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Oil prices rise on Israel-Iran conflict fears and U.S. storm
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Thursday on concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East, with Israel planning to strike oil-producer Iran, and on spikes in fuel demand as a major storm barreled into Florida. The world's largest oil producer and consumer has been hit by a second major storm, Hurricane Milton, which made landfall on Florida's west coast, spawning tornadoes and threatening surges of seawater. The storm has already driven up demand for gasoline in the state, with about a quarter of fuel stations selling out of supplies, which has helped support crude prices. Further underpinning prices, investors remained wary of a potential escalation in tensions between Israel and Iran, with Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant promising an Israeli strike against Iran would be "lethal, precise and surprising". Even with threats to the oil-producing Middle Eastern region top of mind, weak demand continues to underpin the fundamental outlook.
Persons: Iran, Hurricane Milton, Yoav Gallant, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, Israeli, U.S . Energy, Administration, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute Locations: Israel, Florida, U.S, Hurricane, Florida's, Iran, China, North America
Gold ticks up, U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices nudged higher on Thursday, while traders await a key U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy stance. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,614.00 per ounce by 0246 GMT, after easing for the previous six sessions. The U.S. Consumer Price Index for September is due at 1230 GMT and Producer Price Index data on Friday. Markets see an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November. Dallas Fed Bank President Lorie Logan called for gradual cuts and said that the U.S. central bank should not rush.
Persons: Price, Ilya Spivak, Spivak, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Israel's Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Treasury, Fed, San Francisco Fed Bank, Dallas Fed Bank Locations: U.S, Iran
Why investors shouldn’t sweat this inflation report
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The latest inflation report came in slightly hotter than expected, knocking stock prices lower. But the odds of a quarter-point Fed rate cut in November actually rose after the report came out. "CPI Inflation data was slightly on the hotter side, with commodity prices (outside) energy rising more than expected. The good news is that shelter inflation is pulling back and that's going to pull inflation lower. Investors received fresh labor market data Thursday as well, with initial jobless claims jumping by 33,000 to 258,000.
Persons: Dow Jones, Sonu Varghese, Goldman Sachs, Whitney Watson, Ian Lyngen, Stephen Tusa Organizations: CPI, Reserve, Carson, Investors, BMO Capital Markets, JPMorgan, Honeywell
European markets are heading for a positive open Thursday as investors await the latest U.S. inflation data for more signs that price pressures are easing. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate a 0.1% increase on a monthly basis, and a 2.3% advance over the prior 12 months. The result will also inform the Federal Reserve's next steps on policy at its November meeting. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night, while Asia-Pacific markets opened mostly higher on Thursday, buoyed by gains on Wall Street on Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Locations: Asia, Pacific
The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets opened mostly higher on Thursday, following gains on Wall Street that saw the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average reach new records as investors shook off geopolitical concerns. Japan's Nikkei 225 opened up 0.5%, while the broad-based Topix gained 0.4%. Traders in Asia will assess data from September on producer prices in Japan which rose 2.8% from a year ago. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 21,070, higher than the HSI's last close of 20,637.24.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan Exchange Group Inc, Dow Jones, Nikkei, Traders, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific, Asia, Hong Kong, China, Shenzhen, Beijing
In today's big story, we got our first interest-rate cut, but it doesn't feel like it for many consumers . We finally got an interest-rate cut, but borrowing costs are still high. First off, last month's interest-rate cut wasn't going to provide immediate relief. Yes, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has gone up 47 basis points since the Fed cut rates , writes BI's Matthew Fox. So the Fed cut rates but borrowing costs went up?
Persons: , Milton, Alyssa Powell, isn't materializing, Jennifer Sor, Let's, BI's Matthew Fox, I'm, It's, BI's James Rodriguez, who's, Warren Faidley, Hurricane Milton, Hindenburg, Chelsea Jia Feng, Vinod Khosla, OpenAI, Mark Zuckerbergs, Gen Zers, haven't, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk's, Tesla, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Gas, Hindenburg, Tech, DOJ, Google, Walt Disney World, Hurricane Milton, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Hurricane, Energy, Futures, Bank of America, Disney Locations: Florida, Warren, Tampa, Chelsea, Robotaxi, Hurricane, New York, London
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures retreated 4.63% during U.S. trading hours Tuesday, halting the red-hot rally oil prices have experienced the past week. The central bank's likely to make another half-point cut in November, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, told CNBC. On the back of such turbulence, CNBC Pro asks two strategists whether now's the time to invest in China.
Persons: It's, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's Organizations: Central, CNBC, Technology, Nasdaq, Google, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S, The New York Times, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Reserve Bank of New, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York, United States, Jerusalem, Israel, Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Australia, New Zealand, China
Crude oil futures drifted lower Wednesday after sliding more than 4% the previous day. The rally spurred by the risk of a wider Middle East war has stalled out amid uncertainty over how Israel will retaliate against Iran for last week's ballistic missile strike. Chinese policymakers' failure to deliver new economic stimulus measures at a press briefing this week also held energy prices in check. Though prices are falling, Goldman Sachs sees global benchmark Brent jumping by $10 to $20 per barrel if an Israeli strike disrupts Iranian crude oil production, according to a Tuesday research note. Here are Wednesday's energy prices at around 8:02 a.m.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: Brent Locations: Israel, Iran
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S
Baruch: Competition will always arise.
