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☆ Trump's proposed tariff increases would boost inflation by nearly 1%, Goldman Sachs estimates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The latest tariff proposal from President-elect Donald Trump would likely put upward pressure on inflation in the United States, according to Goldman Sachs. The core PCE, which strips out food and energy prices, is the preferred inflation reading of the Federal Reserve. A tariff-linked increase in core PCE could scramble the calculations around Fed rate cuts. To be sure, it remains to be seen whether the tariffs will actually be implemented at the levels Trump proposed — or what exceptions might be made. Some of Trump's advisors and supporters have characterized the tariffs he proposed during the campaign as a bargaining position rather than a set policy.

Persons: Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: PCE, Federal Reserve, Trump Locations: United States, China, Canada, Mexico, U.S, PCE

☆ This $13 billion ETF that tracks high-momentum stocks just got a makeover. Here’s what changed
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The i Shares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) is an fund with more than $13 billion in assets under management, according to FactSet. The changes include adding AT & T , T-Mobile and Oracle , while removing Coca-Cola , Lockheed Martin and NextEra Energy , according to Harvey. "With the sector changes ... the largest factor changes in the new MTUM index include: (1) higher beta; (2) lower profitability; and (3) higher leverage," Harvey said. Other notable changes include the addition of AbbVie and the removal of Eli Lilly . How it works MTUM officially tracks the MSCI USA Momentum SR Variant Index, a tweaked version of MSCI's regular USA momentum index.

Persons: Wells Fargo's Christopher Harvey, Lockheed Martin, Harvey, Eli Lilly, MTUM, rebalance, Robert Hum, It's, it's Organizations: Mobile, Oracle, Lockheed, NextEra Energy, Beta Locations: BlackRock

☆ Fiserv stock is red hot. Why one fund manager thinks it can be a long-term winner
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market rally for payments stock Fiserv is showing no signs of slowing down, and the company is winning over some new investors. "You roll all that together and you could wind up with like an 18%-20% type of earnings per share growth company," Burton said. Burton is the manager of NYLI Winslow Large Cap Growth Fund (MLAAX) , which has a four-star rating from Morningstar. He also manages two ETFs with similar strategies — the NYLI Winslow Focused Large Cap Growth ETF (IWFG) and NYLI Winslow Large Cap Growth ETF (IWLG) . Fiserv went public in 1986 and today has a market cap of $128 billion and 42,000 employees.

Persons: Patrick Burton, Burton, NYLI Winslow, Clover, Fiserv, Frank Bisignano, LSEG, Sanders, Alliance Bernstein, Lewis Sanders —, Dominic Ball, Ball, Michael Bloom Organizations: Winslow Capital Management, Growth, Morningstar, CNBC, Windsor Capital, Sanders Capital, Alliance Locations: Milwaukee, Fiserv, Atlantic

☆ There's still plenty of 'meat on the bone' in municipal bonds, Vanguard portfolio manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

So that's why I say there's plenty of meat left on the bone for investing in credit munis," McFee said. Sector outlook Municipal bond funds buy and hold fixed income instruments issued by state and local governments or related entities. Over the past month, major index funds iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) and Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB) have raked in about $2.2 billion of combined inflows, according to FactSet. The big iShares and Vanguard muni funds have each returned about 1.7%, year to date, compared with 1.6% for the iShares Core U.S. And Vanguard is not the only asset manager pushing new muni funds into the market.

Persons: weren't, Steve McFee, McFee, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Vanguard, Bond, McFee, AAA, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard muni, iShares, Aggregate Bond

☆ SEC Chair Gary Gensler will step down Jan. 20, make way for Trump replacement
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

SEC commissioners serve five-year terms, so Gensler could in theory have stayed on until at least 2026. Gensler took over the SEC in 2021, and under his leadership the commission has taken an ambitious but controversial approach to several regulatory issues, including cryptocurrencies. Trump has not announced his pick to lead the SEC, but the expectation is that the next chair will be friendlier to Wall Street and crypto. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler will resign on Jan. 20, the agency announced Thursday, paving the way for President-elect Donald Trump to immediately select a replacement. Under Gensler, the SEC pushed to require more disclosure from publicly traded companies and financial advisors for investors.

