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☆ Analysis: Canada's Trudeau, far behind in polls, remains the Liberals' best chance
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the close of the Seventh Assembly of the Global Environment Facility (GEF) in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada August 25, 2023. Right now, most opinion polls show Trudeau significantly trailing his newest rival, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. But none are perceived to be as scrappy and determined at retail politics as Trudeau is, Liberal insiders and pollsters say. No Canadian prime minister since Wilfrid Laurier in 1908 has won four consecutive elections. In 2015, Ekos had the Liberals down 22 percentage points in the spring and Trudeau won a majority in the fall.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Chris Helgren, Liberal Party's, Trudeau, Pierre Poilievre, Chrystia Freeland, Mark Carney, Wilfrid Laurier, Frank Graves, I'm, HOUDINI, Poilievre, Angus Reid, Shachi Kurl, Darrell Bricker, It's, Ekos, We've, we've, Kurl, Houdini, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Denny Thomas, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Seventh Assembly of, Global Environment, REUTERS, Rights OTTAWA, Canadian, Liberal, Conservative, Conservatives, Liberal Party, Ekos Research, Angus Reid Institute, Liberals, Ipsos Public Affairs, Thomson Locations: Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Trudeau's, British Columbia, New Delhi

[1/2] Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and wife Sophie Gregoire Trudeau, in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill during U.S. President Joe Biden's visit to Ottawa, Ontario, Canada March 24, 2023. On Wednesday, Trudeau and his wife Sophie Gregoire Trudeau unexpectedly announced their separation, likely marking the end of their 18-year-long high profile marriage. "He's running again," said a source close to Trudeau, when asked whether the news of the separation might be prompting second thoughts. Trudeau's father, former Liberal prime minister Pierre Trudeau, also separated from his wife Margaret - known popularly as Maggie - when in office. Graves said the news of Trudeau's separation was unlikely to have "much if any discernible impact on the voter landscape”.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Sophie Gregoire Trudeau, Joe Biden's, Blair Gable, Justin Trudeau's, Trudeau, Roderick Phillips, Nik Nanos, Trudeau's, Pierre Trudeau, Margaret, Maggie, Pierre, Frank Graves, ”, Graves, Denise Davison, bode, " Davison, David Ljunggren, Kyaw Soe, Ismail Shakil, Denny Thomas, Grant McCool Organizations: Canadian, REUTERS, OTTAWA, Liberal Party, Ottawa's Carleton University, Nanos Research, Liberal, Thomson Locations: U.S, Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Toronto, Ottawa

☆ Canada's Trudeau sets sights on fourth election fight with Cabinet refresh
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

With a string of recent polls showing the left-leaning Liberals trailing their right-of-center Conservative rivals after almost eight years in power, Trudeau changed or shifted three-quarters of his cabinet. But with the influential Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, who is also deputy prime minister, keeping her job, some analysts are questioning the real impact of the changes. But the deal is not binding and Trudeau needs his campaign team ready to go at any time. No Canadian prime minister since Wilfrid Laurier in 1908 has won four consecutive elections. "Any advantage the Conservatives have on this may well evaporate if we see inflation and interest rates 'normalize' by the next election."

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Liberal leader's, Trudeau, Pierre Poilievre, Justin, flation, Frank Graves, it's, Chrystia Freeland, Robert Asselin, Wilfrid Laurier, Shachi Kurl, Angus Reid, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Marguerita Choy Organizations: OTTAWA, Canadian, Liberal, Liberals, Conservative, Abacus, Conservatives, EKOS Research, Business Council of Canada, New Democrats, Angus Reid Institute, Thomson

[1/5] Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau poses for a family photo with cabinet ministers, following a cabinet shuffle, at Rideau Hall, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, July 26, 2023. Dominic LeBlanc becomes public safety minister, taking over for Marco Mendicino, and Arif Virani moves from the back benches to become justice minister. "The shuffle does send a clear message that the government is aware that their current standing with the electorate is not healthy." An Abacus Data poll out on Wednesday shows his party opening up a big lead on the Liberals with 38% to 28% in public support. Poilievre pounced on the shuffle, calling it evidence of the prime minister's failures.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Blair Gable OTTAWA, Trudeau, Chrystia Freeland, Francois, Philippe Champagne, Melanie Joly, Sean Fraser, Dominic LeBlanc, Marco Mendicino, Arif Virani, Bill Blair, Anita Anand, Frank Graves, Pierre Poilievre, Poilievre pounced, Shachi Kurl, Angus Reid, David Ljunggren, Steve Scherer, Paul Simao, Mark Heinrich, Deepa Babington Organizations: Canada's, Rideau Hall, REUTERS, Canadian, Finance, Innovation, Infrastructure, Defense, Conservative, Abacus, Twitter, New Democrats, Angus, Angus Reid Institute, Conservatives, Liberals, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada

The official opposition Conservatives, who blame Trudeau for housing shortage and spiking inflation, have consistently been ahead in the polls for over year. "Bringing in fresh energy with new members and new challenges was important for our economic team in particular," Trudeau told reporters after the shuffle. [1/5]Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau poses for a family photo with cabinet ministers, following a cabinet shuffle, at Rideau Hall, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, July 26, 2023. REUTERS/Blair GableConservative leader Pierre Poilievre pounced on the shuffle, calling it evidence of the prime minister's failures. "Justin Trudeau may have fired many of his cabinet ministers today, but he's just as out of touch as ever, doubling down on his inflationary, high-spending and high-taxing ways," he said in a statement.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Trudeau, Chrystia Freeland, Francois, Philippe Champagne, Melanie Joly, Sean Fraser, Frank Graves, Blair Gable, Pierre Poilievre pounced, Jagmeet Singh, Kurl, Angus Reid, David Ljunggren, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil, Paul Simao, Mark Heinrich, Deepa Babington, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Canadian, Liberal, Finance, Innovation, Infrastructure, Conservatives, Abacus, Canada's, Rideau Hall, REUTERS, Blair Gable Conservative, New Democrats, New, Angus, Angus Reid Institute, Liberals, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada

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