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☆ CLSA strategist says he expects Bank of Japan to hike rates in December and twice more in 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCLSA strategist says he expects Bank of Japan to hike rates in December and twice more in 2025Nicholas Smith, Japan strategist at CLSA, says Bank of Japan rate hikes would benefit households, corporates and the finance sector.

Persons: Nicholas Smith Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank, Japan Locations: Japan

☆ Dollar hugs 13-month peak as market awaits next Fed cue
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Global PMIs are due later in the day, although those figures should not "change the dial too much," said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG. Recent comments from Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, have indicated the central bank may take a slower course in its rate cut path. Among Trump policies on weighing on investors' minds were the president-elect's campaign pledges of tariffs, with Europe and China both likely in the firing line. The euro , which makes up a hefty portion of the dollar index, steadied at $1.0475 after falling to a 13-month low of $1.0461 on Thursday. The dollar was last down 0.17% on the day at 154.27 yen.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, It's, it's, Sycamore, Donald Trump's, Jerome Powell, CME's, Trump, Sterling, Bitcoin, Marcel Thieliant, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: The U.S, greenback, Bank of Japan's, Global, IG, U.S, PCE, Trump, Capital Economics Locations: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, The, Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Germany, Asia

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Expectations can move shares in strange ways — just look at Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets digest Nvidia earningsU.S. markets rose on Thursday after digesting Nvidia's earnings release. [PRO] Stimulus boosting Chinese marketsChinese markets are "turning a corner" after the Beijing unleashed several stimulus measures to boost the economy, said HSBC . "The market has so far reacted positively to these initiatives,' analysts from HSBC wrote in a Nov. 19 note, in which they picked two Chinese stocks to hold for 2025.

Persons: Hong, Aftereffects, Gautam Adani, CNBC's Ganesh Rao Organizations: CNBC, U.S . Department of Justice, Google, Chrome, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Adani, Motors, Germany's Volkswagen, Nissan, HSBC Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, India, China, Beijing

☆ Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris

☆ Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of Bank of Japan hawks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Yen bears were tense in case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda used a speech later Monday to flag a possible rate hike in December, in part due to the weakness of the currency. Markets imply around a 55% chance of a quarter-point rate hike to 0.5% when the BOJ meets on Dec. 19. Against a basket of currencies the dollar held at 106.730, having touched a one-year top of 107.07 on Friday. The rally has coincided with a savage swing in 10-year Treasury yields, which have climbed 70 basis points since the start of October, fuelling a 5.4% rise in the U.S. dollar index . Analysts generally assume Trump's touted policies of tariffs, reduced immigration and debt-funded tax cuts will be inflationary, so limiting the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Donald Trump's, Katsunobu Kato, Jonas Goltermann, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Japanese Finance, Capital Economics, Trump, Federal Reserve, Central Bankers Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada

☆ Japan GDP expands by 0.3% in third quarter, snapping two quarters of year-on-year declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Japan's third-quarter real gross domestic product expanded 0.3% year on year, snapping two straight quarters of year-on-year decline, according to government data released Friday. The GDP reading marked a reversal from the revised 1.1% decline seen in the second quarter. The data comes against the backdrop of the Bank of Japan raising rates from 0.1% to 0.25% in July — its highest level since 2008. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP rose 0.2%, in line with Reuters poll estimates, but lower than the 0.5% growth in the second quarter. On an annualized basis, the economy expanded 0.9%, beating estimates of a 0.7% expansion.

Organizations: Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan

☆ Bank of Japan needs to increase interest rates to defend the Japanese yen: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan needs to increase interest rates to defend the Japanese yen: StrategistAmir Anvarzadeh of Asymmetric Advisors discusses the outlook of the Japanese economy and what role the Bank of Japan can play to strengthen the Yen.

Persons: Amir Anvarzadeh Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Advisors, Bank of Japan

☆ Asia-Pacific markets poised to climb after Fed rate cut; China's NPC in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

People visit a riverside in front of the Lujiazui financial district, during the National People's Congress (NPC) in Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. Aly Song | ReutersAsia-Pacific markets were set to climb on Tuesday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and major U.S. indexes continued their postelection rally. In Japan, the country will be releasing spending data for September, which will offer clues to the policy path ahead for the Bank of Japan. Strong spending data would support the case for the BOJ to raise rates, and vice versa. If stocks follow futures, the Hong Kong index will hit its highest level in about a month.

