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The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.
Persons: , There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, , Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix
UK economy flatlines again in July, below expectations
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
LONDON — The U.K. economy continued to flatline in July on a month-on-month basis, flash figures published from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday. Britain's economic growth was up 0.5% in the three month to July, slightly below economist expectations and the 0.6% recorded in the second quarter ending in June. The U.K. economy had recorded modest but steady expansion almost every month so far this year, having emerged from a shallow recession at the start of the year. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves said the print left her "under no illusion" of the challenges faced by the U.K. economy. But she added that further movement in interest rates anticipated from the Bank of England could help ease wider growth pressures.
Persons: Liz McKeown, Keir Starmer's, Rachel Reeves, Reeves, Jeremy Hunt, Lindsay James, James Organizations: Office, National Statistics, Gross, Reuters, Labour, Conservative, Quilter Investors, Treasury, Bank of England Locations: flatline, U.K
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Big price reportsThe U.S. consumer price index for August comes out later today, while the producer price index, which measures prices at the wholesale level, will be released a day later. They're the last major economic data the Federal Reserve will receive — and hence influence its decision on the size of cuts — before its meeting next week. Separately, JPMorgan shares fell 5.19% after the bank's president Daniel Pinto lowered expectations for next year's net interest income.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, stagflation, Daniel Pinto Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Continental, BMW, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, U.S, Apple Intelligence Apple Locations: Basel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB likely to reduce rates this month — but no further cuts expected in 2024, economist saysCyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, discusses the outlook for Germany’s economy and looks ahead to the European Central Bank’s forthcoming meeting.
Persons: Cyrus de la Rubia Organizations: ECB, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Central Locations: Hamburg
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. Traders are widely anticipating an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting, as well as at the ECB's meeting this week. "The rate cut this Thursday should be largely uncontroversial," Holger Schmieding, the chief economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC in an email to clients. In July, the ECB left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote following June's landmark cut. The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, Joachim Nagel, Anatoli Annenkov, what's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, FRANKFURT, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Berenberg Bank, CNBC, ECB Council, , Bank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Société, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Investors haven't become super pessimistic on stocks since the recent volatility bout began. Specifically, the firm's Crowd Sentiment Poll — a gauge for intermediate market sentiment — shows excessive optimism among investors after dipping to neutral last month. NDR's nearer-term daily trading composite, meanwhile, points to more neutral sentiment. Wall Street is also anxiously looking ahead to the U.S. presidential election in November. So bottom line: It may take another bout of selling to shake out the weak bullish investors and restart the long-term trend.
Persons: Ned Davis, London Stockton, Goldman Sachs downgrades, Morgan Stanley, Richard Ramsden Organizations: Ned Davis Research, London, Reserve, U.S Locations: NDR's
Read previewJensen Huang faces a monumental task as he takes center stage at a Goldman Sachs event on Wednesday: getting AI investors to stop panicking. However, there are signs suggesting that investors are getting pretty angsty over the future of Nvidia and AI more broadly. The markets are in a panic over AINvidia has been a powerhouse at the center of the generative AI boom. First, Nvidia's 122% year-on-year revenue growth in the last quarter was smaller than the 262% growth it recorded in the previous quarter. "I do not believe that Jensen is able to say anything that will quell investors' nerves," he said.
Persons: , Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, Chris Beauchamp, Jeff Chiu, Beauchamp, Bernstein, Emma Cosgrove, Huang, Blackwell, Alvin Nguyen, Forrester, Jensen Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Technology Conference, Business, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Santa, Big Tech, Blackwell Locations: San Francisco, Santa Clara
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. and Europe trade tensions with China are here to stay no matter who wins the U.S. election: UBPCarlos Casanova, senior economist for Asia at the private bank, discusses the "shifting landscape" in trade.
Persons: UBP Carlos Casanova Organizations: U.S Locations: Europe, China, Asia
Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" fame said he's unfazed by the weakness in bank stocks as well as any uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next easing cycle. To Eisman, there's nothing to worry about. Eisman shot to fame by shorting collateralized debt obligations to profit from the demise of subprime mortgage loans before the 2008 financial crisis. Wednesday's data showed the consumer price index , a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, increased 0.2% in August , in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The economy Concerns about lower-income consumers have also increased recently, but Eisman said they are not indicative of a systemic issue endangering the wider economy.
Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Neuberger Berman, shorting, Michael Lewis's, Eisman, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, Ally Financial, Dollar Locations: U.S
6:59 a.m.: Citi raises AT & T price target A wave of improving outlook for telecommunications could benefit shares of AT & T , according to Citi. The firm upgraded the telecommunications company to neutral from sell and left its $350 per share price target unchanged. "Although our 2028 EPS is still c16% ahead of consensus, we now see less scope for earnings outperformance 2024/2025," the analyst added. The firm upgraded the home furnishings stock to buy from hold and increased its price target to $156 per share to $148. His price target of $105, down from $122, implies upside of just 8.7% from Tuesday's close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Michael Rollins, Rollins, — Brian Evans, Graham Parry, Parry, Sonoma Jefferies, William, Jonathan Matuszewski, Matuszewski, Brian Evans, Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley, Richard Ramsden, Ramsden, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Williams, Citi, AT, JV, Apple, Communications Citi, Communications, Charter Communications, Bank of America downgrades Novartis Bank of America, Novartis, William, Elm, Brands, WSM, Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley Investors Locations: U.S, Sonoma, Swiss, William, Tuesday's
CNBCWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway offloaded another chunk of Bank of America shares, bringing its total sales to more than $7 billion since mid-July and reducing its stake to 11%. The latest action extended Berkshire's selling streak to 12 consecutive sessions, matching the 12 consecutive sessions from July 17 to Aug. 1. Berkshire has sold more than 174.7 million shares of the Charlotte-based bank for $7.2 billion, with 858.2 million shares remaining, or 11.1% of shares outstanding. BofA CEO Brian Moynihan made a rare comment about Berkshire's sales Tuesday, saying he has no knowledge of Buffett's motivation for selling. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Bank of America
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, BofA, Moynihan, Buffett Buffett, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Berkshire, CNBC Warren, of America, Apple, American Express, Oracle, Barclays Global Financial Services, Bank of America Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, Berkshire, Charlotte, BofA
But what appeared to garner a lot more attention was the 0.3% monthly rise of the core CPI gauge, which excludes food and energy. The higher-than-expected rise in core inflation will likely cause central bank officials to proceed more carefully when deciding whether to cut interest rates and by how much. On Tuesday, traders were pricing in a 34% chance the Fed would cut rates by a half point. But after the CPI data was released Wednesday morning, traders priced in a 15% chance that would happen. Wednesday’s market moves are a stark contrast to Monday’s, when the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closed 1.2% higher.
Persons: clamoring, Dow Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq Locations: New York
Core inflation rose 0.3% in August, slightly above economists' expectations. Meanwhile, investors dashed their hopes for a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed next week. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as investors took in last month's inflation report, which showed an unexpected increase in the monthly core consumer price index. Bond yields rose as traders readjusted expectations for a jumbo rate hike of 50 basis points at next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. AdvertisementThe surprise increase led investors to almost completely discount the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting.
Persons: , Josh Jamner, Jack McIntyre Organizations: Fed, Service, Dow Jones, ClearBridge Investments, Brandywine Global Locations: Here's
Citi Private Bank: Caution ahead of election
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti Private Bank: Caution ahead of electionToby Gresham, Investment Counselor Team Lead at Citi Private Bank, gives his take on Trump-Harris presidential debate, giving a word of caution against positioning ahead of the election. He also predicts an EPS tailwind in the year ahead, with potential issues regarding labor supply.
Persons: Toby Gresham Organizations: Citi Private Bank, Trump
Novo Nordisk's American rival, Eli Lilly, has also been testing obesity-beating drugs for children as young as six. Wegovy and similar drugs for weight loss have become a huge business. The drugs' success has made Novo Nordisk the most valuable company in Europe. AdvertisementChildhood obesityAn FDA approval on weight loss drugs for children could open up a new market for Novo Nordisk. In June, US Sen. Bernie Sanders announced that Novo Nordisk CEO Lars Jørgensen would testify before the committee on September 24 at a hearing focusing on the prices that Novo Nordisk charges Americans for their drugs, Ozempic and Wegovy.
