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AdvertisementUS home prices and rents have soared in part because of a shortage of housing. These are the cost of land, a shortage of construction workers, regulations, and NIMBYism. The US is suffering from a deep shortage of homes, and it's driving sky-high home prices and rents. Advertisement"We just hear more and more that it's harder to find affordable pieces of land to develop for housing," Tobin said. Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction and higher wages for workers, which in turn leads to higher home prices.
Persons: Jim Tobin, Tobin, , ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, NIMBY, Donald Trump Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Trump Locations: Los Angeles, Seattle, Chicago, Brambleton , Virginia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTri-Pointe Homes CEO on what Trump 2.0 could mean for the housing marketDoug Bauer, CEO of Tri Pointe Homes, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what's next for housing and homebuilders, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: Doug Bauer, what's Organizations: Pointe, Trump, Tri, Tri Pointe Homes Locations: Tri Pointe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with UBS' John Lovallo and Brown Harris Stevens' Bess FreedmanBess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens CEO, and John Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the housing market, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: John Lovallo, Brown Harris Stevens, Bess Freedman Bess Freedman, CNBC's Organizations: UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe American dream of buying a first home has become a real challenge, says Brown Harris Stevens CEOBess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens CEO, and John Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the housing market, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: Brown Harris Stevens, Bess Freedman, John Lovallo, CNBC's Organizations: UBS
AdvertisementHigh housing costs, driven in large part by a shortage of homes, are keeping inflation sticky. Economists say Trump's proposals are a mixed bag; some could help housing costs and some could hurt. Ultimately, housing policy experts and industry leaders say housing costs will largely depend on how much new supply can be delivered to the market, which is suffering from a severe shortage of homes. Federal housing assistanceDuring his first term, Trump repeatedly proposed major cuts to housing assistance for households with low incomes or members with disabilities. This would make it harder for lower-income Americans to afford homes and slow down affordable housing construction.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Vance, Jim Tobin, Tobin, Maurice Page, JD Vance, they're, Anirban Basu, Biden, Ben Metcalf, Metcalf Organizations: Federal Reserve, Trump, National Association of Home Builders, Biden, Administration, Nevada Housing Coalition, Business, Energy, Associated Builders and Contractors, Economic, of New, Reserve, UC Berkeley, Immigrants, Republican Locations: Nevada , Arizona, Utah, of New York, China
Trump's plan to transform federal land into housing will be costly, given minimal existing infrastructure, UBS says. Those policies, plus a set of potentially inflationary proposals, could drive up both home prices and mortgage rates, they say. Trump's plan to transform federal land into more housing seems particularly challenged, the analysts say. The higher rates will likely continue the housing lock-in effect, where existing homeowners prefer to remain locked in at their current lower rates. In prepared remarks on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US is in no hurry to cut rates, signaling that mortgage rates could stay higher for longer.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, homeownership, Trump, JD Vance, Vance, homebuyers, Jerome Powell Organizations: UBS, Service, Builders
Mortgage rates were forecast to go down in 2025. Expectations of higher inflation and more government debt under Trump have helped mortgage rates rise in recent weeks. Why mortgage rates rose ahead of the election — and are still high nowMortgage rates went down a lot in September, with 30-year rates dropping near 6%, according to Freddie Mac. How Trump's policies could lead to higher mortgage ratesZhao says that right now it's "nearly impossible" to predict where mortgage rates will go in 2025. More supply would help moderate home price growth, improving affordability even if mortgage rates remain high.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump's, , Freddie Mac, they're, Chen Zhao, Melissa Cohn, Trump, Zhao, Kamala Harris, Cohn Organizations: Trump, Service, Bond, William, Mortgage, Analytics
Aaron Dunn, portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley's U.S. Value Fund , noted the "great deal of volatility" in markets following the election result, as markets reprice "what had been a 50/50 election." Speaking to CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Tuesday, Dunn, who's also co-head of value equity at Morgan Stanley, identified three stocks he is betting on following the election result. It's a diversified play in this, [that] you're getting it for just above the market multiple, with a solid runway of growth," Dunn added. According to FactSet data, of 30 analysts covering the stock, 26 give it a buy or overweight rating. He added that the company should increase its long-term growth rate guidance, given the growth in AI data centers.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Aaron Dunn, Dunn, who's, Morgan Stanley, you've, , Trump, They're Organizations: Morgan, Value, Biden Administration, Trump, U.S ., MAA, NextEra Energy Locations: Morgan Stanley's, U.S
Many Americans have been holding back from jumping into the housing market in the hopes that mortgage rates will decline. The average 30-year mortgage rate has been above 6% for two years — and is likely to stay above that level for the foreseeable future, experts say. “Sixes are the new normal,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a mortgage listing services group, referring to 6% mortgage rates. It’s really not going to be impacting mortgage rates at all.”Mortgage rates work differently. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Lisa Sturtevant, Brian Rehling, Trump, Mike Fratantoni, ” Fratantoni, Helene, ” Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Sturtevant, “ It’s Organizations: Federal, Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, Wells, Investment Institute, , U.S, Mortgage, Association, , National Association of Realtors, Pantheon, NBC