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBaruch: Competition will always arise. Bill Baruch, President at Blue Line Futures, analyzes Amazon's performance, highlighting its recent downgrades but potential for growth in Q4. He addresses competition from Walmart and concerns over AWS, suggesting current negativity could present buying opportunities.
Persons: Bill Baruch Organizations: Baruch, Blue, Walmart
Oil prices steadied in Asian trading on Wednesday, as traders weighed uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East conflict against continued bearish fundamentals. Brent crude futures rose 11 cents, or 0.14%, to $77.29 a barrel by 02:23 GMT. Prices had plunged more than 4% in the previous session on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, but markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iran's oil infrastructure. Hezbollah officials on Tuesday appeared to back off from a truce in Gaza as a condition for a ceasefire in Lebanon. The U.S. EIA on Tuesday downgraded its 2024 forecast for global oil demand growth by 20,000 barrels per day (bpd), to 103.1 million bpd, because of weaker industrial production and manufacturing growth in the U.S. and China.
Persons: Hezbollah's, Naim Qassem, Hurricane Milton, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Macquarie, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, U.S, EIA, IG . Florida Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, U.S, China, Hurricane, Coast, Tampa
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Earnings Stephanie Link of Hightower believes Q3 earnings will be better than LSEG estimates of a 5% increase year over year; seeing potential for an 8-10% increase. "This gives it some room to outperform in the final quarter," Baruch said on Worldwide Exchange. (This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers.
Persons: Stephanie Link, Hightower, Bill Baruch, Baruch, Wells Fargo Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Blue, Wolfe Research, Dow Transports, Dow Jones Transportation, Citi, Logistics
European stocks are heading for a flat to mixed open Wednesday as positive sentiment wavers in the region, spurred by market volatility in China. Regional markets traded and closed lower Tuesday, with all major bourses and the majority of sectors trading in the red during the day. On Tuesday, the HSI recorded its worst day in 16 years, closing 9.41% lower. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Tuesday night after a winning session for the major averages. Wall Street is coming off a strong session for the major averages Tuesday as tech stocks outperformed, and oil prices eased off their highs.
Persons: HSI Organizations: Regional, CSI, NATO Locations: China, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Belgium
New York CNN —Melinda French Gates is shedding more light on her $1 billion plan to promote women’s rights, announcing Wednesday a new $250 million fund to improve women’s mental and physical health. The billionaire philanthropist launched “Action for Women’s Health”, a fund through her organization Pivotal Ventures. Its webpage says that “women’s health has been underfunded, overlooked, and misunderstood” and that health inequities between men and women “not only impact women’s daily lives, but they can also hurt women’s futures.”“It’s clear we need to do a better job of addressing the barriers to women’s health. “We’re seeing the devastating impacts” of Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 abortion rights case, being overturned, French Gates told the publication. Harris, the Democratic nominee for US president, has been vocal about women’s reproductive rights.
Persons: Melinda French Gates, , Gates, Dobbs, , Roe, Wade, Kamala Harris, Harris, Melinda Gates, Bill Gates Organizations: New, New York CNN, Women’s Health, Ventures, New York Times, Bloomberg, CBS, Democratic, Melinda Gates Foundation Locations: New York
"A few participants also added that a 25 basis point move could signal a more predictable path of policy normalization." Since the meeting, economic indicators have showed that the labor market is perhaps stronger than officials favoring the 50 basis point move had expected. The minutes noted that the vote to approve the 50 basis point cut came "in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks" against the labor market. Though the document was more detailed about the debate over whether to approve the 25 basis point cut, there was not as much information about why voters supported the larger move. Since the Fed meeting, both the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields have surged about 40 basis points.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Market, Treasury Locations: WASHINGTON
Kalshi wagers on the presidential race outcomes were split 50-50, roughly reflecting national polling on the contest. The new contracts were added to Kalshi's platform within days of a favorable federal appeals court ruling for the company on Oct 2. Even more political races could soon become available for betting with Kalshi contracts, the CFTC said, citing contract terms published on the exchange's web site. But the commission argues that Kalshi's contracts might cast doubt on the integrity of elections. The appeals court initially blocked that judge's ruling from taking effect, which meant Kalshi could not offer any political contracts.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kalshi, KalshiEx, It's, there's, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Patricia Millett Organizations: White, Electoral, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, U.S ., Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
Gold lacks momentum as investors brace for Fed minutes
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices slipped on Thursday as investors booked profits after a sustained rally and pressure from institutional investors looking to raise cash, while focus shifted to U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's rate path. Gold prices were subdued on Wednesday as investors strapped in for minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting for insights into the U.S. central bank's interest rate trajectory. "Gold prices seem to be seeing a much-needed retracement lower. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Tuesday that weakening inflation trends make it likely the U.S. central bank can implement further interest rate cuts. Zero-yield bullion tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.
