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Many people feel “that they’re not getting enough back, that a college education isn’t worth enough,” said Paul Peterson, a professor of education policy and governance at Harvard University. The data says that college education is worth more than ever.”The dissonance shows how higher education has become another slice of the economy where the vibes are worse than the numbers might suggest — and risks exacerbating Democratic losses with working-class voters. Andrew Smith, director, University of New Hampshire Survey CenterThere are many reasons why improving college affordability may not register widely. Given other budget pressures — from child care to car insurance — college expenses simply might not have fallen enough to matter. A polling site in Vienna, Va., on Election Day, which saw working-class voters further embrace Republicans.
Persons: they’re, , Paul Peterson, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Andrew Smith, Pew, “ We’ve, Robin Isserles, ” Isserles, “ I’ve, Bill Clark, Ashley Koning, Harris, ” Koning, Sallie Mae Organizations: Harvard University, , NBC, Pew, University of New Hampshire Survey, grads, National Center for Education Statistics, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, Manhattan Community College, Trump, Voters, Inc, Getty, Eagleton Center for Public, Rutgers University, Democrats, College Board, Republicans Locations: New York City, Staten Island, Long, Nassau County, Vienna, Va, New Jersey, New Jersey , New Hampshire, Pennsylvania
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs' Robert Kaplan: Independent Fed is critical & Powell should be allowed to finish termRobert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs vice chairman and former Dallas Fed president, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss whether president-elect Donald Trump will fire Fed chair Jerome Powell, whether there's a possibility the Fed will take a "wait and see" approach to the new administration, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Powell, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed Pres. Robert Kaplan: There are two phases to the Fed's rate cutsFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's independence in light of Donald Trump's election victory, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting this week, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan, Donald Trump's Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed president Fisher: Very worried about the deficit and interest burden under each candidateRichard Fisher, former Dallas Federal Reserve president breaks down the mindset of inflation and the deficit.
Persons: Fisher, Richard Fisher Organizations: Former, Dallas Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA November Fed cut isn't necessary, says Former Dallas Fed President Richard FisherRichard Fisher, Former Dallas Fed President, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed's next moves, likelihood of a pause and the economy.
Persons: Richard Fisher Richard Fisher Organizations: Dallas Fed, Former Dallas Fed
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
That’s helped push uncertainty among small business owners to an all-time high since the nearly 40-year inception of a monthly survey the National Federation of Independent Business conducts to gauge small business sentiment. The scale of firms whose investment plans are impacted by election uncertainty is “pretty remarkable” compared to prior elections, said Daniel Weitz, survey director at the Atlanta Fed. The Fed’s Beige Book, a quarterly collection of survey responses from businesses compiled by the 12 regional Fed banks published Wednesday, highlighted a wide range of businesses that are suffering because of election uncertainty. But the blowback that businesses are facing from the election uncertainty should subside once the policy path ahead becomes more clear, at which point we could start to see a rebound in hiring and capital investment businesses make, Meyer told CNN. The combination of these three major unknowns is shaping small business owners’ uncertain outlooks, said Holly Wade, executive director of the NFIB Research Center.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, That’s, ” “, Duke, Daniel Weitz, , hesitancy, Brent Meyer, Harris, Meyer, that’s, They’re, Holly Wade, “ We’re, Wade Organizations: New, New York CNN, National Federation of Independent Business, Reserve, Atlanta and Richmond Federal, Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business, Fortune, Atlanta Fed, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Trump, CNN, Federal Reserve, NFIB Research Locations: New York,
10-year Treasury yield tops 4.2% briefly
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Pia Singh Jenni Reid | Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Meanwhile, the yield on the 2-year Treasury was about two basis points higher at 4.047%. After jumping 12 basis points on Monday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose nearly three basis points to 4.21%, a level it has not reached in three months. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield continued its gains on Tuesday after Federal Reserve officials urged caution on the path of interest rate cuts. It is a quiet week on the data front, but a busy week for Federal Reserve commentary, with an array of policymakers delivering speeches. Rates have actually increased since the Fed cut rates by a half point one month ago.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, Dallas Federal, Kansas, Traders Locations: U.S
Bonds have sold off as traders reassess the path of Fed Reserve rate cuts. AdvertisementThe bond market is in sell-off mode as traders reassess the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. That would be a big surprise to traders, with the market pricing in a 90% chance of a 25-basis point interest rate cut from the Fed next month. AdvertisementFed officials, for their part, have indicated they're likely to move cautiously, though more rate cuts are still their base case. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she expects interest rates will fall "gradually," and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid endorsed a "cautious and gradual" approach to cutting interest rates.