Persons: Aly Song, Australia's Organizations: National People's Congress, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, China's National People Congress, Bank of Japan, Nikkei Locations: Shanghai, China, Reuters Asia, Pacific, U.S, Asia, Japan, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong

☆ BOJ may be 'cornered' into raising rates: Mizuho Securities strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ may be 'cornered' into raising rates if yen depreciates quickly after Trump victory: MizuhoShoki Omori, chief Japan desk strategist at Mizuho Securities, says if the yen starts to hit the 158-160 level, the Bank of Japan may be forced to raise rates earlier than it intended.

Persons: Omori Organizations: Trump, Mizuho, Mizuho Securities, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan

☆ Asia-Pacific markets open higher as Wall Street rallies ahead of U.S. election results
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Dylan Butts | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A screen displays the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure on the trading floor at the Nomura Securities Co. headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Jan. 11, 2024. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Wednesday after Wall Street surged overnight ahead of the U.S. presidential election results. Japan's Nikkei 225 opened up 0.7%, while the Topix gained 0.4%. The Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting minutes will be released later in the day, which could give insights on where the members stand on the bank's policy path. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% higher.

Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nomura Securities Co, U.S, Nikkei, People's Congress Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific

☆ Dollar steady as investors eye U.S. jobs report, election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar steadied against major peers on Friday, as investors awaited the U.S. jobs report to confirm economic resiliency heading into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and a close-call U.S. presidential election next week. The dollar steadied against major peers on Friday, as investors awaited the U.S. jobs report to confirm economic resiliency heading into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and a close-call U.S. presidential election next week. The U.S. dollar started November off at a lower level after coming under pressure against the yen and euro on Thursday. (Kazuo) Ueda's press conference," Morgan Stanley MUFG economists Takeshi Yamaguchi and Masayuki Inui wrote in a report on Thursday. The Fed's monetary policy decision next week comes just days after the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.

Persons: Nonfarm, Tapas Strickland, Kazuo, Ueda's, Morgan Stanley, Takeshi Yamaguchi, Masayuki Inui, Sterling, Rachel Reeves, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump's Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S ., Reuters, National Australia Bank, Gov, U.S, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Bank of Japan likely to stay course with a rate hike in December or January, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Lin Lin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After a messy election, the Bank of Japan decided to hold its benchmark policy rate at 0.25%, as expected. These outlook risks highlight that the timing of the next BOJ rate hike could depend heavily on developments overseas, as well as the exchange rate and its impact on the Japanese economy, Otani added. He added that it would surpass the 13 trillion yen ($84.6 billion) allocated in last year's supplementary budget. When Ishiba returns, he is expected to hold an extraordinary Diet session, during which he hopes to pass the supplementary budget plan, according to local news. Then I would probably rule out a rate hike in December, because that would create a lot of uncertainty about the fiscal situation."

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Stefan Angrick, Angrick, Akira Otani, Goldman Sachs, Otani, Marcel Thieliant, Shigeru Ishiba, Ishibia, Ishiba, Thieliant Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan, Moody's, Liberal Democratic Party, Asia Pacific, Capital Economics, CNBC, Democratic Party Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Brazil

☆ Yen under pressure as BOJ keeps rates steady
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The yen remained under pressure on Thursday as the Bank of Japan kept ultra-low interest rates steady, while the U.S. dollar consolidated ahead of jobs data later this week and the U.S. presidential election next week. The BOJ kept interest rates steady on Thursday and roughly maintained its forecast that inflation will hover near its 2% inflation target in coming years, signaling its readiness to continue rolling back its massive monetary stimulus. Analysts are divided over the prospect of additional interest rate hikes by year-end, putting the focus on BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting briefing for clues on the pace and timing of further increases. "Any strengthening of the yen at present would likely result from a general weakening of the U.S. dollar if interest rates begin to align," said Sean Teo, a sales trader at Saxo.

Persons: Yen, Kazuo Ueda's, Sean Teo, payrolls, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Sterling Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., U.S, Treasury, Saxo, National Statistics, PMI, Westpac, European Central Bank, Australian, Analysts, New Zealand Locations: China, U.S

☆ Moody’s Analytics: Yen weakness could force Bank of Japan to act sooner rather than later
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody’s Analytics: Yen weakness could force Bank of Japan to act sooner rather than laterStefan Angrick of Moody's Analytics says gradual economic recovery within the Japanese economy validates a BOJ rate hike come December.

