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Social Security recipients can expect next year's annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) to be the lowest since 2021, following cooler inflation readings in July and August. The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the official cost-of-living adjustment for 2025 on Oct. 10. Much of the political debate about Social Security remains focused on reforming — and ultimately paring back — the entire program. But earlier this year, Democratic Sen. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania introduced the Boosting Benefits and COLAs for Seniors Act, designed to increase Social Security benefits at a rate "that actually reflects the costs seniors face." "The Boosting Benefits and COLAs for Seniors Act would help seniors contend with rising costs and ensure that Social Security remains a lifeline for all who need it.”

Persons: ” Mary Johnson, Johnson, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey of, ” Casey, ” Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Social, Senior Citizens League, Social Security, Medicare, Trustees, Social Security Administration, League, Democratic, Seniors, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , Social Security, Security Locations: Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania

☆ Harris-Trump debate highlights and Hurricane Francine approaches Louisiana: Morning Rundown
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Elizabeth Robinson | Elizabeth Robinson Is A Newsletter Editor For Nbc News | Based In Los Angeles. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

And while Trump tried to tie Harris to President Joe Biden, he learned that she is a much tougher rival. While Trump tried to re-create the conditions of June’s fateful debate stage matchup, Harris reminded him, “You’re not running against Joe Biden. Harris tried to get under Trump’s skin, baiting him into a defensive posture that prevented him from attacking her weaknesses. And when Trump scolded Harris’ attempt to interrupt him, some allies lamented that he lost control at a key moment. Three Republican sources told NBC News after the debate that Trump came off as “angry” in that moment.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Francine churns, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, “ You’re, You’re, ” Harris, Harris ’, ” Trump, Louisiana Hurricane Francine, Joe Wilson of, ”, Republican Kelly Ayotte, Joyce Craig, Mauricio Pochettino, Dave Grohl, Hill, Jesse Dittmar, James Earl Jones ’, Darth Vader, Jones, Char Adams, — Joy Y, Wang, Dermatologists, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: Trump, Republican, NBC News, Federal, Labor Statistics, Louisiana Hurricane, Public, Novo Nordisk, Foo Fighters, Police, Miami Dolphins, NBC Locations: Louisiana, Ohio, New Orleans, Mississippi, Novo, semaglutide, Wegovy, Joe Wilson of South Carolina, Washington, ” New Hampshire, Ukraine, Russia

The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.

Persons: —, There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, “, Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix

☆ Consumer prices rose 0.2% in August as annual inflation rate hits lowest since early 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Prices increased as expected in August while the annual inflation rate declined to its lowest level since February 2021, according to a Labor Department report Wednesday that sets the stage for an expected quarter percentage point rate cut from the Federal Reserve in a week. The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, increased 0.2% for the month, in line with the Dow Jones consensus, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. That put the 12-month inflation rate at 2.5%, down 0.4 percentage point from the July level and compared to the estimate for 2.6%.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics Locations: U.S

☆ Consumer inflation slows to lowest rate since February 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2%, unchanged from July. Economists were expecting the annual rate would slow significantly last month to 2.6% annually, according to FactSet. Falling gas prices helped bring overall inflation lower in August, dropping by 0.6% for the month and 10.3% annually. Grocery prices held flat for the month, and overall food inflation was up 0.1% in August and 2.1% annually. On an annual basis, it’s up 5.2% and accounts for more than 70% of the annual increase in core CPI.

Persons: briskly Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, BLS Locations: That’s

☆ The inflation report dashes hopes of a jumbo rate cut next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. The consumer price index, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increased 2.5% over the year from August 2023 to this past August, matching the forecast of 2.5% and below July's 2.9% rate. The new data will factor into the Federal Open Market Committee's interest-rate decision next week, with the hot core figure decreasing the odds of a jumbo 50-basis-point cut. Softening but still relatively strong labor market data will also weigh on the Fed's decision. "If that test is met, a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September."

