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Tech: We're in the middle of a white-collar recession, and tech workers are shouldering much of it . We're in the middle of a white-collar recession, and tech workers . AdvertisementElon Musk's government efficiency commission has been tasked with cutting government spending, raising questions about the future of millions of jobs. Tech jobs are mired in a recession. White collar hiring is in a huge slump, and tech workers are some of the hardest hit .
Persons: Trump hasn't, Tesla, Chelsea Jia Feng, Madison Hoff, Vivek Ramaswamy, Musk, Alice Tecotzky, John L, Dorman, Allison Robbert, Scott Bessent, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Marc Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Natalie Ammari, Uber, Verily, , Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk, Bluesky —, Jake Paul's, Netflix's Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, wasn't, Donald Trump's, Satya Nadella, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Google, Trump, Tech, Getty, Elon, Department of Education, Veterans Affairs, Department of Government, Social Security, Medicare, Twitter, Getty Government, Allison, Treasury, BCA Research, Goldman, BI, LinkedIn, Microsoft, China Economic, Security, Walmart Locations: Washington , DC, China, Brazilian, New York, Chicago, London
Chinese stocks are poised for a huge run-up in the next year, according to Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf. Other notable investors have been looking to buy the dip in Chinese stocks amid continued stimulus efforts. Other traders on Wall Street have shown interest in buying the dip in Chinese equities, despite fear that Beijing's economic slowdown could stick around. Other strategists on Wall Street have made bullish calls on Chinese equities in recent weeks, with eyes on continued stimulus measures in Beijing. Goldman Sachs predicted China's stock market could rally another 20%, thanks to "more substantial policy measures" and Chinese stocks being oversold, strategists said in a note.
Persons: Jeff deGraaf, , deGraaf, Beijing didn't, Mario Draghi, Michael Hartnett, Yuan Wei, Yuan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Macro, CSI, Bloomberg, Beijing, Investors, Bank of America, Investment Fund Management Co Locations: , Beijing, China, Wall, Shenzhen, Hong Kong
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
China's stock markets slumped after a 10-day rally that was driven by Beijing's stimulus announcement in September. Retail investors dominate China's markets, influencing sentiment and market movements. AdvertisementChina's top leadership has a problem with its economic stimulus: its own investors at home saw right through the hype this week. China's domestic stock markets slumped on Wednesday after a 10-day blitz culminated in a two-year high. China's domestic stock markets are dominated by over 200 million mom-and-pop retail investors, who account for about 70% of the trading volume.
Persons: , weren't, Jun Rong, that's, Vishnu, Li Qiang, Hele Qiao, Qiao Organizations: Investors, Service, People's Bank of China, Reform Commission, BofA Global Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Xinhua, Greater China, China's
As investors consider whether — and how — to invest in China, two experts share their views on the market right now. "We believe the scale and focus of these measures, particularly the targeted liquidity injection, address the critical issue of insufficient domestic capital flows into China's stock market. 'China is no longer cheap' Lorraine Tan, director of Asia's equity research at Morningstar, is more cautious looking ahead. "At this point in time, China markets are no longer cheap. Stocks on her radar include "higher quality, moaty names," such as fast-food restaurant chain Yum China Holdings and property developer China Resources Land .
Persons: Jingwei Chen, , Europe —, Chen, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI, Wall, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, Companies, BYD, Tencent Holdings, Morningstar, China Holdings, China Resources Locations: China, Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong
European stocks took a hit as China's stock rally lost momentum. A lack of new stimulus details from China has affected the luxury sector. AdvertisementEuropean stocks took a hit on Tuesday as China's stock rally cooled following a lack of much-awaited details about how the government plans to support economic growth in the country. Investors were expecting the National Development and Reform Commission, China's top economic planner, to provide fresh information regarding stimulus plans at a press conference on Tuesday. Luxury brands have seen sales suffer in China in recent months amid the country's economic slowdown.
Persons: , Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Gucci, Burberry, Kering, Marc Jacobs Organizations: Service, Investors, National Development, Reform Commission, Louis, Burberry Locations: China, LVMH, Asia, Japan, Pacific
China rally loses steam as authorities disappoint markets
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina rally loses steam as authorities disappoint marketsPatrick Chovanec, Silvercrest Asset Management economic advisor, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the the cooling in China's stock rally, how long-term investors should be concerned about Chinese market, and more.