Persons: Stefan Angrick Organizations: Bank of Japan, Analytics

☆ BOJ paused rate normalization to wait for outcome of the U.S. election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan paused its interest rate normalization to wait for the outcome of the U.S. electionShigeto Nagai of Oxford Economics says the Bank of Japan cannot explicitly state so, but the main concern and reason behind its monetary policy decision is how the U.S. elections might affect the Yen.

Persons: Shigeto Nagai Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Oxford Economics, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S

☆ Asia markets set for mixed open ahead of Bank of Japan decision, China factory activity figures
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), speaks during a news conference at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo, JapanAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open on Thursday as investors look to the Bank of Japan's rate decision, as well as key business activity figures from China. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOJ will hold rates at 0.25%, although the statement will be parsed for any clues on the timing of its next rate hike. In China, the National Bureau of Statistics is set to release the country's official purchasing managers index numbers for September, with the manufacturing PMI forecast to come in at 49.9, a softer contraction than the 49.8 the month before. Still, that would be the sixth straight month of contraction for the country's manufacturing sector.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank of, Reuters, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Tokyo, Japan Asia, Pacific, China

☆ Investing in Japan after the elections? The pros share their take
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The outcome of this snap election signals that Ishiba may face difficulties in getting his party's policies passed in parliament. These include "more fiscal stimulus measures," and a cut in tax rates, Okamura added. His comments come amid expectations of the Bank of Japan leaving its rates unchanged at its meeting on Oct. 31. 'High-quality companies' Okamura is now betting on "higher quality companies with good pricing power." The five are also among the top holdings in the 19.1 billion yen (124.6 million) Japan Equity Engagement Fund .

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Izumi Devalier, CNBC's, Neuberger Berman's Kei Okamura, Okamura —, —, Okamura, bode Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of America, Nikkei, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of Japan, Hitachi, Mitsubishi Logistics, Tokyo Marine Holdings, Japan Equity, Tokyo Marine Locations: Japan, Tokyo, shareholdings

☆ Japan’s government in flux after election gives no party majority
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

TOKYO — The makeup of Japan’s future government was in flux on Monday after voters punished Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s scandal-tainted ruling coalition in a weekend election, leaving no party with a clear mandate to lead the world’s fourth-largest economy. The biggest winner of the night, the main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ), had 148 seats, up from 98 previously, but also still well short of the 233 majority. But days before the vote, a newspaper affiliated with the Japan Communist Party reported that the party had provided campaign funds to branches headed by non-endorsed candidates. “LDP’s payments to branches show utter lack of care for public image,” ran an editorial in the influential Asahi newspaper two days before the election. In one bright spot, a record 73 women were elected into Japan’s male-dominated parliament, surpassing 54 at the 2009 election.

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba’s, “, Ishiba, Komeito, Keiichi Ishii, ”, Tobias Harris, Yoshihiko Noda, Fumio Kishida, Yuichiro Tamaki, Nobuyuki Baba, Rintaro Nishimura, Masakazu Tokura Organizations: U.S, Ishiba’s Liberal Democratic Party, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, Japan Foresight, LDP, Japan Communist Party, Asahi, Democratic Party for, People, Japan Innovation Party, DPP, Bank of Japan, Asia, Komeito Locations: TOKYO, China, North Korea, Japan

☆ Markets trying to understand BOJ & yen position post-elections: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets trying to understand BOJ & yen position post-elections: StrategistThe Nikkei 225 rockets higher after a surprising defeat for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. We ask Daniel Gerard from State Street Global Markets what that says about market sentiment, and where it leaves the Bank of Japan and the Japanese yen.

Persons: Daniel Gerard Organizations: Nikkei, Liberal Democratic Party, State Street Global, Bank of Japan

☆ Japanese economy is 'weak and sluggish,' former BOJ board member says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese economy is 'weak and sluggish,' former BOJ board member saysSayuri Shirai, a former board member of the Bank of Japan, discusses Japan's currency and economic policies.

