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CNBC Daily Open: S&P retreats, yen surges, Tesla sinks
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Abid Ali | )   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The declines follow the lowest consumer price index in over three years. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell, while U.S. oil prices rose on hopes of a rate cut. The Fed is "one step closer to a September rate cut," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade.
Persons: Jesse Pound, Chris Larkin, Kit Juckes, Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Dow Jones, Treasury, U.S, Societe Generale, Delta Air Lines, Paris, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
Why the Fed is stressed about presidential elections
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | )   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent investors mixed messages on Tuesday during his semiannual testimony to Congress. Powell is stressed about the election: Powell was asked by multiple senators about White House politics, which he dodged. While the Fed head noted that policy decisions are data dependent, “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” he said. The September Fed meeting will be “live”: Powell noted multiple times that every Fed policy decision is made “live” using the latest available economic data – in other words, decisions aren’t made in advance. About 75% of investors think the Fed will cut rates, and about 25% think they’ll remain the same.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Donald Trump, reappoint Powell, , Joseph Brusuelas, Trump, Gregory Daco, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Larkin, don’t, aren’t, David Rubenstein, he’ll, Airbnb, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie, Puy Kamp, Audrey Ash, Chris Isidore . Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Federal, White, , Reserve, RSM, Federal Reserve, US Consumer, Treasury, Fed, Economics, Washington DC, Jackson, CNN, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Powell, Washington, Alaska
Inflation rose about as expected in April, with markets on edge over when interest rates might start coming down, according to a measure released Friday that is followed closely by the Federal Reserve. Including the volatile food and energy category, PCE inflation was at 2.7% on an annual basis and 0.3% from a month ago. Goods prices rose 0.2% while services saw a 0.3% increase, continuing a normalization trend for an economy in which services and consumption provide much of the fuel. Personal income increased 0.3% on the month, matching the estimate, while spending rose just 0.2%, below the 0.4% estimate and off March's downwardly revised 0.7%. "The PCE Price Index didn't show much progress on inflation, but it didn't show any backsliding, either.
Persons: Dow Jones, Dan North, Jerome, Powell, I'm, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, John Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Labor Department, The Commerce Department, North America, Allianz Trade, Treasury, New York Fed
Fed officials aren’t easing Wall Street’s nerves
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | )   time to read: +4 min
Optimism spurred by the latest inflation data pushed all three major stock indexes to new record highs. But now Wall Street, eager for rate cuts, is on edge again. But some financial leaders remain doubtful that the Fed is feeling confident enough to cut rates soon. “I think we’re set up for stickier inflation.”Some Fed officials say another rate hike isn’t likelyFed officials have mostly sounded a little more optimistic about inflation recently, after the Consumer Price Index for April finally provided some welcome news. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Bloomberg on Monday that she also thinks interest rates are high enough to deal with inflation.
Persons: they’re, Dow, Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, “ I’m, , , Philip Jefferson, Mary Daly, Axios, Jerome Powell, Klaas Knot, Loretta Mester, Chris Larkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, CNBC, , Peterson Institute for International Economics, Boston College, Mortgage, Association, ” San Francisco Fed, European Central Bank Governing, Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, Locations: ” San
Wholesale prices rose 0.5% in April, more than expected
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | )   time to read: +3 min
Wholesale prices jumped more than expected in April, putting up another potential roadblock to interest rate cuts anytime soon. Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, core PPI also increased 0.5% compared to the 0.2% Dow Jones estimate. On a year-over-year basis, wholesale inflation rose 2.2%, also the highest in a year. Core PPI inflation was at 2.4%, the biggest annual move since August 2023. Services prices boosted the wholesale inflation reading, rising 0.6% and accounting for about three-quarters of the headline gain, while the final demand goods index increased 0.4%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Reuters . Stock, BLS, Federal Reserve, Commerce, York
Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast GDP growth would come in at 2.4%. Tech tumbleThe lackluster GDP added further pressure to an already-tense market contending with concerns over a pullback in growth among technology earnings. "This report was the worst of both worlds: economic growth is slowing and inflationary pressures are persisting," wrote Chris Zaccarelli, investment chief at Independent Advisor Alliance. Investors are hoping the PCE report, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, will show an improvement in pricing pressures after the March consumer inflation report came in hotter than expected. — Brian Evans8:58 a.m.: 10-year Treasury yield jumps to highest level since NovemberThe 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.7% following the GDP report, hitting its highest level since November.
