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Hong Kong CNN —In the summer of 2018, when former President Donald Trump launched a trade war with Beijing, the Chinese economy was riding high. There was even talk it could soon overtake the United States as the world’s largest. But last year, Mexico overtook China as the top exporter of goods into the United States, according to the Commerce Department. China had held that perch for 20 years before its exports to the United States fell by 20% to $427 billion last year. Women walk at a fashion accessories store displaying a poster to promote Singles' Day discounts at a shopping mall in Beijing, China, on November 11, 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Dexter Roberts, Joe Biden, Matthews, Wang Shouwen, ” Andy Rothman, , Liza Tobin, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Beijing’s, don’t, Sean Callow, Callow, Andy Wong, Rothman, Xi Jinping, Larry Hu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Trump, Atlantic Council, Commerce Department, Matthews Asia, Treasury, CNN, PVH Corp, Bain & Company, ITC Markets, US, Peterson Institute, National Bureau of Statistics, Gross, Macquarie Bank Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, United States, Mexico, Lianyungang, US, Xinjiang, , Shanghai, New York,
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFears are mounting that the U.S. could soon experience its own version of Britain's "mini-budget" crisis, with bond strategists warning that Donald Trump's return to the White House brings with it the specter of currency volatility and surging bond yields. The former president's economic agenda has ratcheted up concerns about a surge in consumer prices, which strategists say could spark significant shifts in bond yields and investor behavior. They warn a scenario that mirrors Britain's mini-budget crisis of 2022 is not out of the question. watch nowBritain's mini-budget crisis refers to a tumultuous period under former Prime Minister Liz Truss and ex-Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher consumer prices or a growing budget deficit.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Remtulla, Liz Truss, Kwasi Kwarteng, Kwarteng, Althea Spinozzi, Trump's, Spinozzi, Angela Weiss, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Thierry Wizman, likelier, Wizman Organizations: Economic, of New, Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, CNBC, U.S ., Finance, U.S, Bank of England, Saxo Bank, White, Treasury, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Capital Economics, Macquarie Group Locations: of New York, New York, U.S, Foreign, Treasurys, Treasuries, New York City, America
U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of New York, Breon Peace, speaks during a news conference in Brooklyn, New York, U.S., October 22, 2024. Former New York City police officer Jason Rodriguez pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit wire fraud related to his role as the chief operating officer of a foreign exchange investment fund, prosecutors said in a release Thursday. Rodriguez, 38, was indicted in a Brooklyn federal court in February after he lied to investors and lost most of the $4.8 million put into his forex investment fund, Technical Trading Team. To date, approximately $3.5 million of those funds have not been paid back to the investors, according to the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of New York. "In reality, there were no guardrails, he resigned from the NYPD in disgrace, and he lost most of the money, inflicting substantial harm on his victims."
Persons: Jason Rodriguez, Rodriguez, Breon Pace, Peace Organizations: Attorney, Eastern, of, Former New York, Attorney's Locations: of New York, Brooklyn , New York, U.S, Former New York City, Brooklyn, United States
As bitcoin prepares to vault to $100,000, I can't help but wonder if cryptocurrency – not artificial intelligence – is the mother of all financial market manias. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin in 2024 The first bitcoin, minted in 2009 , changed hands at about one-tenth of one cent. With bitcoin at nearly $100,000 on Thursday, the first buyers of the cryptocurrency would, no doubt, be worth scores of billions of dollars. The three defining features of money are: A medium of exchange A unit of account A store of value Bitcoin – or any cryptocurrency – is not widely used for transactions. The real question in my mind remains, does the world need bitcoin, or does it just want the flagship crypto?
Persons: bitcoin, cryptocurrency, SWIFT, there's, Donald Trump, Charles Mackay, Ron Insana Organizations: Louis Federal Reserve, U.S, U.S ., CNBC Locations: U.S, Dutch
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China
Sim left banking in 2017 and is now a published author, professional speaker, and career coach. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Eric Sim, 54, a former banker turned professional speaker and executive coach. When I picked banking as a career, I had very little idea of what the job would actually involve. I can play the game, but I don't enjoy the gameSim left UBS in 2017 and is now a professional speaker and executive coach. Through my work as a speaker and lecturer, I have been able to share my know-how in banking and career planning with more people.
