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Fed Governor Christopher Waller says recent data shows the Fed should ease more cautiously. The Fed cut rates by a50-basis points last month and is expected to make a smaller cut next month. AdvertisementWaller said recent data, though, shows an economy that's still hot. He pointed to recent data on employment, inflation, income and gross domestic product. Waller said he will be watching closely for any further data that shows the Fed should ease less aggressively.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, , Waller's Organizations: Service, Stanford University, Fed
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Data on employment, inflation and economic growth have signaled that the "economy may not be slowing as much as desired," Waller said. A soft landing is the scenario in which inflation drops to the Fed's 2% target while economic growth and employment remain healthy. A "no landing," on the other hand, is when the economy continues expanding as inflation remains high.
Persons: Jefferies, Kelly Ortberg, Christopher Waller, Waller, Fed Governor Waller, Henry Allen, Ohsung Kwon, BofA, Kwon, , Jeff Cox, Sarah Min, Lisa Kailai Han, Yun Li Organizations: Shoppers, Miami Design District, CNBC, Grand View Research, Boeing, P Global, U.S . Federal, Fed, Deutsche Bank, Bank of America Securities Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Monday signaled that future interest rate cuts will be less aggressive than the big move in September as he expressed concern that the economy could still be running at a hotter-than-desired pace. The Federal Open Market Committee at its September meeting took the unusual step of lowering its baseline interest rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, to a target range of 4.75%-5.0%. Along with the cut, officials indicated the likelihood of another half point lopped off in the final two meetings of 2024, along with another full percentage point of cuts in 2025. In the final revision for second-quarter growth, the Commerce Department also punched up the level of gross domestic income gain to 3.4%, an adjustment of 2.1 percentage points from the previous estimate and closer in line with GDP. “These revisions suggest that the economy is much stronger than previously thought, with little indication of a major slowdown in economic activity,” Waller said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Waller, Organizations: Federal, Stanford University, The, Fed, Commerce Department
US stocks hit record highs on Monday as investors get ready for a wave of earnings reports. Over 80 S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Goldman Sachs, report earnings this week. Monday's close marked the S&P 500's 46th record close of the year, as investors continue to power the two-year-old bull market higher. More than 80 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report third-quarter earnings results this week, with major names like Netflix, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley on deck. According to data from Fundstrat, 6% of S&P 500 companies have already reported their results.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Fed Governor Waller, , Monday's, Morgan Stanley, Adriana Kugler, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Netflix, Fed, Service, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal, Stanford University's Hoover Institution Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he supported a half percentage point rate cut at this week's meeting because inflation is falling even faster than he had expected. A week before the Fed meeting, markets were overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis point cut. Along with the decision, individual officials signaled the likelihood of another half point in cuts this year, followed by a full percentage point of reductions in 2025. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman was the only Federal Open Market Committee member to vote against the reduction, instead preferring a smaller quarter percentage point cut. "I was a big advocate of large rate hikes when inflation was moving much, much faster than any of us expected," he said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Fed, Market, Commerce Department
It’s also a sign of confidence from Fed officials that inflation has come under control just enough to comfortably dial back policy. Typically, in the lead-up to a Fed policy decision, Wall Street and economists are in alignment on what to expect. But investors’ wagers for a half-point cut ramped up on Monday; and as of Tuesday afternoon, federal funds futures contracts were pricing in a 63% chance of a jumbo rate cut, up from around 30% on Thursday, according to the CME Group. As inflation skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022, American employers pumped out jobs and the unemployment rate declined to half-century lows. The Fed eventually responded to the country’s inflation problem with its bitter medicine of high interest rates.
Persons: It’s, Christopher Waller, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kaplan, Bill Dudley, , Powell, ” Gregory Daco, , ” Julia Hermann Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Street, CME, Fed, Democratic, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Former New York, Bloomberg, Dow, Labor, New York Life Investments, CNN
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Friday backed an interest rate cut at the upcoming central bank policy meeting in less than two weeks, and indicated he’d be open to a substantial reduction if necessary. Other policymakers recently have advocated easing policy soon, but this is one of the clearest indications it will happen at the Sept. 17-18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. “Determining the pace of rate cuts and ultimately the total reduction in the policy rate are decisions that lie in the future,” Waller added. With inflation and employment near our longer-run goals and the labor market moderating, it is likely that a series of reductions will be appropriate,” he said. Futures market pricing following the jobs report tilted toward a greater likelihood of a quarter percentage point rate reduction this month.
Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Waller, verbiage, Jerome Powell, , nonfarm, Dow Jones, Organizations: Federal, Council, Foreign Relations, Labor Department, Dow Locations: New York
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday suggested that interest rate cuts are ahead soon as long as there are no major surprises on inflation and employment. "So, while I don't believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted." Keeping with statements from other policymakers, Waller's sentiments point to an unlikelihood of a rate cut when the Federal Open Market Committee meets later this month, but a stronger likelihood of a move in September. "Given that I believe the first two scenarios have the highest probability of occurring, I believe the time to lower the policy rate is drawing closer," Waller said. Williams noted that inflation data is "all moving in the right direction and doing that pretty consistently" and is "getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we're looking for."
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, John Williams, Williams Organizations: Federal, Kansas City Fed, Market Committee, CNBC, New York Fed, Wall Street, Fed, Traders
There's a lot to like right now in the fixed income market, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder. He finds European credit, both investment grade and BB-rated high yield, attractive in part because of the strong U.S. dollar. They have also added high quality CLOs and high-quality European securitized assets. "We're getting more yield than BB high yield. We're getting almost as much yield as full high yield — and our volatility is 60% of that market, just because we diversified," Rieder said.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Rieder, Bond, Fed Governor Waller, I've, He'd, Morningstar, We've, we're, BINC, We're, they'll Organizations: CNBC, SEC, Federal Reserve, Fed, AAA, BlackRock AAA, BlackRock AAA CLO, U.S, CLOs, MBS Locations: BlackRock, CLOs, European
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, citing a string of data showing that inflation appears to be easing, said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary. Yet Waller said he's not ready to back interest rate cuts. Markets have had to recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy this year. In the early months, futures markets traders priced in at least six rate cuts this year starting in March.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, he's Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Market, Labor Department Locations: Washington ,, Washington
Gold holds steady as traders await U.S. data for more Fed cues
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices steadied on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on interest rate cuts and looked forward to more U.S. economic data for policy clues. Gold prices steadied on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on interest rate cuts and looked forward to more U.S. economic data for policy clues. Fed Governor Waller on Wednesday said recent disappointing inflation data affirms the case for the U.S. central bank holding off on cutting its short-term interest rate target. Traders are currently pricing in a 62% probability the Fed will begin cutting rates in June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Ilya Spivak, Fed Governor Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S, Traders Locations: Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Governor Waller sounded 'dovish' in speech today, says Vital Knowledge's Adam CrisafulliAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge Co-Founder and Nick Colas, Datatrek Research Co-Founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Waller, Vital, Adam Crisafulli Adam Crisafulli, Nick Colas Organizations: Research
Morning Bid: Treasuries on cusp of best month since 2008
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Let's start with Treasuries because, if this were sports, we'd be calling it a comeback for the ages. Now, with some encouraging hints from Fed officials, 10-year notes are poised to celebrate their best month since the 2008 global crash, with yields down 61 basis points for November so far. Yields on two-year paper are down 31 bps just this week, the steepest drop since the U.S. mini-banking crisis in March. The European Union has inflation data of its own later on Thursday and analysts suspect the risks are for a downside surprise following subdued readings from Germany and Spain. The dollar index looks set for its worst month since November last year, with a loss so far of 3.7%.