Persons: Johannes Eisele, Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Thierry Wizman, UnitedHealth, Alex Harring, Mark Zuckerberg's, Hakyung Kim, Fred Imbert, Chris Zaccarelli, Sarah Min, — Brian Evans, — Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty, Dow Jones, Caterpillar, IBM, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, Traders, Meta, Business Machines, FX, Macquarie, Microsoft, Amazon, Merck, York Stock Exchange, Independent, Alliance, Investors, Treasury, Gross
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 9, 2024. Stock futures fell sharply Thursday after the latest U.S. economic data showed a sharp slowdown in growth and pointed to persistent inflation. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 419 points or 1.1%. Along with the downbeat growth rate for the quarter, the report showed consumer prices increased at a 3.4% pace, well above the previous quarter's 1.8% advance. Following the GDP print, traders moved down expectations for an easing of Federal Reserve monetary policy.
Persons: Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, Traders
The Nasdaq tumbled 2.1% on Friday as tech stocks plunged, marking its worst day since January 31. “US earnings updates this week will be key to see if they can keep topping expectations and buoying risk appetite in a higher-for-longer interest rate environment.”Tesla, Facebook-parent Meta, IBM, Microsoft and Alphabet all report first quarter earnings later this week. “Big Tech earnings may determine whether the stock market avoids its first four-week losing streak in two years,” wrote Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley on Monday. About 15% of S&P 500 companies have reported first quarter earnings, and nearly three-quarters of those companies have posted a positive earnings-per-share surprise. But investors are nervously waiting for the Magnificent Seven, those massive Tech stocks that carry an outsized portion of market weight, to report.
Persons: Monday’s, , , They’re, Tesla, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, aren’t, we’re, Dave Sekera, ” Taylor Swift’s, Apple Taylor Swift, Liam Reilly, Department ”, Post Malone, Laura He Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Nasdaq, BlackRock, Federal Reserve, Facebook, IBM, Microsoft, “ Big Tech, Tech, Companies, Nvidia, Apple, Big Tech, Bank of America, Morningstar, Department, Spotify, Poets Department, Amazon Music, Apple Music, EV, Tesla Locations: New York, Wells, China, Germany, United States, Tesla’s, Europe
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly rose Wednesday, encouraged by a record rally on Wall Street that was led by technology companies. Speculation is rife that Japan's central bank is getting ready to end its super-easy monetary policy, which has set interest rates below zero, and start raising rates. Photos You Should See View All 60 ImagesOn Wall Street, the S&P 500 jumped 1.1% to top its all-time high set last week. The worse-than-expected data kept the door closed for long-sought cuts to interest rates at the Federal Reserve meeting next week. On Wall Street, big technology stocks did heavy lifting.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, , Tim Waterer, Brian Jacobsen, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, ” Larkin, , Dow, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Bank of, KCM, U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury, Oracle, Nvidia Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Wall
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly sank Tuesday over worries about a possible U.S. government shutdown and the troubled Chinese economy. Political Cartoons View All 1179 ImagesRealization is sinking in that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates high well into next year. Higher yields are at the head of a long line of concerns weighing on Wall Street. On Wall Street, Amazon rose 1.7% and was the strongest single force pushing up on the S&P 500. Also on the losing end of Wall Street were stocks of travel-related companies, which slumped under the weight of worries about higher fuel costs.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Evergrande, , Tina Teng, That’s, ” Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, what’s, haven’t, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Brent, Stan Choe Organizations: TOKYO, CMC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Netflix, Walt Disney Co, Warner Brothers Discovery, Southwest Airlines, Norwegian Cruise, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, U.S, AP Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Canada, U.S, Anthropic, Norwegian, New York
All eyes will be on U.S. inflation data, expected on Wednesday, that will feed into the Fed's interest rate decision later in the month. The second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week and investors will assess the impact of tight monetary conditions and fears of an impending economic slowdown on businesses. Overall, earnings for the S&P 500 constituents are expected to fall 5.7% in the quarter, Refintiv data showed. Most megacap growth and technology stocks slid in mid-day trading, with the FANG index (.NYFANG) falling 1.3%. Big banks such as JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) and Citigroup (C.N) edged up, ahead of reporting earnings on Friday.
Persons: Carl Icahn, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Mary Daly, Jefferies, JPMorgan Chase, Janet Yellen, Johann M Cherian, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty Organizations: Citigroup, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, PPI, Traders, Dow Jones, JPMorgan, Icahn Enterprises, Intel, Qualcomm, U.S, Treasury, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru
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