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Federal

☆ Fact check: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris debate on ABC News
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are facing off for the first time Tuesday during ABC’s presidential debate. “I had no inflation, virtually no inflation,” Trump said. Harris introduced herself by name and said, “Let’s have a good debate.” Trump responded: “Nice to see you. Have fun.” Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Trump and Harris stand on stage at the start of the debate. “But understand if Donald Trump were to be elected, he will sign a national abortion ban.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Katie Lobosco, MAGA, “, ” Trump, Daniel Dale, Tami Luhby, Chip Somodevilla, he’s, FactCheck.org, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Kaanita Iyer Trump, Joe Biden, ”, gotaways, Michelle Mittelstadt, Piper Hudspeth Blackburn, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Michael Le Brecht, Alex Brandon, Doug Mills, Pat Tuttle, George Walker IV, Saul Loeb, Tristen Rouse, CNN Harris, Win McNamee, Sheena Carey, Morry Gash, Matthew Hatcher, ” Saul Loeb, Roberto Schmidt, Andrew Thomas, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Jim Lo Scalzo, Anthony Scaramucci, Olivia Troye, Matt Rourke, Hannah Beier, Lilly, Evelyn Hockstein, Matt Slocum, Kenny Holston, ” Harris, Noah Weinrich, Kaanita Iyer, Feedback Trump, John Roberts, Devan Cole Trump, Sen, JD Vance, ” Vance, Michael Williams Trump, United States –, Katie Lobosco Harris, –, Mike Pence, Rather, “ Joe Biden, Ella Nilsen Trump, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN, Trump, Center for American Progress, Fund, CAP, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, CNN Trump, Breitbart News, Border Patrol, Biden, Patrol, Republicans, Migration, Institute, ABC News Trump, National Constitution Center, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Getty, Pennsylvania Convention Center, People, Philadelphia International Airport, AFP, Philadelphia City Hall, Former Trump, Reuters, ABC, Force, Democratic, Convention, Leadership, Heritage, United States Supreme, White, City, Springfield News, Sun, Springfield Police, United States, US International Trade Commission, Treasury, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United Kingdom, Venezuela, United States, Nashville , Tennessee, Washington ,, Washington , DC, Milwaukee, AFP, Springfield , Ohio, “, Springfield, City, China, American

☆ Another typically boring part of the stock market is making exciting moves
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While many investors have been distracted by the recent drop in leading technology shares, a traditionally overlooked part of the market is seeing a major boom: consumer staples. The S & P 500 consumer staples sector hit a record on Monday, putting it more than 8% higher over the past three months. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said 142,000 jobs were created in August, well below the 161,000 expected by economists. Against this backdrop, we used the CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool to find consumer staple stocks that could outperform going forward. Kroger is expected to gain more than 12% going forward, based on analysts consensus price targets.

Persons: It's, Kroger, Bernstein, Douglas Harned Organizations: Tech, of Labor Statistics, CNBC, Stock, Kroger, Constellation Brands, Bunge Global, Modelo, Bunge, GE Aerospace, GE Locations: U.S

☆ Two key inflation reports this week will help decide the size of the Fed's interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve gets its last look this week at inflation readings before it will determine the size of a widely expected interest rate cut soon. On Wednesday, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its consumer price index report for August. With the issue virtually settled over whether the Fed is going to cut rates when it wraps up the next policy meeting Sept. 18, the only question is by how much. "Inflation data has taken a backseat to labor market data in terms of influence on Fed policy," Citigroup economist Veronica Clark said in a note. "But with markets — and likely Fed officials themselves – split on the appropriate size of the first rate cut on September 18, August CPI data could remain an important factor in the upcoming decision."

Persons: Veronica Clark, Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, CPI, Citigroup, Fed, PPI

☆ The 2 dates that could sink Kamala Harris' campaign — outside of tonight's debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Upcoming jobs reports on October 4 and November 1 could impact the election outcome. A poor payrolls print for September or October could hurt Kamala Harris' campaign. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementTonight's presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump could prove to be a pivotal moment in the tight race for the White House. Those are the days when the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the jobs reports for September and October.

Persons: Kamala Harris, —, Donald Trump, Joe Biden Organizations: Labor, Fed, Service, White, Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business

☆ Calling in sick is now a lot more complicated
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But despite their industrious reputation, predominantly white-collar Americans who do receive paid time off are taking more sick leave than ever before. AdvertisementBut HR professionals told Business Insider there's another major shift affecting attitudes toward sick leave: the arrival of Gen Z in the office. He said he believed that Gen Z workers' expectations may seem unorthodox because the differences between Gen Z and millennials are starker than generational differences in the past. Pressure to keep workingIn the UK, where legislation has entitled all workers to sick pay since 1983, the issue of sick leave isn't as pertinent. How to treat a sick employeeThough some data suggests US workers are taking more sick days, they're hardly becoming slackers.

Persons: —, Gen Z, Rue Dooley, Xer, Dooley, Z, Xavier Lorenzo, Getty, Gen, Cary Cooper, Cooper, that's, they're Organizations: Service, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Society for Human Resource Management, Chartered Institute, Personnel, University of Manchester, Pew Locations: Europe, California

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the share of Americans who were absent from work because of child care difficulties matched the all-time record for August. At the same time, employment in child care services has not been nearly enough to match the demand, according to Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, who highlighted the statistic in a note following Friday’s job report. The issue largely stems from the havoc created by the pandemic, which prompted many child care facilities to shut down, Pollak said. Consumer payments for child care are up at least 32% since 2019, a recent Bank of America study found. Child care advocates say that almost 10% of the state’s day care sites or home-based programs have shuttered since the pandemic.