Persons: Patrick Chovanec Organizations: Email China, Silvercrest, Management
China's stock markets surged post-National Day break, driven by pent-up investor demand. Investors are assessing further economic stimulus measures from Beijing. AdvertisementChina's stock markets surged on Tuesday on pent-up demand from a weeklong trading break. Even before Tuesday's opening, China's social media was abuzz with what the stock markets may hold following the weeklong public holiday break. On Tuesday, hashtags about mainland China's stock market rushed to the top of Weibo's trending list.
Persons: , Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Service, Beijing's, CSI, National Development, Reform Locations: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, hashtags
China's stock investors and watchers are discussing the markets before they reopen. AdvertisementChina's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break. AdvertisementChina's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about 70% of trading volume. Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares. China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Twitter, Weibo, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: China, Mainland, Beijing, Weibo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.
Persons: , it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, , MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg
Iran launched a massive ballistic missile strike on Israel this week, what appears to be the largest ever. The attack represents just a fraction of the scale, devastation, and capabilities a China missile strike could have, experts said. AdvertisementIran launched a major missile strike on Israel earlier this week likely intended to overwhelm the country's air defenses and inflict significant damage. The Iranian attack was massive, perhaps the largest ballistic missile strike in history, but it represents just a fraction of the scale and capabilities of what a Chinese missile attack could look like. AdvertisementA massive missile strikeIran previously launched a missile strike on Israel in April, using ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones.
Persons: , Bailee Ann Darbasie, Tom Karako, Amir Cohen, Hassan Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, wasn't, Cole, USS Bulkeley, Karako, Thomas Shugart, Liu Mingsong, Shugart, Xi Jingping's, GREG BAKER Organizations: Service, Department of Defense, Army's, Force, U.S . Air Force, Staff, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Missile Defense, Reuters, Air, US, Iranian, US Navy, Center, New, New American Security, Pentagon, Getty, Area Defense, Aegis, Pacific Command Locations: Iran, Israel, China, Taiwan, Chinese, Ukraine, New American, Xinhua, AFP, Japan
Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — The rocket higher in Chinese stocks so far looks different from the market bubble in 2015, analysts said. Major mainland China stock indexes surged by more than 8% Monday, extending a winning streak on the back of stimulus hopes. Stock market leverage by percentage and value were far higher in 2015 than data for Monday showed, according to Wind Information. He added that there are market risks from how unprepared the stock trading system was for the surge of buying. Reports indicate brokerages have been overwhelmed with new requests, echoing how individuals piled into the stock market nearly a decade earlier.
Persons: Aaron Costello, We're, Xi Jinping, Zhu Ning, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Costello, Peter Alexander, it's, , Alexander Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Cambridge Associates, U.S ., greenback, U.S, CSI, People's Bank of China, Nikkei, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Ministry of Finance, Ben Advisors, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: Hangzhou, China, BEIJING, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Asia, MSCI, People's Republic of China, Beijing
Investors shouldn't be putting their money in Chinese stocks for the long term, according to Kyle Bass. The "Big Short" investor pointed to the long-running stagnation in Chinese stocks. AdvertisementInvesting in China over the long term is nothing short of a bad idea, according to "Big Short" investor Kyle Bass. The Hayman Capital founder said he's still bearish on China, despite the historic run-up in Chinese stocks after Beijing unveiled a fresh stimulus package. Bass has been bearish on China for years, previously shorting the Chinese yuan before closing his position in 2019.
Persons: Kyle Bass, , he's, China hasn't, Bass, you'll Organizations: Investors, Service, Hayman Capital, CNBC, Communist Locations: China, Beijing, Hong, Kong, Taiwan, Russia
As investors ponder how — and where — to invest in this uncertain climate, CNBC Pro asked market experts how they are positioning before the year-end. 'Capitalize on the shifting market dynamics' The fourth quarter is starting hot on the heels of central banks' rate easing cycle. "There is an interesting valuation point about U.K. equities, and given recent positive economic surprises that present potential upsides, we feel this is an attractive market." "International investors owning U.K. equities and not hedging the currency, either win on the currency strength gains or win on the equity market." Other markets Beyond the U.K., Hechler-Fayd'herbe sees potential in emerging markets such as Taiwan and South Korea.