Persons: Bonds, , Donald Trump, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Mary Daly, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Bloomberg, Bond, Treasury Bond ETF, Federal, Market, San Francisco Fed, Minneapolis, Dallas, Kansas City, House Locations: Atlanta
A bronze bull statue outside the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India, on Monday, June 3, 2024. India's stock futures jumped after exit polls indicated a resounding victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ruling party in general elections that concluded Saturday. Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets slipped on Tuesday, trailing a mixed session on Wall Street. During the U.S. trading session, two Federal Reserve officials had spoken about the trajectory of interest rates. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said she supports the current move to lowering interest rates, but that a patient approach will be needed.
Persons: Narendra Modi's, Dhiraj Singh, Australia's, Kospi, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Nikkei, Hyundai, Federal, Minneapolis, Dallas Federal Locations: Mumbai, India, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, South, Asia, Hyundai India
The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose about 4 basis points to 4.112%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was up about 2 basis points to 3.979%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4.11% on Monday as investors awaited a flurry of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly are all expected to deliver remarks on Monday as investors await clues on the Fed's monetary policy outlook. The Federal Open Market Committee took the unusual step last month of lowering its baseline interest rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, to a target range of 4.75% to 5%.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, Jeff Schmid, Mary Daly, Christopher Waller, Waller, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S, Dallas, San Francisco Fed, Market Locations: U.S, Minneapolis, Kansas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan: The Fed still has room to cutRobert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs vice chairman and former Dallas Fed President, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss his outlook on the economy, what he expects from the Fed moving forward, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
Gold ticks up, U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices nudged higher on Thursday, while traders await a key U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy stance. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,614.00 per ounce by 0246 GMT, after easing for the previous six sessions. The U.S. Consumer Price Index for September is due at 1230 GMT and Producer Price Index data on Friday. Markets see an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November. Dallas Fed Bank President Lorie Logan called for gradual cuts and said that the U.S. central bank should not rush.
Persons: Price, Ilya Spivak, Spivak, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Israel's Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Treasury, Fed, San Francisco Fed Bank, Dallas Fed Bank Locations: U.S, Iran
Federal Reserve policymakers have been breathing easier lately regarding inflation, and that faith that they're closer to achieving their goal will get a key test Thursday. Specifically, the Labor Department's reading is expected to show an annual inflation rate of 2.2% and a monthly gain of just 0.1%, according to the Dow Jones consensus. However, following a much better than expected jobs report for September, Fed officials in recent days have indicated a likely more measured approach to cuts ahead. Details in Thursday's report will matter: Housing inflation has proven to be stubborn, though policymakers still expect lower rent renewals to feed into the data the months progress. The report hits just after the S & P 500 rose to a new record on Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Dallas
Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 have broken out to new highs this month. BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky asked this week, referring to the S & P 500. The S & P 500 had risen more than 5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was higher by more than 1%. For the S & P 500, those levels represent declines of about 6% to 9%, as of Thursday's close. Initial Claims (09/28) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite final (September) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services SA final (September) 10 a.m.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Dow, Adam Turnquist, LPL Financial's Turnquist, Jeff Hirsch, he's bullish, Hirsch wouldn't, Lamb Weston, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Nick Wells Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CNBC, Nasdaq, LPL, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, PMI, Manufacturing, Nike, McCormick, ADP, PMI Services SA, Services PMI, Constellation Locations: Europe, U.S, Chicago
It’s also a sign of confidence from Fed officials that inflation has come under control just enough to comfortably dial back policy. Typically, in the lead-up to a Fed policy decision, Wall Street and economists are in alignment on what to expect. But investors’ wagers for a half-point cut ramped up on Monday; and as of Tuesday afternoon, federal funds futures contracts were pricing in a 63% chance of a jumbo rate cut, up from around 30% on Thursday, according to the CME Group. As inflation skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022, American employers pumped out jobs and the unemployment rate declined to half-century lows. The Fed eventually responded to the country’s inflation problem with its bitter medicine of high interest rates.
