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Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway
  + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Powell said more rate cuts are likely underway because the economy’s current trends and dynamics are expected to remain in place, at least in the short run. “We are moving policy over time to a more neutral setting,” Powell said in prepared remarks for an event in Dallas. It’s also too soon for Fed officials to conclude that October data is indicative of any new trend. While additional hot inflation reports could be factored in to the Fed’s decisions, officials are also looking at the US labor market closely. There’s also been tension between Trump and Powell, whom the president-elect first nominated in 2017 to steer the central bank.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Donald Trump, Trump’s, It’s, Price, , , There’s Organizations: Washington CNN — Federal, Republican, Fed Locations: Dallas, stoke, Trump
Price growth ticked higher in October as voters began casting ballots in a presidential election in which economic concerns played a big role. The consumer price index climbed to 2.6% last month since the same time last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Stock futures turned higher, while traders bid up the price of government bonds. All-important shelter costs rose 0.4% from September to October, accounting for over half the monthly gains, the BLS said. Over the past four years, consumer prices have cumulatively increased about 20%, with the costs of many other goods and services rising even faster.
Persons: That's, Joe Biden’s, ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, ” Voters, White House, Trump, Investors, Adobe, National Retail Federation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Citi Locations:
Now, with many celebrating the apparent defeat of inflation, Summers is delivering another warning to Washington. Summers, the famed economist and former Treasury secretary, cautioned Tuesday that the inflation genie may not be back in the bottle. “My own judgement is that the Fed and markets are still underestimating the overheating risk,” Summers said during a conversation hosted by the New York Economic Club. “I am fearful that the Fed is going to be more like once burned, twice burned, rather than once burned, twice shy, on inflationary risks,” Summers said. “There is a very substantial risk that the president will attempt to implement what he talked about.
Persons: Larry Summers, Donald Trump, Summers, Trump, , ” Summers, Clinton, Biden, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Donald Trump’s, ” Trump, Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Federal Reserve, New York Economic, Reserve, Harvard, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Washington
“The Federal Reserve is one of many examples of how we’ve deviated from the Constitution in that regard,” Lee added. Challenging the Fed’s independence“The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail. That’s empowered Fed officials to make interest rate decisions that aren’t necessarily popular but could help the nation’s economy in the long run. But on the campaign trail, Trump floated requiring Fed officials to consult with him on interest rate decisions. That could lead to pressure on Fed officials to keep rates lower to satisfy Trump’s wishes, which in turn could reignite inflation.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, it’ll, Elon Musk, Republican Sen, Mike Lee, ” Lee, Jerome Powell, Trump, , Vance, Karoline Leavitt, Ron Paul, Thomas Massie of, Lee, ” Leavitt, it’s, That’s, Powell, , briskly, hasn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, Republican, Fed, Federal, CNN, Treasury Department, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, Consumer Financial, Product Safety, Fed’s, of Governors, Consumer, Safety Locations: New York, Thomas Massie of Kentucky
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose Thursday, extending Wall Street’s rally in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, as traders weighed the latest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 gained 0.74% to close at a record high of 5,973.10. The S&P 500 jumped 2.53% for its best post-election day in history. Those big swings were the backdrop for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut Thursday afternoon. “The balance of risks gives the Fed ample room to lower the Fed Funds rate well into 2025.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Jerome Powell, , Jamie Cox, Trump, Tony Roth, we’ve, ” Roth, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Treasury, Harris Financial, Wilmington Trust, , Big Tech, Apple, Nvidia, JPMorgan, American Express Locations: Wilmington
