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☆ A big Fed meeting looms in the week ahead as economic concerns percolate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The Federal Reserve is set to meet Tuesday and Wednesday — and is is widely anticipated to make its first interest rate cut after embarking on a hiking campaign in March 2022. As it is, stocks are headed for a winning week ahead of the meeting. On Friday, the CME FedWatch tool showed markets were split how big the rate cut would be. Investors will also watch what Fed policymakers will signal in its summary of economy projections regarding future policy moves. He worries that stocks will rally heading into the central bank meeting, with investors possibly selling the news afterward.

Persons: It's, disinflation, Chadha, CNBC's, Dave Sekera, Giuseppe Sette, Sette, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Morningstar's Sekera, Bank Asset Management Group's Bill Northey, Mills, homebuilder Organizations: Federal, Deutsche Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morningstar, U.S, Bank Asset Management Group's, Olive, Darden, FedEx, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed Locations: U.S, Olive Garden, NAHB

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Deutsche Bank's Binky ChadhaBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what's next for stocks, market expectations going into the election season, and more.

Persons: what's Organizations: Deutsche, Deutsche Bank

☆ Early indicators for the next bull cycle are just picking up, says Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarly indicators for the next bull cycle are just picking up, says Deutsche Bank's Binky ChadhaBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what's next for stocks, market expectations going into the election season, and more.

Persons: what's Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha sees room for S&P 500 to run into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha lifted his year-end target for the S & P 500 on Thursday, saying the market has more room to run despite current turmoil. He tied this call to the fact that valuations are supported despite being at the top of their fair-value ranges. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year to date He said to expect more choppiness, such as what investors have experienced in recent weeks, even as the market recovers from its current correction. Chadha expects prices to retreat again going into the presidential election, only to rally afterward to year-end. The S & P 500 has added about 2.5% in the third quarter despite rocky trading.

Persons: Chadha Organizations: CNBC

☆ Looking for a pretty big rotation in earnings growth this quarter: Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLooking for a pretty big rotation in earnings growth this quarter: Deutsche Bank's Binky ChadhaBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief U.S. equity and global strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what to expect from earnings season, where the strategist is looking for a rotation in equities, and much more.

Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ 5 investments Morgan Stanley recommends making as US stocks surge by up to 19% — and why a prominent Wall Street bear just abandoned his downbeat view
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Since then, several major investment firms have lifted their long-term S&P 500 price targets. The firm recommends pairing cyclicals and growth stocks with those attributes so that investors are prepared for stronger or weaker growth. Technology firms using AI need more power, which is a major long-term tailwind for utility companies, Wilson wrote. "We see the recent pullback as an attractive entry point and an opportunity to formally upgrade the sector to overweight," Wilson wrote. "Small-cap valuation is relatively cheap but earnings growth is highly concentrated," Wilson wrote.

Persons: —, Brian Belski, Binky, Morgan Stanley, Long, Mike Wilson, subpar, Wilson, Wilson's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital, Deutsche Bank, optimist, Consumer, Utilities

☆ Deutsche Bank raises year-end S&P 500 forecast: 'We see the earnings cycle having plenty of legs'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Deutsche Bank sees more room for the S & P 500 to run this year as strong earnings growth drives multiples. Binky Chadha, the firm's chief U.S. equity and global strategist, raised his year-end forecast for the broad index to 5,500 from 5,100. "We see the earnings cycle having plenty of legs," he told clients. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Index year to date Chadha said he's been overweight on financial, consumer cyclical, material and utility stocks in this environment. The updated expectations come as the S & P 500 has roared back near all-time highs despite a correction at the start of the second quarter.

Persons: Chadha, he's Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Wall Locations: Europe

☆ Morgan Stanley stock strategist Mike Wilson raises S&P 500 forecast to 5,400 after bearish call on 2024 fails to pan out
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. equity strategist now expects the S & P 500 will rise to 5,400 by the second quarter of 2025. Just last week, the S & P 500 closed above 5,300 for the first time. His bull case of 6,350 represents roughly 20% upside over the next 12 months for the S & P 500. Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha hiked his S & P 500 target to 5,100, noting the benchmark could pop to 5,500. But market strategists on average are anticipating the S & P 500 will fall to 5,220 by the end of 2024, according to CNBC's Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, Brian Belski, Chadha, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: CNBC Market, Deutsche

☆ With S&P back at new highs, now come the price target and earnings revisions
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.

Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie

☆ Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha: We have a bull case of $5,500 for the S&P this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeutsche Bank's Binky Chadha: We have a bull case of $5,500 for the S&P this yearBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief U.S. equity and global strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why the S&P 500 will eventually power through the $5,000 mark, what needs to go right for Chadha's S&P projections, and risks to equity market growth.