Persons: Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Kamala Harris, Julia Pollak, Natalia Lebedinskaia, ” Pollak, Pollak, “, ”, Trump, Ohio, Charlie Kirk, he’d, Harris, ” Vance, Tim Walz, Hannah Anderson, Kirk, Vance “, ” Anderson Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, GOP, Child Care, NBC News, of America, BLS, Economic, of New, Minnesota Gov, Economic Policy Institute Locations: Ohio, of New York, United States, Georgia

☆ The hottest gift you can give a tech bro isn't something new — it's something old
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Maria Noyen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

It's another example of how tech bros aren't necessarily interested in modern gift trends. Net-a-Porter's former top personal shopper told BI many tech bros get a thrill from owning history. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . But when it comes to tech bros and the types of gifts they like to give and receive, it's all about the "something old."

Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Priscilla Chan, —, Aaron Mok Organizations: bros, Service, Tech, Business, US Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Coinbase has worst week of the year as crypto stocks plummet
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

(Photo Illustration by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Justin Sullivan | Getty ImagesCryptocurrency exchange Coinbase just wrapped up its worst week of the year. According to CoinGlass, September is historically a difficult trading month for crypto assets, with bitcoin notching an average loss of 4.8%. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a gauge of crypto market sentiment, is firmly in the "Extreme Fear" zone, indicating that investors are worried about price moves. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a cooldown in the labor market with August payrolls falling short of expectations. Crypto equities hit hardestWhile it was a rough week for risky assets of all sorts, investors over-indexed in crypto stocks had it particularly bad.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Schwab, CoinGlass, Bitcoin, payrolls, Leena ElDeeb, MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, CleanSpark, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Trump, Gary Gensler Organizations: Securities, Exchange, Securities and Exchange Commission, Marathon, Nasdaq, bitcoin, Labor, of Labor Statistics, SEC, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, August's, U.S, Republican Locations: CALIFORNIA, San Anselmo , California, Bitcoin, U.S, MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Nashville

☆ U.S. job market slows, but it's not yet a 'three-alarm fire,' economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The unemployment rate also fell slightly, to 4.2% from 4.3% in July. For example, average job growth was 116,000 over the past three months; the three-month average was 211,000 a year ago. The unemployment rate has also steadily risen, from 3.4% as recently as April 2023. In other words, many more Americans entered the job market and looked for work; they're counted as unemployed until they find a job. That said, the job hunt has become more challenging for job seekers than in the recent past, according to Bunker.

Persons: Michael M, Ernie Tedeschi, Biden, hasn't, Julia Pollak, Bunker, " Tedeschi, Tedeschi Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Santiago, Getty, of Labor Statistics, Yale Budget Lab, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Labor Department, ZipRecruiter, Workers, ., Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ August payrolls grew by a less-than-expected 142,000, but unemployment rate ticked down to 4.2%
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At the same time, the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.2%, as expected. The labor force expanded by 120,000 for the month, helping push the jobless level down by 0.1 percentage point, though the labor force participation rate held at 62.7%. The household survey, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate and is often more volatile than the survey of establishments, showed employment growth of 168,000. Markets showed little initial reaction to the data, with stock futures holding negative and Treasury yields also lower. While the August numbers were close to expectations, the previous two months saw substantial downward revisions.

Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Dan North Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, North America, Allianz Trade, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Dow

☆ Here's where the jobs are for August 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The growth was led by leisure and hospitality and health care and social assistance, with each category adding more than 40,000 jobs, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics . The August jobs report came in weaker than expected , and employment growth by different industries showed a mixed bag for the U.S. economy . If private education is included with the health-care group, as some economists do, that category would have grown by 47,000 jobs. Construction was a bright spot, growing by 34,000 jobs, but manufacturing shed 24,000 jobs. The health-care subsector added 31,000 jobs, or about half its average over the prior 12 months, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Persons: … We're, Betsey Stevenson Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor Locations: U.S

☆ August private payrolls rose by 99,000, smallest gain since 2021 and far below estimates, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Private sector payrolls grew at the weakest pace in more than 3½ years in August, providing yet another sign of a deteriorating labor market, according to ADP. August was the weakest month for job growth since January 2021, according to data from the payrolls processing firm. Still, the ADP data showed that while hiring has slowed considerably, only a few sectors reported actual job losses. Annual pay increased 4.8% for those who stayed in their jobs, about the same level as July, according to ADP. The ADP count now tees up the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls report, which the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Friday.

Persons: payrolls, Nela Richardson Organizations: ADP . Companies, Dow, Labor Department, ADP, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal

☆ America has the fewest jobs available since January 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —The number of available jobs in the US shrank more than expected in July, an indication that demand for workers continues to wane amid a cooling labor market. Wednesday’s data is the first in a series of critically important economic metrics released this week about the US labor market, culminating with the Friday jobs report. As the labor market has slowed, it’s come back into balance: There are now nearly 1.1 jobs available for every person looking for one. The monthly jobs report for July showed gains of just 114,000 — far below expectations — and the unemployment rate shot to 4.3% from 4.1%. Separately, annual labor market data revisions showed job gains for the year ending March 2024 were less robust than initially thought.

