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Strategists are generally bullish about 2024, especially those at BMO Capital Markets. The firm sees US stocks rising by at least 11% in the second year of the bull market. Here are 16 US-based companies that BMO says stand out right now. US stocks have exceeded all expectations this year , and history says investors should prepare for an impressive encore in 2024 that includes new record highs. Double-digit market returns are in the cards again next year, according to BMO Capital Markets.
Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Business
After a year of steady, resilient growth, the US economy will finally slip into a recession in 2024. Deutsche Bank is also calling for double-digit profit growth in a weaker economic backdrop. "For 2024, the house economics view with a mild short US recession implies $250 (+10%)," Chadha wrote in reference to S&P 500 earnings. Deutsche Bank also foresees earnings growth next year. "We remain overweight the financials as well as consumer cyclicals as they are already priced for a recession and the biggest beneficiary of an eventual recovery," Chadha wrote.
Persons: That's, , Chris Grisanti, Brian Belski, Chadha, Belski, Financials, BMO's Organizations: Wall, Business, BMO Capital Markets, Deutsche Bank, MAI Capital Management, CNBC, BMO, Deutsche, Labor, Investors, Tech Locations: Chadha
The stock market is boring right now, and that is not a bad thing. There's a strong backdrop going into December. The S & P 500 was up 8.9%, its best month since July 2022, and the fourth-best November since 1950. If it doesn't seem that way, it's because the S & P has been flat for the past week and a half. There will be lots of complaints about high valuations, and the cynics will be right: The S & P is approaching 19-times 2024 earnings.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, let's Organizations: Triple Witching, Treasury, Atlanta, Wall Street, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Capital Markets, Bank of America, Barclays, Goldman, UBS Global Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, JPMorgan, Dow, Revenue Locations: Wells Fargo
BMO’s Brian Belski makes big moves in his portfolio
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( )   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBMO’s Brian Belski makes big moves in his portfolioBrian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss his portfolio rebalancing, his outlook on banks, and more.
Persons: Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Doubts that debt issuance conditions will be as strong in 2024 as they are now, with markets still divided on the direction of interest rates and the economy, have also driven the interest in doing deals now. Credit spreads are underpricing recession risk, said Nate Thooft, senior portfolio manager for Manulife Investment Management. Even if companies waited for rate cuts in 2024, declines in all-in funding costs may not necessarily follow, as credit spreads could then widen, said Amol Dhargalkar, managing partner at Chatham Financial. But Natalie Trevithick, head of investment grade credit strategy at Payden & Rygel, said economic data was too strong for cuts. Some $770 billion of investment-grade rated bonds mature in 2024 and over $900 billion in both 2025 and 2026, according to data by Morgan Stanley (MS.N).
Persons: Joshua Roberts, Maureen O'Connor, Edward Marrinan, Nate Thooft, Amol Dhargalkar, Natalie Trevithick, Morgan Stanley, Steven Oh, Matt Tracy, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Davide Barbuscia, Barbara Lewis Organizations: Federal Reserve, REUTERS, ICE, BMO Capital Markets, Investment, Informa Global, Treasury, Federal, Nikko Securities America, Manulife Investment Management, Chatham Financial, Deutsche Bank, PineBridge Investments, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Wells, U.S
We are closing out an extraordinary month: The S & P 500 is up nearly 9%, its fourth-best month in 12 years. The equal weight S & P 500 is up almost as much as the market-cap weighted S & P 500. Of the 10 major financial firms, only two (Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan) see the S & P 500 lower next year. Wall Street strategists' year-end S & P 500 estimates . That puts the S & P 500 at a very rich multiple of almost 19 times forward earnings (17x is the historic norm).
Persons: Russell, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, bullish, Brian Belski, Scott Wren, Wren, That's, JP Morgan's, Dubravko Organizations: Wall, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Capital Markets, Bank of America, Barclays, Goldman, UBS Global Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Treasury, Core PCE, Wells Fargo Institute, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Atlanta
OTTAWA, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The Canadian economy unexpectedly contracted at an annualized rate of 1.1% in the third quarter, data showed on Thursday, avoiding a recession but showing growth stumbling ahead of next week's interest-rate decision. The economy avoided slipping into a technical recession - defined as two consecutive quarter-on-quarter contractions - because second-quarter GDP data was revised up to a 1.4% gain from an initial report of a 0.2% decline, Statistics Canada said. The BoC has remained on the sidelines since July after lifting its benchmark interest rate to a 22-year high of 5% to tame inflation. "The bottom line is that the economy is still sputtering along," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group. Real GDP most likely edged up 0.2% in October after a 0.1% gain in September, Statscan said.
