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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChicago Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has come down and job market is around full employment levelAustan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Goolsbee's reaction to the latest economic data to cross the tape, if the Fed president wants to 'recalibrate' Fed policy, and much more.
Organizations: Chicago, Chicago Fed, Fed
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Tom BrennerFalling interest rates are usually good news for banks, especially when the cuts aren't a harbinger of recession. That's because lower rates will slow the migration of money that's happened over the past two years as customers shifted cash out of checking accounts and into higher-yielding options like CDs and money market funds. When the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by half a percentage point last month, it signaled a turning point in its stewardship of the economy and telegraphed its intention to cut rates by another two full percentage points, according to the central bank's projections, boosting prospects for banks. The bank is expected to report $4.01 per share in earnings, a 7.4% drop from the year-earlier period.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Tom Brenner, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Locations: Washington , U.S
Valerie Plesch | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Sentiment in markets, it seems, was buoyed by encouraging comments from the Fed. The Fed, in other words, is keeping a close eye on the economy and wants to make sure it maintains its smooth landing. It's as if Stephen Sondheim's musical "Into the woods to get the money," markets are merrily singing.
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Gregory Daco, Goldman Sachs, Stephen Suttmeier, Philip Jefferson reemphasized, we're, Mike Bailey, Stephen Sondheim's, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Brent, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Micro Computer, Fed, FBB Capital Partners Locations: USA, Washington, Florida, U.S, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed minutes: Aggressive rate cuts don't feel right, strategist saysDhaval Joshi, chief strategist at BCA Research, discusses the minutes from the Federal Reserve's September meeting and the state of the U.S. economy.
Persons: Dhaval Joshi Organizations: BCA Research, Federal Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNY Fed's John Williams: Appropriate to continue reducing rates to a more neutral setting over timeCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the latest news from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: John Williams, Steve Liesman Organizations: Federal Reserve
As long as inflation continues to come down, the Fed should continue cutting rates, allowing mortgage rates to ease as well. But what happens in the labor market will also have a big impact on how mortgage rates trend for the rest of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron
The U.S. dollar traded near a two-month peak against major peers on Thursday as markets grew more confident about a patient approach from the Federal Reserve to further monetary easing, even as a key inflation report loomed later in the day. The U.S. dollar traded near a two-month peak against major peers on Thursday as markets grew more confident about a patient approach from the Federal Reserve to further monetary easing, even as a key inflation report loomed later in the day. The euro languished near its lowest since Aug. 13, while against the yen, the dollar hovered close to its strongest level since Aug. 15. The dollar index was little changed at 102.86 as of 0024 GMT, sticking close to Wednesday's high of 102.93. The greenback eased 0.18% to 149.035 yen , but was not far from the overnight peak of 146.365.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, , Rodda, Mary Daly Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Reuters, U.S, CPI, Francisco Fed, Traders, New Locations: U.S
Kailem Donovan, 37, from Middlesborough, England, works on oil rigs in the North and Baltic seas. Donovan works 12-hour shifts but gets three weeks of holiday every three weeks working on the rig. Working on an oil rig has always been my dream job. Some of my friends worked on oil rigs and encouraged me to apply. Related storiesRigs have lonely moments, but everyone is familyI worked at different wind farms for the next two years before getting a contract on an oil rig.
Persons: Kailem Donovan, Donovan, , It's, We're, it's, I've, I'd, we're, I'm Organizations: Service, Industry Locations: Middlesborough, England, North, Baltic, Aberdeen, Norway
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall and mid-cap stocks offer value regardless of Fed landing, says Northwestern’s Brent SchutteCNBC’s Mike Santoli and Northwestern Mutuals’ Brent Schutte, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the CPI report numbers and the market reaction.
Persons: Northwestern’s Brent Schutte, Mike Santoli, ’ Brent Schutte Organizations: Northwestern
The unexpectedly hot inflation reading complicates the prospect of further rate cuts from the Fed. This index was expected to see a year-over-year increase of 2.3%, a cooler rate than August's 2.5%. The surprisingly hot inflation reading is a sign that the economy is running strong, and complicates the Fed's next rate decision, since in theory higher inflation would make further cuts less likely. AdvertisementThat could be because the market also digested weekly jobless-claim figures that came in higher than expected. Following a surprisingly strong September jobs report, speculation rose that the Fed might slow its pace of rate cuts — or even stop them altogether.
Persons: Organizations: Service Locations: mull
Markets just keep rallying this year, with the S & P 500 up nearly 22% year-to-date and the Nasdaq jumping around 21%. In global stocks, the MSCI World index is around 16% higher. Meanwhile, recent data indicates that the U.S. Federal Reserve could be close to pulling off the much-discussed economic soft landing . With markets already running high, CNBC Pro screened for global stocks that have outperformed the MSCI World index, but still look cheap based on their forward price-to-earnings ratios. Returns of more than 16% so far this year, beating the MSCI World index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Mary Ann Bartels Organizations: Nasdaq, Fed, U.S . Federal, CNBC Pro Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect a 3-handle on the Fed funds rate by the middle of next year, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business and Wisdom Tree chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to expect from the September CPI data, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 11, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures were little changed on Thursday evening, as investors looked ahead to a wholesale inflation reading and quarterly results from major banks. Futures tied to the S&P 500 inched higher by 0.08%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered just below the flatline. September's consumer price index rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.4% from a year earlier. The S&P 500 is up 0.5% week to date, while the Dow is toting a 0.2% gain.
