DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ Investor focus shifts to rate cut outlook on Thanksgiving week, with Fed minutes and inflation data ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The interest rate outlook will come back into focus next week with key inflation data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes coming out ahead of Thanksgiving, as investors wrap up a major month for markets following President-elect Donald Trump's election victory. The October personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index set to release Wednesday could dent already-dimming hopes for a December rate cut if it comes in hotter than expected. The inflation rate is expected to have increased 0.2% month over month and 2.3% year on year. Rosy expectations Even with the interest rate cut expectations coming in, investors are optimistic on the direction for stocks to close out the year and into 2025. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 can end next year at 6,500.

Persons: Donald Trump's, —, Luke O'Neill, Stocks, O'Neill, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Tom Hainlin, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Alpha Fund, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BMO, UBS, Bank Asset Management, Dell Technologies, Chicago, New, Richmond Fed, Devices, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago

☆ Wells Fargo sees another big stock market gain in 2025 on strong economy, deregulation under Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.

Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Anticipation over Nvidia’s earnings overshadows geopolitical risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia warns of nuclear responseUkraine "struck a facility in [the] Bryansk region" of Russia using six U.S.-made missiles, said Russia's Ministry of Defense. On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin updated the country's nuclear doctrine, expanding the circumstances that would warrant a response using nuclear weapons. Markets recovered from jittersU.S. markets mostly closed higher on Tuesday after dipping in response to news of heightened geopolitical tensions.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Cristiano Amon's, Atomico, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: CNBC, Ministry of Defense, Micro Computer, Eurostat, Qualcomm Qualcomm, Qualcomm, Venture Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Bryansk, jitters U.S, New, Europe, Tuesday's, U.S

☆ 'The most expensive market of all time': Billionaire investor David Einhorn says it's probably not the best time to buy — but shares 2 stocks he's betting on
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Einhorn said he's not bearish, but there will likely be better entry points into the market. Add David Einhorn to the list of top Wall Streeters pointing out how expensive the stock market is. Advertisement"This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish. Einhorn called this "the most expensive market of all time, as far as I can see, at least since I've been managing." AdvertisementBank of AmericaEinhorn is one of many to highlight stock valuations as a factor likely to impact forward returns.

Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, he's, CNH Industrials, it's, I've, Bank of America Einhorn, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Rob Arnott, Nelson Peltz, CNH, that's, That's Organizations: Alpha, Delivering Alpha, Capital, Bank of America, Research, Trian Partners, AG

☆ Geopolitics are finally starting to play a role in stock market action
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 has been drifting lower for a week. Pity the Wall Street strategists Pity the poor Wall Street strategists who are now writing their 2025 outlooks. That is about 10% above the current S & P 500 level. What is the current average yearly return of the S & P 500? The S & P 500 is up 0.3% since the close on Election Day.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Brian Belski, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Bulls, Street, BMO Capital, UBS, ISI, Trump Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iran

☆ Goldman's 2025 equity forecast is out and calls for the S&P 500 to gain 11% from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"We estimate net margins will expand by 78 bp to 12.3% in 2025 followed by a further 35 bp increase to 12.6% in 2026." Heading into this year the Goldman team was too bearish. When it originally set its 2024 forecast last November it called for the index to climb just 5% to 4,700. States the report: "Our economists assume the Trump administration will impose targeted tariffs on imported automobiles and select imports from China. "High multiples are weak signals for near-term returns, but typically increase the magnitude of market drawdown during a negative shock," states the report.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Donald Trump, Trump, Martin Marietta, Stocks Organizations: CNBC Pro, Goldman, Microsoft, Tesla, Electronic Arts, Martin Marietta Materials, Waste Management, Fiverr International, Apple, Adobe, Mastercard, Uber Locations: China

☆ 'This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me': Investing legend Rob Arnott says the stock market's record rally reminds him of the dot-com bubble peak
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

He said comparisons to the dot-com peak in 2000 are fair. Advertisement"This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me," Arnott told Business Insider on November 11. But Arnott believes AI optimism, which has driven the lion's share of the rally, is already fully priced in. At 37 times earnings, just below the late-2021 peak of 38, before the market fell by 25%, and the 2000 peak of 43, right in front of a 50% loss. "This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish.

Persons: Rob Arnott, he's, Arnott, —, Donald Trump, Trump, disruptors, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, Chief US, Business, Goldman Sachs Bank of America's Global, Equity, Bank of America, CNBC's, Alpha Locations: irrelevance

☆ Lina Khan likely to be fired as FTC Chair under a Trump presidency
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Representatives for Trump’s transition team and the FTC didn’t respond to requests for comment. Wall Street, which has been on a tear since Trump’s decisive victory last week, appears to be ready to turn the page on the Khan era. Similarly, the FTC has gone after Big Tech, Big Pharma and even Big Mattress in the name of keeping competition robust. To them, Khan and her DOJ partner in trustbusting, Jonathan Kanter, represent a threat to the bottom line. Since last week’s election, both Kroger and Albertsons shares have risen sharply as investors anticipate the deal would face little resistance under Trump’s FTC.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN — Lina Khan’s, Donald Trump, Khan, she’s, Lina Khan, Jennifer Rie, kowtow, Jonathan Kanter, Elon Musk, Trump, ” Barry Diller, “, ‘, Republican “ Khanservative, JD Vance, Gail Slater, Vance, ”, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Donald Trump’s, Brian Gardner, ” Gardner, Susie Wiles Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, Republican, Bloomberg Intelligence, CNN, Justice, Albertsons, Big Tech, Big Pharma, IAC, Democratic, Bloomberg, Kroger, Trump’s FTC, Goldman Sachs ’, White, Trump, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, it’s, trustbusting, Washington

