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The full moon, otherwise known as a strawberry supermoon, is seen over the Skyline of the CBD in Sydney, Australia June 15, 2022. Steven Saphore | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set to open mixed on Wednesday, following gains on Wall Street that saw the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average reach new intraday and closing records. Traders in Asia will assesses monthly consumer price index figures out of Australia, set for release later in the day. A poll from Reuters expects the monthly CPI indicator to have risen 2.3% in October year on year, from 2.1% in September. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 19,172 slightly higher than the HSI's last close of 19,159.2.
Persons: Steven Saphore, Australia's Organizations: Skyline, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Dow Jones, Traders, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
The Tokyo Tower, left, and commercial and residential buildings in Minato district of Tokyo, Japan, on Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022. Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to open higher Friday, tracking a rally on Wall Street, with the S&P logging gains for a fourth straight day. Investors in Asia will assess Japan's October consumer price index data. Singapore is also set to release its third-quarter GDP data, with growth anticipated to accelerate to 4.6% year on year from 4.1% in the prior quarter, according to LSEG data. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were flat from its last close at 19601.11.
Persons: Akio Kon Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images, Investors, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Minato district, Japan, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, Asia, Singapore, Chicago, Osaka, 19601.11
Nvidia earnings results this week are more important to the stock market than the Federal Reserve or even jobs data, according to the options market. But Jensen Huang's company remains crucially important to the market, according to Wall Street firms tracking the options market. NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia The options market shows an implied move of 8% for Nvidia, according to Barclays. For investors, how Nvidia moves could determine what is next for a market that has been flagging lately following the postelection rally, according to Bank of America Securities' Asis. Asis recommends hedging against the earnings results in case Nvidia disappoints.
Persons: Jensen, Gonzalo Asis, Asis, Stefano Pascale Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Wall, Bank of America Securities, Sunday, Nvidia, CPI, Barclays, Bank of America, Apple, Microsoft Locations: Asis
One of the surest bets when the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates was for bond prices to rise while yields came under pressure, but that hasn't played out according to plan. This market, which has defied so many historical patterns, has kept the pressure on bond yields up due to a variety of factors, including more persistent concerns about the federal deficit. But her bigger concern remains on the bond side of the markets. She said investors will be "more wary" given the election rally and the pulling forward of expectations about tax cuts and regulation and expectations they will contribute to growth. But it is in the bond market where investors should expect even more volatility.
Persons: hasn't, Donald's Trump, Anne Walsh, Nelson Peltz Organizations: Federal Reserve, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, CNBC's, Alpha, DA Locations: New York City
"We have increased our bets on inflation," he told CNBC's Leslie Picker at CNBC's Delivering Alpha investor summit on Wednesday. "We will have another inflection up in inflation," he said. "The policy mix being proposed is inflationary and we will see more of that over the next few years." The latest CPI data released Wednesday showed inflation in line with market expectations, at 2.6%. There is an argument for tolerating it and trying to run the economy as hot as possible.
Persons: David Einhorn, Donald Trump's, CNBC's Leslie Picker, Einhorn, bearish, Nelson Peltz, Trump, Harris, You've, you've, Anne Walsh Organizations: Greenlight, Alpha, Trump, Maytag, Trian, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management Locations: U.S
"We are seeing [deflation] to some extent," said Stephen Brown, deputy chief North America economist at Capital Economics. Energy prices and electronicsGasoline prices are also "way down," Zandi said. Consumers "could get more relief there because global oil prices are soft," Zandi said. Food prices are also generally underpinned by their own unique supply-and-demand dynamics, economists said. Lower energy prices can also take pressure off food prices, as it costs less to transport and distribute food to grocery store shelves.
Persons: Stephen Brown, Mark Zandi, women's outerwear, they've, Zandi, They've, Donald Trump's, they'd, Bacon Organizations: North, Capital Economics, U.S, Moody's, Finance, CPI, Bank of America, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Consumers Locations: U.S, North America, China
CNN —US wholesale inflation picked up more than expected in October, indicating that some price pressures persist at the producer level. Still, one potential favorable sign for inflation-weary consumers: Wholesale food prices dropped 0.2% for the month. FactSet consensus forecasts called for a 0.2% monthly gain and for the annual rate to heat up to 2.3%. Economists projected a 0.2% monthly gain and a 3% annual rate. Thursday’s PPI trajectory mirrored that seen in the latest Consumer Price Index data released Wednesday.