Persons: Gensler, Trump, Gary Gensler, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Musk, Gensler's, — CNBC's Lora Kolodny Organizations: SEC, cryptocurrencies, . Securities, Exchange, Gensler's SEC, Twitter, Trump, Government Efficiency

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Intuit, SL Green, Gap and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Intuit — Shares of the financial software company fell almost 5% despite an earnings report that beat expectations. Intuit reported $2.50 in adjusted earnings per share on $3.28 billion of revenue for its fiscal first quarter. SL Green Realty — The commercial real estate stock dipped more than 1% after SL Green announced a $400 million stock sale . Ross reported $5.07 billion in revenue, below the $5.15 billion expected by Wall Street. Analysts surveyed by LSEG were looking for earnings of 38 cents per share and revenue of $357 million.

Persons: LSEG, Ross, NetApp Organizations: Intuit —, Intuit, Green Realty, SL Green, Old Navy, Ross, Wall

☆ Novogratz warns that there will be a bitcoin correction, says crypto is 'levered to the gills'
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin was trading at about $97,000 on Thursday morning, after setting a fresh record high of $98,367.00, according to Coin Metrics. The crypto community is levered to the gills, and so there will be a correction," Novogratz said. He did caution that the correction could be greater in stocks, like MicroStrategy , that are trading like leveraged versions of bitcoin. "I personally would tell my investors to buy straight bitcoin" instead of plays like Microstrategy, Novogratz said. The rally has continued despite a mystery seller that has been dumping crypto in recent days, Novogratz said.

Persons: Bitcoin, Michael Novogratz, Novogratz, bitcoin, Donald Trump, MicroStrategy, Trump Organizations: Galaxy Digital, Metrics, Acurx Pharmaceuticals

☆ The 10-year Treasury yield is looming as a potential anchor on stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The runup in the 10-year Treasury yield is proving to be more than a short-term fluctuation, and that is starting to draw nervous looks on Wall Street. US10Y 3M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield started to climb ahead of the election and has moved higher still after Donald Trump's victory. With the 10-year yield close to a key psychological level of 4.5%, there is concern that another move higher could lead to a downturn in the stock market. If the 10-year yield does break through the 4.5% level, technical patterns suggest it could make a significant climb. Strong economic growth and optimism around artificial intelligence are two reasons why stocks may be able to tolerate higher rates, said Solita Marcelli, UBS global wealth management chief investment officer for the Americas.

Persons: Bond, Donald Trump's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Trump, Senyek, Paul Ciana, Stocks, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research, Bank of America, UBS Locations: 1Q25

Options on BlackRock's popular iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) began trading on the Nasdaq Tuesday, ushering in a new way to trade and speculate on the price of bitcoin. IBIT traded 73,000 options contracts in the first 60 mins of trading Tuesday, Nasdaq told CNBC, placing the fund in the top 20 of the most active nonindex options. The market for options contracts on major ETFs can be extremely active, and are widely used by more sophisticated traders. The launch of the bitcoin ETF options will likely also lead to new funds that incorporate those options, said Todd Sohn, ETF strategist at Strategas. And then we're going to get buffers, and then we're going to get whatever other trend-following-type strategy that folks think of.

Persons: IBIT, Bitcoin, Noelle Acheson, Todd Sohn, " Sohn Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Interactive, Trust, BlackRock Locations: U.S

☆ Wall Street is gearing up for an M&A boom under Trump. These companies could be attractive targets
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Now that the election is over, and a change at the FTC seems highly likely, Wall Street is getting ready for a new era. "In my opinion, bank M & A has reopened for every bank absent the globally systemically important banks," Mills told CNBC. DFS 1M mountain Shares of Discover Financial rallied sharply after the election of Donald Trump. The merger between those two companies was blocked by a judge and then dropped this past week , but both companies could be players moving forward. There's still a populist tone in the Trump campaign … and enforcement, in my opinion, is not going to go away.

