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☆ U.S. Treasury yields move higher as traders digest Trump win, await key data
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than four basis points to 4.3550%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury — which is the most sensitive to interest rate expectations — rose by more than six basis points to 4.3149%. U.S. Treasury yields jumped on Tuesday as investors continued to digest what President-elect Donald Trump's election win could mean for interest rates, and awaited key economic data — including inflation — later this week. It comes after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a second consecutive time last week, by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%. Federal Reserve officials including Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin and Federal Reserve board governor Christopher Waller will also speak on Tuesday.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Thomas Barkin, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Traders, Federal, Richmond Federal, FactSet

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed after stocks close at record highs: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures each also ticked down about 0.1% each. Monday's action comes amid a market upswing that began following last week's presidential election won by Donald Trump. The Dow gained more than 300 points to close higher than 44,000, while the S&P 500 finished the session just over 6,000. "It's a lot of what we saw back in 2016 when Trump won the election the first time." The release of data from these inflation gauges comes after the Fed last week announced another interest rate cut.

Persons: that's, Donald Trump, Russell, Larry Tentarelli, They'll, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Trump, Federal, Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Home

☆ Boeing strike will dent last jobs report before election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Leslie Josephs | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Boeing workers gather on a picket line near the entrance to a Boeing facility during an ongoing strike on October 24, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. Boeing 's more than seven-week machinist strike is set to hit Friday's U.S. jobs report — the last one that will be released before Nov. 5 presidential election and the Federal Reserve's meeting next week. Some 44,000 U.S. workers were on strike when the Labor Department conducted its survey in mid-October. About 33,000 of them are Boeing machinists, who walked off the job on Sept. 13 after overwhelmingly voting against a union-endorsed labor contract and in favor of their first strike since 2008. Boeing's machinist strike has complicated the plane maker's already difficult position as its new CEO Kelly Ortberg tries to steer the giant U.S. manufacturer and exporter out of safety, quality and financial crises.

Persons: Christopher Waller, I'm, Kelly Ortberg Organizations: Boeing, Labor Department, Bank of America, Federal Locations: Seattle , Washington, Hurricane Milton, Seattle

☆ 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.11% as investors monitor Fed speeches
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose about 4 basis points to 4.112%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was up about 2 basis points to 3.979%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4.11% on Monday as investors awaited a flurry of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly are all expected to deliver remarks on Monday as investors await clues on the Fed's monetary policy outlook. The Federal Open Market Committee took the unusual step last month of lowering its baseline interest rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, to a target range of 4.75% to 5%.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, Jeff Schmid, Mary Daly, Christopher Waller, Waller, —, Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S, Dallas, San Francisco Fed, Market Locations: U.S, Minneapolis, Kansas

☆ 10-year Treasury yield dips slightly as traders weigh up Fed officials' comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 10-year Treasury yield slipped over 1 basis point to 4.021%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield wavered slightly early Wednesday as bond traders digested the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials this week. Bond markets reopened Tuesday after the Columbus Day holiday on Monday, with bond traders digesting the latest comments from Fed officials this week. On Tuesday, however, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said there's room for the central bank to lower rates further. No Fed officials are due to speak publicly Wednesday and no major economic data releases are due.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly, —, Lisa Kailai Han, Sophie Kiderlin Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Bond, Columbus, Minneapolis, San Francisco Fed

☆ Treasury yields inch higher after Columbus Day holiday
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.9560%, rising over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Tuesday as bond markets reopened after the Columbus Day holiday. Investors were assessing the outlook for the economy as they considered the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials and looked to economic data due throughout the week. Investors are also looking ahead to upcoming economic data releases, including fresh insights from the manufacturing sector on Tuesday, as well as the latest consumer inflation expectations report. In Europe, the next interest rate decision from the European Central Bank is due on Thursday.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, Columbus, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: U.S, Europe

☆ Gold prices flat as investors await fresh impetus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold was flat on Tuesday as investors await fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's stance on U.S. interest rate reductions for further direction on bullion prices. Gold was flat on Tuesday as investors await fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's stance on U.S. interest rate reductions for further direction on bullion prices. "Gold prices have been surprisingly resilient, refusing to succumb to a stronger U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields," IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong said. Fed Governor Christopher Waller called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead. While, Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said more rate reductions likely lie ahead for the U.S. central bank as the 2% inflation target looms into sight.

Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Fed, Fed Bank of Minneapolis, U.S, London Locations: China

☆ Fed Governor Waller says 'more caution' needed on rate cuts after data showing a hot economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fed Governor Christopher Waller says recent data shows the Fed should ease more cautiously. The Fed cut rates by a50-basis points last month and is expected to make a smaller cut next month. AdvertisementWaller said recent data, though, shows an economy that's still hot. He pointed to recent data on employment, inflation, income and gross domestic product. Waller said he will be watching closely for any further data that shows the Fed should ease less aggressively.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, —, Waller's Organizations: Service, Stanford University, Fed

☆ Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150 per dollar
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. central bank kicked off its easing cycle with an aggressive 50 basis points at its last policy meeting in September. The dollar got a lift after Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead, citing recent economic data. That has cast doubts over when Japan's central bank will next tighten policy.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Kazuo Ueda, Shigeru Ishiba, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Traders, Boeing, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Caixin Global, Treasury, IG, China National, Congress Locations: U.S, Japan, China

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Economic growth and inflation might remain strong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia's numbers aren't a hallucinationNvidia shares rose 2.4% to close at $138.07, a new record for the stock. Data on employment, inflation and economic growth have signaled that the "economy may not be slowing as much as desired," Waller said. [PRO] Small cap strategyMarket wisdom has it that the performance of small-cap stocks will outstrip that of big-cap stocks.

Persons: Dow, it's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Kelly Ortberg, Russell, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Nvidia, U.S . Federal, Boeing, P Global

☆ CNBC Daily Open: The economy and inflation might stay strong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Data on employment, inflation and economic growth have signaled that the "economy may not be slowing as much as desired," Waller said. A soft landing is the scenario in which inflation drops to the Fed's 2% target while economic growth and employment remain healthy. A "no landing," on the other hand, is when the economy continues expanding as inflation remains high.

Persons: Jefferies, Kelly Ortberg, Christopher Waller, Waller, Fed Governor Waller, Henry Allen, Ohsung Kwon, BofA, Kwon, –, Jeff Cox, Sarah Min, Lisa Kailai Han, Yun Li Organizations: Shoppers, Miami Design District, CNBC, Grand View Research, Boeing, P Global, U.S . Federal, Fed, Deutsche Bank, Bank of America Securities Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S

☆ Fed Governor Waller sees need for 'more caution' ahead when lowering interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Monday signaled that future interest rate cuts will be less aggressive than the big move in September as he expressed concern that the economy could still be running at a hotter-than-desired pace. The Federal Open Market Committee at its September meeting took the unusual step of lowering its baseline interest rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, to a target range of 4.75%-5.0%. Along with the cut, officials indicated the likelihood of another half point lopped off in the final two meetings of 2024, along with another full percentage point of cuts in 2025. In the final revision for second-quarter growth, the Commerce Department also punched up the level of gross domestic income gain to 3.4%, an adjustment of 2.1 percentage points from the previous estimate and closer in line with GDP. “These revisions suggest that the economy is much stronger than previously thought, with little indication of a major slowdown in economic activity,” Waller said.

Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Waller, ” Organizations: Federal, Stanford University, The, Fed, Commerce Department

☆ Dollar extends gains while investors parse China's stimulus plans
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar extended its gains in early Monday trades in Asia as a holiday in Japan sapped liquidity, leaving China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements the focus of market attention. The dollar extended its gains in early Monday trades in Asia as a holiday in Japan sapped liquidity, leaving China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements the focus of market attention. "Markets are likely disappointed that China's Finance Ministry did not unveil concrete additional stimulus," said Richard Franulovich, head of FX strategy at Westpac, in a note. The yuan is down 0.9% against the dollar since Sept. 24, when the People's Bank of China kicked off China's most aggressive stimulus measures since the pandemic. The yen and euro both fell around 0.3% each, sterling shed 0.4% and the dollar index climbed 0.4%.

