow, Thomas Winz, ADUs, ADU Wilder, it'll, ADU, Everybody's, wasn't, it's Organizations: Wilder Locations: California, Oakland , California, Wilder, Oakland, Oakland , Orange County

☆ Nobel laureate Simon Johnson is skeptical that Trump will be able to follow up on his two biggest campaign promises — here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

"I'm skeptical he'll actually do it," Johnson said of Trump's tariff policy. With all of these negative implications, Johnson isn't convinced that Trump's tariffs will be as drastic as they were presented on the campaign trail. Mass deportation is a logistical nightmareTrump's mass deportation plans don't make economic sense to Johnson, either. It's still too early to predict how Trump's policies will pan out, but for now, Johnson is seeing drastic barriers to Trump's tariff and immigration plans. Should Trump go through with his tariff and immigration policies, it'll be up to the American people to judge their efficacy and implementation.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nobel, Simon Johnson doesn't, Johnson, Simon Johnson, Trump, We've, They're, he'll, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Johnson isn't, it's, Thomas Homan, That's, It's, they're, it'll Organizations: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Trump, American Immigration Locations: China, Johnson, Vietnam, Mexico, United States

☆ Welcome to the shopping mall for the TikTok era
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Dan Whateley | Amanda Perelli | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

A new brick-and-mortar store from the e-commerce startup Outlandish is bringing to life the world of TikTok Shop. In addition to TikTok Shop, Outlandish has experience working with brands to help them sell on Douyin and other social apps. Other TikTok Shop sellers have experimented with adding livestreaming spaces to their storefronts, such as the New York-based pre-owned luxury store What Goes Around Comes Around. Outlandish, which began in 2018 as a social shopping agency in China, is an official TikTok Shop partner. If that does happen, August said Outlandish's Santa Monica sellers could pivot to livestreaming on other platforms.

Persons: Anker, TikTok, Allison Wise, Amanda Perelli, William August, ByteDance, it'll, Outlandish's, Outlandish's Santa Monica Organizations: Goli, QVC, TikTok, US, Congress Locations: Los Angeles, China, Santa Monica's, influencers, Santa Monica, Asia, Los Angeles and New York, Mexico, Spain, America, New York, Santa, Outlandish's Santa, livestreams

It's the second mattress from bed-in-a-box brand Tuft & Needle, which now has four mattresses in total (including a hybrid version of the Mint Mattress). Connie Chen/Business InsiderThe Mint mattress is an upgrade from the company's Original Mattress, a 10-inch, medium-firm mattress. You can check out our Tuft & Needle Original Mattress review for our full thoughts, but it's a basic and comfortable mattress at a cheaper price point. We also have guides for specific needs, including the best cooling mattress, the best mattress for side sleepers, the best foam mattress, the best hybrid mattress, and the best mattress for back pain. If you're set on a Tuft & Needle mattress, you may also consider looking at our Tuft & Needle Original Mattress review for a cheaper option from the company.

Persons: Connie Chen, you'll, I've, I'm, it's Organizations: Business, Greenguard

When you buy through our links, Business Insider may earn an affiliate commission. Learn moreSifting through a sea of gift ideas when none seem ideal is an experience everyone is familiar with. If you're wanting to avoid that headache this year, one of the best remedies can be to utilize the convenient, fast, and reliable perks of shopping on Amazon and its mountain of gifting options. To make your last-minute shopping easier, we found 35 gifts for him that won't cost more than $100, but that he's still sure to like. Shop the 31 best Amazon gifts for him:

Persons: he's, it'll Organizations: Business

Keep reading to learn how to watch the CMA Awards, including live streaming options for those without cable. While it's her first time hosting the show, she's no stranger to the CMA Awards. How to watch the CMA Awards in the USThe CMA Awards will air on ABC on Wednesday, November 20, at 8 p.m. Those without cable can still live stream the awards show using a month-to-month live TV streaming service like Sling TV, DirecTV Stream, or Fubo. Check price at FuboHow to watch the CMA Awards from anywhereTraveling outside the US and still hoping to tune in to the CMA Awards?