Persons: Trump, Lina Khan, Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Morgan Stanley, Stephanie McCann, McDermott Will, Emery, Wolfe, Naturium, Goldman, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Mills, Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Matt Gaetz —, —, There's, Kyle Healy, Alston, Michael Lynton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Trade, FTC, Federal, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Amazon, Electronic Arts, Zoom Video Communications, EA, Activision Blizzard, Capital, Discover Financial Services, DFS, Discover Financial, Spirit Airlines, Frontier, JetBlue, Regulators, Trump, Bird, Warner Music Locations: Washington

☆ The Trump trade that could have more to run as overall market loses steam
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bank stocks have popped since President-elect Donald Trump's win, but their move eight years ago suggests this rally still has more upside. Drilling down to bank stocks, specifically, within financials still shows that the group could have room to run. In 2016, bank stocks outperformed by 11.5 percentage points, compared to 6.9 points this year, according to the note. Bank stocks have seen big moves since Trump's win, as investors react to the expectation of a lighter regulatory touch from his administration. And while postelection rally for the broader market has cooled this week , bank stocks still look like one of the bests going forward, Harvey said.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Wells, Christopher Harvey, Harvey Organizations: Trump's, Bank, Bank of America, UST, Trump Locations: financials

☆ Sundheim's D1 Capital adds new stakes in GE Healthcare, Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Sundheim's D1 Capital added positions in GE Healthcare Technologies and Bank of America during the third quarter, a filing Thursday showed. Outside of those new positions and buying more shares of XPO Logistics , D1 Capital was mostly selling its top holdings. The hedge fund sold 22% of its biggest holding, Instacart , and 46% of its stake in cigarette maker Philip Morris . D1 Capital managed about $19 billion as of the end of last year. The extent of other holdings for D1 Capital is unclear.

Persons: Daniel Sundheim, Philip Morris Organizations: Sundheim's, GE Healthcare Technologies, Bank of America, XPO Logistics, D1, GE Vernova, Pfizer, Nu Holdings, Starbucks, Viking Global, D1 Capital Locations: Instacart

☆ David Tepper's Appaloosa loaded up on Temu parent PDD Holdings during third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Hedge fund billionaire David Tepper's bet on China involved increasing his exposure to the leading e-commerce companies in the world's second-largest economy, according to the latest securities filing. Tepper's Appaloosa Management more than doubled its position in Temu parent PDD Holdings in the third quarter, according to the hedge fund's quarterly filing. Between Alibaba , PDD and JD.com , Appaloosa held roughly $2 billion of Chinese e-commerce stocks at the end of September. The quarterly hedge fund filing released Thursday showed only positions in U.S.-traded equities, including American depositary receipts, and some derivatives. PDD 6M mountain Chinese stocks like PDD Holdings have been volatile in recent months.

Persons: David Tepper's, Tepper, Stocks, Donald Trump's Organizations: Management, PDD Holdings, CNBC, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wynn Resorts, iShares FTSE, iShares FTSE China ETF, Vistra Corp, NRG Energy, Amazon, Microsoft, UPS, Boeing, U.S . PDD Holdings, National Football League's Carolina Panthers Locations: China, PDD, Alibaba, iShares FTSE China, Lyft, U.S

☆ Coinbase, Robinhood CEOs say Trump administration will clear up crypto's regulatory muddle
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"We have seen basically what people are calling the 'Trump Pump,'" Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said on "Squawk Box." Crypto markets have rallied sharply since the election of Trump, with bitcoin hitting record highs near $90,000. "There's widespread optimism that the Trump administration, which has stated that they wish to embrace cryptocurrencies and make America the center of cryptocurrency innovation worldwide, is going to have a much more forward-looking policy towards this new industry," Tenev continued. The Biden administration's Securities and Exchange Commission, led by Chairman Gary Gensler, took a combative stance toward crypto, with regulators taking legal action against several leading crypto firms, including Coinbase. But Trump appeared to welcome support from the crypto industry during his campaign, including speaking at the Bitcoin Conference earlier this year.