Persons: , Saxenda, Novo, Claudia Fox, Eli Lilly, Goldman Sachs, Wegovy, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Lars Jørgensen, Sanders Organizations: Service, BMI, Business, FDA, Financial Times, Novo Nordisk, Centers for Disease Locations: Madrid, Europe
A debate with bad blood
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
When discussing immigration, Harris took a shot at Trump's rallies, saying that people leave them early " out of exhaustion and boredom ." Trump responded with his own attack about Harris' rallies, but his demeanor also took a noticeable turn for the remainder of the debate. And while the two candidates basically don't agree on anything, Harris took one page out of Trump's book. The vice president had some noticeable facial expressions during the debate , something the former president has been known for. The Harris campaign said following the debate the vice president would participate in another one in October .
Persons: , we're, Saul Loeb, Kevin Dietsch, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Jon Stewart, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Roe, Wade, Elon Musk, Taylor Swift, Walz, Alex Brandon, Rebecca Zisser, Jamie Dimon's, Goldman Sachs, greenlights, Dan Ives, Ives, Brooks Kraft, Apple, Millennials, TikTok doesn't, Antony Blinken, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Megan Thee, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, White, JPMorgan, Apple, Brooks, Brooks Kraft LLC, Getty, YouTube, EV, UK Foreign, MTV, MTV . Locations: , Ukraine, New York, London
In this article AMZN Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTWorkers stock shelves at an Amazon Fresh grocery store in Seattle, Washington, US, on Thursday, May 2, 2024. As part of the Fresh store redesign, Amazon created a more colorful layout and added Krispy Kreme donut and coffee stalls. "We like the early results a lot," Jassy said on the company's first-quarter earnings call in April, referring to the revamped Fresh stores. Amazon declined to comment on the status of the Fresh stores that remain unopened. "You walk into the Amazon Fresh store in Roseville and it feels like you're in a stainless steel wine cellar," Thill said.
Persons: David Ryder, Joe Knowles, Bensalem, it's, Andy Jassy's, Jassy, CNBC it's, It's, Ted Weill, AlbaneseCormier, Weill, they've, Brent Thill, Thill Organizations: Amazon, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Foods, Walmart, Jefferies, Anadolu, Mart, Shoppers, Aldi, Rancho Mirage Locations: Seattle , Washington, US, Philadelphia, Bensalem , Pennsylvania, California , Illinois, Maryland , New Jersey, Virginia, Illinois, California, Amazon's, U.S, Woodland, Los Angeles, San Mateo , California, United States, Pennsylvania , New Jersey , New York , Florida, Washington, Florida, Mirage , California, Palm Springs, Italian, Sacramento, Roseville, Amazon
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was nearly 2 basis points lower at 3.625%, with the 2-year Treasury yield down 2 basis points at 3.586%. Treasury yields dipped on Wednesday as investors awaited the release of U.S. inflation data for clues on the size of a potential interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week. The reports come ahead of the Fed's Sept 17-18 meeting, with traders widely expecting a rate cut. Others have described such a move as one that would be "very dangerous" for markets, pushing instead for the Fed to deliver a quarter-point rate cut instead. Traders are currently pricing in a 67% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut, with 33% expecting a 50-basis-point rate reduction, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: U.S
Why are September and October historically weak for stocks? It is a byproduct of an old weakness in the U.S. financial system. The limited ability of the government to react was the primary impetus for the passage of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. Yes, and if one compares the frequency, intensity and misery of financial panics during the 1800s, this is plainly evident. But, by and large, the U.S. financial system has been much more stable since the Federal Reserve became operational in late 1914.
Persons: Mark Higgins, Morgan Organizations: Fund, Federal, Fed, U.S, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, New York, New York City, United States
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley to neutral from buy Goldman said it sees better value elsewhere than Morgan Stanley. Goldman Sachs upgrades Evercore to buy from neutral Goldman said the investment banking firm is "best in class." JPMorgan reiterates Nvidia as overweight JPMorgan said stocks such as Nvidia are "strong beneficiaries in the emerging AI arms race." Morgan Stanley reiterates Arm as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the semiconductor chip company. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on shares of Apple.