Persons: Luke Bryan, Peyton Manning, Lainey Wilson, it's, Wilson, Morgan Wallen, Jelly Roll, Luke Combs, Kacey, Chris Stapleton, Post Malone, Ballerini, Noah Kahan, Simone Biles, Freddie Freeman, Billy Bob Thornton, George, Jamey Johnson, Miranda Lambert, Parker McCollum, Stapleton, we've, ExpressVPN Organizations: Business, Country Music, CMA, Big Town, Post, ABC, DirecTV, DirecTV Stream Locations: Nashville, George Strait

☆ Tired of your Instagram algorithm? You'll be able to reset it soon for a 'fresh start'
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Sarah Jackson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

AdvertisementMeta has good news for Instagram users unhappy with their recommendations algorithm. The company is testing giving users the ability to wipe the slate clean and get new recommended content. Meta is gearing the feature toward teens but it'll soon roll out globally to all users. Sick of the recommended content in your Instagram feed? AdvertisementMeta positioned the feature toward its teen users in its blog post, though it isn't age-specific.

Persons: it'll, Meta, you'll, Instagram, –, Adam Mosseri, TikTok Organizations: Meta, Piper

☆ Fintech unicorns are watching Klarna's debut for signs of when IPO window will reopen
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Ryan Browne | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Last week, Klarna made a confidential filing to go public in the U.S., ending months of speculation over where the Swedish digital payments firm would list. Still, the development drew buzz from fintech circles with market watchers asking if the move marks the start of a resurgence in big fintech IPOs. For now, that doesn't appear to be the case — however, founders say they'll be watching the IPO market, eyeing pricing and eventually stock performance. Hiroki Takeuchi, CEO of online payments startup GoCardless, said last week that it's not yet time for his company to fire the starting gun on an IPO. However, Zopa's CEO added that he's seeing signs pointing toward a more favorable IPO market in the next couple of years, with the U.S. likely opening up in 2025.

Persons: Hiroki Takeuchi, Zed Jameson, Klarna, they'll, Takeuchi, GoCardless, Lucy Liu, Airwallex, it's, Liu, Jack Zhang, We're, fintech IPOs, Navina Rajan, It's, Rajan, Jaidev Janardana, Janardana, that's Organizations: GoCardless, Bloomberg, Getty, Portugal —, CNBC, Summit, British, U.S Locations: LISBON, Portugal, U.S, Lisbon, Europe

☆ I took a job at JP Morgan for the prestige. Quitting to travel changed the way I view success.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Tess Martinelli | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementAshley Tan got a job at JP Morgan in Singapore after graduating from university. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Ashley Tan, 29, who quit her job at JP Morgan Singapore to travel. After graduating from university, I went straight to work and took a role at JP Morgan for the company name. I joined JP Morgan because of it's prestigeI was hired by JP Morgan in December 2022 as an events and marketing analyst. It was scary, but I officially quit JP Morgan in March because I knew I'd regret it if I didn't take the risk.

Persons: Ashley Tan, Tan, It's, I've, JP Morgan, Morgan, I'd, it's, it'll, I'm, what's, you've, Tess Martinelli Organizations: Morgan, JP Morgan, JP, Singapore Locations: Singapore, JP Morgan Singapore, Bali, Europe, Australia, tmartinelli

☆ Putin lowered Russia's threshold for a nuclear attack after Ukraine got approval for deeper strikes
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementPutin on Tuesday signed major changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine. The Kremlin said the changes were directed at Ukraine's ability to use US-supplied weapons in strikes on Russia. President Vladimir Putin approved an update to Russia's nuclear doctrine, widening the scenarios in which it would consider a strike. They build on a series of nuclear threats Putin has issued since the beginning of the full-scale war in Ukraine, though none have come to pass. The new doctrine also expands the circumstances for the potential use of nuclear weapons.

Persons: Putin, Biden, Vladimir Putin, Sitara Noor, Dmitry Peskov, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Joe Biden, Alexander Gabuev, Donald Trump's, Sinéad Baker Organizations: Kremlin, Lowy Institute, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, NATO Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Kyiv

However, there are consequences for failing to file a tax return that you should be aware of. Why filing taxes is importantLegal obligationsFirst things first: Do you even need to file a tax return? However, you are required to file a tax return if you have $400 or more in net self-employment income. FAQs on what happens if you don't file taxesHow long can I go without filing taxes? If you don't file a tax return and don't owe any taxes, you have up to three years to claim any refund that might be due.

Persons: David Beck, Beck, filers, TurboTax, you'll, It's, it'll, there's, There's, haven't, Morgan, Tanza, Read Organizations: Free, NEC, TurboTax, Budget, Social Security, State, IRS, Levy, Railroad, Board, Military, garnishment, Chevron, Finance, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Fidelity, BI, Elon University Locations: U.S, Dix Hills, NY, TheStreet

☆ Netflix's Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight showed that getting attention is what Jake Paul does best
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Katie Notopoulos | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementAround 60 million people watched Jake Paul fight Mike Tyson on Netflix on Friday night. On Friday night, 60 million people watched live on Netflix as Jake Paul beat Mike Tyson in eight rounds of a boxing match. AdvertisementI've underestimated Jake Paul before, and I've learned my lesson. In a way, Paul vs. Tyson was simply the ultimate content "collab." It's unclear where Jake Paul goes from here, or where boxing goes.