Persons: Eric Sim, Sim, I'd, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley —, I've, I'm Organizations: DBS Bank, DBS, Lancaster University, Standard Chartered, Citibank, UBS, Banking Locations: Singapore, London, Shanghai, Hong Kong, secondments, China, Asia
Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "The backdrop is already a more volatile FX market," Webb said, comparing markets now to when Trump was inaugurated in January 2017. But market volatility is at its lowest level since July, based on the VIX Index, Wall Street's favorite measure of uneasiness. Universa has demand for its strategy, Yarckin said, but it's coming from "a small subset of people." "I wonder if this is being underestimated" by the markets, Webb said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, , Donald Trump, Jonathan Webb, Webb, Trump, Wall, Brandon Yarckin, Universa, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Yarckin, Simon Aninat, haven't, Mark Spitznagel, Aninant, Mattias Eriksson, Eriksson, Elon Musk, It's Organizations: Universa Investments, Service, Twitter, C8 Technologies, Jefferies, Business, Oracle Locations: Omaha
Beauty raised its full-year guidance on Wednesday after posting a 40% growth in sales. Sales rose to $301 million, up about 40% from $216 million a year earlier. raised its full-year revenue guidance from a previous range of $1.28 billion to $1.3 billion and also raised its adjusted earnings guidance. The retailer is expecting adjusted earnings to be between $3.47 to $3.53 per share, up from a prior outlook of between $3.36 and $3.41 per share. Analysts had been looking for earnings guidance of $3.51, according to LSEG.
Persons: we're, Tarang Amin, Amin, Donald Trump Organizations: LSEG, Gen Alpha, CNBC, Target, Walgreens Locations: U.S
The U.S. dollar was little changed against other global currencies on Tuesday evening as voting began to wind down in the presidential election. The foreign exchange market could be one of the first areas of the financial system to react as election results roll in. Traders generally expect that a strong night for former President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress could push the greenback higher. The dollar has generally strengthened in the runup to Election Day. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose more than 3% in October, though it has dipped in recent days.
Persons: David Zervos, Donald Trump, Paul Christopher Organizations: U.S, greenback, U.S ., Jefferies, Traders, Republicans, Wells, Investment Institute, ICE Locations: Mexican, U.S
Tingshu Wang | ReutersFrom Apple to Starbucks , U.S. consumer brands are reporting yet another quarter of China sales declines. Apple last week reported Greater China sales fell slightly to $15.03 billion in the three months ended Sept. 28, down from $15.08 billion in the year-ago period. The quarterly sales decline reduced Apple's China revenue share to 15.8% of total net sales, down from 16.9% in the year-ago period. Low consumer confidenceU.S. sportswear giant Nike said that Greater China revenue for the quarter ended Aug. 31 fell by 4% year-on-year to $1.67 billion. In Europe, luxury giant LVMH also felt the drag from the China market.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tim Cook, Apple, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Isaac Stone Fish, Cummins, Walt, Fish Organizations: Reuters, Apple, U.S, Starbucks, Nike, Carrier, Coca Cola, RTX Corporation, Honeywell, Walt Disney, Caterpillar Locations: Chengdu, Sichuan province, China, U.S, what's, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Greater China, Europe, Asia, Japan, COVID, Japan Asia
A sign for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) sign is displayed inside central bank's headquarters in Mumbai, India. The Reserve Bank of India would be able to tap its large foreign exchange reserves to defend the domestic currency in the event of global market volatility and an outflow of foreign funds, the sources said. There has been a record outflow of more than $10 billion in foreign funds from India stocks, while foreigners pulled $700 million from the debt market. Central bank officials have not committed to or signaled any timing for a rate cut. China's stimulus efforts, which could intensify if U.S. tariffs further hurt its economy, have been a factor driving foreign funds out of India and other emerging markets into China.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Republican, Democratic, Trump Locations: Mumbai, India, China, The U.S, Central
Urbazon | Istock | Getty ImagesSwitzerland could be at risk of slipping into deflationary territory next year, as a stronger Swiss franc beleaguers policymakers' efforts to get a handle on price growth. The central bank also revised down its forecasts, putting the average annual inflation rate for 2024 at 1.2% from 1.3%, while projecting price increases will grow by 0.6% in 2025, compared with a previous outlook of 1.1%. Foreign exchange (FX) interventions take place when a bank buys or sells its currency in the FX market to raise or lower its value against another currency. Swiss inflation has meanwhile continued to fall. In March, with inflation at 1.2%, the SNB become the first major Western central bank to cut interest rates.