Persons: Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Rosenblatt, Canaan, Jefferies, Williams, Guggenheim, it's, orals, it's bullish, Bernstein, Robinhood, Wells, Shopify, Truist, Wolfe Organizations: NASDAQ, JPMorgan, Viking Therapeutics, Citi, Apollo Global Citi, APO, U.S, " Bank of America, Novartis, Bank of America, Nvidia, Apple, Spotify, Disney, AES, ~$ Locations: Canaan, Williams, Sonoma, 2030E
But while mortgage rates are one piece of the housing crisis puzzle, don't expect mortgage-rate relief to fix the locked-up housing market, according to Zillow's Chief Economist Skylar Olsen. In fact, she thinks falling mortgage rates could have a long-term effect of locking up the housing market even more. If more people are able to afford houses but existing owners aren't selling, then the housing market will remain frozen. As a result, mortgage rate relief might temporarily open up the housing market, but any relief is likely to be short-lived. Until then, don't bank on lower mortgage rates to unlock the housing market.
Persons: , Skylar Olsen, Olsen, Freddie Mac Organizations: Service, Business, Olsen Locations: Jackson, skyrocketing
Commerzbank shares jumped on market open on Wednesday, after Italian bank UniCredit acquired a 4.5% stake in the Frankfurt-based lender from the German government. Commerzbank stock was up 17.5% at 9:37 a.m. London time. The stake acquisition marks the first step in Berlin's exit from its position in the German lender. The German government said it had sold around 53.1 million shares — or a roughly 4.49% tranche out of its 16.49% total shareholding — in Commerzbank for roughly 702 million euros ($775 million) to UniCredit. Also on Wednesday, the German lender said Commerzbank chief Manfred Knof will fulfil but not seek to renew his term after the end of his contract in December 2025.
Persons: Commerzbank, Eva Grunwald, UniCredit, Manfred Knof Organizations: UniCredit, Bank, CNBC Locations: Frankfurt, London, Commerzbank, Berlin, Milan
The table below lists 11 stocks that analysts give over 100% upside potential in their local currency over the next 12 months. Investors should note that these stocks are exposed to foreign exchange fluctuations. Although the company has a primary listing on the Toronto stock exchange, the stock is also traded on U.S. stock exchanges . Valneva France-based Valneva has the second-biggest consensus upside potential on the list, at 213%. Stifel's price target of 9 euros ($9.94) a share indicates a 201% upside potential.
Persons: Desjardins, Frederic Tremblay, Canaccord, Katie Lachapelle, Meaghan, Valneva, Lyme, Christian Glennie, Evan Wang Organizations: CNBC Pro, Battery Metals, Valneva, Pfizer, Analysts, Guggenheim Securities Locations: U.S, Toronto, James Bay, Valneva France, Paris
I'm the managing director and head of the Merrill Center for Family Wealth. But often, they aren't sure what success means to those people, perhaps because family members feel uncomfortable talking about it. How can I build my own personal identity, both within and outside the family wealth? Many rising generation members are concerned about how to carve out a path for themselves. When rising generation members interact with friends and colleagues, it can lead to uncomfortable questions about wealth and privilege.
Persons: , Valerie Galinskaya, we've, I've, We've Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, Merrill Center, Family Wealth Locations: New York City, San Francisco
Trump Media & Technology – Shares slid more than 11% in the wake of the debate between Republican nominee Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris . Dave & Buster's – The entertainment stock popped more than 13% after topping earnings estimates for the recent quarter by 15 cents a share. GameStop – The video game retailer's shares plunged more than 10% in premarket trading after the company reported a steep decline in sales. GameStop also announced an "at-the-market" stock offering of up to 20 million shares. Morgan Stanley – Shares of the major bank were down more than 1% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Rentokil, Rollins, Dave, Buster's, Jefferies, Stocks, Coinbase, MicroStrategy, MARA, Morgan Stanley –, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, , Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel, Michelle Fox Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, Democratic, Trump Media, GameStop, Williams, Sonoma, Jefferies, Novartis – U.S, Bank of America, Novartis, Viking Therapeutics, JPMorgan, MARA Holdings Locations: North America, Swiss, Japan
Total: 25