Trump and the GOP have denied the tariffs would be inflationary, pointing to Trump’s success in imposing tariffs in his first term without reigniting inflation. Yet those tariffs, at $300 billion on selected Chinese goods, were much more targeted than the $3 trillion worth of blanket tariffs Trump is now expected to propose. And the inflationary environment is different now, too: During Trump’s first term, inflation only briefly ever climbed above 2%. It was Trump who appointed Powell to lead the Federal Reserve in his first term. But Trump has signaled a willingness this year to abandon the long-running principle of maintaining the Fed as an independent body.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Trump, ’ Anna Kelly, David Seif, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Seif, Seif Organizations: Federal, Wall, Federal Reserve, Nomura Holdings, Trump, GOP, Republican National Committee, Nomura, Fed, Bloomberg, Chicago Economic, Reuters Locations: China
The move comes as inflation remains on a downward trend while the job market continues to lose momentum. While that has helped rein in price pressures, it also puts the job market in jeopardy. So I’m going to be patient.”Still, rate cuts are expected to stretch through 2025, even during a Trump presidency, according to economists. On one hand, there’s evidence that America’s job market has continued to lose momentum in recent months. But since Trump’s economic vision could eventually stoke inflation, that could mean the Fed delivers fewer rate cuts in the coming years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, “ I’m, Raphael Bostic, , Kamala Harris, Felipe Villarroel, , Trump, hasn’t, Arthur Burns, Richard Nixon, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, President, White, Atlanta Fed, Trump, TwentyFour Asset Management, Fed, CNN, White House, Capitol Locations: Jackson , Mississippi
Whoever is elected the 47th president of the United States will start with a rare and clear advantage: a remarkably solid economy. Tuesday’s election will show how much that all matters to voters, who will soon decide which candidate they want to entrust the economy to from here. But to regular American households, it’s more of a “Yes, but” economy: Yes, the job market is strong, but my boss wants me in five days a week, and that doesn’t work for me anymore. Yes, inflation has fallen, but I can’t afford day care. Prices across the rest of the service economy were 4.7% higher overall, and medical care was up 3.9%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Spencer Platt, Yuki Iwamura, they’re, Helene, Milton, Patrick T, Fallon, Harris, , Greg Valliere, Joe Biden wasn’t, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, “ Kamala Organizations: Investment, Stock, Getty, Consumer, Bloomberg, CNBC, First Street Foundation, NBC, AGF Investments, Biden Locations: United States, Ukraine, Israel
Customers who allegedly withdrew money fraudulently from Chase Bank ATMs using an illegal scheme that blew up on TikTok over the summer could soon have to cut hefty checks back to the bank. These people were able to withdraw funds by writing checks to themselves and immediately withdrawing funds before the checks bounced. Normally, the bank follows the industry standard of making a portion of any check available to customers before the funds clear. However, a temporary glitch allowed customers to withdraw more substantial amounts than typically allowed before a check clears. One case in Houston involves a “masked man” who allegedly deposited a $335,000 check to a defendant’s account.
Persons: , Chase, ” Drew Pusateri, “ We’re, they’re, ” Pusateri, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: New, New York CNN, Chase Bank, JPMorgan, Chase, CNN Locations: New York, Houston, Texas, Florida, California
Rather than staging dramatic and risky bank robberies, criminal groups in Europe have been targeting ATMs as an easier and more low-key target. An explosive device used to blow up ATMs shown at a press event in Stuttgart, Germany on November 21, 2023. The majority of Germany’s 83.3 million citizens have to travel no further than one kilometer to reach their nearest ATM, according to the central bank, Bundesbank. Bodo Marks/picture alliance/Getty Images/FileA 2023 BKA report notes that ATM robberies in Germany have been rising since 2005, although they dropped slightly from 2022 to 2023. In July, the German government announced that ATM robberies would receive harsher punishment.
Persons: Europol, Bernd Weißbrod, ” Europol, Baden Württemberg, ” Bundesbank’s Johannes Beermann, , Bodo Marks, , Nancy Faeser, Organizations: CNN, Federal Criminal Police, Germany –, Getty, German Banking Industry Committee, Locations: Kronberg, BKA, Europe, Germany, France, Netherlands, Stuttgart, Wiernsheim, German, Baden, Bundesbank, Sparkasse, Schenefeld, , “ Germany
In what some analysts are calling the “show me the money” quarter, most of the major US tech titans will report earnings during Halloween week. “Tech companies have been spending billions on AI like kids in a candy store,” said David Laut, chief investment officer at Abound Financial. “Now investors want to see what they’re getting for their money.”Earnings season for tech got off to a strong start Wednesday evening when Tesla surprised Wall Street with better-than-expected earnings. The results sent Tesla’s shares surging more than 11% in after-hours trading, potentially setting a positive tone for next week’s parade of tech earnings. But there’s more spooking Wall Street than just tech earnings.