Persons: Lan Foan, Richard Franulovich, Christopher Wong, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Finance, China's Finance Ministry, Westpac, People's Bank of China, CSI, Fed, Traders, New Zealand Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Singapore, U.S, United States

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors await wave of earnings results
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await third-quarter earnings from major companies. Investors will monitor retail sales and jobless claims data this week. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await a wave of third-quarter earnings results this week. More than 40 S&P 500 companies are set to report results this week, including Netflix, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementBoth data points will give investors insights into the health of the consumer and job market, respectively.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Adriana Kugler, —, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Service, Netflix, Fed Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 hits another record close as rally presses on amid earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks hit record highs on Monday as investors get ready for a wave of earnings reports. Over 80 S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Goldman Sachs, report earnings this week. Monday's close marked the S&P 500's 46th record close of the year, as investors continue to power the two-year-old bull market higher. More than 80 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report third-quarter earnings results this week, with major names like Netflix, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley on deck. According to data from Fundstrat, 6% of S&P 500 companies have already reported their results.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Fed Governor Waller, —, Monday's, Morgan Stanley, Adriana Kugler, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Netflix, Fed, Service, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal, Stanford University's Hoover Institution Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ Bitcoin jumps while Japan holiday dulls most currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last week and indicated it was not in a hurry to hike them again. That decision, coming just days after the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut, put a pause to the yen's sharp gains this month. With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets. The Fed's rate cut "appears to have calmed market fears of a U.S. recession", Goldman Sachs said in a note. Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed's final two meetings this year.

Persons: Bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Waller, Fumio Kishida, Takaichi —, —, Shigeru Ishiba, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Takaichi, pare Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Japan, U.S, U.S ., FedWatch, Treasury, Reuters, House Republicans, Liberal Democratic Party, Barclays, The Bank of Locations: United States, Japan, U.S, The Bank of England

☆ The big post-Fed rally could get tested in week ahead: 'A lot holds in the balance' of the next few days
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 42,000 this week for the first time ever, while the S & P 500 breached the 5,700 milestone, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. "A lot holds in the balance of the next couple or few days," said Katie Stockton, founder at Fairlead Strategies. .SPX 5D mountain S & P 500 On Friday, the 30-stock Dow, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each closed higher by more than 1% for the week. The breakout is "'pending confirmation,'" Stockton said. Overall, Stockton expects that the longer-term setup for the S & P 500 is "a bit overdone."

Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, That's, Sam Stovall, Gee, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Stockton, CFRA, Fed, Chicago, PMI, Richmond Fed, New, Micron Technology, Transportation, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, PCE Deflator, PCE Locations: . Kansas, Michigan

☆ Fed Governor Waller says inflation softening faster than he expected put him in half-point-cut camp
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he supported a half percentage point rate cut at this week's meeting because inflation is falling even faster than he had expected. A week before the Fed meeting, markets were overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis point cut. Along with the decision, individual officials signaled the likelihood of another half point in cuts this year, followed by a full percentage point of reductions in 2025. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman was the only Federal Open Market Committee member to vote against the reduction, instead preferring a smaller quarter percentage point cut. "I was a big advocate of large rate hikes when inflation was moving much, much faster than any of us expected," he said.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Fed, Market, Commerce Department

☆ The Fed surprised many investors with a jumbo rate cut this week. It won’t get much easier to predict the next move
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

But Wall Street was mostly clueless this week when it came to predicting how big a rate cut the Fed would deliver on Wednesday. The jumbo half-point cut the Fed ultimately rolled out was not at all what traders expected a week ago. Powell: Fed officials ‘left the size of the rate cut open’ ahead of September meetingIn a closely watched speech at the Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, last month, Powell declared “the time has come” to cut interest rates. That data was apparently enough to spur some Fed officials to reconsider their position. “But we do not expect Fed officials to be intentionally opaque,” said Husby.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ‘, “, Price, Christopher Waller, ”, Powell’s, Thomas Simons, ” Simons, Michelle Bowman, “ We’re, Andrew Husby, Waller, there’s Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Fed, PPI, CNBC, Jefferies, BNP Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ The Fed's interest-rate cut put Trump even more at odds with the central bank
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced an interest-rate cut of 50 basis points, the first cut Americans have received in over four years. AdvertisementHe's argued in the past that the Fed would only cut rates close to the election to aid Democrats, which he reiterated leading up to the central bank's announcement. Trump sought to use his presidential power to appoint members to the Fed board who supported his unorthodox views of the central bank. Trump has flip-flopped his views on his most important appointment to the Fed: Powell. Trump's tepid support of Powell underlines just how mercurial he can be when it comes to the central bank.