Persons: Donald Trump, Vlad Tenev, Trump, Tenev, Gary Gensler, Brian Armstrong Organizations: CNBC, Trump, Biden administration's Securities, Exchange Commission, Bitcoin Locations: America, U.S

Bitcoin is trading near record levels, and Kalshi users are betting that the cryptocurrency could rise above $100,000 before the end of 2024. Kalshi data on Tuesday showed that 60% of users are betting that bitcoin could hit the $100,000 mark before January. The digital currency has rallied more than 28% since the U.S. presidential election last Tuesday. The prediction markets were volatile ahead of the election, but they were generally more bullish on Trump than traditional polling. However, odds and gambling platforms do not use methodologies used by traditional political polling, and therefore are not substitutes for political polls.

Persons: Donald Trump, Bitcoin Organizations: Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Trump, Metrics

☆ This other Elon Musk proxy is up more than 200% since the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The election victory of Donald Trump is sparking a huge rally for investments tied to Elon Musk , even indirectly. The fund is now up more than 200% since Election Day. The rally is not too surprising given that Musk campaigned with the president-elect and that Tesla has also rallied sharply since the election. However, the price of the Destiny fund could give some investors pause. The latest unaudited financial report for the fund showed net asset value per share of $5.15 as of June 30.

Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, —, Musk, Tesla, DXYZ, Sohail Prasad Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, SpaceX, CNBC

☆ The iShares Bitcoin ETF is now bigger than its gold counterpart following rush into crypto on Trump win
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Blackrock iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) signage at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on Jan. 11, 2024. The rapidly growing iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has now blown past one of the biggest funds in an old-school category of investing: gold. According to FactSet, the bitcoin exchange-traded fund had roughly $34.3 billion in AUM as of Friday. That puts it above the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) , which had just under $33 billion. The asset numbers do not yet reflect the most recent crypto rally over the weekend, when bitcoin surged above $80,000.

Persons: FactSet, bitcoin, IBIT Organizations: Blackrock, Nasdaq, Trust Locations: New York

☆ Here's how the next wave of ETF innovation could hinge on Tuesday's elections results
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The ETF industry is gearing up for some potentially seismic changes in 2025 and beyond. Policy changes from the SEC are hard to predict, but the ETF industry appears to sense an opening to push new types of products. Private credit funds One big area of focus for the ETF industry is how to tap into the private credit boom that has become a key part of the U.S. financial system. Fund issuers will need the SEC to bless new types of constructions in order to get a private credit fund approved. "For the most part, private credit is an investment that is limited to sophisticated investors and not retail investors," said Brian Murphy, a partner at law firm Stradley Ronon.

Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Gary Gensler, Kamala Harris, Todd Sohn, Brian Murphy, Stradley, You've, Gerard O'Reilly, What's, Matt Hougan, Harris, Sohn, " Sohn, Bitwise Organizations: Republican, Securities, Exchange, Democratic, SEC, State, Vanguard, BlackRock, Trump, solana

☆ U.S. dollar is little changed Tuesday night as presidential election winds down
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. dollar was little changed against other global currencies on Tuesday evening as voting began to wind down in the presidential election. The foreign exchange market could be one of the first areas of the financial system to react as election results roll in. Traders generally expect that a strong night for former President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress could push the greenback higher. The dollar has generally strengthened in the runup to Election Day. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose more than 3% in October, though it has dipped in recent days.

Persons: David Zervos, Donald Trump, Paul Christopher Organizations: U.S, greenback, U.S ., Jefferies, Traders, Republicans, Wells, Investment Institute, ICE Locations: Mexican, U.S

☆ Investors load up on bonds and bitcoin ahead of the U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors have been heavily buying two very different categories of assets ahead of next week's election: bonds and bitcoin . Bank of America credit strategist Yuri Seliger highlighted a shift toward bond buying among fund investors over the past week. A look at the list of most popular ETFs on FactSet over the past week shows that the demand for bonds has been broad across categories. Funds for investment grade corporate bonds, municipal bonds, mortgage backed securities, long-term Treasury bonds and high yield bonds are all in the top 20 funds by inflows over the past week. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has raked in more than $2 billion of inflows over the past week, according to FactSet.