Persons: Doug Porter, Royce Mendes, Bipan Rai, Statscan, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Dale Smith, Divya Rajagopal, Fergal Smith, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada's, Statistics, BMO Capital Markets, Canadian, U.S ., BoC, Desjardins Group, Bank of Canada, Bank, CIBC Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canadian, Statistics Canada, North America, Ottawa, Toronto
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will 'underperform' what the market is expecting in rate cuts, says BMO's Ian LyngenIan Lyngen, BMO Capital Markets head of U.S. rates strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, Treasury yields, the Fed's inflation fight, when investors can expect rate cuts from the central bank, and more.
Persons: Ian Lyngen Ian Lyngen Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Not surprisingly, Wall Street tends to be a bullish group. Wall Street has a terrible track record All of this gets investor juices flowing. Wall Street strategists collectively have a terrible track record. As a result, you might be tempted to think you should pay no attention to Wall Street, or anybody else. If nothing else, the predictions of Wall Street strategists are a good starting point for all of us to think about the near future.
Persons: Lori Calvasina, America's Savita Subramanian, Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jeff Sommer, Sommer, Morgan Housel, I'm Organizations: Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Wall Street, of America, Barclays, UBS, Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Street, New York Times, Yardeni Research, Federal Reserve, Wall Locations: Wells Fargo, Russia, Ukraine, Israel
Citi is so bullish on one biotech firm that it has given its shares a target price that represents around 800% upside. In a Nov. 22 note, Citi gave the stock a buy rating and a price target of $90, representing potential upside of around 818% from Tuesday's price. However, the bank cautioned that the stock is high risk, given the "typical volatility" of biotech stocks and uncertainty associated with clinical trials. According to FactSet, analysts covering the stock give it average price target upside of 385% and a buy rating of 88%. On FactSet, the highest estimate came from Oppenheimer, which gives it potential upside of over 600%.
Persons: , Oppenheimer, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Citi isn't, BMO Capital Markets, BMO, P Biotech ETF, Biotech Locations: U.S
The S&P 500 currently sits around 4,550. BMO’s chief investment strategist Brian Belski has predicted that the S&P 500 will close out 2024 at a healthy 5,100. The S&P 500 has gained about 18.5% so far this year after falling nearly 20% in 2022. Despite elevated borrowing costs, three years of high inflation and increasing numbers of Americans dipping into their retirement plans, consumers continue to keep the US economy chugging. Google accounts include everything from Gmail to Docs to Drive to Photos, meaning all content sitting across an inactive user’s Google suite is at risk of erasure.
Persons: New York CNN — It’s, , Candace Browning, Browning, Goldman Sachs, Lori Calvasina, America’s Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Brian Belski, , Matt Egan, ” Michelle Meyer, Jennifer Korn, it’s, Google Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bank of America, RBC, BMO Capital Markets, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets, Bank, America’s, Federal Reserve, Mastercard Economics Institute, CNN, Adobe Analytics, Google Locations: New York
The benchmark S&P 500 will climb 12% to hit a new all-time high of 5,100, strategists said. Much of Wall Street has turned bullish on the index, which has defied gloomy predictions to rack up stellar gains this year. AdvertisementDeutsche Bank has become the latest big name on Wall Street to issue a bullish stock-market forecast for 2024, with analysts predicting the S&P 500 will soar to a fresh all-time high next year. AdvertisementWall Street bullishnessThere's clearly an optimistic atmosphere amongst stock-pickers right now, with Deutsche Bank far from the only big name on Wall Street to predict the S&P 500 could climb to record highs. Burnishing Chadha's credentials is the fact that he was one of the only Wall Street strategists who called this year's surprise stock-market rally.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, , Binky Chadha, Tesla, Société Générale, Brian Belski, Burnishing Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets, BMO Capital, Deutsche, Business, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, Facebook, Nasdaq, Dow Jones
COVID), and active funds are hugging their benchmarks," Subramanian wrote in a note about her 2024 outlook. "We're bullish not because we expect the Fed to cut, but because of what the Fed has accomplished," Subramanian wrote. BMO Capital MarketsBofA analysts are calling for slower inflation, better profit margins, and improved efficiency, Subramanian wrote. BMO is less optimistic about energy stocks since they've lagged behind oil prices in the last year. Consumer discretionary is a strong bet if interest rate hikes are over and consumers keep spending, Subramanian wrote.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Bank of America BMO's Belski, he's, boomers, BofA Organizations: Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, Business, BMO, Federal Reserve, " Bank of, Energy, BMO isn't Locations: Ukraine, Israel
Hybrid vehicle market share has picked up pace in 2023 despite all the investment pouring into EVs. From October 2022 to October of this year, total vehicle market share for hybrids grew from 6.5% to 11.4%, according to data from Edmunds. Over the same time period, EV market share growth was more sluggish, expanding from 6% to 7.5%. Toyota 's 2024 Prius, often called the "gold standard" in hybrid vehicles, was named MotorTrend's car of the year. The uptick in hybrid sales won't likely spell doom and gloom for the EV market over the long-term.
