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☆ Donald Trump claims he's responsible for stocks hitting record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Donald Trump claimed credit for the stock market's surge to record highs this month. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "THIS IS THE TRUMP STOCK MARKET," Trump said in a Truth Social post on Monday. The benchmark S&P 500, tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, and venerable Dow Jones Industrial Average have notched record highs in recent days. AdvertisementTrump is presumably aware of the key drivers fueling the stock market's advance, and knows they probably don't include his possible reelection.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, —, Joe Biden, you've, Stocks, joblessness, Bob Michele, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Service, TRUMP, BIDEN, WIN, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve

☆ American consumers are feeling the pain of higher interest rates while Wall Street is having a ball, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Households have been hit hard by rate hikes while Wall Street has thrived, economist Stephanie Pomboy says. Pomboy flagged a surge in consumer credit-card debt in November as proof of mounting pressure. AdvertisementAmerican households are bearing the brunt of higher interest rates, while financial firms are raking it in, according to economist Stephanie Pomboy. She cautioned in September that the Fed's rate hikes would ultimately have a "severe impact" on the economy, companies, and household credit. She also predicted that in the aftermath of the disaster, Americans would balk at racking up credit-card debt again as they did after the mid-2000s housing bubble burst.

Persons: Stephanie Pomboy, —, didn't, Michael Burry, Bob Michele, JPMorgan's Organizations: Consumers, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, ISI

☆ U.S. inflationary pressures have come down an 'awful long way,' JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. inflationary pressures have come down an 'awful long way,' JPMorgan saysBob Michele of JPMorgan Asset Management discusses the outlook for the next Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: Bob Michele Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Market

☆ Make these 6 moves now to capitalize on one of the best long-term investing outlooks in over a decade, according to JPMorgan's $2.9 trillion asset management arm
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Investors shouldn't be scared off by slower economic growth caused by higher-for-longer interest rates and inflation, according to JPMorgan Asset Management (JPMAM). For reference, JPMAM called for forward long-term returns of 4.3% in 2021. The firm added that productivity gains from AI will likely add a tenth of a percentage point to global growth in the next decade. The long-awaited reversal for international stocks won't happen overnight, JPMAM strategists said. The firm is highly optimistic about the asset class after its brutal multi-year selloff and expects 4.6% and 5.1% long-term returns for those groups, respectively.

Persons: it's, JPMAM, David Kelly, Kelly, Monica Issar, Grace Koo, —, they're, Bob Michele, who's, he's, Bonds, REITs Organizations: Asset Management, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, US, JPMorgan, Management, Fed, JPMorgan Asset Management, Investors Locations: Europe, Australasia, Real

☆ Capitalize on once-in-a-generation opportunities in the bond market by making these 5 moves now, according to 6 leading fixed income strategists
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Yahoo FinanceHowever, six leading fixed income investors are confident that the pain won't last much longer. Michele continued: "I've been doing this since 1981, so I've seen a decade of double-digit bond yields with disinflation. Alex Petrone, the director of fixed income at Rockefeller Asset Management, agreed that it's too soon to write off a recession. Nailing timing helps maximize returns, though fixed income experts said that's difficult because the Fed's policy decisions are unpredictable. Buying Treasuries and municipal coupons on both the long and short ends of the curve are how she recommends playing fixed income.

Persons: Jonathan Mondillo, you've, Bob Michele, Michele, I've, we'll, Federal Reserve —, Robert Robis, Robis, Alex Petrone, it's, Petrone, Mary Daly, David Schiffman, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Mondillo, Schiffman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, isn't, Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Rockefeller Asset Management, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Aquila Investment Management, Vanguard's Investment, Investment Locations: Scotland, bottoming, Abrdn, Aquila, Treasuries, CCC

☆ Investors are having a 'panic attack' about the bond market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But interest rates are unlikely to stay this high for long, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Federal Reserve has sowed panic among investors and that's led to the latest bout of dysfunction in the bond market, Wall Street experts say. But according to some market experts, the selloff is largely fueled by feelings of panic in the market rather than fundamentals. "Coming out of the last FOMC meeting two weeks ago, I think that's really when the bond market broke down," Michele added. AdvertisementAdvertisement"This is clearly a panic attack," market veteran Komal Sri-Kumar said to CNBC on the selloff in bonds.

Persons: Treasurys, Tom Lee, —, that's, Jerome Powell, It's, Powell, Bob Michele, Michele, Komal, Kumar, it's, there's, Lee Organizations: Service, Wall, Treasury, Asset, CNBC Locations: Silicon, Spain, Germany

☆ Why borrowing costs for nearly everything are surging, and what it means for you
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

At the center of the storm is the 10-year Treasury yield , one of the most influential numbers in finance. The relentless rise in borrowing costs has blown past forecasters' predictions and has Wall Street casting about for explanations. Companies that can only issue debt in the high-yield market, which includes many retail employers, will confront sharply higher borrowing costs. Higher rates squeeze the housing industry and push commercial real estate closer to default. "So if banks haven't fixed their issues since then, the problem is only worse, because rates are only higher."