Persons: It’s, Christopher Waller, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kaplan, Bill Dudley, , Powell, ” Gregory Daco, , ” Julia Hermann Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Street, CME, Fed, Democratic, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Former New York, Bloomberg, Dow, Labor, New York Life Investments, CNN
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan: I would be advocating for a 50 basis point rate cutRobert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs vice chairman and former Dallas Fed President, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's policy meeting this week, what to expect from the central bank on interest rates, why he's advocating for a 50 basis point rate cut, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
The meeting wraps up Wednesday afternoon, with the release of the Fed's rate decision coming at 2 p.m. "I hope they cut 50 basis points, but I suspect they'll cut 25. Here's a breakdown of what's on tap:The rate waitThe FOMC has been holding its benchmark fed funds rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since it last hiked in July 2023. The 'dot plot'Perhaps just as important as the rate cut will be the signals meeting participants send about where they expect rates to go from here. In June, FOMC members penciled in just one rate cut through the end of the year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik, they'll, Mark Zandi, that's, Tom Simons, Zandi, Robert Kaplan, There'll, Seema Shah, FOMC, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Powell presser, Goldman, Simons Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Moody's, Wall, Jefferies, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Asset Management Locations: Washington , DC
If Robert Kaplan still had a say in the matter, he'd be pushing for a half percentage point interest rate reduction at this week's Federal Reserve meeting. The former Dallas Fed president told CNBC on Tuesday that making the bolder move of 50 basis points would better position policymakers heading into the latter part of the year and the economic challenges ahead. "If I were sitting at the table, I would be advocating for 50 in this meeting," Kaplan said during a "Squawk Box" interview. One basis point equals 0.01%. Kaplan ran the Dallas Fed from 2015-21 and is now a managing director at Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Robert Kaplan, Kaplan, Jerome Powell, Jay Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Dallas Fed, CNBC, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why former Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher supports a 25-basis-point rate cut next weekRichard Fisher, former Dallas Fed president and Jefferies senior advisor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his expectations for the Federal Reserve, the real issue with the deficit, and the health of the economy.
Persons: Richard Fisher, Jefferies Organizations: Dallas Fed, Federal Reserve
An uptick in sausage demand can offer the latest sign of consumers tightening their belts as they continue grappling with high prices. There has been "modest growth" in the dinner sausage category for one producer, according to the Dallas Federal Reserve's Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey released Monday. "This category tends to grow when the economy weakens," the respondent said, according to edited comments included in the Dallas Fed's report. That is because "sausage is a good protein substitute for higher-priced proteins and can 'stretch' consumers' food budgets." This anecdote pointed out by eagle-eyed Bespoke Investment Group on social media site X comes as grocery prices remain top of mind for consumers.
Persons: Fred Meyer Organizations: Dallas Federal, Texas Manufacturing, Dallas Locations: Kroger, Palmer , Alaska, An
NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Wall Street is bullish heading into Nvidia's earnings results next week, figuring any hiccups to its next generation AI chips does little to dim the earnings potential of a company that essentially has a monopoly on the market. Economists polled by FactSet anticipate PCE to show increases of 0.2% month on month and 2.6% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street anticipates that stocks could go higher from here, though the road from now to the end of the year could be bumpy. Other notable earnings results include tech names Salesforce and CrowdStrike, as well as consumer names such as Campbell Soup, Dollar General and Ulta Beauty. Earnings: Nvidia , Bath & Body Works , J. M. Smucker , Salesforce , CrowdStrike , NetApp , HP Thursday Aug. 29 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Nvidia's, chipmaker, they've, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer, Kumar, Louis Navellier, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, FactSet, David Miller, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Campbell, Lululemon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, PCE, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Catalyst Funds, Ulta, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Body, HP, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chicago, Michigan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. may already be in a "plain vanilla recession": Danielle DiMartino BoothSignificant job losses and bankruptcy filings over the past year signal a "plain vanilla recession," according to Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist for Quill Intelligence. In this episode of "The Bottom Line," CNBC explores the former Dallas Fed advisor's views on the state of the U.S. economy, the navigating high of inflation and interest rates, globalization and a weakening labor market.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth Organizations: Quill Intelligence, CNBC, Dallas Fed Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed doesn't need to cut high right away, says former Dallas Fed President Richard FisherRichard Fisher, fmr. Dallas Fed president, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Fed, interest rates and the market sell-off.
Persons: Richard Fisher Richard Fisher, fmr Organizations: Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President on FOMC meeting: I think Powell did exactly what he needed to doRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed President and Goldman Sachs vice chairman, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his reaction to the policymakers' decision on Tuesday to leave interest rate unchanged.
Persons: Powell, Robert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
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