Persons: Thomas Jordan, Adrian Prettejohn, Sophie Altermatt, Julius Baer, Prettejohn, Jordan Organizations: Istock, Getty, Swiss National Bank, Capital, Capital Economics, CNBC, FX Locations: Bern, Switzerland, Adrian Prettejohn Europe, Europe
LONDON — Block, the payments company owned by tech billionaire Jack Dorsey has launched its corporate card service in the U.K. in a bid to deepen its expansion into the country and take on big incumbents like American Express . In the U.K., Square Card will come up against local banking giants like Lloyds and NatWest . Hussain-Letch highlighted The Vinyl Guys as an example of an early adopter of its corporate card offering. The vehicle branding and signage printing shop based in Stafford used the corporate card as part of a testing phase with domestic U.K. customers. Once an employee is onboarded onto the Square Card program, they can begin using within their own digital wallet apps.
Persons: Jack Dorsey, Samina Hussain, Hussain, Letch, We've, Rachel Reeves, Reeves Organizations: American Express, CNBC, Citigroup, U.K, Lloyds, NatWest, Entrepreneurs, Tax Locations: Britain, North America, U.S, Canada, Stafford
Stellantis worker at work inside of the new Hybrid and PHEV Vehicles Stellantis Group eDCT Assembly Plant on April 10, 2024 in Turin, Italy. Auto giant Stellantis on Thursday reported a 27% decline in third-quarter net revenues, but said it was making headway in addressing operational issues such as U.S. inventories. The Netherlands-based company, which owns household names including Jeep, Dodge, Fiat, Chrysler and Peugeot, said that net revenues for the July-September period came in at 33 billion euros ($35.8 billion). Analysts had expected third-quarter net revenues to come in at 36.6 billion euros, according to an LSEG-compiled consensus. Stellantis said it is set to reach its target of slimming down the U.S. stocks by 100,000 units by the end of November.
Persons: Stellantis Organizations: Vehicles, Auto, Dodge, Fiat, Chrysler, Peugeot, Analysts, U.S, Atlantic Locations: Turin, Italy, Netherlands, U.S, Milan, China
CNN has reached out to Terada for comment on the R-FBI’s role in Russian disinformation efforts, and ties to the state. Storm-1516 and R-FBI network members have spread at least 54 different disinformation narratives online since August 2023, according to Clemson and CNN’s analysis. “Does anyone believe that an American would be the spearhead of what some call the biggest Russian Disinformation operation since the cold war? TelegramAnother prominent figure in propagating Russian disinformation is American Tara Reade, a former Senate staffer who in 2020 accused then-presidential candidate Joe Biden of sexual harassment. The links between Terada’s group and other Russian disinformation efforts are at best opaque, which is likely no accident.