Persons: Stephanie Valdez Streaty, Valdez Streaty, Edmunds, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Mark Delaney, David Christ, Honda, Michelle Krebs, Sienna, Krebbs, Ford, Dan Levy, Levy, EVs, headwinds, BEV, Tom Narayan Organizations: Cox Automotive, Ford, General Motors, Wall, Toyota, ICE, EV, Toyota Motor's, Wall Street, Los Angeles Auto, FactSet, Tesla, Barclays, GM, Biden, U.S, BMO Capital Locations: Edmunds, U.S
In a market outlook report, BMO Chief Investment Strategist Brian Belski and his team projected the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) would end 2024 at 5,100, nearly 12% above Friday's closing level. Investors have various definitions of a bull market, although one common definition requires the S&P 500 to reach a new all-time high to confirm a bull market. Separately on Monday, strategists at Deutsche Bank also forecast the S&P 500 would end 2024 at 5,100. BMO sees S&P 500 earnings rising about 13.6% in 2024, a "significant rebound" from this year. "We also believe that volatility is likely to subside as macro-environment resiliency continues to surprise alongside falling inflation," the BMO strategists said.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Brian Belski, Lewis Krauskopf, Will Dunham Organizations: REUTERS, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Chief, BMO, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S
The stock market rally will diversify next year amid a broader, "normal for longer" trend, according to BMO Capital Markets. Chief investment strategist Brian Belski set his 2024 base case target of 5,100 for the S & P 500, which implies an almost 12% rally from Friday's close. In other words, normal and typical," Belski wrote in a Monday note. But that does not make it normal or typical," Belski added. One market trend that will notably improve next year is the percentage of stocks outperforming the broader index, Belski added.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, , — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Bank of Montreal Locations: Friday's
Many retailers are bracing for a bleak holiday shopping season. AdvertisementShoppers are finally feeling the weight of inflation and many retailers are bracing for a bleak holiday season . The trade association said this year's outlook has returned to pre-pandemic levels, with an average annual holiday increase of 3.6% from 2010 to 2019. AdvertisementAnalysts say the positive same-store sales from quarter to quarter suggest that the off-price retailers are gaining market share. TJX stores, which include TJ Maxx and Marshalls, have become increasingly valuable for brands to supply to.
Persons: , Rebecca Duval, Nordstrom, Ross, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, TJ, Simeon Siegel Organizations: Service, National Retail Federation, Fashion, Department, Nordstrom, TJX Companies, Burlington, Analysts, Yahoo Finance, TJ Maxx, Marshalls, BMO Capital Markets Locations: Ross, Burlington
BMO's Simeon Siegel weighs in on retailers' holiday expectations
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( )   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBMO's Simeon Siegel weighs in on retailers' holiday expectationsSimeon Siegel, BMO capital markets senior analyst, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the winners and losers in the holiday retail season.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel, Simeon Siegel Organizations: BMO
Several analysts hiked their price targets for the stock to show they expect greater upside ahead after the latest financials. Below, CNBC Pro compiled a list of major investment firms that raised their price targets following the Nvidia report, along with their key conclusions: Goldman Sachs Analyst Toshiya Hari raised the price target by $20 to $625. Morgan Stanley Analyst Joseph Moore added $3 to his price target, bringing it to $603. BMO Capital Markets Like JPMorgan, BMO analyst Ambrish Srivastava hiked his target price by $50 to $650. Bernstein Analyst Stacy Rasgon increased his target price by $25 to $700, equating to 40% upside over the coming year.
Persons: Jensen Huang, chalked, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Harlan Sur, Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Aaron Rakers, Vivek Arya, Timothy Arcuri, NVDA, Ambrish Srivastava, Grace Hopper, Ruben Roy, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Vijay Rakesh yanked, 2024E, INTC's, William Stein, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC Pro, Center, Foundry Service, JPMorgan, NVIDIA, " Bank of America, NVDA, UBS, BMO, Markets, AMD Locations: China, Tuesday's, CY24, CY25
The Canadian central bank expects that the economy will avoid a recession, and last month forecast growth of 0.8% for both the third and fourth quarters. Since then, preliminary data has indicted a shallow economic contraction for a second straight quarter in the third quarter. Analysts say that if U.S. activity slows, then the Canadian economy could shrink in the current quarter as well. BMO projects that U.S. growth will slow to 0.9% in the fourth quarter and that Canada's economy will shrink 1%. The potential for further weakening in the Canadian economy is already evident in money markets.