Persons: Chadha Organizations: Deutsche, Deutsche Bank

Fourth-quarter earnings season is kicking off with a mix of good and bad news. Without those six stocks, the rest of the S & P is expected to see earnings fall 6%. There's a lot riding on earnings in 2024 For the S & P 500 to increase in 2024, earnings need to expand. But with the S & P 500 up over 20% last year, the forward earnings multiple is roughly 19.6, in the very pricey range. We need higher revenues The biggest risk to higher earnings is lower revenue growth.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, General Mills, Mobileye, Nick Raich, Adam Crisafulli, BofA's Subramanian, Deutsche, Binky, Sam Stovall Organizations: Pfizer, Merck, Moderna, Bank of America, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nike, FedEx, General, Darden, Constellation Brands, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Vital, Deutsche Bank's Locations: Wayfair, Conagra

☆ Here's why some of Wall Street's biggest bulls are still calling for a recession in 2024 — and 4 investments they recommend right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

After a year of steady, resilient growth, the US economy will finally slip into a recession in 2024. Deutsche Bank is also calling for double-digit profit growth in a weaker economic backdrop. "For 2024, the house economics view with a mild short US recession implies $250 (+10%)," Chadha wrote in reference to S&P 500 earnings. Deutsche Bank also foresees earnings growth next year. "We remain overweight the financials as well as consumer cyclicals as they are already priced for a recession and the biggest beneficiary of an eventual recovery," Chadha wrote.

Persons: That's, —, Chris Grisanti, Brian Belski, Chadha, Belski, Financials, BMO's Organizations: Wall, Business, BMO Capital Markets, Deutsche Bank, MAI Capital Management, CNBC, BMO, Deutsche, Labor, Investors, Tech Locations: Chadha

☆ Stock-market bulls are growing bolder: Now Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will hit a record 5,100 in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark S&P 500 will climb 12% to hit a new all-time high of 5,100, strategists said. Much of Wall Street has turned bullish on the index, which has defied gloomy predictions to rack up stellar gains this year. AdvertisementDeutsche Bank has become the latest big name on Wall Street to issue a bullish stock-market forecast for 2024, with analysts predicting the S&P 500 will soar to a fresh all-time high next year. AdvertisementWall Street bullishnessThere's clearly an optimistic atmosphere amongst stock-pickers right now, with Deutsche Bank far from the only big name on Wall Street to predict the S&P 500 could climb to record highs. Burnishing Chadha's credentials is the fact that he was one of the only Wall Street strategists who called this year's surprise stock-market rally.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, …, Binky Chadha, Tesla, Société Générale, Brian Belski, Burnishing Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets, BMO Capital, Deutsche, Business, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, Facebook, Nasdaq, Dow Jones

☆ What Q3 results say about potential year-end rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat Q3 results say about potential year-end rallyBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the potential for a year-end rally, the weak guidance from companies who have reported earnings, and more.

Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ Earnings season begins with markets lower than three months ago, but expectations are higher
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Q3 S & P 500 earnings: Trending higher July 1: $55.76 Today: $55.78 Source: LSEG Q4 S & P 500 earnings: Trending higher July 1: $57.58 Today: $58.14 Source: LSEG The fact that the third quarter estimate of $55.78 is slightly below the third quarter of last year ($56.02) is not important; what matters is the trend in earnings. For Q3 2023, 76 S & P 500 companies have issued negative EPS guidance and 42 S & P 500 companies have issued positive EPS guidance, according to John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet. "The earnings outlook for the S & P 500 for the third quarter is less negative relative to recent quarters," Butters told clients. "The percentage of companies issuing negative earnings guidance is equal to the 10-year average." Here's what stands out: The average earnings growth was 10.6%; the average revenue growth was 4.2%.

Persons: —, John Butters, Butters, Nick Raich, It's, Chadha Organizations: FactSet, Companies, FedEx, Oracle, Darden, Costco, Pepsi, PepsiCo, Frito, Barclays, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank Locations: America, AutoZone, United States, Mexico, Russia, Canada, China, South Africa, Japan, abate

☆ Deutsche Bank strategist says this counterintuitive trade can work as rates rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There are two places investors want to look with interest rates climbing — and it may not be the places they'd expect, said Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist. Interest rates have hit new multiyear highs in recent days, pressuring the stock market and raising investor alarm. Chadha said investors should look at banks and consumer cyclical names in this market. Bank stocks took a sharp hit amid the sector crisis earlier this year, and have slipped in recent months as investors considered the state of the economy. Consumer discretionary names in the S & P 500 have climbed more than 24% this year despite a modest retreat in the third quarter.

Persons: Binky Chadha, Chadha Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Treasury, P Bank ETF, Bank, Nasdaq

☆ Stocks are struggling even after earnings beats this season, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

However, individual stocks are struggling to perform following a quarterly beat, an "unusual" move, according to Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha. "The market rally so far is running ahead of that in a typical earnings season at this stage," Chadha wrote Friday. Meanwhile, the S & P 500 is higher by roughly 1.6% at the midway point of earnings season, which is above the 1.1% advance typically made through this time, the strategist said. Stocks are usually higher by 2% on average by the end of the full earnings season. He said, "On the day after releasing results, stocks beating consensus expectations underperformed by a greater amount than almost any time during the past 18 years."