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Wayne Cole, Let's, we'd, Governor Waller, dovishness, Powell, Williams, Lagarde, Greene, Governor Bunge, Edmund Klamann Organizations: U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, Fed New, European Union, China PMI, BoE Monetary, CPI, PPI, Chicago PMI, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Wayne, U.S, Germany, Spain, China, BoE, EU, Chicago
The New Zealand dollar was last up 1.1% at a four-month high of $0.6207, having blown past resistance. The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, slid to fresh multi-month lows on the euro, yen, sterling, the Australian dollar, yuan and Swiss franc. Overnight Fed Governor Christopher Waller - an influential and previously hawkish voice at the U.S. central bank - told the American Enterprise Institute that rate cuts could begin in a matter of months, provided inflation keeps falling. Fed funds futures rallied on the remark to price more than hundred basis points of cuts in 2024 and 40% chance they begin as soon as March. Two-year Treasury yields fell sharply and along with the dollar fell further still in Asia.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Governor Waller's, Tapas Strickland, Jerome Powell, Waller, CONDITIONALITY Waller's, Seng, Vishnu Varathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: New Zealand, Nikkei, U.S ., Swiss, U.S, American Enterprise Institute, Governor, National Australia Bank, Fed, HK, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Hong Kong, Sydney, China, Meituan, Zealand, Singapore
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Governor Christopher Waller: Officials can 'wait, watch and see' before acting on interest ratesCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Halftime Report' with breaking news from Fed Governor Waller about recent employment data, the strength of the economy in Q3, and the status of consumer spending.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Steve Liesman, Fed Governor Waller Organizations: Fed
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Tuesday that the recent round of strong economic data will buy the central bank some time as it decides whether additional interest rate hikes are needed to control inflation. "The biggest thing is just inflation," Waller said. "That depends on the data," Waller said when asked whether the rate increases can stop. Markets are assigning a near certainty to the chances that the Fed skips a rate rise at its Sept. 19-20 meeting. "It's not obvious that we're in real danger of doing a lot of damage to the job market, even if we raise rates one more time."
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, We've, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, Market, Group
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., US, on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Thursday cast doubt on the need for special focus on how banks are preparing for climate change risks. Thus, he said that conducting special tests for how banks are preparing for such events probably shouldn't fall under the Fed's purview. The stress tests focus on how banks would respond to financial and economic crises. A financial stability report in 2020 first addressed the topic.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Madrid, United States
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he favors a quarter percentage point interest rate increase at the next meeting, as he waits for more evidence that inflation is heading in the right direction. Other officials, such as Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, have pointed to a 0.25 percentage point increase at the Jan. 31-Feb. 1 FOMC meeting, but Waller is the highest-ranking member to be that explicit. While the market and the Fed appear to be on the same page with where rates go in the short term, there is divergence further out. Waller said the divergence is largely about perception for where inflation is going to go. "The market has a a very optimistic view that inflation is just going to melt away.
Fed Governor Waller expects a 50 bps hike in December
  + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Governor Waller expects a 50 bps hike in DecemberCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Power Lunch' to report on comments made by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller about a 50 basis point hike in December, the importance of slowing growth in the fight against inflation and takeaways from the CPI report.
Shares and bonds chastened as Fed, ECB urge care
  + stars: | 2022-11-14 | by ( Lawrence White | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Meanwhile dovish comments from European Central Bank policymaker Fabio Panetta saw European bond yields ease, but short-dated rates remained within striking distance of multi-year highs. Panetta said the ECB needs to avoid overtightening as that could destroy productive capacity and deepen a recession. The benchmark European STOXX index rose 0.26% (.STOXX), and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) added 0.6%, after jumping 7.7% last week. The dollar index was last seen on Monday at 106.86, still well short of last week's 111.280 top , while the euro eased a touch to $1.032 , after climbing 3.9% last week. The firming dollar also dragged down oil prices, despite the hopes of a demand boost from China's hints at reopening.
Shares and bonds chastened as Fed urges caution
  + stars: | 2022-11-14 | by ( Lawrence White | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The benchmark European STOXX index rose 0.15% (.STOXX), and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) added 0.5%, after jumping 7.7% last week. EYES ON CHINAChinese stocks gained on reports that regulators have asked financial institutions to extend more support to stressed property developers. The support for China's property sector, which consumes a vast amount of metals, boosted copper towards a five-month high. The dollar index was last seen on Monday at 107.15, still well short of last week's 111.280 top , while the euro eased a touch to $1.02875 , after climbing 3.9% last week. The firming dollar also dragged down oil prices, despite the hopes of a demand boost from China's hints at reopening.
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