Persons: Sayuri Shirai Organizations: Bank of Japan

☆ Japan's central bank to remain undeterred on rate hikes despite LDP's electoral shock, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Japan's longtime ruling Liberal Democratic Party may have suffered an election shock, but analysts said that's unlikely to deter the Bank of Japan from its interest rate hike cycle. In Sunday's elections, the LDP lost its majority in Japan's lower house for the first time since 2009. Besides its junior coalition partner Komeito, the LDP will need to work with other parties to form a government. The political turmoil comes ahead of a Bank of Japan meeting this week. Roughly 86% of economists polled by Reuters expect the central bank to leave its rates unchanged when it announces its decision Thursday.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Japan's, Komeito, David Boling, CNBC's, they're, Izumi Devalier, Devalier, you've Organizations: Japan, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of Japan, LDP, Eurasia Group, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington , U.S, Japan

☆ Yen slips as Japan's election result clouds BOJ rate hike prospects
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The yen touched a three-month low on Monday as Japan's ruling coalition lost its parliamentary majority and investors figured that would likely slow future interest rate hikes, while the dollar headed for a monthly gain on rising U.S. yields. On the dollar, the yen hit its weakest since late July at 153.3 in early-morning trade and it touched the same milestone at 165.36 to the euro . That was down from the 279 seats they held previously and marked the coalition's worst result since it briefly lost power in 2009. The U.S. dollar index has climbed 3.6% during October, its sharpest monthly rise since April 2022. The New Zealand dollar traded near a three-month low of $0.5974, down nearly 6% for the month.

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Donald Trump, Sterling Organizations: Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party, NHK, Bank of Japan, Nomura, U.S, gilts, Australian, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S, Europe, Australia, China

☆ Japan votes in election expected to punish PM Ishiba's coalition
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

TOPSHOT - Officials look on as people vote during the general election at a polling station set up at a local school in Tokyo on October 27, 2024. Japan voted on October 27 in its tightest election in years, with new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and his juggernaut Liberal Democratic Party facing potentially their worst result since 2009. (Photo by Richard A. Brooks / AFP) (Photo by RICHARD A. BROOKS/AFP via Getty Images)Japan's voters decide the fate of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government on Sunday in an election expected to punish his coalition over a funding scandal and inflation, potentially ending a decade of dominance for his Liberal Democratic Party. Political wrangling could roil markets and be a headache for the Bank of Japan, if Ishiba chooses a partner that favours maintaining near-zero interest rates when the central bank wants to gradually raise them. "That's basically the scenario for 'sell Japan'," as investors ponder how the outcome could affect fiscal and monetary policy, said Naka Matsuzawa, chief macro strategist at Nomura Securities.

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Richard A, Brooks, RICHARD A, BROOKS, Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Ishiba, Jeffrey Hall, That's, Naka Matsuzawa Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Getty, LDP, Bank of Japan, Kanda University of International Studies, Asahi, Nomura Securities, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Japan, AFP, China

☆ Yen wobbles, vulnerable to political reverberations
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Japanese yen banknotes of various denominations are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on July 22, 2015. The yen was last 0.1% lower at 152 per dollar and was looking at a 1.5% loss for the week. The yen has fallen roughly 5.5% for the month thus far, setting it up for its worst monthly decline since April 2022. Against the dollar, the euro last bought $1.08225, some distance away from its low of $1.076125 hit earlier this week. The dollar index last ticked up 0.04% to 104.09, after having scaled a roughly three-month high of 104.57 earlier in the week.

Persons: Ray Attrill, Katsunobu Kato, Janet Yellen, Donald Trump, Nick Rees, Sterling Organizations: of Japan's, Treasury, Liberal Democratic Party, LDP, National Australia Bank, country's Finance, FX, Monex, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Japanese, Germany —

☆ Asia-Pacific markets mixed ahead of Japan elections; Tokyo inflation slows
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Friday, with investors awaiting Japan's general election over the weekend. Japan also released its October inflation numbers for the capital city of Tokyo on Friday, its last key economic data before the election. Tokyo's inflation is widely considered a leading indicator of nationwide trends. The city's headline inflation rate fell to 1.8% in October from 2.2% the month before, with core inflation — which strips out prices of fresh food — also coming in at 1.8%, down from 2%. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the core inflation rate in Tokyo to slow to 1.7% in October.

Persons: Japan's Organizations: Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, Tokyo

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