Persons: Chris Helgren, Karl Schamotta, Sal Guatieri, Stephen Brown, Brown, Fergal Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Roberts Bank, REUTERS, Rights TORONTO, Bank of, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, BMO, North, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Delta, British Columbia, Canada, United States, Bank of Canada, Canadian, U.S, sniffles, North America
Investors should stick with quality stocks against a lackluster macroeconomic growth outlook, according to Goldman Sachs. "Despite our economists' optimistic US economic growth outlook, it seems likely that investor economic uncertainty will generally remain elevated next year," Kostin said. Here's a look at some of the quality stocks that made the Goldman list. SHW YTD mountain Sherwin-Williams stock. Kostin noted that growth stocks "typically outperform given stable economic growth and interest rates," while cyclicals "represent attractive tactical investments if economic data surprise to the upside relative to consensus expectations."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Sam Altman, Altman, Sherwin, Williams, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Microsoft, BMO Capital Locations: U.S
Analysts attended earnings calls in the third quarter armed with questions for healthcare and consumer companies about the potential effect on their sales from the growing popularity of these drugs, known as GLP-1 agonists. A Reuters analysis of earnings transcripts for the third quarter showed "GLP-1" or alternatives like "obesity" or "weight-loss medications" were mentioned 256 times across 29 U.S. and European healthcare and consumer companies. That's more than double the mentions for the second quarter, when those phrases came up 127 times. While some consumer companies have talked about factors such as fewer calories being consumed, "these kind of large extrapolations" seem to be a bit of a stretch, said BMO Capital analyst Evan Seigerman. For big pharma manufacturers like Pfizer (PFE.N) and Amgen (AMGN.O), analyst questions were aimed at their obesity drug candidates.
Persons: Lilly, George Frey, Jeff Jonas, it's, Eli Lilly's, John Furner, Mondelez, Eli Lilly, Evan Seigerman, LVMH, Rajesh Kumar, Jonas, Bhanvi Satija, Savyata Mishra, Arpan Varghese, David Gaffen, Shounak Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Pharmacy, REUTERS, Gabelli, Novo, Walmart, Walmart U.S, Hershey, Truist Securities, Krispy, BMO Capital, Danish, pharma, Pfizer, Devices, HSBC, Thomson Locations: Provo , Utah, U.S, United States, Novo, Bengaluru
Makers of medical devices were prepared for doom and gloom following a study of obesity drugs and cardiovascular health—but the bearish scenario hasn’t panned out. Photo: Catherine Ivill/Getty ImagesThere is a bit of cognitive dissonance in healthcare investing right now. After reviewing the highly anticipated results from a study of Novo Nordisk’s blockbuster obesity treatment Wegovy released over the weekend, cardiologists at a major medical meeting and the pharma crowd on Wall Street were broadly upbeat. “Today’s confirmatory results lay the groundwork for the coming paradigm shift of metabolic treatment,” gushed Evan Seigerman, an analyst at BMO Capital Markets.
Persons: Catherine Ivill, Novo, Wegovy, ” gushed Evan Seigerman Organizations: pharma, BMO Capital Markets
Will gym stocks be hurt by an "Ozempic effect" similar to the blow that has rocked the medical device and food sector? Stock in Planet Fitness has slipped more than 16% from the start of the year, while Life Time has added roughly 20%. Planet Fitness sunk to a 52-week low in September after the company's board ousted Chris Rondeau as chief executive officer . PLNT YTD mountain Planet Fitness stock. At Life Time, anti-obesity medication is being incorporated into the weight loss programs it offers to members.
Persons: Simeon Siegel, it's, Jefferies, Chris Rondeau, Bahram Akradi, Warren Cheng, PLNT, Cheng, Jeff Zwiefel, Alexander Perry's, Perry, Curtis Harman, Harman, It's, Piper Sandler, Korinne Wolfmeyer, Wolfmeyer Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, ISI, Bank of America, GLP, Wellness, CNBC, Holdings, Nordisk's Ozempic
Cooler-than-expected inflation data could push stocks higher, especially those that benefit the most from a decline in the cost of money. MGM stock has added more than 21% from the start of the year, while Caesars has climbed about 11%. Elsewhere, Solar Battery company SunRun also made the cut, and average analysts polled by FactSet/Refinitiv implies nearly 89% upside moving forward. Shares have pulled back more than 52% from the start of the year as higher interest rates pressure the overall solar sector . RUN YTD mountain SunRun stock.
Persons: Russell, SunRun Organizations: Labor Department, CPI, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Treasury, MGM International, Caesars Entertainment, MGM, Caesars, Las, Solar Battery, FactSet, BMO Capital Markets, Dish Network, AES Corporation Locations: Las Vegas
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