Persons: , Yevgeny Prigozhin, Wagner, Mira Terada, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Harris, Walz, Morgan Finkelstein, “ Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump, Trump, , Win McNamee, ” Darren Linvill, Patrick Warren, , Biden, Warren, Kamala, Influencers, John Mark Dougan, Dougan, he’s, Andrew Harnik, MAGA, IMbaMm8YVF, Darren Linvill, Linvill, ” Clemson, Maxim Shugaley, Terada, Vladimir Putin’s “, ” Prigozhin, Konstantin Pridybaylo, Ruslan Ostashko, Colin Gerard, Gerard, Alexander Dugin, picturing, Tara Reade, Joe Biden, Reade, ” Chay Bowes, Simeon Boikov, podcaster, Bowes, ” Warren, Sean Lyngaas, influencers Organizations: CNN, Clemson University’s, Russian Foundation, FBI, Storm, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Clemson, Getty, NBC, Wired, Prigozhin’s, Internet Research Agency, Miami Chronicle, Boston Times, DC, IRA, Russian, Gov, National Intelligence, US State Department, Minnesota, Apple, Trump, Infrastructure Security Agency, , Federal Bureau, Investigation, Kremlin, Wagner Group, US Justice Department, ANO Dialog, BRICS Journalists Association, Washington Post, Center, Forensics Locations: Russian, Ukraine, West, San Francisco, Zambia, Savannah , Georgia, , , American, Zambian, St . Petersburg, Florida, Moscow, Russia, Kazakhstan, Minnesota, Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Bucks County ,, French, Irish, Sydney, European
MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Storm Trami has killed at least 26 people and forced more than 150,000 to flee their homes in the Philippines, officials said Thursday, as it made landfall on the northeastern coast. Trami, locally known as severe tropical storm Kristine, dumped heavy to torrential rain on the main island of Luzon, triggering widespread flooding and landslides. A man walking among debris from the floods caused by Tropical Storm Trami in Nabua, the Philippines, on Friday. Zalrian Sayat / AFP - Getty ImagesIt warned of heavy to intense rainfall, flooding, landslides and storm surges for some northern provinces. The Philippines typically records an average of 20 tropical storms annually, often resulting in heavy rains, strong winds and deadly landslides.
Persons: Trami, Zalrian Sayat, Ezikiel Chavez Organizations: Associated Press, Getty Locations: MANILA, Philippines, Luzon, Cordillera, China, Nabua, AFP, Bicol, Naga, Divilacan, Isabela province, Bato
“Taiwan's membership at the IMF would help boost financial resilience,” the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in Washington said during this week's IMF and World Bank annual meetings. Taiwan also is seeking to participate in the U.N. World Health Organization's annual World Health Assembly and join Interpol. But China, which sees Taiwan as a breakaway province and threatens to annex it by force, has blocked such efforts and insists it represent Taiwan in international forums. The island is now designated as “Taiwan Province of China” in IMF literature. The U.S. House has approved a bill that would direct the United States to advocate for Taiwan’s IMF membership.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Bo Li, Patrick McHenry, ” McHenry, Young Kim, Fatima Hussein Organizations: WASHINGTON, , International Monetary Fund, IMF, Cultural, World Bank, U.S, Health Assembly, Interpol, U.S . State Department, People’s Bank of China, Taiwan Academy of Banking, Finance, U.S . House, Democrats, North Carolina Republican, Financial Services, United Nations, Associated Press Locations: — Taiwan, Poland, Taipei, Washington, Taiwan, U.S, China, Taiwan Province, United States, Japan, Taiwan Strait, Beijing, Kosovo, Europe
Russia faces sweeping sanctions over its full-scale invasion of Ukraine and has been locked out of the US dollar-dominated global financial system, including the widely used SWIFT financial messaging system, making payments and transactions challenging. The Kazan Declaration, issued Wednesday, did not mention global dollar dominance — but it highlighted alternatives. AdvertisementChina — even though it's in a prolonged slowdown — is expected to be the top contributor, accounting for about one-fifth of global growth over the five years. AdvertisementHowever, BRICS economies have a smaller global presence in global financial flows, limiting the impact of de-dollarization, the ING analysts added. Other issues include what countries would use the alternative currencies for and if the West would sanction such alternative systems, he said.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Putin, , he's, Alexander Kolyandr, Tom Keatinge Organizations: Service, ING, United, United Arab Emirates, Bloomberg, International Monetary, Center for, Centre for Finance, Security, Royal United Services Institute Locations: BRICS, Russian, Kazan, Russia, Ukraine, cryptocurrencies, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, United Arab, USA
For Chinese imports, Trump has proposed an even steeper 60% tariff. Many economists have warned that tariffs planned by Trump will hurt global economic growth and drive up inflation in the US, as well as abroad if other countries introduce higher levies on US imports in response. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also sees a hit to global gross domestic product from increased tariffs around the world, according to its latest World Economic Outlook. Mario Tama/Getty ImagesA rise in protectionism around the world means open trade is already under threat and the ability of its champion, the World Trade Organization, to settle international trade disputes is severely constrained. “What we’d see in Trump 2 is far more radical than what we saw in Trump 1.”