☆ Goldman says buy these stocks that are set to benefit most from Trump tax cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Trump favors slashing the corporate tax rate to 15% from 21%. To find a group of beneficiaries from lower corporate tax rates, Goldman screened for stocks that have seen the highest median corporate tax rate over the past ten years. Companies on the list pay median corporate tax rates higher than the S & P 500 median of 21%. CEO Bob Iger's media company also has one of the highest ten-year median corporate tax rates found by Goldman, at 29%. Hilton has also paid a ten-year median corporate tax rate of 29%.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Trump, Trump's, Goldman, Disney, Bob Iger's, FactSet, Hilton Organizations: White, Goldman, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . House, GOP, Republican, Companies, DIS, Disney, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, FactSet, Delta Airlines, American Express

☆ A veteran bond operator shares an alpha-generating strategy for dropping yields and muted stock-market returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business

☆ Goldman's top equity strategist tells BI 2 similarities between today's market and the dot-com bubble — and what it means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Kostin expects the S&P 500 equal-weighted index and mid-cap stocks to gain from a broadening market. Today, the 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 make up 36% of the entire index by market capitalization. Related storiesThis gap between the top S&P 500 performers and the rest of the index hasn't occurred since the dot-com bubble. "The evidence is strongly in support of the fact that growth rates for high revenue growth companies tend to fade," he added. For that reason, Kostin is expecting the S&P 500 equal-weight SPW index to outperform the market-cap-weighted S&P 500.

Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, —, Goldman Sachs, Kostin isn't, that's, he's Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco

☆ Never mind the 60/40 portfolio. There may be a case for a 50/30/20 allocation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The case for a 50/30/20 portfolio is growing as investors seek to diversify into alternatives as a hedge against a stock and bond market that are each flashing cautionary signals. "And so, let me allocate a little bit, because instead of a 60/40, perhaps it's a [50/30/20]," she said, clarifying 50% to stocks, 30% to bonds, and the remaining 20% to alternatives. The case for alternatives The case for alternatives is two-fold. Still, investors say that the the asset class can help hedge against real risks ahead of stocks and bonds. One ETF investing in private equity asset managers is the Invesco Global Listed Private Equity ETF (PSP) .

Persons: Ayako Yoshioka, you've, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Corporates, Yoshioka, Paul Tudor Jones, Mark Malek, it's, —, Jesse Pound Organizations: Investors, Bank of America, Treasury, U.S, State Street, Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, Ares Management, KKR, Co, Carlyle Group, Equity ETF Locations: U.S, Siebert

☆ Wall Street braces for a big week ahead of the election, with megacap tech earnings, key data on tap
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.

Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago

☆ Here's why Goldman Sachs' gloomy 10-year stock market forecast is no reason panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The first line of the note reads: "We estimate the S & P 500 will deliver an annualized nominal total return of 3% during the next 10 years." For starters, nobody knows what the coming decade has in store for the S & P 500. Valuation: Yes, the S & P 500 is currently trading at a historically high multiple. Going out on a limb and making market calls or calls about individual stocks is not for the faint of heart. The S & P 500 has more than doubled since then, advancing about 135%, which amounts to that roughly 13% annual return that Kostin mentioned in his note.

Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, it's, Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, That's, Jim, It's, Goldman Sachs, we're, Jim Cramer's, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Goldman, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S, Equity, Treasury, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, U.S, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Goldman Sachs, U.S, Wells

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Concerns over high interest rates return, pressuring stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The team pointed to high valuations and concentration in today's stock market as reasons for their forecast. [PRO] Ranking the Magnificent SevenThe Magnificent Seven bag of stocks — Alphabet , Amazon , Apple , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — is responsible for most of the S&P 500's rally this year. Not so, according to a tech investor who owns all seven stocks.

Persons: Europe's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Bob Iger, Iger, Bob Chapek Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Autonomous, Microsoft, Disney, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Tesla

☆ How investors should navigate the S&P 500 likely trailing bonds and inflation for the next decade, according to Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs forecasts muted S&P 500 gains, with a 3% annual return over 10 years. Diversification and equal-weighted S&P 500 exposure may offer better long-term returns. The bank's most bearish scenario would see the S&P 500 decline by an annual 1%, while its more positive calls for a gain of 7%. Goldman SachsAdding an exchange-traded fund that tracks the equal-weighted S&P 500 could be one way to go about it. AdvertisementFurthermore, investors should consider a more mixed asset portfolio of stocks and bonds without tilting toward one more than the other.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Goldman, There's, Christian Mueller Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Treasury