Persons: Dow Jones, Preston Caldwell, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, JPMorgan Chase Locations: New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGirard: The Fed focuses on core CPI, excluding food and energy pricesMichelle Girard, Head of NatWest Markets, highlights the importance of core CPI for the Federal Reserve in assessing inflation trends.
Persons: Michelle Girard , Organizations: Girard, Michelle Girard , Head, NatWest Markets, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will cut rates by 100 basis points this year, says IBM's Gary CohnGary Cohn, IBM vice chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how investors should feel about inflation, what the Federal Reserve should do, and how Cohn would prefer the last mile of inflation be wiped away.
Persons: Gary Cohn Gary Cohn, Cohn Organizations: IBM, Federal
A big jump in retail spending would be the next data point indicating a "no landing" of the economy. A no-landing scenario occurs when strong economic growth fuels inflation and hinders rate cuts. Bank of America analysts expect September retail sales data, set for release on October 17, to show a 0.8% surge. "Monthly retail sales data can be volatile. If retail sales accelerate considerably, in our view, the narrative may shift further toward 'no landing' or even re-acceleration," they said.
Persons: , Helene Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Bank, America
European markets are heading for a positive open Thursday as investors await the latest U.S. inflation data for more signs that price pressures are easing. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate a 0.1% increase on a monthly basis, and a 2.3% advance over the prior 12 months. The result will also inform the Federal Reserve's next steps on policy at its November meeting. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night, while Asia-Pacific markets opened mostly higher on Thursday, buoyed by gains on Wall Street on Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Locations: Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA quarter-point Fed rate cut is the right expectation going into November, Goldman strategist saysKamakshya Trivedi, head of global foreign exchange, interest rates and emerging markets strategy research at Goldman Sachs, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy and the likelihood of further interest rate cuts.
Persons: Goldman, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs Locations: U.S
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Close to record close for NvidiaNvidia shares have rallied 25% in the last month and are currently trading at $132.11. Former Tata Sons chairman passes awayRatan Tata, the former chairman of the Indian conglomerate Tata Sons, passed away on Wednesday, aged 86. As chairman, Tata was instrumental in spearheading over 60 global acquisitions, helping to grow the group's revenue past $100 billion during his tenure.
Persons: Ian Read, Frank D'Amelio, D'Amelio, Ratan Tata, Tata Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Technology, Nasdaq, Nvidia Nvidia, Nvidia, Microsoft, Mizuho, Pfizer, Guggenheim Securities, Former Tata, Tata Sons, IA Locations: Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, OpenAI
Gold ticks up, U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices nudged higher on Thursday, while traders await a key U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy stance. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,614.00 per ounce by 0246 GMT, after easing for the previous six sessions. The U.S. Consumer Price Index for September is due at 1230 GMT and Producer Price Index data on Friday. Markets see an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November. Dallas Fed Bank President Lorie Logan called for gradual cuts and said that the U.S. central bank should not rush.
Persons: Price, Ilya Spivak, Spivak, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Israel's Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Treasury, Fed, San Francisco Fed Bank, Dallas Fed Bank Locations: U.S, Iran
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets have further dialed back probability of rate cuts in Nov. or Dec., says Citi's WietingSteven Wieting, Citi Wealth chief investment strategist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the economic impact of Hurricane Milton, expectations for the Fed, and more.
Persons: Citi's Wieting Steven Wieting, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Markets, Citi Wealth, Fed Locations: Hurricane
Pleydell-Bouverie: Neutral policy with 25-point cuts ahead.
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPleydell-Bouverie: Neutral policy with 25-point cuts ahead. Clare Pleydell-Bouverie, Fund Manager at Liontrust, expects modest Fed rate cuts as inflation cools and emphasizes Tesla's Robotaxi event as a key catalyst for the company's future in autonomous driving.
Persons: Clare Pleydell
Ed Yardeni on future 2024 rate cuts: 'None and done'
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEd Yardeni on future 2024 rate cuts: 'None and done'Yardeni Research’s Ed Yardeni, NewEdge’s Cameron Dawson and Virtus’ Joe Terranova, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, what a slower Fed could mean for stocks and the economy.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, NewEdge’s Cameron Dawson, Virtus ’ Joe Terranova Organizations: Virtus ’
Indexes slipped Thursday as investors priced in a higher-than-expected inflation reading. The data raises the possibility of a "no landing" scenario for the US economy. AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday from records reached in the previous session, as traders took in a sticky inflation reading for September. September consumer price index data released on Thursday showed inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year, slightly above consensus forecasts of a 2.3% rise. AdvertisementThe core CPI reading, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, was up 3.3% year-over-year and just above forecasts of 3.2%.
Persons: , Stocks, Hurricane Milton, Jamie Dimon, Buffett Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, CPI, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Investors, Labor Department, Here's, Insurance Locations: Hurricane
Why investors shouldn’t sweat this inflation report
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The latest inflation report came in slightly hotter than expected, knocking stock prices lower. But the odds of a quarter-point Fed rate cut in November actually rose after the report came out. "CPI Inflation data was slightly on the hotter side, with commodity prices (outside) energy rising more than expected. The good news is that shelter inflation is pulling back and that's going to pull inflation lower. Investors received fresh labor market data Thursday as well, with initial jobless claims jumping by 33,000 to 258,000.
Persons: Dow Jones, Sonu Varghese, Goldman Sachs, Whitney Watson, Ian Lyngen, Stephen Tusa Organizations: CPI, Reserve, Carson, Investors, BMO Capital Markets, JPMorgan, Honeywell
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