Many of the efforts were focused on allocating more funds for affordable housing. They voted for a slew of measures, most of which will create additional funding for affordable housing. Affordable housing bonds in Rhode Island, North Carolina, and BaltimoreSeveral cities and states along the East Coast voted on Tuesday to fund affordable housing bonds. Proponents of stricter rent control say preventing landlords from price gauging is key to protecting the most vulnerable tenants. Freemark argued that it's unclear what the mixed results on rent control mean for the pro-housing movement.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Yonah, Karen Bass, Angelenos, Charlotte, Hill, Anselmo —, Freemark, I'm Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican Party, Urban Institute, LA, East Coast, Orlando In, Denver Locations: Angeles, Los Angeles County, LA, Rhode Island , North Carolina, Baltimore, Rhode Island, homebuyers, North Carolina, Asheville, New Orleans, Orlando, Orlando In New Orleans, Orlando , Florida, Denver, California, Hoboken , New Jersey
"The expectation among bond traders coming into the election was that rates would move higher in the event of a Trump victory and especially a red sweep. "The builder stocks are highly sensitive to mortgage rates and mortgage rate expectations. Big builders have been buying down mortgage rates for their customers, but that has been cutting into their margins. Mortgage rates don't follow the Fed, but do react to the central bank's thinking on the economy. Stronger-than-expected economic reports in September and October caused bond yields, and consequently mortgage rates, to move higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matthew Graham, Horton, PulteGroup, Lowe's, John Burns, Trump, Carl Harris, Graham Organizations: Mortgage News, Trump, . Housing, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors Locations: U.S, D.R
Homebuilder Meritage Homes could see outsized growth even in the midst of a housing lull, thanks to a strategy that emphasizes homes that are "move-in ready," according to Goldman Sachs. Existing home sales remain sluggish and housing turnover below historical norms due to affordability issues for consumers hit by higher mortgage rates. But even against a backdrop of tight housing supply, Goldman analyst Susan Maklari expects Meritage to outshine competitors owing to a unique strategy. Maklari believes Meritage is poised for further upside to its 2028 targets because the company offers a competitive proposition to buyers. Meritage provides a "turnkey solution" to consumers — fully outfitted units that don't need add-ons — with a 60-day closing guarantee on homes.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Susan Maklari, Maklari, Meritage Organizations: realtors, Elliott Homes
Detailed below is what Harris and Trump have proposed in order to address these worries. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have both pledged to address high prices by boosting the supply of homes. Related storiesThe Democratic candidate also said she plans to expand the existing low-income housing tax credit, which incentivizes the rehabilitation or building of housing targeted at lower-income households. As president, Trump proposed major cuts to the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development's budget, including slashing housing assistance and community development aid. AdvertisementWhile in office in 2017, Trump proposed a budget for the 2018 fiscal year that would have significantly cut rural housing subsidies.
Persons: Harris, Trump, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Daryl Fairweather, Redfin, Fairweather, Jessica Lautz, multifamily Organizations: Service, Business, Democratic, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Builders, of Housing, Urban, National Association of Realtors, Democratic Party Locations: America
The big storyPresidential betsChris duMond; Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIWe're less than a week from election day, but one group can already claim victory: betting markets. Kalshi's legal victory in October over the CFTC to offer election betting paved the way for the trend. iStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe betting market's biggest tests might come after the election. Betting markets have Trump as a heavy favorite, whereas traditional polls indicate a tight race. AdvertisementShould Trump win in a landslide, it could strengthen the case for using betting markets as a key tool for election analysis.
Persons: , Chris duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Donald Trump, Polymarket, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Nate Silver, Tesla, Zuckerberg, Citadel's, Justin Lubell, Lubell, Steve Schwarzman, Ken Griffin, Trump, Tyler Le, Harris, Sundar Pichai, Elon Musk, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Apple, CFTC, Trump, TikTok, Meta Connect, Meta, Bank of America, Blackstone, Republican, Amazon, AWS, Five Apple Intelligence, Google, The Washington Post, Street, Microsoft, Starbucks Locations: French, New York, London
watch nowMany factors make it hard to buy a home today, but the one that makes "the biggest difference" in today's market is the housing shortage, Property Brother Drew Scott said at CNBC's Your Money event on Thursday. "I don't think people realize this shortage of housing that we have affects everything," added his brother Jonathan Scott. Why there's a housing shortageAs of mid-2023, there's a housing shortage of 4 million homes, according to the National Association of Realtors. While there have been recent signs of improvement for housing supply, it's not enough to solve the underlying constraint in the U.S. housing market. 'It's ok if you wait a few years'The Property Brothers Drew Scott (L) and Jonathan Scott.