Persons: , David Laut, Tesla, Tesla’s, Jim Reid, Dan Ives Organizations: New, New York CNN, Google, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nvidia, “ Tech, , ChatGPT, Reserve, Deutsche, Wedbush Securities Locations: New York, Canada, France
The total assets of TD Bank’s two U.S. banking subsidiaries will be barred from exceeding $434 billion under that restriction. “Today, TD Bank also became the largest bank in U.S. history to plead guilty to Bank Secrecy Act program failures, and the first US bank in history to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit money laundering,” Garland said. “TD Bank chose profits over compliance with the law — a decision that is now costing the bank billions of dollars in penalties. “In August 2021, a TD Bank store manager emailed another store manager and remarked, quote, ‘You guys really need to shut this down. “This settlement lets bad bank executives off the hook for allowing TD Bank to be used as a criminal slush fund.
Persons: , General Merrick Garland, ” Garland, , Garland, David, Lol, ’ ” Garland, , FinCEN, Wally Adeyemo, ” Adeymo, ” Sen, Elizabeth Warren, ” Warren, Bharat Masrani, ” Masrani Organizations: Bank, Department of Justice, TD Bank, Currency, Federal Reserve, , Washington , D.C, DOJ, Treasury, Enforcement Network, FinCEN, Street, CNBC, of Justice, Consumer Financial, Bureau Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Washington ,, Newark , New Jersey, United States, Canada,
New York CNN —TD Bank will pay $3 billion to settle charges that it failed to properly monitor money laundering by drug cartels, regulators announced Thursday. TD also intends to pay $1.8 billion to the US Justice Department and plead guilty to resolve the US government’s investigation that the bank violated of the Bank Secrecy Act and allowed money laundering. The US Department of Justice said in a statement that TD Bank had “long-term, pervasive, and systemic deficiencies” in its procedures of monitoring transactions. TD Bank declined to comment on the fine, but the bank plans to hold a call with investors later on Thursday. TD Bank’s (TD) US-listed shares slumped 5% as investors brace for higher legal expenses and weaker growth.
Persons: FinCEN, TD Bank’s, ” John Aiken, , Allen Stanford Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Bank, US Treasury Department’s, US Justice Department, US Department of Justice, Street Journal, TD Bank, Jefferies, , Justice, Treasury, CNN Locations: New York
“Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50bps (basis points)?” Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, wrote in a note on Friday. Second-guessing the Fed isn’t new, of course. Central bank officials themselves note the uncertainty inherent in their work, especially when the economy reaches inflection points. Even Fed officials don’t always agree with the central bank’s actions, such as Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, the lone dissenter to the Fed’s decision to cut rates by half a point in September. ‘This isn’t exact science’Fed officials aren’t shy about admitting that they don’t always have confidence in how the US economy will evolve.
Persons: Washington CNN —, Jerome Powell, Philipp Carlsson, Seema Shah, James Knightley, Powell, don’t, Michelle Bowman, wouldn’t, , ” Carlsson, Szlezak, , ” Gina Bolvin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Boston Consulting, Asset Management, ING, Bolvin Wealth Management Locations: Wall, Washington
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference on September 18 in Washington, DC. Anna Moneymaker/Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve’s recent half-point cut will take some time to work through the system, Noah Yosif, chief economist and head of research at the American Staffing Association, told CNN. “Just because the Federal Reserve votes to decrease interest rates in September does not mean that employers are going to see lower costs in October,” he said, adding that it could take three to six months to filter through to businesses. More rate cuts are expected for later this year, but the extent will depend on the health of the labor market, and that outlook could be quite murky due to impact from the strikes and Hurricane Helene. Fed officials, who are scheduled to make the central bank’s next interest rate decision just days after the October jobs report lands, will do their best to look through the noise and what are likely idiosyncratic factors, said Ryan Sweet at Oxford Economics.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, Noah Yosif, , , Helene, Ryan Sweet, Ejindu Ume Organizations: American Staffing Association, CNN, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Miami University in Locations: Washington , DC, Miami University in Ohio
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNear-term net sentiment for emerging markets ‘still pretty robust,’ HSBC’s Ulgen saysMurat Ulgen, global head of EM research at HSBC, discusses the findings of the bank’s quarterly emerging markets survey.
Persons: HSBC’s Ulgen, Murat Ulgen Organizations: HSBC
CNN —US job growth surged in September, blowing past expectations and providing solid reassurance for the ongoing stability of the labor market. Employers added an estimated 254,000 jobs in September, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The outlook for the economy in the months ahead is quite favorable, according to the September jobs report. As job gains dropped off from their once breakneck pace, economists were quick to note that the labor market was merely slowing and not at risk of imminent collapse. “The labor market is strong,” she said.
