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Gold ticks lower but holds near key $2,700 level
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Argor Heraeus SA-branded one kilogram gold bars are arranged for a photograph at the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society in Hong Kong, China. Gold prices eased on Friday but hovered around the $2,700 level, as traders assessed the impact of Donald Trump's presidency and its implications for the U.S. interest rate outlook. Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,697.19 per ounce as of 0251 GMT and was headed for a weekly loss. Gold prices are marginally pressured due to the market's uncertainty over U.S. political and policy developments, said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com. Spot silver fell 0.8% to $31.75 per ounce, platinum fell 0.2% to $994.80 and palladium shed 0.21% to $1,022.36.
Persons: Argor, Donald Trump's, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Brian Lan Organizations: Argor Heraeus, Silver Exchange Society, U.S, Federal Reserve, GoldSilver, Gold Locations: Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Beijing
The rate dropped by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. The Fed began cutting rates in September to help boost the economy as inflation cools and the job market softens. In a September speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that another 25-bps cut could happen before 2025 if current economic trends hold steady. Below is a breakdown of how the recent rate cuts could impact your monthly borrowing costs. The breakdown includes today's 25-bps cut and the cumulative 75-bps reduction since the Fed began cutting rates in September, as estimated by Bankrate.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Bankrate, today's, Equity Lines
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email25 bps hike is 'almost a certainty' in November Fed meeting, says former Atlanta Fed presidentDennis Lockhart, former Atlanta Fed president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how Powell will handle questions around the incoming administration, what data could move the Fed from a 25 bps cut, and much more.
Persons: Dennis Lockhart, Powell Organizations: Fed, Atlanta Fed
Fed is going to cut by 25 bps, says PIMCO's Richard Clarida
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed is going to cut by 25 bps, says PIMCO's Richard ClaridaRichard Clarida, PIMCO global economic advisor, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed's decision tomorrow and Trump's second-term election.
Persons: PIMCO's Richard Clarida Richard Clarida Organizations: Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt would be surprising if Fed doesn't cut by 25 bps at next meeting: Former Fed vice chairRoger Ferguson, former Fed vice chair, and Richard Fisher, Dallas' former Fed president discuss the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision.
Persons: Roger Ferguson, Richard Fisher, Dallas Organizations: Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed wants to show it is on top of the markets and will deliver 2 more rate cuts in 2025: NomuraGareth Nicholson of Nomura says that the the U.S. Fed cutting interest rates by 25 bps in the November and December 2024 meetings is a stable decision, and also signals that the Fed is "100% independent" and in control regardless of the results of the Presidential elections.
Persons: Nomura Gareth Nicholson, Nomura Organizations: U.S, Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Cleveland Fed Pres. Mester: Seems pretty straightforward to cut another 25 bpsFormer Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the October jobs report, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Loretta Mester Organizations: Former Cleveland Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan's Michael Feroli expects two 25 bps cuts through year-endMichael Feroli, JPMorgan chief U.S. economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the disappointing jobs report and the economy.
Persons: Michael Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan
The yen touched a three-month low on Monday as Japan's ruling coalition lost its parliamentary majority and investors figured that would likely slow future interest rate hikes, while the dollar headed for a monthly gain on rising U.S. yields. On the dollar, the yen hit its weakest since late July at 153.3 in early-morning trade and it touched the same milestone at 165.36 to the euro . That was down from the 279 seats they held previously and marked the coalition's worst result since it briefly lost power in 2009. The U.S. dollar index has climbed 3.6% during October, its sharpest monthly rise since April 2022. The New Zealand dollar traded near a three-month low of $0.5974, down nearly 6% for the month.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Donald Trump, Sterling Organizations: Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party, NHK, Bank of Japan, Nomura, U.S, gilts, Australian, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S, Europe, Australia, China
Dollar steady at August high on U.S. rates view, election
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to interest rate cuts, while a close battle in the upcoming U.S. election kept investors on edge. The U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to interest rate cuts, while a close battle in the upcoming U.S. election kept investors on edge. Four Federal Reserve policymakers expressed support on Monday for further rate cuts, but appeared to differ on how fast or far they believe any cuts should go. With the U.S. election just two weeks away, the rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov. 5 election are boosting the dollar, since his proposed tariff and tax policies are seen as likely to keep U.S. interest rates high. The yen on Tuesday was at 150.57 per dollar, hovering close to the two-and-half-month low of 150.88.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Harris, Komeito Organizations: U.S, Reserve, Fed ., Federal, Traders, Fed, Trump, PineBridge Investments, Liberal Democratic Party Locations: U.S, Treasuries
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which took effect in the beginning of 2018, overhauled the federal tax code. It roughly doubled the standard deduction, adjusted individual income tax brackets , lowered most of the rates and applied a $10,000 cap on the state and local tax deduction. Mutual funds tend to have higher turnover – that is, buying and selling of underlying securities – and by law they must distribute capital gains. Meanwhile, income from Treasurys are subject to federal income tax, but exempt from state and local tax. Seek tax-efficient opportunities for your holdings Take a look at your portfolio and see whether there are opportunities for tax-advantaged yield, Woodard said.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, MLPA Organizations: Bank of America, Mutual, Bloomberg, ETF, SEC, Muni, MLP & Energy Infrastructure, Global, MLP, MLPX, & $ Locations: U.S
Here are five of Morgan Stanley's 10 highest conviction plays, which the firm sees near-term catalysts driving "a meaningful move" upward. Morgan Stanley sees a positive set up for Eaton and is forecasting beats on all key performance indicators, including Americas organic growth and margins. "Our detailed organic growth build supports steady ~8% organic growth in 2025-26, roughly ~200 bps above Consensus, which drives [mid-single digit] EPS upside and argues for multiple expansion on sustained strength," he added. Eaton is set to report third-quarter earnings on Oct. 29. His price target of $100 suggests shares could rise 29% from Friday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michelle Weaver, Morgan Stanley's, Eaton, Chris Snyder, Ron Kamden, Keith Weiss, , Sarah Min Organizations: CNBC Disruptor, Microsoft Locations: Eaton, Americas, 4Q24, Friday's
Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150 per dollar
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. central bank kicked off its easing cycle with an aggressive 50 basis points at its last policy meeting in September. The dollar got a lift after Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead, citing recent economic data. That has cast doubts over when Japan's central bank will next tighten policy.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Kazuo Ueda, Shigeru Ishiba, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Traders, Boeing, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Caixin Global, Treasury, IG, China National, Congress Locations: U.S, Japan, China
However, the economy and the job market may be too strong to warrant steep rate cuts in the near term. "September's strong employment report and upward revisions in July and August murdered the hard-landing scenario," Yardeni said in a note to clients this week. The 30-year mortgage rate has crept higher, not lower, since the Fed delivered its big rate cut. As the economy reaccelerates, inflation could become a problem again, solidifying a higher for longer interest rate outlook that many had abandoned after the Fed's jumbo rate cut last month. Advertisement"With benchmark interest rates coming down, most prospective borrowers don't feel relieved of high borrowing costs," according to Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate.