☆ Goldman forecasts just a 3% S&P 500 annual return the next 10 years, down from 13% the last decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 returned 13% annually the last 10 years, above the long-term average of 11%, according to Goldman. Goldman's bearish long-term forecast comes just as the S & P 500 has entered the third year of a bull market, garnering a 27% annual total return the last two years. "The current high level of equity valuations is a key reason our 10-year forward return forecast sits at the lower end of the historical distribution," stated the note. The firm said the equal-weight S & P 500 would produce higher returns than the regular benchmark because of the concentration risk. The Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)F tracks an equally distributed version of the index.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Goldman's Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Top Wall Street analysts are boosting stock market forecasts as the bull market charges on
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A number of bank research desks have raised their S&P 500 price targets in recent weeks. AdvertisementThe bull market hasn't weakened in the fourth quarter, and top bank research desks have been rushing to raise their S&P 500 price targets into year-end. AdvertisementBelski said his upgrade was based on strong market gains so far this year, which he says typically leads to stronger-than-normal gains in the fourth quarter. Lakos-Bujas kept his 4,200 price target for the S&P 500 unchanged, though. AdvertisementThe more upbeat 2024 forecasts come as the bull market charges on, with the S&P 500 up 3.2% in the last month and 22.6% this year.

Persons: —, hasn't, Goldman Sachs, Jonathan Golub, Patrick Palfrey, David Kostin, Kostin, Brian Belski, Belski, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas Organizations: Service, UBS, BMO, Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg, Reserve

☆ Goldman Sachs bumps its S&P 500 price target for the 3rd time this year as it sees higher corporate profits ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs raised its S&P 500 year-end price target to 6,000, implying a 5% gain. AdvertisementStrategists at Goldman Sachs raised their S&P 500 year-end price target for the third time this year. The price target increase comes after Kostin and his team set an initial year-end S&P 500 price target of 4,700 late last year. AdvertisementKostin also raised the bank's 12-month S&P 500 price target to 6,300 from 6,000. Kostin's price target forecasts assume the S&P 500 continues to trade at a premium valuation of about 22x forward earnings.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, —, Goldman's David Kostin, Kostin, Myers Squibb Organizations: Service, Myers, Warner Bros ., Communacopia Locations: Bristol, Gilead

☆ Goldman Sachs is getting more bullish about stocks, raises S&P 500 forecast to 6,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's

☆ 28 stocks to buy for up to 162% earnings growth as markets surge another 10%: Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks are clicking on all cylinders, which led Goldman Sachs to lift its S&P 500 target again. Here are 25 companies set for outstanding earnings growth in 2025. The financial titan originally set its 2024 S&P 500 target at 4,700, then lifted it a month later to 5,100. That would translate to $241 worth of S&P 500 earnings, before an 11% jump in 2025 to $268 and an additional 7% leap in 2026 to $288. This month, the firm shared a coveted list of companies with the strongest expected earnings growth in 2025.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: Service, Wall, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Communication

☆ 25 increasingly efficient stocks with profitability heading into the Q3 earnings season: Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

There's an unusually wide gap between highly efficient companies and everyone else. Here are 25 standout stocks to consider ahead of the Q3 earnings season. AdvertisementThe market's most efficient companies are separating from the pack at a crucial time in the year. AdvertisementThe gap between highly efficient companies — as measured by returns on equity — and other stocks in the S&P 500 has widened, Goldman Sachs found. 25 increasingly efficient stocks to targetIn his weekly note, Kostin shared an updated list of 50 stocks set to enjoy the largest growth in returns on equity.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Kostin, That's Organizations: Service

☆ Equities tend to rally after election uncertainty is resolved, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEquities tend to rally after election uncertainty is resolved, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Kostin's price targets for equity markets, the market cap of the companies Kostin is interested in, and much more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs

☆ Top Wall Street strategists say a strong jobs report will kick off a rotation into lower-quality stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A strong jobs report would boost low-quality stocks, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley analysts say. AdvertisementInvestor eyes are locked on the upcoming jobs report, due Friday. If it comes in strong, that will be great news for less-loved, lower-quality stocks, analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley say. Morgan Stanley's equity-strategy team is also keyed in on the jobs report. Wilson also highlighted the jobs report as a possible catalyst for rotation towards low quality in the stock market.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, —, David Kostin, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Service, firm's

☆ These 23 companies can benefit most as raises become rarer, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Goldman SachsWage growth is down from 6% in August 2022 to 3.9%, according to Goldman Sachs. Still, Goldman Sachs thinks the US unemployment rate will drift down to 4% in 2025, which would be a healthy figure. An influx of immigrants may have affected this trend, Goldman Sachs economists say. Goldman SachsLabor costs rose 7% in 2023 for S&P 500 companies and 5% for firms in the Russell 2000, Goldman found. Goldman Sachs shared a sector-neutral list of 50 stocks in the S&P 500 that have high labor costs, which should disproportionately benefit as wage inflation slows as raises become rarer.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Goldman, Chief US, Goldman Sachs Labor, Companies Locations: Goldman Sachs

Search resuls for: "David Kostin"

25 mentions found