Persons: Jerome Powell, SAUL LOEB, Bob Michele, Ben Emons, Treasurys, Benjamin Dunn, Lindsay Rosner, Peter Boockvar, Rosner Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Getty, ., Treasury, Fed, JPMorgan, NewEdge, Bloomberg, Alpha Theory Advisors, Goldman, Companies, Bleakley Financial, Valley Bank, First Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Goldman Sachs, First Republic

☆ Stocks vs. bonds: What you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks vs. bonds: What you need to knowDan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein advisors, and Bob Michele, JPMorgan head of global fixed income, join 'The Exchange' to discuss treasury yields breaking highs from October 2007, higher valuation asset sensitivity to rising interest rates, and more.

Persons: Dan Suzuki, Richard Bernstein, Bob Michele Organizations: JPMorgan

☆ Japanese yen weakness may force BOJ tightening sooner than expected
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowThe Bank of Japan could be forced into hiking rates sooner than expected, if the Japanese yen weakens beyond 150 to the dollar. The BOJ stands as an outlier as major central banks have hiked rates aggressively to combat burgeoning inflation. Decades of accommodative monetary policy in Japan — even as other global central banks tightened policy in the last 12 months — have concentrated carry trades in the Japanese yen. The Japanese yen slipped about 0.4% to around 148.16 against the dollar on Friday after the BOJ kept its negative rates unchanged, after the yen tested its lowest in almost 10 months at 148.47 per dollar Thursday. While a weaker yen makes Japanese exports cheaper, it also makes imports more expensive, given that most major economies are struggling to contain stubbornly high inflation.

Persons: Bob Michele, Michele, Kazuo Ueda's, Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, CNBC, Afp, Getty, Yomiuri Shimbun Locations: Bank, Japan, Tokyo, Central

☆ Yen sell-off may lead Bank of Japan to hike rates sooner: Bob Michele
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA yen sell-off may prompt Bank of Japan to hike rates sooner than expected: JPMorgan's Bob MicheleBob Michele, global head of fixed income at JP Morgan Asset Management, discusses the outlook for the Bank of Japan's monetary policy approach.

Persons: Bob Michele Bob Michele Organizations: Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, Bank

☆ US homebuyers are waiting for the Fed to start cutting interest rates. Here's when 9 experts say it's going to happen.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Mortgage rates could decline if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates next year. Here are nine projections from experts on when the Fed's first rate cut will come. While these factors serve as deterrents for prospective buyers, interest rates may not stay this high forever. AdvertisementAdvertisementWhile declining interest rates wouldn't directly cause mortgage rates to fall, the two tend to move in the same direction. AdvertisementAdvertisementFebruaryOn August 31, Preston Caldwell, a Morningstar senior US economist, wrote in a note that he expected the Fed to start cutting interest rates in February.

Persons: Bob Michele, J.P, —, we'll, Preston Caldwell, David Einhorn, Diane Swonk, Andrew Hollenhorst, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Simona Mocuta, Jeff Morton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Bloomberg Television, Morgan Asset, Morningstar, KPMG, Citi, Reuters, State Street Global Advisors, DWS Locations: Wall, Silicon, North America's

☆ The Fed may do a policy U-turn and slash interest rates as soon as year-end - because a recession almost here, J.P. Morgan Asset Management's CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed may cut rates as soon as year-end as a recession hits the US economy, according to J.P. Morgan Asset Management's CIO. Such a move would be similar to how the Fed dropped its "transitory" call on inflation and started raising rates, he said. "They're going to tell us that they're going to keep rates higher for longer until inflation is at their target. "I think this time for them to cut rates, they're going to have to see unemployment go up. So it's possible that they may actually tip the economy into recession first before they start cutting rates, which would be something new for them.

Persons: we'll, Bob Michele, Michele, J.P, Morgan Asset's Michele Organizations: Morgan, Fed, Service, Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Expect recession around year end: JPMorgan's Bob Michele
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect recession around year end: JPMorgan's Bob MicheleBob Michele, JPMorgan's head of global fixed income, and Richard Bernstein, CEO and CIO of Bernstein Advisors, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the hard landing scenario, opportunity in treasury yields, and low-risk investments outside of the Magnificent 7.

Persons: Bob Michele Bob Michele, JPMorgan's, Richard Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Bernstein Advisors

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Bob Michele and Bernstein Advisors' Richard Bernstein
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Bob Michele and Bernstein Advisors' Richard BernsteinBob Michele, JPMorgan's head of global fixed income, and Richard Bernstein, CEO and CIO of Bernstein Advisors, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the hard landing scenario, opportunity in treasury yields, and low-risk investments outside of the Magnificent 7.