Persons: Drew Scott, Jonathan Scott, Jonathan, Jason Davis Organizations: Census, Federal Reserve, CNBC, National Association of Realtors, Construction, Getty Locations: U.S
Here are six takeaways from Harris’ CNN town hall:Yes, Harris thinks Trump is a fascistHarris was asked Wednesday night if she considers Trump a fascist. “My administration will not be a continuation of the Biden administration,” Harris said. “There was a lot that was done (during the Biden administration), but there’s more to do,” Harris said. The vice president touted her work cracking down on hate crimes and called for new laws to deter future attacks. On Wednesday night, the vice president reprised that appeal – both in what she said and how she said it.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Republicans –, Trump, Hitler’s, Harris, “ He’s, ” Harris, , , , Mark Milley, John Kelly, Liz Cheney, Dick Cheney, Donald Trump’s, Biden, , ’ Harris, CNN’s Anderson Cooper, , haven’t, Cooper, Harris hadn’t, Yahya Sinwar –, Hitler, Covid, Vladimir Putin, Harris ’, feverishly, “ Dick Cheney, “ doesn’t, what’s, jabbing, hasn’t, fracking, she’s, ” Cooper Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, Republicans, Trump, Joint Chiefs of Staff, White House, Marine, , Wyoming, Hamas, Democrats, Israel, Capitol, Trump GOP, GOP, wobbly Republicans Locations: Hitler’s Nazi, Pennsylvania, United States, Mexico, Israel, Gaza, America
A study finds that dorm-style housing could be an efficient path to convert vacant office space. The study comes as office vacancies rise and housing supply remains constrained. The report comes as companies reevaluate their need for office space in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. The national office vacancy rate is set to rise to around 20% by the end of this year, according to commercial real estate firm CBRE. The report comes as the number of office spaces set for residential conversions is on the rise, up to 55,000 this year.
Persons: , Wes LeBlanc, Alex Horowitz Organizations: Service, Pew Locations: Denver, Minneapolis, Seattle
New York CNN —The economic successes of Asheville, North Carolina and Tampa, Florida, have been the envy of many cities across the United States. Will the economies in hard-hit areas like Asheville and Tampa ever fully recover from the hurricanes? Economic activity plunged in the immediate months following Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans, Hurricane Harvey in Houston and Hurricane Irma in Columbia, South Carolina. But within one year after those hurricanes, among the costliest in the US in the last 20 years, economic activity rebounded to levels similar to or greater than before the hurricanes. People could similarly leave parts of Florida if home and flood insurance rates, which have gone up significantly in recent years, continue to jump post Helene and Milton, Kamins told CNN.
Persons: Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Hurricane Harvey, Hurricane Irma, Harvey, Irma, Eric Gay, Helene, Adam Kamins, ” Kamins, Kamins, he’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Hurricanes, Office, National Guard, Hurricane, ” Local, Moody’s, CNN Locations: New York, Asheville , North Carolina, Tampa , Florida, United States, Will, Asheville, Tampa, New Orleans, Hurricane, Houston, Columbia , South Carolina, Sandy, New Orleans , Louisiana, Texas, , ” Local Louisiana, Orleans, Florida, North Carolina
It's been a year since New York City began enforcing its near-ban on short-term rentals, including Airbnbs. While the number of short-term rentals has plummeted, the effect on the housing market is unclear. AdvertisementNew York City's ban on most short-term rentals was supposed to make housing cheaper in the city. In September 2023, NYC began enforcing new regulations — known as Local Law 18 or LL18 — that severely restricted short-term rentals. With so many Airbnbs out of the short-term rental picture, they've been able to charge more.
Persons: It's, Airbnb, , it's, Ben Kallos, LL18, they've, Sean Hennessey, Jonathan M, that's, they're, Paul, who's, Paul —, Theo Yedinsky, Yedinsky, Eric Adams Organizations: New, Service, New York Times, New York, Tisch Center of Hospitality, Facebook, Business, York City Locations: New York City, York, New, Astoria, Queens, San Diego, Mission Beach
Pretty much since they arrived, Mr. Muir and his family have been trying and failing to find a single-family house for no more than $500,000. “I’m like, ‘Wow, I thought this would be a more affordable place to live,’” said Mr. Muir, who is 44 and works in financial services. They disagree, however, about whether Ms. Harris’s plan would actually do that. (Economists also agree that former President Donald J. Trump’s housing plan, which aims to free up housing by deporting immigrants, would probably make the housing crisis worse by devastating the construction work force). Ms. Harris’s main challenge will be convincing them to build.