Persons: Price, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James ’, Thomas Simons, Jefferies, ” Simons, ” Oren Klachkin, Donald Trump’s, , Christopher Rupkey, Rupkey Organizations: CNN, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve, , CPI, Nationwide
Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway
  + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Powell said more rate cuts are likely underway because the economy’s current trends and dynamics are expected to remain in place, at least in the short run. “We are moving policy over time to a more neutral setting,” Powell said in prepared remarks for an event in Dallas. It’s also too soon for Fed officials to conclude that October data is indicative of any new trend. While additional hot inflation reports could be factored in to the Fed’s decisions, officials are also looking at the US labor market closely. There’s also been tension between Trump and Powell, whom the president-elect first nominated in 2017 to steer the central bank.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Donald Trump, Trump’s, It’s, Price, , , There’s Organizations: Washington CNN — Federal, Republican, Fed Locations: Dallas, stoke, Trump
The core CPI accelerated 0.3% for the month and was at 3.3% annually, also meeting forecasts. The consumer price index , which measures costs across a spectrum of goods and services, increased 0.2% for the month. That took the 12-month inflation rate to 2.6%, up 0.2 percentage point from September. Inflation perked up in October though pretty much in line with Wall Street expectations, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Energy costs, which had been declining in recent months, were flat in October while the food index increased 0.2%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Trump, Ellen Zentner Organizations: Dow, of Labor Statistics, Stock, Federal Reserve, Energy, BLS, White, CPI, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Housing-related inflation accounted for half of the monthly rise, and energy prices were flat after dragging down the overall index for four of the past six months. The Consumer Price Index measures price changes across commonly purchased goods and services. Still, October’s increase was to be expected, due to unfavorable comparisons from a year ago and stubborn housing-related inflation. Consensus estimates were for a 0.2% monthly increase and a 2.6% annual increase in the overall CPI, according to FactSet. A potential ‘inflation shock’ in the wingsAlthough the broader US economy survived the sharpest inflation run-up seen in a generation, Americans’ finances — and their sentiment — were far from unscathed.
Persons: , ” Stephen Juneau, Donald Trump, Larry Summers, Kate Bolduan, Trump’s, Lindsay Rosner, Jerome Powell Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ., Bank of America, BLS, , Trump, Biden, CNN News Central, Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Locations: Ukraine
So far on Wednesday, the stock market was largely ignoring the morning's inflation report because the main CPI reading was as economists expected. But a look deeper into the report spells trouble for a stock market — and president-elect — that are going to want the Federal Reserve to keep cutting rates throughout next year to keep fueling the bull market. However, in recent months, policymakers have focused more on the headline number, saying shelter costs, which have an outsized influence on core CPI, will come down. But core inflation has remained unusually stubborn, suggesting the Fed may have to hold rates higher than investors were previously anticipating. Core CPI showed a third straight monthly increase of 0.3%, bringing the annual rate to 3.3%.
Persons: Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell, Rupkey, Donald Trump, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, White, Washington , D.C Locations: Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed has room to continue to cut as monetary policy is still restrictive, says Annex's Brian JacobsonBrian Jacobson, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss reactions to the latest CPI data, expectations for the Federal Reserve, and more.
Persons: Annex's Brian Jacobson Brian Jacobson Organizations: Fed, Wealth Management, Federal Reserve
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), after Republican Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election, in New York City, U.S., November 6, 2024. U.S. stocks slid on Thursday, as fresh comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that economic strength could warrant some patience with future rate cuts. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 189 points, or 0.4%, after falling more than 250 points at the lows of the session. "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully," Powell said. Those moves come after the October producer price index released Thursday rose 0.2%, matching forecasts from economists polled by Dow Jones.
Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Powell, Tesla, Dow Jones, Donald Trump's, Jay Woods Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Republican, U.S, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Trump, Russell, PPI, Dow, Freedom Capital Locations: New York City, U.S, Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinancials’ post-Trump rally has room to run, KBW CEO Tom Michaud suggestsThomas Michaud, KBW CEO, joins 'Fast Money' to discuss what to expect from tomorrow's CPI report and Bitcoin’s post-election rally.
Persons: Tom Michaud, Thomas Michaud Organizations: Trump, CPI
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than four basis points to 4.3550%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury — which is the most sensitive to interest rate expectations — rose by more than six basis points to 4.3149%. U.S. Treasury yields jumped on Tuesday as investors continued to digest what President-elect Donald Trump's election win could mean for interest rates, and awaited key economic data — including inflation — later this week. It comes after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a second consecutive time last week, by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%. Federal Reserve officials including Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin and Federal Reserve board governor Christopher Waller will also speak on Tuesday.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Thomas Barkin, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Traders, Federal, Richmond Federal, FactSet
Traders work on the New York Stock Exchange floor on November 12, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Tuesday night as Wall Street awaited the latest consumer price index data for insights on the pace of inflation. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also inched down around 0.1% each. Other notable economic data releases later this week include the producer price index data and retail sales numbers, which will be announced on Thursday and Friday, respectively. "This is a busy week with consumer prices, producer prices, and retail sales.
Persons: Dow, Tom Hainlin, Dow Jones, Scott Helfstein Organizations: New York Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Investors, Federal, Global, Fed Locations: New York City . U.S
Rates pop ahead of CPI data
  + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRates pop ahead of CPI dataCNBC's Rick Santelli joins 'Power Lunch' with latest news on the bond market.