Persons: —, Donald Trump isn't, Jerome Powell, Trump, they're, He's, Powell, Judy Shelton, Shelton, Sen, Susan Collins, Herman Cain, Stephen Moore, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, he's, reappoint Powell, Trump hasn't Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Democratic, Business, Federal Reserve, Street, Trump, Bloomberg, Fox, Fed, Governors, Maine Republican, Fed Board, Bloomberg News Locations: New York, Michigan, Maine

☆ The Fed has waited four years to cut rates. But it’s still a tough call
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

It’s also a sign of confidence from Fed officials that inflation has come under control just enough to comfortably dial back policy. Typically, in the lead-up to a Fed policy decision, Wall Street and economists are in alignment on what to expect. But investors’ wagers for a half-point cut ramped up on Monday; and as of Tuesday afternoon, federal funds futures contracts were pricing in a 63% chance of a jumbo rate cut, up from around 30% on Thursday, according to the CME Group. As inflation skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022, American employers pumped out jobs and the unemployment rate declined to half-century lows. The Fed eventually responded to the country’s inflation problem with its bitter medicine of high interest rates.

Persons: It’s, Christopher Waller, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kaplan, Bill Dudley, ”, Powell, ” Gregory Daco, “, ” Julia Hermann Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Street, CME, Fed, Democratic, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Former New York, Bloomberg, Dow, Labor, New York Life Investments, CNN

☆ Fed Governor Waller backs interest rate cut at September meeting, open to larger move
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Friday backed an interest rate cut at the upcoming central bank policy meeting in less than two weeks, and indicated he’d be open to a substantial reduction if necessary. Other policymakers recently have advocated easing policy soon, but this is one of the clearest indications it will happen at the Sept. 17-18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. “Determining the pace of rate cuts and ultimately the total reduction in the policy rate are decisions that lie in the future,” Waller added. With inflation and employment near our longer-run goals and the labor market moderating, it is likely that a series of reductions will be appropriate,” he said. Futures market pricing following the jobs report tilted toward a greater likelihood of a quarter percentage point rate reduction this month.

Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Waller, verbiage, Jerome Powell, —, nonfarm, Dow Jones, ” Organizations: Federal, Council, Foreign Relations, Labor Department, Dow Locations: New York

☆ The Fed is about to give more clues as to when it will finally start cutting rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Fed officials in recent speeches have said they’re pleased with the latest inflation data, acknowledging the steady progress but saying they’re not quite fully comfortable yet with slashing rates. “We set this rate when inflation was over 4%, and inflation is now, let’s call it, 2.5%. He has said that an unexpected weakening in the labor market would prompt the Fed to consider cutting rates sooner than expected. Economic growth in 2024 has been solid so far, despite the highest interest rates in nearly a quarter century. But the Fed’s decision to cut rates will be mainly based on inflation readings, absent any concerning news about the job market.

Persons: they’re, Christopher Waller, Austan Goolsbee, “, Goolsbee, Loretta Mester, Jerome Powell’s, ” Kathleen Grace, Waller, ” Powell, Powell Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, Chicago Fed, Wall Street, Cleveland Fed, CNN, Labor

☆ It’s not the end of the world if the Fed doesn’t cut rates tomorrow
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —The Federal Reserve is all but certain to hold interest rates steady at its meeting this week. That’s why Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year. “There are still two more CPI releases before the September 18 [Fed] meeting, so we have to wait and see if the downtrend in inflation continues,” he told CNN. Fed officials have signaled that September will be when they finally lower interest rates. The difference between a few months for that initial cut “really doesn’t matter unless there’s some big shock that hits the economy in that time,” Fed Governor Christopher Waller said earlier this month.

Persons: Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman —, Blinder, what’s, Brandon Bell, Torsten Slok, Apollo, ”, Sean Snaith, it’s, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, CNN, ” University of Central, ” Locations: New York, ” University of Central Florida, Iran, Israel

☆ Markets now pricing in three rate cuts before the end of the year following better inflation news
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Improving news on inflation again has raised investors' hopes that the Federal Reserve soon will start to aggressively lower interest rates. Futures market pricing now indicates that while the Fed will remain on hold at next week's policy meeting, it will commence cutting in September and move again in November and December. The market-implied probability for a September cut nudged up to about 90% Friday morning, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool that measures fed funds futures pricing. Traders in early 2024 were pricing in at least six cuts this year, but the central bank's rate-setting group has remained on hold for a year. Following the two-day meeting that concludes next Wednesday, the Fed meeting schedule is empty for August, save for the all-important annual conclave in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, —, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Friday's Commerce Department, RSM, Traders, Federal Open, Fed Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

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