Persons: “, ” Oliver Allen, ”, it’s, hasn’t, ” Allen, Robert Frick, ” Frick, ” ‘ Haggard, haggard, Noah Yosif, ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, Wednesday’s, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Federal, Navy Federal Credit Union, American Staffing Association, ZipRecruiter

☆ This week could shift the focus of a key narrative for Harris and Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Those two events are the kind of thing that, in normal times, are tracked mostly by economists and Wall Street types. For former President Donald Trump and the Republicans, the narrative is simple: Anything bad you’re feeling about inflation or the job market? Harris entered the race trailing Trump on a range of issues, including the economy. If that were the whole story, Trump might have a harder time disparaging Harris’ and President Joe Biden’s economic record. If the data doesn’t behave, however, then jobs — not inflation — may become the key economic narrative that Harris and Trump will start talking about in their stump speeches.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, we’re, pollsters, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Price, Trump, Harris ’, Joe Biden’s, it’s, ”, Aaron Sojourner, Heidi Shierholz, Biden, — Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Republicans, Biden, Democratic, Trump, July’s, Fed, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, Economic Policy Institute, ”, of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Washington

☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns the Fed is behind on rate cuts — and that a downturn is coming despite 'off the charts' investor sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

"Incredibly, the Fed raised rates 500 basis points under a false presumption — by over one million — of just how robust the jobs market was," Rosenberg said. AdvertisementIn addition to the yearly revisions, monthly payroll revisions from the Bureau of Labor Statistics have also been poor more recently. Related storiesOne is a model that aims to enhance the yield curve as a recession indicator by taking into account US businesses' ability to repay debts and the Fed's National Financial Conditions Index. A soft-landing outcome, where the Fed avoids sending the economy into recession, is also still the consensus view on Wall Street. With inflation down under 3% and rate cuts almost surely on the way, such a scenario is still seemingly possible.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Pascal Michaillat, Emmanuel Saez, Vane, Chuck Prince, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Treasury, Pantheon, Labor Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Americans just got the biggest confirmation yet of an interest rate cut next month — but the job market hangs in the balance
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

He offered details on the Fed's thinking as the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting approaches in September, with all eyes on the first interest rate cut since the pandemic began. AdvertisementIt's all but certain that the Fed will cut rates in September. That leaves the big question of how much — not if — the Fed will cut rates, and the upcoming jobs report will likely shed some light on that question. "Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. "But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, precarity, Austan Goolsbee, we've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, CME, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Democratic, Chicago Fed

☆ Stocks gain after Fed’s Powell hints rate cuts are coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Stocks rose Friday morning as Wall Street cheered a signal from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that long-awaited interest rate cuts are finally coming. Powell said that “the time has come” to ease rates, currently perched at a 23-year high, at a key economic summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He also noted that the labor market has cooled enough not to pressure inflation higher and that the central bank does not want to see more weakening in job market conditions. Some officials also fretted that the softening labor market could weaken considerably if policy stays restrictive for too long. Recent data has shown that US job growth was weaker than previously estimated in the 12 months leading up to March.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Powell, there’s, ”, Jack Janasiewicz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Statistics, Solutions, National Association of Realtors, Target, Boeing Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ U.S. job growth revised down by the most since 2009. Why this time is different
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-21 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A few facts worth considering:By the time the 2009 revisions came out (824,000 jobs were overstated), the National Bureau of Economic Research had already declared a recession six months earlier. (It would subsequently be revised higher in the two of those quarters, one of which was revised higher to show growth, rather than contraction. As a signal that job growth has been overstated by an average of 68,000 per month during the revision period, it is more or less accurate. In the cutting process, the Fed will follow growth and jobs data more closely, just as it monitored inflation data more closely in the hiking process. The jobs data could be subject to noise from immigrant hiring and can be volatile.

Persons: payrolls, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Amerant, National Bureau of Economic Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Goldman Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida

☆ Nonfarm payroll growth revised down by 818,000, Labor Department says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-21 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The U.S. economy created 818,000 fewer jobs than originally reported in the 12-month period through March 2024, the Labor Department reported Wednesday. Wall Street had been waiting for the revisions numbers, with many economists expecting a sizeable reduction in the originally reported figures. "The labor market appears weaker than originally reported," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. "A deteriorating labor market will allow the Fed to highlight both sides of the dual mandate and investors should expect the Fed to prepare markets for a cut at the September meeting." Nonfarm payroll jobs totaled 158.7 million through July, an increase of 1.6% from the same month in 2023.

Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Jared Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal Reserve, LPL, Goldman Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

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