Persons: Rick Santelli
The 10-year Treasury yield fell by less than one basis point to 4.3062%. The October CPI is expected to rise 0.2% on a monthly basis and to have risen 2.5% on a yearly basis, according to economists polled by FactSet. Core inflation is expected to remain steady at 0.3% and 3.3% on a monthly and yearly basis, respectively. Meanwhile, the October PPI is expected to have risen by 0.3% last month and 2.3% on a yearly basis. Last week, Fed officials lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Thomas Barkin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, FactSet, Federal Reserve, Richmond Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Performance since Nov. 1 closeThe stock market reaction Wednesday to Republican Donald Trump's victory over Democrat Kamala Harris was swift and powerful, sending the Dow , the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to all-time highs. For the week, consumer discretionary, energy, industrials, financials, and information technology were the top five sectors. Only time will tell how the balance of power will play out and whether it's good or bad for the stock market. Barring anything catastrophic, President Joe Biden and Vice President Harris will hand Trump the baton of a healthy economy with moderating inflation and a strong stock market. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Disney YTDDisney reports before the bell Thursday, and its experiences business will be in focus as it has softened recently due to the recent hurricane activity that forced closures at Florida theme park locations and inflation-weary consumers.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Drew Angerer, Republican Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Dow, Jim Cramer, Wells Fargo Morgan Stanley, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, FactSet, Helene, Milton, we're, Disney's, Tyson, JD.com Organizations: Federal, White House, Republican, Dow, Nasdaq, Staples, Honeywell, White, Capitol, Republicans, NBC News, Trump, Depot, Disney, CPI, PPI, Home Depot, Summer, IAC, Hertz, Tyson Foods, TSN, AstraZeneca, Occidental Petroleum, Rocket Companies, Cisco, Parts Locations: Washington ,, financials, Washington, inflect, Florida, Paris
China consumer prices rise slowest in 4 months, despite stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People purchasing fruit at an agricultural trade market on May 11, 2024 in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province of China. China's consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in October while producer price deflation deepened, data showed on Saturday, even as Beijing doubled down on stimulus to support the sputtering economy. Analysts say the package will likely do little to boost economic activity, demand and prices in the near term. However, core inflation, excluding volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.2% in October, accelerating from 0.1% in September. China's central bank in late September unveiled the most aggressive monetary support measures since the COVID-19 pandemic to revive economic growth.
Persons: Bruce Pang Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, JLL Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, Beijing, China's
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday identified what to look out for next week on Wall Street, highlighting earnings from Home Depot , Disney and new consumer price index data from the Labor Department. Cramer also reflected on the Trump-fueled market rally over the past few days, saying there are likely more gains to come. Tuesday has more action, with earnings from Home Depot, Shopify , Tyson Foods and Spotify . Because Tyson Foods is a major meat seller, Cramer said investors can learn a lot about grocery pricing from the company's earnings commentary. Cramer added that some believe there's weak demand in the semiconductor capital equipment sector, but he said it's possible an earnings report from Applied Materials could "change that dynamic."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Tyson, Shopify, he's Organizations: Home Depot, Disney, Labor Department, Trump, Home, Tyson Foods, Spotify, Federal, Cisco Locations: Shopify
Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
Eli Lilly: Shares of Eli Lilly are finally putting together back-to-back sessions of gains. Eli Lilly shares traded at $903 before the quarterly report, putting the post-earnings pullback at about 7%. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. An Eli Lilly & Co. Zepbound injection pen arranged in the Brooklyn borough of New York, US, on Thursday, March 28, 2024.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, aren't, Eli Lilly, Lilly, David Ricks, Wells, We've, Eli Lilly's, Tyson, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Shelby Knowles Organizations: CNBC, ., Treasury, Companies, Tech, Tesla, Arista Networks, Costco, United States, Disney, Tyson Foods, AstraZeneca, Spotify, Occidental, Cisco, Advance, Materials, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Brooklyn, New York
McDonald's global sales fell for the second consecutive quarter, down 1.5%. AdvertisementGlobal sales at McDonald's have fallen for a second consecutive quarter as the fast-food chain struggled in international markets, especially France, the UK, China, and the Middle East. Sales were down 1.5% in its third quarter, following from a 1% slide in the previous quarter, ending June 30. Comparable sales in the US were virtually flat, up 0.3% from the same period in 2023, while sales in international markets dropped 2.1%. Sales in licensed international markets fell 3.5%.
Persons: , Chris Kempczinski, Neil Saunders Organizations: Service, Consumers Locations: France, China, McDonald's
And how should investors be thinking about future equity returns as the bull market enters its third year riding stellar multi-year performance and facing demanding valuations? So, expansionary policies that would quicken the economy's metabolism and produce more inflation was exactly what the market craved then – but now? Right now, the S & P 500 is up 42% from 18 months ago and fetches 22-times expected earnings. No reliable augurs of a coming bear market are in evidence: S & P up 10 of 11 months, making a new high in September, credit spreads resolutely narrow, all point to an upside bias over a span of months, at least. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Which leaves the question of just how much upside, if any, a bull should reasonably expect from here.
Persons: Warren Pies, Pat Tschosik, Ned Davis, Donald Trump, payrolls, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, 3Fourteen Research, Trump, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Leuthold, quicken, Wall Locations: U.S, China, Wells
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