Persons: Yuri Seliger, Seliger, outflows Organizations: Bank of, HG, HY, Bank of America, —, JPMorgan

☆ Investors all in on stocks: Mutual fund cash levels lowest on record, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Someone apparently forgot to tell mutual fund managers that they are supposed to be worried right now. Professional fund managers have been increasing their bets on stocks since the fourth quarter got underway earlier this month, according to Bank of America. "Watching mutual fund cash levels is typically like watching paint dry, but not this month. That shift is notable ahead of the election and suggests that some fund managers are unconcerned about short-term volatility as votes roll in. Fund managers are underweight that area relative to history, and could rotate into those stocks if they gain more confidence, according to Subramanian.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Cash, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America . Equity, Investment Company Institute

☆ S&P 500 to move 2% on election, with some markets set to be even more volatile, options indicate
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Options traders are buckling down for outsized volatility around next week's election, according to Goldman Sachs. Two of the funds with the highest implied volatility are linked to China: the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) and the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) . Crypto is already a volatile area, but Trump's embrace of the industry during his campaign could spark a significant reaction. The options market implies a move of more than 7% for ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) , according to Goldman. BITO, which holds bitcoin futures, did not exist in 2020, so there are no prior election comparisons for the fund.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Donald Trump's, Crypto, Goldman, BITO Organizations: CSI China Internet, Regional Banking, Republicans, ProShares, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission Locations: China, U.S

☆ A new ETF could disrupt the trillion-dollar money market fund industry. What to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Total money market fund assets have ballooned to more than $6.5 trillion, according to the Investment Company Institute. Traditional money market fund transactions take place at the end of each trading day, while ETFs trade constantly during market hours. How it works The Texas Capital ETF holds very short-term fixed income instruments, similar to traditional money market funds. It will abide by rule 2a-7 , a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regulation that governs the liquidity of holdings in traditional money market funds. Looking forward The potential market for a money market ETF is massive.

Persons: Michael Carbone, That's, Richard Leimgruber, Jeff Schwartz, Brad Roth, Roth Organizations: Texas Capital, Money Market, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, CNBC, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wealth, ICI, The Texas Capital, Thor Financial Technologies Locations: Texas, Chelmsford, Mass, Tarrytown , New York

☆ Paul Tudor Jones says market reckoning coming on spending after election: 'We are going to be broke'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones is raising alarms about the U.S. government's current fiscal deficit and the increased spending promised by both presidential candidates, saying the bond market may force the government's hand after the election in addressing it. "We are going to be broke really quickly unless we get serious about dealing with our spending issues," Jones told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin on Tuesday. The founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment said he was worried that government spending could cause a big sell-off in the bond market, spiking interest rates. He said he plans to not own fixed income and will be betting against the longer-dated part of the bond market. Jones founded his hedge fund more than four decades ago and rose to prominence by correctly predicting the stock market crash of 1987.

Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Tudor Investment, Treasury Department, Wall Street, Trump Locations: United States

☆ BlackRock unveils active fund that aims to track changing AI trade over time
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Tony Kim, head of the fundamental equities technology group at BlackRock , is helming a new AI-focused fund launching on Tuesday. The top holdings in the ETF at launch are some of biggest names in the AI trade, including Nvidia and Microsoft . The AI Trade The excitement around the AI trade may have recently lost some of its luster for short-term traders. The valuations of some of the trendy AI stocks have also been a worry for some investors since AI took off with the introduction of ChatGPT in late 2022 . BlackRock is launching a similar fund in an ETF wrapper on Tuesday, the iShares Technology Opportunities Active ETF (TEK), with Kim as one of the managers.

Persons: Tony Kim, Kim, What's, —, TEK Organizations: BlackRock, Innovation, Tech, ETF, Nvidia, Microsoft, Astera Labs, Hitachi, Nasdaq, Apple, BlackRock Technology, Fund, BAI Locations: BlackRock

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