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☆ Stocks jump, dollar and yields drop after US jobs market softens
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The job growth slowdown underscored views that the Federal Reserve may be done hiking interest rates. Benchmark 10-year yields fell as low as 4.484%, the lowest since Sept. 26. The U.S. dollar index dropped to a six-week low after the jobs data. In afternoon trading, the dollar index fell 1.111%, with the euro up 1.07% to $1.0734.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Detroit's, Brad McMillan, Jerome Powell, Caroline Valetkevitch, Harry Robertson, Chibuike, Jacqueline Wong, Miral Fahmy, Alison Williams, Mark Heinrich, Rod Nickel, Diane Craft Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Federal, United Auto Workers, Commonwealth Financial Network, Bank of England, Traders, U.S . Treasury, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple, Brent, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Waltham , Massachusetts, Central, New York, London

☆ US stocks jump on Goldilocks jobs report to cap biggest weekly rally of the year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks jumped on Friday after a Goldilocks jobs report took pressure off of interest rates. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from 3.8%, and wage growth slowed. The weekly gain registered by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 represented the largest weekly jump of the year. The unemployment rate ticked higher to 3.9% from 3.8%, and wage growth cooled to its lowest since 2021. Slower growth is still growth, and this jobs report is still in the sweet spot," Brad McMillan, CIO for Commonwealth Financial Network, said.

Persons: —, Brad McMillan Organizations: Service, Federal, Nasdaq, Big Three, Treasury, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow Jones

☆ Stocks jump, dollar and yields fall after US jobs market softens
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The job growth slowdown underscored views that the Federal Reserve may be done hiking interest rates. The data also showed the increase in annual wages was the smallest in nearly 2-1/2 years, pointing to an easing in labor market conditions. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.17% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 1.44%. The U.S. dollar index dropped to a six-week low after the jobs data.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Detroit's, Brad McMillan, Jerome Powell, Caroline Valetkevitch, Harry Robertson, Chibuike Oguh, Jacqueline Wong, Miral Fahmy, Alison Williams, Mark Heinrich, Rod Nickel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Federal, United Auto Workers, Commonwealth Financial Network, Bank of England, U.S . Treasury, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple, Brent, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Waltham , Massachusetts, Central, New York, London

☆ US dollar drops to six-week low after softer-than-expected jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/4] U.S. one dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. The index was on track for its largest one-day fall since July. The numbers for September were revised lower to show 297,000 jobs created instead of 336,000 as previously reported. Against the yen, the dollar slid 0.6% to 149.53 yen , capping a whirlwind week, in which the Japanese currency touched a one-year low against the dollar and 15-year trough against the euro. Sterling rose 1.1% versus the dollar to $1.2327, after earlier hitting a six-week high of $1.2350.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Brad McMillan, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Chibuike Oguh, Alun John, Ankur Banerjee, Christina Fincher, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Sterling, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Treasury, U.S . Treasury Department, Thomson Locations: Waltham , Massachusetts, U.S, New York, London, Singapore

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Employers are holding on to workers — and it’s costing them
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CFOTO | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Initial jobless claims fell last week to a seasonally adjusted 216,000, according to a report by the U.S. Labor Department. In other words, the labor market still looks tight because employers are laying off fewer people and paying them more. There's now a 39.9% chance rates will go up 25 basis points then, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Persons: There's, Brad McMillan, McMillan, Jeff Cox Organizations: AMD, Apple, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Federal, Nvidia, Devices, Seagate, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Intel's, Commonwealth Financial Locations: Shanghai, China, U.S

☆ Stock futures are little changed as traders weigh risk of rate hikes: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were little changed Thursday evening. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 23 points, or 0.07%. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flat line. The S&P 500 lost 0.3%, falling a third day. Renewed fears over more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve were further justified as initial jobless claims came in at 216,000 — lower than the 230,000 anticipated by economists polled by Dow Jones.

Persons: RH, Dow, Dow Jones, Brad McMillan Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow

Private payrolls surged far more than expected in June, data showed, suggesting the labor market remained solid despite growing risks of a recession. “We don’t see any softening in the labor market,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network. All 11 S&P 500 sectors ended down. U.S. interest rate futures saw an increased probability of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in November, according to CME's FedWatch. Second-quarter corporate reports will arrive in coming weeks with S&P 500 earnings expected to fall 5.7% from a year-ago, according to Refinitiv data.