Persons: Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, Jake Paul's, Mike wallop Paul, Paul, I'm, I've, Paul hadn't, influencers, Tyson, Beyoncé, they'll Organizations: Netflix, YouTube, Twitter, Facebook

Learn moreIt's the ultimate Texas showdown in tonight's Monday Night Football match-up between the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys. We've compiled everything you need to know about where to watch the Texans vs. Cowboys, including global live streaming options. Where to watch Texans vs. Cowboys in the USThe Texans vs. Cowboys game will air across ABC, ESPN, and ESPN2 in the United States. Check price at DAZNHow to watch Texans vs. Cowboys anywhereAway from home and worried about missing out on the game? Check price at ExpressVPNHow to watch Texans vs. Cowboys with a VPNSign up for a VPN if you don't have one.

Persons: We've, It's, Fubo, ExpressVPN Organizations: Business, Houston Texans, Dallas Cowboys, Texans, . Cowboys, AFC, Cowboys, NFC, T, Texas, NFL, US, ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, DirecTV, Sling, ESPN3, DirecTV Stream Locations: Texas, Arlington , TX, United States, China

☆ These 2 active ETFs have outperformed the S&P 500 this year, last year and over 5 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 has risen 24.73% so far this year, up fractionally more than last year's 24.23%, according to FactSet data. The U.S.-listed Gotham Enhanced 500 ETF , which has the ticker GSPY, has also posted similar gains since 2021. JREU-GB .SPX 5Y line GSPY The Gotham Enhanced 500 ETF is a newer fund and so has a shorter track record of outperformance. Yet it has beaten the S & P 500 every year since its inception in 2021. Gotham ETFs say the fund "buys all 500 stocks in the S & P 500 Index but reweights them, buying more of the ones we think are cheaper and less of the ones we believe are more expensive."

Persons: Piera Elisa Grassi Organizations: Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan U.S, Research, Equity, Gotham, JPMorgan Asset Management, CNBC, JREU, New York Stock Exchange Locations: London, U.S, Gotham

☆ AMC is poised to ride the box office rebound, as long as its debt doesn't get in the way
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Sarah Whitten | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Leonardo Munoz | View Press | Corbis News | Getty ImagesThe domestic box office is on the rebound, having posted its highest third-quarter ticket sales since the pandemic. AMC operates around 900 theaters and 10,000 screens globally, a larger footprint than its chief rivals Cinemark and Regal. By the time the Covid pandemic shuttered theaters and shut down Hollywood, AMC was already $5 billion in the red. Despite the better-than-expected box office performance, AMC saw a 12% decline in attendance during the period. "They talked a lot about new investments and upgrading their theaters and expanding their premium screens, adding XL screens.

Persons: Leonardo Munoz, Cinemark, it's, Adam Aron, they're, Eric Wold, Riley, Oppenheimer, Hugh Jackman, Ryan Reynolds, Wold, King, Sony's, Hunter, Aron, Lars Niki, Alicia Reese, Reese isn't, Eric Handler Organizations: AMC, View Press, CNBC, Warner Bros, Disney, Disney AMC, Paramount, Dolby Cinemas, Getty, Roth Capital Markets Locations: New York City, Hollywood, North America, Europe, U.S, Saudi Arabia, New York, Los Angeles, fanbases

☆ I've had Bluesky for less than a week. Here's how to get started with the competitor to Elon Musk's X.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jordan Hart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementBluesky has seen a surge in users after the US election and as X introduces new terms of service. Bluesky is having quite the week as millions of people flock to sign up in the wake of the US election and new terms of service coming to X. Bluesky had 17 million users as of Friday, according to a live stat-tracker by a Bluesky developer. As departure announcements and Bluesky links popped up in my X feed on Wednesday, I became curious to see how the app attracted so many new accounts. Jordan Hart/BIBluesky's posts, known as "skeets," work similarly to posts on X (previously known as "tweets").

Persons: Bluesky, Jack Dorsey, Elon Musk, Donald Trump, X, they'd, Mark Zuckerberg, Jordan Hart Organizations: Twitter Locations: Bluesky

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