Persons: Kevin Teng, Teng, , Europe —, he's, Morgan Stanley, Lombard, Nannette Organizations: Equity, CSI, Treasury, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, U.S . Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Nvidia, Nasdaq, EMEA, CNBC, Bank of England, International Locations: Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Swiss, Taiwan, South Korea
AdvertisementUS financial firms' interest in China was on its last legs, but a new stimulus package has some investors excited again. The immediate impact of China's $114 billion package, which includes cutting interest rates and reducing the amount of money banks need to keep in reserve, has been big. Traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade , signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." Our annual list of Wall Street rising stars is here. According to a new report from The Wall Street Journal, executives attempted to woo the AI researcher back before rescinding the offer.
Persons: , Andres Martinez Casares, Alyssa Powell, Linette Lopez isn't, Linette, Jon Hicks, that's, David Tepper, He's, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, BI's Filip De Mott, Wall, Natalie Ammari, Crypto, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Marc Piasecki, Tyler Le, who's, OpenAI execs, Ilya Sutskever, it's, Tara Anand, aren't, Jerome Powell, Ryan Routh, El Chapo, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Traders, Bank of China, bros, Trump, Getty, Houston Chronicle, Hearst Newspapers, Elon, Wall Street Journal, Netflix, Longshoremen's Association, National Association for Business Locations: China, New York, London, Chicago
China's aggressive stimulus measures have sparked a significant stock market rally. Still, traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade, signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." The People's Bank of China's stock market stimulus was unusual. An active stock market and improved investor confidence will improve expectations for economic development," the media outlet wrote. Mainland China's stock markets will also be closed from Tuesday to Monday.
Persons: , Vishnu, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Criss Wang, Data.TS, Varathan Organizations: Service, CSI, People's Bank, China Securities Journal, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Asia, Japan
China's stock markets surged this week, marking the best weekly performance since late 2008. AdvertisementChina's stock markets closed sharply higher Friday, notching their best week in 16 years as investors joined the rally party. The stock market party overwhelmed tech systemsThe stock market party got too hot to handle. AdvertisementFurthermore, the US Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates, which has historically benefited Chinese markets, they added. So even if Beijing's stimulus isn't enough for China's economy, a liquidity or leverage-driven market rally could still be "very powerful," they wrote.
Persons: , Vishnu Varathan, Hong, Hao Hong, Pan Gongsheng, Data.TS, Freya Beamish, Rory Green Organizations: Service, Grow Investment, Shanghai Stock Exchange, of America, Bank of America, US Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Shanghai, India
China's stock market has recently rebounded on the promise of further economic and market stimulus. The measures include cuts to a variety of interest rates , as well as support for China's flagging real estate sector . China's stimulus efforts The Shanghai Composite has rallied sharply in the aftermath of those moves but remains about 50% below its all-time high of nearly 6,000, last seen in 2007. These moves have failed to boost growth or lead to a durable and sustainable stock market rally. The U.S. stock market accounted for roughly 60% of global stock market valuation in 2023.
Persons: David Tepper, Let's, Ron Insana Organizations: Bank, Atlanta, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, European Union, U.S . Energy, Administration, The, U.S, Olympus, CNBC Locations: United States, China, It's, Shanghai, U.S, Beijing, Europe, Canada, European, The U.S, Russia, Iran, North Korea
Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry is benefiting from the recent surge in Chinese stocks. Burry began aggressively buying Chinese stocks in the fourth quarter of 2022, and it seems to finally be paying off. AdvertisementBurry also has 12% of his portfolio invested in Baidu, and another 12% of his portfolio invested in JD.com. Billionaire investor David Tepper said on Thursday that it's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks. Tepper believes there's more upside to be had in Chinese stocks due to their depressed valuations.
Persons: Michael Burry, , Burry, Alibaba, David Tepper, Tepper, there's Organizations: Scion, Management, Service, Scion Asset Management, Baidu, People's Bank of China, Alibaba, CNBC Locations: JD.com, China, HedgeFollow, China's
David Tepper is growing even more bullish on Chinese stocks amid the nation's new fiscal stimulus measures. Tepper views China's stock market as more attractive than the US stock market due to valuation differences. AdvertisementIt's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks after the country launched a fiscal stimulus bazooka this week, according to billionaire investor David Tepper. But Tepper believes Chinese stocks have plenty of room to run higher, even after the recent surges. On US markets, Tepper said he is not following his buy "everything" mantra with Chinese stocks and is being more selective in buying US stocks.
Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, , Pan Gongsheng, Donald Trump, he's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Fed, Federal, People's Bank of China, PDD Holdings, Tencent Holdings, Management, Wynn Resorts, Vegas Sands, Baidu, China Internet Locations: China, Vegas
The Chinese central bank's largest stimulus measures since Covid should provide the world's second-largest economy with a much-needed boost, which should help our portfolio companies doing business there. The Club has a broad range of companies with significant sales exposure to China, and some with none. Here's a look at the percentages in our 32 stock portfolio, as well as recent earnings call commentary, about the business climate and the potential in China. On the industrial side, DuPont has the most China exposure because of its electronics and water businesses. Eaton and Dover don't have nearly as much China exposure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Colette Kress, Tim Cook, Brian Niccol, Gamble, Andre Schulten, Peter Arduini, Lori Koch, Stanley Black, , Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Peng Organizations: People's Bank of China, Wall, Commodities, Republican, House, Democratic, Trump, Broadcom, Nvidia, AMD, Nvidia's, Apple, Starbucks, Investors, Huawei, Jefferies, Consumer, Procter, Barclays, GE Healthcare, GE, DuPont, Banking, Coterra Energy, Investing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Asia, China, America, U.S, Eaton, Dover, People's Republic of China
Without the promise of profits, American firms are also becoming less willing to go to bat for China — to reinforce the idea that China's market is crucial to the success of their futures. No demandAfter pandemic lockdowns ended in 2023, the Chinese economy experienced what is known on Wall Street as a "dead cat bounce." What money Chinese consumers are still able to spend is increasingly going to companies that grew up in their home country. Related storiesWhat money Chinese consumers are still able to spend is increasingly going to companies that grew up in their home country. It gives corporations, already under financial pressure as China's economy declines, even less reason to act as interlocutors encouraging stability between Washington and Beijing.
Persons: Washington —, Xi Jinping, Lee Miller, lockdowns, They're, Xi, Yi Gang, Michael Pettis, Tesla, Elon Musk, it's, Ball, Jamie Dimon, It's, China's, Goldman Sachs, Ray Dalio, seeping, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, , Trump, Biden, we're, Cordell Hull Organizations: Apple, Nike, Chinese Communist Party, People's Bank of, Carnegie Endowment, China Business Council, Starbucks, Street, Bridgewater Associates, Beijing, East Asia State Department, CCP, Trump, State Department, Republicans, Financial, Broadcom, Nvidia, Biden Administration Locations: China, America, Beijing, Washington, American, South China, Taiwan, People's Bank of China, Shanghai
Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar steadied on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales had traders slightly trimming bets that the U.S. easing cycle will begin with an outsized interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, which will be followed by a news conference half an hour later. A rate cut is fully priced, with interest rate futures implying a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, after flirting with 70% a day earlier. Traders say the Fed's tone as well as the size of the rate cut will drive the next moves in the foreign exchange market. China's stock, bond and currency markets resume trade on Wednesday after the mid-autumn festival break, though it is a holiday on Wednesday in Hong Kong.
Persons: Nathan Swami, Swami Organizations: Federal, Traders, Citi, Australian, New Zealand, Sterling, Bank of, ANZ Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Asia, U.S, Japan, Atlanta, Singapore, Hong Kong, Bank of England
An expansion rate surpassing America'sKFC, run by Shanghai-headquartered Yum China, has historically enjoyed the lion's share of the country's fast-food cravings. Hopes for a new middle class in ChinaCities in China are unofficially grouped into tiers according to their status, size, and wealth. Chinese KFC has nearly doubled its menu itemsExpanding during a sluggish economy might make sense for fast food brands, which are often classified as recession-proof as consumers downgrade their spending. Advertisement"Now, they are doubling down further on this strategy by expanding into the inland regions of China, especially Tier Three and Tier Four cities with a growing middle class," they told BI. Yum China has also been expanding aggressively in the country's burgeoning coffee scene, establishing a popular spin-off called KCoffee.
Persons: , It's, McDonald's, Shaun Rein, Rein, Allison Malmsten, Malmsten, Cui Nan, Wang Gang, Jonathan Bernstein, Bernstein, Kung Fu, Daxue, it's, They've Organizations: Service, Thursday, Business, McDonald's, Tier, China Market Research Group, KFC, LONG, Future Publishing, Getty Images, China, US, Yum China, Daxue Consulting, Publishing, China News Service, Getty, Analysts, Yonder Consulting Locations: China, Kentucky, Weibo, Hangzhou, China's, Shanghai, China Cities, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Chongqing, Nanyang, Suqian, Jiangsu, London, Asia, Shanghai thronged
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