Persons: payrolls, ”, Brad McMillan, CME's, Lorie Logan, Lip, judge's, Lewis Krauskopf, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Energy, Exxon, Dow, Nasdaq, Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dallas, Exxon Mobil Corp, Wealth Management, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru

Private payrolls surged far more than expected in June, data showed, suggesting the labor market remained on solid ground despite growing risks of a recession. “We don’t see any softening in the labor market,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network. Treasury yields jumped following the labor market data. The benchmark 10-year yield burst above 4% while the two-year Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, hit a 16-year high. U.S. interest rate futures saw an increased probability of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in November, according to CME's FedWatch.

Persons: payrolls, ”, Brad McMillan, CME's, Lorie Logan, Lip, judge's, Lewis Krauskopf, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Energy, Exxon, Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dallas, Exxon Mobil Corp, Wealth Management, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Investors relieved after US House votes to suspend debt ceiling
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Asian markets were trading higher when the bill cleared the house and held their gains. Treasury yields rose marginally. The bill would suspend the federal government's borrowing limit until 2025, allowing the Treasury to sell debt to pay its obligations. Two-year Treasury yields rose 2.7 basis points to 4.417%, while currency markets were broadly steady. Debt ceiling concerns periodically weighed on stock markets over the last week, although most investors expected an 11th-hour agreement.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Joe Biden's, Ray Attrill, Biden, Brad McMillan, Jarrod Kerr, Caroline Valetkevitch, Kevin Buckland, Rae Wee, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio, Lincoln Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Investors, U.S . House, Senate, Republican, National Australia Bank, Treasury, White, Commonwealth Financial Network, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Tokyo, Singapore

☆ Investors await crucial US debt ceiling vote
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 closed down 0.6% on Wednesday in a decline some analysts pinned partly on remaining uncertainty over the vote. Debt ceiling concerns periodically weighed on stock markets over the last week, although most investors expected an 11th-hour agreement. Investors have viewed the possibility of a U.S. default as an unlikely but potentially catastrophic event for global markets. "Investors do think it's going to pass. McCarthy predicted that the vote, expected around 8:30 p.m. (0030 GMT), would succeed, telling reporters, "It's going to become law."

Persons: Alan B, ”, Brad McMillan, Kevin McCarthy's, Joe Biden's, Quincy Krosby, it's, McCarthy, Caroline Valetkevitch, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S . House, Lancz, Associates Inc, Commonwealth Financial Network, Treasury, White, House Republicans, Kevin McCarthy's Republicans, Investors, Senate, LPL, Thomson Locations: U.S, “

☆ Investors relieved after US House votes to suspend debt ceiling; focus turns to Senate
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Persons: Joe Biden's, Ray Attrill, Biden, Brad McMillan, Jarrod Kerr, Caroline Valetkevitch, Kevin Buckland, Rae Wee, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio, Lincoln Organizations: Investors, U.S . House, Senate, Republican, National Australia Bank, Treasury, White, Commonwealth Financial Network, Thomson Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Singapore

J&J (JNJ.N) shares fell 2.8% after the healthcare conglomerate cautioned investors over the lingering impact of inflation-driven costs this year. Goldman (GS.N) shares dropped 1.7% after the Wall Street firm's profit fell 19% as dealmaking and bond trading slumped. The early quarterly results from S&P 500 companies come as investors have been bracing for a gloomy reporting season, fearing the economy may be on the cusp of a downturn. S&P 500 company earnings are expected to have declined 4.8% in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES data as of Friday. The S&P 500 posted 28 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 143 new lows.

☆ The US dollar's outlook is complicated. Here's what to know about the currency's standing on the world stage.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The dollar's position as a top reserve currency, however, may be somewhat less certain. They pointed to Russia's invasion of Ukraine as a catalyst for the currency's drop-off as a reserve currency. "We believe the erosion of the dollar's reserve currency status has accelerated in recent years at an alarming pace," Eurizon said. Here's the takeaway forecasters seem to agree on: The dollar's losing some ground as a global reserve currency, but none at all as far as international trade. What's your outlook for the dollar's role on the world stage in 2023 and beyond?

☆ Fears that the US dollar will collapse are nonsense, and doomsayers are often hawking gold, investment chief says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Dollar collapse fears are bogus as the greenback can't be replaced anytime soon, Brad McMillan said. A lot of the talk is often from doomsayers trying to push gold, Commonwealth Financial's CIO said. The dollar "is not only the established choice and, in most cases, the smart choice, but it is the only choice." "Frankly, a lot of the talk is nonsense designed to panic you into buying something the doomsters are trying to sell, often gold," he wrote. "As far as the markets are concerned, the dollar is still where it has always been.

☆ Stock futures are up as Wall Street looks to build on winning week: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stock futures edged higher Sunday evening as Wall Street came off a winning week and investors continued to follow the troubling bank sector. The moves come after Wall Street capped off a winning week despite volatility related to the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate hike and the ongoing bank crisis. The news reignited concerns over the health of the European banking system that started with UBS ' acquisition of Credit Suisse earlier this month. "Although markets were okay with the Fed, it was the second thing — the ongoing turmoil in the banking system — that mattered even more." In the week ahead, investors will likely continue watching the banking sector for indicators of potential weakness.