Persons: , Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Megan Horneman, Steven Blitz, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Yardeni, Fed, Verdence Capital Advisors, TS Lombard, Philadelphia Fed
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Some of the biggest losing stocks in 2024 could be in for even steeper declines as investors jettison them to save on taxes, according to Morgan Stanley. Such moves, known as tax loss harvesting, helps investors trim their tax bills the next year. Boeing pressure Beleaguered aerospace company Boeing was also called out by Morgan Stanley as likely to see pressure tied to tax loss selling. Morgan Stanley also called out oil service giant Halliburton . Other names on Morgan Stanley's list include Chord Energy , Simply Good Foods and timeshare operator Hilton Grand Vacations .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michelle Weaver, Morgan, Jackson Ader, Ronald Epstein, who's, Epstein, Keith Mackey Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall, Computer, Adobe, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Bank of America, Aerospace, Defense, Halliburton, RBC Capital, HAL, Energy, Hilton Locations: Alaska, Seattle
Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.
Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy's 'very rare soft landing' points to two 25 bps cuts, says PIMCO CEO Emmanuel RomanEmmanuel Roman, PIMCO CEO, joins CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the economy, how global political situations could impact the markets, and more.
Persons: Emmanuel Roman Emmanuel Roman
Dollar on a roll after U.S. jobs data and Middle East flare-up
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank notes of the Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Japan's yen fell to its lowest in nearly two months and other major currencies too were grappling with losses early on Monday as the dollar extended a rally sparked by Friday's strong U.S. jobs data and an escalation in the Middle East conflict. But that came on top of a more than 4% decline last week, its biggest weekly percentage decline since early 2009. Yields dipped early last week when investors bought safe-haven Treasuries after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel in escalating geopolitical tensions. Market expectations have swung to the extreme for the Federal Reserve to do just a 25 bps cut in November, rather than 50 bps, following the jobs data.
Persons: Friday's, Chris Weston, haven't, Brent, underperformance, Shigeru Ishiba, Sterling, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, Treasuries, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: China, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Iran, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEvercore's Roger Altman: Hard for equities to move up materially because they're already so highRoger Altman, Evercore founder and senior chairman, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Altman's takeaway from Friday's market action, why the Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 bps, and the senior chairman's investing stance on equity markets.
Persons: Roger Altman Organizations: Evercore, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Cleveland Fed Pres. Mester on September jobs report: Consistent with another 25 bps rate cutFormer Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the September jobs report, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Mester, Loretta Mester Organizations: Former Cleveland Fed, Cleveland Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will have a series of 25 bps rate cuts going forward, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, Wharton School professor of finance, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the spate of economic data to cross the tape, what the soft landing means for stocks, and much more.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Wharton School
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Fairly high probability' of another 50 bps rate cut, says Citi's Nathan SheetsNathan Sheets, Citi global chief economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what to watch for in the September jobs report, the outlook for the Fed, and more.
Persons: Nathan Sheets Nathan Sheets Organizations: Citi, Fed
Gold touches record high on rate-cut bets, weaker U.S. dollar
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars sit in a vault at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp, in Perth, Australia, on August 9, 2018. Gold hit a record high on Wednesday, boosted by a softer U.S. dollar and hopes of more interest rate cuts, while investors looked for new signals for the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Spot gold was steady at $2,658.08 per ounce, as of 0557 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,670.43 earlier. On Tuesday, China announced a slew of support measures including outsized rate cuts, after the U.S. Fed cut rates by 50 basis points last week. Inflows to gold exchange-traded funds, particularly from Western investors, will rise in the coming months, providing further support for record-high bullion prices, analysts said.
Persons: Gold, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Wong, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, heightening Organizations: Perth Mint Refinery, Gold Corp, U.S, Fed, Asia Pacific, Traders Locations: Perth, Australia, China, Beirut
Chicago Fed president says 'many more rate cuts' may be needed
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChicago Fed president says 'many more rate cuts' may be neededCNBC's Rick Santelli joins 'The Exchange' to discuss Chicago's Fed president comments calling for more rate cuts and how the markets have responded since the recent 50 bps cut.
Persons: Rick Santelli Organizations: Chicago Fed, Chicago's
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