Persons: Smoot, Donald Trump, Federal Reserve — Trump, Trump, , Evan Vucci, he’s, Maurice Obstfeld, Kristalina Georgieva, , Mario Tama, ” Obstfeld, ” Petros Mavroidis, Scott Olson, Joe Biden, André Sapir, Bruegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Edward Alden, ” Alden Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Republican, UBS, Monetary Fund, ABN AMRO, Peterson Institute, IMF, White, Port, World Trade Organization, CNN, Columbia Law School, US, European Union, EU, greenback, Foreign Relations, Locations: United States, Hawley, Washington, DC, China, Ukraine, Chicago, Japan, France, South Korea, Port of Los Angeles, Indiana, Portage , Indiana, Brussels, Trump
Procter & Gamble on Friday reported weaker-than-expected revenue as lower demand in China again weighed on its sales. The company reported flat volume for the quarter. The metric excludes pricing, which makes it a more accurate reflection of demand than sales. The company called out volume declines in China for both its hair care and oral care segments. Both P&G's health care and baby, feminine and family care divisions both reported 1% declines in volume for the quarter.
Persons: Gamble, Andre Schulten, Schulten Organizations: Procter, LSEG, SK, Gillette, Venus Locations: China, U.S, Greater China
Organic sales, which exclude Covid testing, were up 8.2% from the year-ago period. Bottom line In its third quarter, Abbott Labs demonstrated why we wanted to stick with the stock in the face of legal battles that emerged earlier this year and spooked investors. "There's just a lot to like with the Abbott quarter." As Abbott's organic sales growth continues to shine, the market will realize both concerns are overblown. The company reiterated its full-year organic sales growth outlook of 9.5% to 10%.
Persons: ABT, Abbott, Jim Cramer, Dexcom, Robert Ford, Ford, Lingo, , it's, Edwards, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Ethan Miller Organizations: Abbott Laboratories, Revenue, Abbott Labs, NEC, Abbott, Ford, and Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, National Institutes of Health, CNBC, Las Vegas Convention, Getty Locations: U.S, Missouri, Las Vegas , Nevada
One analyst suggests the market could see a repeat of the 2020 oil price war. AdvertisementRussia's wartime economy could face a tougher time securing needed oil revenue if Saudi Arabia tanks global crude prices. "Saudi Arabia is fed up," Simon Henderson, director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, told Business Insider. However, some kind of confrontation with Saudi Arabia may be stirring. "Unlike Saudi Arabia, its oil is not cheap to extract, making it poorly equipped to deal with low-price conditions.
Persons: , Luke Cooper, hasn't, Simon Henderson, Bernstein, it's, Henderson, Vladimir Putin, Alexander Novak, Cooper Organizations: Service, Organization of Petroleum, Russia, London School of Economics, Financial Times, Gulf and Energy, The Washington Institute, OPEC Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Riyadh, Ukraine, Gulf, Moscow, Iran, Kazakhstan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA quarter-point Fed rate cut is the right expectation going into November, Goldman strategist saysKamakshya Trivedi, head of global foreign exchange, interest rates and emerging markets strategy research at Goldman Sachs, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy and the likelihood of further interest rate cuts.
Persons: Goldman, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs Locations: U.S
A customer is seen inside a 7-Eleven convenience store along a street in central Tokyo on September 9, 2024. The company slashed its profit forecast for the fiscal year ending February 2025 and now expects net income of 163 billion yen ($1.09 billion), a 44.4% reduction from its prior forecast of 293 billion yen. The reduction comes as it reported first-half net profit of 52.24 billion yen on 6.04 trillion yen in revenue. While sales came in higher than forecast, profits significantly below its own guidance for 111 billion yen. The company noted it recorded a charge of 45.88 billion yen related to its spin-off of Ito-Yokado Online Supermarket.
Persons: Ito, Canada's Alimentation Organizations: Holdings, Japan's Foreign Exchange, Foreign Trade Act, & $ Locations: Tokyo, Japan
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. With third-quarter earnings starting in earnest Friday, Jim Cramer urged investors to keep their "eye on the prize." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Eaton, he's, he'd, Hurricane Helene, Stocks, Jim Cramer's, DOV Organizations: CNBC, Wells, JPMorgan, Honeywell, Costco, Delta Air Lines, Nike, Pfizer, DD Locations: Dupont, Dover, U.S
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