☆ Bond markets are pricing in an upcoming recession, says Commonwealth Financial Network's McMillan
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBond markets are pricing in an upcoming recession, says Commonwealth Financial Network's McMillanBrian Levitt, Invesco global market strategist, and Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network CIO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the market's second straight positive week, McMillan's thoughts on bond markets and more.

Signs of calm and stability in banking stocks, which have tanked in the past week following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), soon paved way for renewed selling as Credit Suisse shares fell to record lows. Reuters GraphicsThe STOXX 600 (.STOXX) index fell 1.67%, while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index (.FTEU3) fell 51.58 points, or 2.91%Investors rushed back into safe haven investments. "The Credit Suisse share price is falling and government bonds are rallying on the back of that. Markets are "spooked" by Credit Suisse headlines, said Richard McGuire, head of rates strategy at Rabobank in London. "For today Credit Suisse is the dish of the day but we don't think this will be a longer lasting trend," he said.

☆ Premarket stocks: What comes next in the banking crisis? The early 1990s hold clues
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

This isn’t 2008: There are some key differences between today’s banking saga and what happened in 2008. This time around the US federal government stepped in early to guarantee all customer deposits and restore confidence in the US banking system. Here comes CPIFormer banking regulators, economists and Wall Street analysts are increasingly calling for the Federal Reserve to pause its inflation-fighting interest rate hikes because of the current banking sector chaos. Last Wednesday, investors were putting 70% odds of a half-point interest rate hike at the Federal Reserve policy meeting next week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Analysts expect the inflation rate to come in at 6% year-over-year (down from 6.4% in January) and at 0.4% month-over-month (down from 0.5% in January).

☆ Silicon Valley Bank is the second-biggest bank crash in U.S. history—here's what it means for your money
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A security guard at Silicon Valley Bank monitors a line of people outside the office on March 13, 2023 in Santa Clara, California. Late last week, Silicon Valley Bank disclosed signs of gross financial mismanagement, sparking panic among the bank's investors and customers. By Friday, the bank, which caters to numerous startups, had halted trading on its plummeting stock, prompting a race among depositors to withdraw their money. SVB and Signature Bank investors? Shares of First Republic Bank, which investors worry will suffer a similar fate, lost 52% on Monday after shedding 33% last week.

☆ Takeaways from the February jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Minneapolis CNN —February’s jobs report had a little something for everyone. In February, the construction industry added 24,000 jobs, marking 12 consecutive months of employment growth. Friday’s report showed that “a modicum of slack crept back into the jobs market,” wrote Wells Fargo economists Sarah House and Michael Pugliese. However, Friday’s jobs report likely won’t spur a more dovish turn from the Fed, said Sean Snaith, an economist and director of the University of Central Florida’s Institute for Economic Forecasting. “We didn’t go from a four-alarm fire to a five-alarm fire with this data report, but the inflation flames aren’t out either,” he wrote in a note Friday.

☆ Stock futures are down slightly following Thursday’s market sell-off fueled by banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 52 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each shed 0.2%. The Nasdaq Composite recorded a 2.05% slide, while the S&P 500 posted a 1.85% dip. Financials was the worst performing sector within the S&P 500 at a 4.1% drop — its worst daily performance since 2020. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect nonfarm payrolls to rise 225,000 in the month, which would mark a slowdown in growth from January's unexpectedly large gain of 517,000.

☆ The U.S. hit the debt ceiling — here's what that means for your money
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-21 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The U.S. hit the debt ceiling on Thursday, which forced the Treasury Department to begin taking so-called "extraordinary measures" to continue paying the government's bills. Read on for the answers to the most relevant questions about the debt ceiling, and why, as a long-term investor, you shouldn't be paying too much attention to the headlines. Remind me — what's the debt ceiling again? Where does the debt ceiling stand now? Aside from stock market volatility, you'd see ramifications across the economy.

☆ Forget a soft landing. The market’s best hope is a ‘growth’ recession
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

It wants to achieve a soft landing — that Goldilocks ideal of cooling the economy enough to bring down prices but not enough to cause a recession. The new aim appears to be for a so-called growth recession: A prolonged period of meager growth and rising unemployment. The pain is sharper and lasts longer than that of a soft landing, but a “growth” recession doesn’t pull the entire economy into contraction the way a proper recession would. It looks like a recession, and feels like a recession, but it isn’t a recession — at least not officially. A growth recession is still painful.

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