Persons: Bob Michele, Bernstein, Richard Bernstein Bob Michele, JPMorgan's, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Bernstein Advisors

☆ JPMorgan bond chief Bob Michele sees worrying echoes of 2008 in market calm
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"This does remind me an awful lot of that March-to-June period in 2008," said Michele, rattling off the parallels. Last month, JPMorgan bought failed regional player First Republic; in March 2008, JPMorgan took over the investment bank Bear Stearns. Michele oversees more than $700 billion in assets for JPMorgan and is also global head of fixed income for the bank's asset management arm. The cycle coincides with the central bank's steps to rein in market liquidity through a process known as quantitative tightening. Brown | AFP | Getty Images"There are a lot of things that resonate with 2008" including overvalued real estate, he said.

Persons: Bob Michele, JPMorgan Chase, Michele, Jamie Dimon, Rick Rieder, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Frederic J, Brown, Ribbing Organizations: & Commodities, JPMorgan, CNBC, First, Bear Stearns, Wall Street, Fed, AFP, Getty Locations: York, BlackRock, Downtown, Los Angeles , California, refinance

☆ 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry predicted a cash crunch. A top JPMorgan banker says that painful problem is fueling a banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan banker Bob Michele said businesses and consumers are "burning cash in a big way." Americans are weathering a painful mix of historic inflation and much higher borrowing costs. "They occurred because businesses and consumers are burning cash in a big way," he said. Consumers depleted their deposits in part because they had to cover the higher costs of groceries and other essentials, he said. Similarly, businesses withdrew cash as the interest rates on their debts have doubled or tripled from a year ago, he continued.

☆ Markets are headed for a rally right before a recession 'pounds away at the economy,' JPMorgan Asset Management CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan Asset Management CIO says markets are headed for a "feel good period" before an economic slowdown. Investors should not lean into the fleeting rally next quarter amid a looming recession, JPMorgan's Bob Michele says. "If we've been taught anything this past month, you may see it coming or you may not." "Having been an investor through the financial crisis, and [having looked at] that seminal moment when Bear Stearns and JPMorgan combined...The next quarter was great for markets. "If we've been taught anything this past month, you may see it coming or you may not.

☆ The Fed hiked rates further but Wall Street is already pointing to tighter conditions on the ground
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Jason Ma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Between fighting inflation or the bank crisis, the Federal Reserve leaned toward the former. Wednesday's move comes despite the bank crisis, which previously led investors to price in a series of Fed rate cuts starting this summer. Indeed, Wall Street has started pointing to the facts on the ground when it comes to financial conditions. The banks are still tightening credit conditions and … non-bank lenders are as well," he told Bloomberg TV hours before the Fed meeting. Billionaire investor Mark Mobius says he is "very, very skeptical" of investing in bank stocks.

☆ Credit Suisse is just the 'tip of the iceberg' as banking turmoil snarls financial markets, JPMorgan Asset Management investment chief says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan Asset Management's CIO predicts more pain ahead for the banking sector and the economy. Turmoil at Credit Suisse is just the "tip of the iceberg," JPMorgan's Bob Michele told Bloomberg. I think this is the tip of the iceberg," Bob Michele said on Bloomberg TV Wednesday. Credit Suisse shares shed as much as 30% on Wednesday as waning investor confidence in the bank ws sparked by one of the bank's largest shareholders stating that it would not lend any further financial support. Shares of Credit Suisse endured their largest single-day selloff Wednesday.

☆ US stocks close mixed as Dow dives nearly 400 points on weak Goldman Sachs earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs missed fourth-quarter estimates, while Morgan Stanley exceeded expectations. The New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index declined nearly 22 points to -32.9, the lowest reading in nearly two years. Goldman Sachs contributed most to the market's sour sentiment, with the firm missing fourth-quarter expectations and weighing heavily on the Dow. Morgan Stanley reported better-than-expected earnings. Early Tuesday, the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index declined nearly 22 points to -32.9, the lowest reading in nearly two years.

The Bank of England also raised its key interest rate by a further half-percentage point on Thursday and indicated more hikes were likely. "Both the Fed and ECB delivering more hawkish rate steers are compounding recession fears," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington. Powell was also particularly hawkish in his comments, noting that ongoing rate hikes are appropriate to get sufficiently restrictive. In afternoon trading, the dollar rose to two-week highs against the yen, and last traded up 1.6% at 137.665 . Sterling also fell sharply as investors believe the BOE is nearing the end of its rate hikes.

☆ How to play the bond market ahead of a recession, with JPMorgan's Bob Michele
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow to play the bond market ahead of a recession, with JPMorgan's Bob MicheleBob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management global head, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss raising the Fed funds rate above inflation, the cumulative and lag effects of monetary policy and where to look for high quality bond investments.

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