Persons: , ” Brian Bethune, , Chris Rupkey, , Elise Gould, Gould, Jerome Powell, September’s, it’s, ” Bethune, , , Josh Hirt, ” Hirt, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boston College, Service, Federal Reserve, FwdBonds, Economic Policy Institute, Federal, Vanguard, Boeing
CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.
Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, , Erica Groshen, They’ve, , Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, , American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio
Last year, Son — who says he uses ChatGPT every day — is said to have met with Sam Altman, the A.I. That included talks for Son to provide up to $1 billion in funding to Altman and Jony Ive, the designer behind the iPhone, to create an A.I.-powered replacement for the smartphone. Bloomberg reported that SoftBank had hoped to be part of OpenAI’s last fund-raising round, but was instead wait-listed. Son is also trying to organize the auto industry around the use of A.I. The strike poses a significant threat to the U.S. economy, with analysts estimating it could cost up to $7.5 billion a week.
Persons: SoftBank, Son —, Sam Altman, Altman, Jony, Son, Cerebras Organizations: Bloomberg, Nvidia, Gulf Coasts, International Longshoremen’s Association Locations: OpenAI’s, ramping, A.I, British, Wayve, Gulf, U.S
But we are not on any preset course,” he told the National Association for Business Economics in prepared remarks. A basis point equals 0.01%. “We do not believe that we need to see further cooling in labor market conditions to achieve 2 percent inflation,” Powell added. For his part, Powell expressed confidence in economic strength and sees inflation continuing to cool. Broader economic conditions also set the table for further disinflation.”Following the speech, Powell was scheduled to sit for a question-and-answer session with Morgan Stanley economist Ellen Zentner.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , ” Powell, Powell, , Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner Organizations: National Association for Business Economics, Committee, Fed Locations: Nashville
The government’s draft budget released Monday proposes spending just under 13.5 trillion rubles (over $145 billion) on national defense. The Ukraine war is Europe’s biggest conflict since World War II and has drained the resources of both sides, with Ukraine getting billions of dollars in help from its Western allies. Russian President Vladimir Putin is also looking at how to sustain his war effort as military spending has placed a huge strain on the Russian economy. Ukraine, too, has developed a new generation of drones for the battlefield and for long-range strikes deep inside Russia. More than 100 Ukrainian drones were shot down over Russia on Sunday, Russian officials said.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Vladimir Putin, Monday Putin, Vitalii Kim, Putin, ” Putin, Organizations: State Duma, Federation Council, Monday, West Locations: Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, United States, State, Russia, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Mykolaiv, , Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Crimea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBNP Paribas CFO says AXA fund ‘is a really good fit’ for the French bankBNP Paribas Chief Financial Officer Lars Machenil discusses the bank’s strategy and its push to buy the investment business of insurer AXA.
Persons: Lars Machenil Organizations: BNP, AXA,
Gold, traditionally perceived as a haven, has climbed roughly 30% this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index’s 20% gain. Fresh consumer confidence data on Tuesday indicated that Americans are feeling pessimistic about the US economy and future of the job market. JPMorgan Chase researchers said in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue running toward their 2025 target price of $2,850 an ounce as the Fed brings down rates. Silver, another precious metal that tends to move in tandem with gold, has jumped roughly 34% this year, outperforming the yellow metal. New moves from China to revive its economy also has the potential to lift precious metals, said Rhind.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Kristina Hooper, JPMorgan Chase, “ There’s, Will Rhind, Rhind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Traders, JPMorgan, Treasury, GraniteShares, Citi Locations: New York, China, Turkey, India, China’s
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Lynn Song, chief economist for greater China ING, called the repo rate cut announcement “the most important” move made during the news conference. “If we see a large fiscal policy push as well, momentum could recover heading into the fourth quarter.”The headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing. During his first news conference as central bank governor in January, Pan said the PBOC would cut the reserve requirement ratio. Unlike the Fed’s focus on a main interest rate, the PBOC uses a variety of rates to manage monetary policy. Pan has indicated he would like the 7-day rate to become the main policy rate.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Lynn Song, , , Jiang Qiming, ” Edmund Goh, Goldman Sachs, Li Yunze, Li, Nomura Organizations: People’s Bank of China Gov, China ING, , U.S . Federal Reserve, People’s Bank of China, China News Service, Getty, Pan, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, abrdn
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