Persons: I'm, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal, Index, Traders, U.S . Consumer, Boston, Gold Locations: U.S, North America
Autonomous taxis are winning over women in cities like San Francisco by offering an answer to a long-standing concern about ride-hailing apps: misbehavior by human drivers, especially men. Now, those driver safety concerns are helping to fuel the popularity of autonomous taxis — especially for women traveling alone or at night. About three-quarters of Lyft and Uber drivers are men, according to industry and academic surveys. Lyft said in a statement to NBC News that it continues to try to improve safety, including with driver background checks, driver ratings, driver education and an emergency phone line for passengers. In 2023, Lyft started a feature, Women+ Connect, that allows women or nonbinary drivers to opt in to prefer riders who are women or nonbinary, and vice versa.
Persons: they’ve, Veronica Pastore, it’s, “ I’ve, ’ ”, Pastore, “ It’s, , they’d, they’re, Abby Vigil, she’s, Robotaxis, driverless, , Jason Munderloh, ” Waymo, Lyft, Uber, Waymo, ” Uber, Dara Khosrowshahi, Diana Taurasi, Megan Neese, Neese, Amazon’s, Elon Musk, Jayka Noelle, Noelle, TikTok, DaBabyBoomers, Cheryl Baxter, Beth Bowles Organizations: San Francisco, Gig Workers, Rider, NBC News, CNBC, Phoenix Mercury, Google, Motors ’, Tesla Locations: San Francisco, Lyft, San, , , U.S, Atlanta, Austin , Texas, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Los Angeles, Austin, Scottsdale , Arizona
In 2022, oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz averaged 21 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Saul Kavonic, senior research analyst at MST Financial, said supply disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices significantly higher. Oil prices traded more than 3% on Monday, extending gains even after notching their sharpest weekly gain since early 2023 last week. "But seeing where the oil price sits right now the market doesn't seem to hold much probability for such a development at all," he added. "A significant disruption to these flows would be enough to push oil prices to new record highs, surpassing the record high of close to $150/bbl in 2008," he added.
Persons: Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, CNBC's, Iraq —, Gelder, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic, Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB, Brent, Schieldrop, Warren Patterson, Patterson Organizations: Nurphoto, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Energy, Brent, U.S, West Texas, ING, bbl, United Arab Emirates, Space Shuttle Columbia Locations: Persian, Bushehr, Iran, Hormuz, Oman, Strait, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, UAE, Gulf, Muscat
An oil pumpjack (L) operates as another (R) stands idle in the Inglewood Oil Field on January 28, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. Oil prices edged lower in early Asian trading hours on Tuesday as traders booked profits after prices rallied to their highest in over a month on Monday amid fears that the Middle East could be on the brink of a region-wide war. Israel has sworn to retaliate and is weighing its options, with Iran's oil facilities considered a possible target. However, some analysts believe that an attack on Iranian oil infrastructure is unlikely and have warned that oil prices could face considerable downward pressure if Israel focuses on any other target. U.S. crude oil inventories are expected to rise by 1.9 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 4, according to a preliminary Reuters poll.
Persons: Israel, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Inglewood Oil Field, . West Texas, Organization of Petroleum, ANZ Bank, American Petroleum Institute, Energy, Administration Locations: Inglewood, Los Angeles , California, Middle, Iran, Haifa, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Hurricane, Florida, U.S . Gulf of Mexico, .
Energy traders are betting that Hurricane Milton will spark power outages in Florida. US natural gas futures have fallen 8% in the last three days. Front-month US natural gas futures have dropped 8% over the last three days, from $2.97 to $2.74 per million British thermal units as of Tuesday morning. The price drop comes as the Southeast prepares for Hurricane Milton, which is expected to hit Florida by Wednesday evening. Energy traders have leaned more bullish on natural gas in recent weeks before the latest bout of extreme weather.
Persons: Hurricane Milton, , Helene Organizations: Hurricane, Traders, Service, Energy, Southeast, Florida, Gas, New York Mercantile, Intercontinental Exchanges, Reuters Locations: Florida
Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.
Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St
Crude oil futures fell about 2% on Tuesday, as the rally on geopolitical risk took a pause while the market waits for Israel to strike back against Iran. "Oil can keep ascending only for so long purely based on perceptions and not actual supply disruption," Tamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, said in a Tuesday note. Oil prices have surged about 13% through Monday's close since Iran fired around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel last week, raising fears that Israel might retaliate by hitting Iran's crude industry. ET:The market was also disappointed that Chinese officials did not announce any new stimulus plans at a press briefing Tuesday. In early September, oil prices hit their lowest level since December 2021.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Israel, Phil Flynn Organizations: Iran, Price Futures Locations: Israel, Iran, China
CNBC Daily Open: Fear is the stock killer
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little. But there's an undercurrent of fear that can perhaps run contrary to what some of those numbers are saying.
Persons: Michael M, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: New York City, U.S
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets are back to contending with rising oil prices, inflation possibly reaccelerating, fewer-than-expected rate cuts and potentially even a distant recession. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little.
Persons: IXIC, Brendan McDermid, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: U.S
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