Persons: Luke Muir, Muir, ’ ”, “ It’s, Kamala Harris, Harris’s, Donald J, Mark Zandi, Harris, , Ed Pinto, playbook, Jason Morris, Withey Morris Baugh, Ms, , Mr Organizations: American Enterprise Institute, Arizona Legislature Locations: Phoenix, Louisiana, San Diego, Maricopa County, California, Arizona
In today's big story, the stock market has officially enjoyed a bull rally for over two years. The big storyBullish on the bull marketNoam Galai/Getty ImagesHappy belated birthday to the stock market's bull rally! Stock market experts who spoke with Business Insider's Matthew Fox don't see things slowing down anytime soon . In fact, the average bull market lasts longer than five years, so we might not even be halfway to the finish line. The actual stock market is healthier, too, as it's no longer reliant on the Magnificent Seven's performance.
Persons: , Noam Galai, Insider's Matthew Fox, Chelsea Jia Feng, we've, Alex Brandon, Jamie Dimon, Ken Griffin, he's, Republican megadonor hasn't, BlackRock, Jett Lara, Augustus Doricko, Doricko, Roblox, Natalie Ammari, Inflation's, Z's, It's Elliott Hill's, Hill, It's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Stock, Insider's, JPMorgan, Republican, Citadel, Wall, Menlo Ventures, Nike, Columbus, District of Columbia Locations: Chelsea, Ukraine, El Segundo , California, a16z, New York, it's, Italian American, London
Owning a home in high-climate risk states like Florida is becoming tougher amid rising costs. Experts say the next few years will be crucial for housing policy in the wake of severe climate disasters. On the one hand, buyers are facing rising costs as insurance premiums skyrocket. Still, a big advantage to owning a home is the ability to lock in housing costs. That's especially true after climate disasters, according to one study that looked at rent prices following hurricanes in US coastal states.
Persons: Hurricane Milton, homebuyers, Chen Zhao, Jung Hyun Choi, Choi, Katrina, Zhao Organizations: Service, Institute's, Finance Policy Center Locations: Florida, Hurricane, Texas, Georgia, Louisiana, it's
Advertisement"The banks are going to have to dispose of that real estate," Barkham told Business Insider in an interview. John Vavas, a real estate finance attorney at Polsinelli who works with commercial real estate lenders, has worked on a handful of office-to-residential conversion deals this year. There's around 1.2 billion square feet worth of office space that could be spun into residential space, Yardi said in a separate report. Late payments on commercial real estate loans have climbed to 1.42% in the second quarter, the highest rate in nearly 10 years. Commercial real estate prices, meanwhile, dropped another 9% year-over-year in the first quarter, Fed data shows.
Persons: , Richard Barkham, Barkham, RentCafe, John Vavas, Yardi, Vavas Organizations: Service, Federal, Silverstein Properties, Washington DC Locations: New York, United States, New York City, Dallas, Chicago, Los Angeles
AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.
Persons: , it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, , MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg
Housing is one of many issues Vance, the Republican nominee, believes are rooted in the arrival of undocumented migrants in America. But many economists caution that connecting rising numbers of immigrants to housing costs is no simple thing. Other economists have noted links between immigrants and increased housing costs. Vance later shared two studies on housing and immigration that showed a link between increased immigration and rising housing costs — though each offered various caveats, including noting that the impact changes over time. Indeed, Zillow data shows a clear upward trend in Springfield rents this year compared with 2023.
Persons: America’s, Sen, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Vance, you’ve, ” Vance, Donald Trump, Walz, , ” Walz, Kamala Harris, Ernie Tedeschi, Joe Biden, Vance’s, Michelle Bowman, Chris Herbert, Herbert, Sharon Cornelissen, Bryan Heck, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, Heck, ” Heck Organizations: Minnesota Gov, Republican, CBS, Democratic, NBC, White House, Federal, Cato Institute, Harvard University’s, for Housing Studies, Consumer Federation of America, NBC Boston Locations: Ohio, America, Springfield , Ohio, U.S, New York City, Los Angeles, Dearborn, Hamtramck, Detroit, Brockton , Massachusetts, Haiti, Cape Verde, Central, South America, Springfield, Washington
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