Persons: Chadha, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche, Companies

As companies prepare to open their books to investors over the coming weeks, in the quarterly ritual known as earnings season, market watchers are balancing relatively weak estimates for past profits with brighter forecasts for future performance. Stock prices tend to follow expectations of earnings to come rather than react to details about the past, and markets have risen in step with investors’ improved outlook for the economy. The S&P 500 index has gained more than 20 percent since October. But much of that decline is concentrated in a few sectors, like energy, that recorded outsize profits last year, making for difficult comparisons to this year. And corporate executives also have a habit of lowering investors’ expectations ahead of earnings announcements, so that they can beat projections.

Persons: ”, Binky Chadha Organizations: Companies, Deutsche Bank

The bullish view Just four of the 15 strategists expect the S & P 500 to end the year higher than current levels, albeit very slightly. He expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,500 — up 2.3% from its current level. Instead, Peng said the S & P 500 's performance will likely broaden over the second half of this year. She expects the S & P 500 to remain flat by the end of the year at 4,300. UBS expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,100 — a drop of 7% from current levels.

Persons: Stocks, BlackRock Karim Chedid, Jerome Powell, Karim Chedid, Chedid, Chadha, Charles Schwab Liz Ann Sonders, Ken Peng, Peng, Savita Subramanian, Andreas Bruckner, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Matt Rowe, Mark Haefele, Christian Abuide, Sameer Samana, Rowe, Wouter Sturkenboom, Sturkenboom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Citi Global Wealth Investments, Big Tech, Bank of, Equity, Nomura, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lombard, RBC Wealth Management, U.S, Global Market, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Nomura Private Capital, EMEA, APAC, Northern Trust, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Northern, Samana

☆ Further stock market advance depends on rally broadening out
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The advance in those indexes, particularly the S & P 500, has been very uneven, even with last week's broad rally. Lowry Research analysts noted that investors simply in the S & P 500, or in tech stocks, were clearly in an up market. Lowry noted that 48.2% of all operating-company only stocks are 20% or more below their 52-week highs, which Lowry and others define as bear market territory. That's far worse than the 32% that were in bear market territory on February 2, when the S & P 500 was at a new high for the year. "Bull markets are hard-pressed to last when the number of stocks entering 'bear market territory' grows," Lowry noted.

Persons: You'd, Chadha, SPX, Venu Krishna, Lowry, Russell, Quincy Krosby Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Barclays, Street Journal, Lowry Research, LPL

☆ A 30-year investing vet who called the latest bear market warns that stocks have another 41% downside with US economy already in recession and the Fed continuing to ratchet up rates
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Jon Wolfenbarger thinks the US economy is already in recession. With growth slowing and the Fed still tightening, Wolfenbarger thinks stocks are due for big losses. The S&P 500 is already down around 20% year-to-date. All of that spells further trouble ahead for stocks, Wolfenbarger said, despite the fact that the S&P 500 has already fallen about 20% in 2022. In a recessionary scenario, Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said the S&P 500 could fall to 3,150, though that is not his base case.

☆ Top Wall Street strategists see another roller-coaster year ahead with minimal returns for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-22 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A brutal year for stocks has made Wall Street strategists cautious about what's ahead as most are forecasting a similarly bumpy 2023 with minimal returns. The S & P 500 could tumble more than 16% from Wednesday's close to 3,250 before a strong rally to end 2023 higher. He sees the S & P 500 dropping 20% to the 3,000-3,300 level by the first quarter of next year. The firm noted that S & P 500 companies' third-quarter reports showed margins contracted year over year for the first time since the pandemic. If the economy goes into a recession, Goldman said, the S & P 500 would decline to 3,150.

☆ DEUTSCHE BANK: Here's a point-by-point look at how stocks would perform as the recession sets in, and what investors should buy to profit as a recovery begins
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Binky Chadha of Deutsche Bank says the current bear market rally will probably last into 2023. "High initial valuations and our expected earnings decline (-12% vs an average -15%), point to a -33% decline (S&P 500 3250)," Chadha wrote in a recent note. "MCG & Tech stocks relative to the S&P 500 have underperformed to well below the bottom of their medium-term up trend channel," he said. "We think Tech stocks can bounce tactically through the Q1 squeeze which in our view will be driven by falling rates and rising positioning." Chadha says financials and consumer cyclicals should also have a good run during the bear market rally.

☆ Deutsche Bank maps out specifically how stock market will trade for the next 12 months as recession hits
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The current bear market rally could continue into the new year before "following the typical recession playbook," according to Deutsche Bank. In the third quarter, Chadha said he sees the the S & P 500 dropping to 3,250. Putting these together points to a -33% decline" from the S & P 500's record high, he said. Deutsche sees the rebound being led by financial stocks, tech and consumer cyclicals. "With the S & P 500 having rallied recently by around 12% from its mid-October lows, our measure of aggregate equity positioning has risen only modestly and remains very low (12th percentile)," he said.

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