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Price growth ticked higher in October as voters began casting ballots in a presidential election in which economic concerns played a big role. The consumer price index climbed to 2.6% last month since the same time last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Stock futures turned higher, while traders bid up the price of government bonds. All-important shelter costs rose 0.4% from September to October, accounting for over half the monthly gains, the BLS said. Over the past four years, consumer prices have cumulatively increased about 20%, with the costs of many other goods and services rising even faster.
Persons: That's, Joe Biden’s, ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, ” Voters, White House, Trump, Investors, Adobe, National Retail Federation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Citi Locations:
Housing-related inflation accounted for half of the monthly rise, and energy prices were flat after dragging down the overall index for four of the past six months. The Consumer Price Index measures price changes across commonly purchased goods and services. Still, October’s increase was to be expected, due to unfavorable comparisons from a year ago and stubborn housing-related inflation. Consensus estimates were for a 0.2% monthly increase and a 2.6% annual increase in the overall CPI, according to FactSet. A potential ‘inflation shock’ in the wingsAlthough the broader US economy survived the sharpest inflation run-up seen in a generation, Americans’ finances — and their sentiment — were far from unscathed.
Persons: , ” Stephen Juneau, Donald Trump, Larry Summers, Kate Bolduan, Trump’s, Lindsay Rosner, Jerome Powell Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ., Bank of America, BLS, , Trump, Biden, CNN News Central, Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Locations: Ukraine
The core CPI accelerated 0.3% for the month and was at 3.3% annually, also meeting forecasts. The consumer price index , which measures costs across a spectrum of goods and services, increased 0.2% for the month. That took the 12-month inflation rate to 2.6%, up 0.2 percentage point from September. Inflation perked up in October though pretty much in line with Wall Street expectations, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Energy costs, which had been declining in recent months, were flat in October while the food index increased 0.2%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Trump, Ellen Zentner Organizations: Dow, of Labor Statistics, Stock, Federal Reserve, Energy, BLS, White, CPI, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
While the Federal Reserve is still concerned about inflation, "we're seeing these signs of weakness in the labor market," Scanlon said. "This suggests that the labor market remains firm despite signs of weakening," J.P. Morgan noted. 'What the bond market is telling us'The stock market rallied after the presidential election results. That's what the bond market is telling us." Depending on what policies are enacted under Trump's second term, the inflation problem might get worse, experts say.
Persons: Brett House, Scanlon, There's, Mark Hamrick, J.P, Morgan, Hamrick, Trump Organizations: Columbia Business School, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Trump Locations: U.S, China
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Wednesday afternoon. "Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. AdvertisementWhat are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
More than 750 job seekers shared their frustrations trying to find work recently. AdvertisementMore than 750 Americans between the ages of 18 and 76 who have recently struggled to find work shared their experiences with Business Insider. Through emails and an online form, readers shared stories of fierce competition for white-collar roles and lower-paying gigs alike. Over three dozen respondents said they pulled from their 401(k) or IRAs to stay afloat. Meanwhile, some executives with 30 years of experience said their credentials may have prevented them from getting interviews for lower-paying white-collar roles.
Persons: , Zers, millennials, Scott Fite, he'll, Fritz Boyle, he's, hasn't, Boyle, haven't, Aaron Terrazas, they're, Chris Jorgensen, it's, Stephanie Allen, they've, Sean Tetpon, Tetpon, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, SNAP, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, didn't, IBM, University of Idaho Locations: Americas, Pennsylvania, Portland , Oregon, Utah, Maryland
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 for the month, down sharply from September and below the Dow Jones estimate for 100,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. In what had already been expected to be a downbeat report, October posted the smallest gain since December 2020. A broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons also was unchanged at 7.7%. In the report narrative, the BLS noted that the Boeing strike likely subtracted 44,000 jobs in the manufacturing sector, which lost 46,000 positions overall. The meager jobs numbers along with wages about in line with expectations help cement another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Republican, Bright MLS Locations: U.S
Expect the unexpected in the jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
The US economy added just 12,000 jobs in October, way under the forecast of 106,000. Labor market watchers expected cooler job growth than September's, partly because of recent hurricanes and strikes. AdvertisementThe US economy added just 12,000 jobs in October, falling way short of the forecast of 106,000. AdvertisementThe mixed results in the jobs report could complicate the Fed's interest rate plans into next year. The new jobs report is the last US employment report before the presidential election on November 5.
Persons: , Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Milton, Lydia Boussour, NORC, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Labor, Service, Hurricanes, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Statistics, Boeing, Reserve, AP Locations: Hurricane, United States
Expect the unexpected in Friday’s jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
But they may ditch their argument Friday morning, when the October jobs report is set to be released — just days before Election Day. Groshen disagreed, saying that initial estimates of the monthly change in hiring are “noisier than they used to be” because of the lower response. However, that gets smoothed out in later revisions as response rates improve with the additional time. That exacerbates the funding shortfall at the BLS, where inflation-adjusted funding has steadily declined over the past decade, she said. That would help improve, for instance, Federal Reserve officials’ ability to make interest rate decisions that hinge on the latest labor market data, Groshen told CNN.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Republican Sen, Marco Rubio, , Harris, ” Rubio, Rubio, Erica Groshen, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Kamala Harris “, Laura Kelter, Groshen, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Hurricanes, Republican, Biden, Trump, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Department of Labor, Census Bureau, Management, CNN, Biden Administration, Employment, Federal Locations: New York, Florida, America
ADP said it was the best month for job creation since July 2023. “Even amid hurricane recovery, job growth was strong in October,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said. Job creation was strongly concentrated in companies with 500 or more employees, which added 140,000 of the total. The ADP report traditionally tees up the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Services. The BLS report showed private job gains of 223,000 in September and 254,000 total payrolls growth.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, Helene, Milton — Organizations: North Carolina, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, Bureau of Labor Services, ADP, BLS Locations: U.S, Florida, North
September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.
Persons: September's, , Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI
The first burst on Tuesday — a critical read on activity within the jobs market — showed that the once too-tight labor market is starting to look more like its pre-pandemic days. Economists were expecting the number of job openings to land at around 7.9 million, declining from the prior month’s initial estimate of 8.04 million, according to FactSet estimates. The decline in job openings reflects a labor market that has slowed back to a pre-pandemic pace after experiencing years of blockbuster growth. “Decreasing or subdued job openings, quits and hiring rates last month all point to a cooler labor market compared to one year ago,” Elizabeth Renter, senior economist for NerdWallet, wrote in commentary issued Tuesday. It’s also likely the last clean piece of labor market data: The ongoing Boeing strike and Hurricanes Helene and Milton are expected to heavily distort jobs data starting with the month of October.
Persons: ” Elizabeth Renter, NerdWallet, aren’t, It’s, Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, “ Employers, Labor, Boeing, Hurricanes
CNN —Striking workers will take at least a 44,000-job bite out of the October jobs report, according to new data released Friday. That’s the biggest monthly employment knock in a year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest strike report. “So, our forecast is for a 120,000 increase in total employment, which is fine on its own. A little over two weeks ago, as the Southeast was reeling from the destruction laid by Hurricane Helene, Florida was bracing for even worse from the monstrous Hurricane Milton. The BLS’ reference period for the jobs report is the pay period that includes the 12th of the month.
Persons: what’s, ” Joe Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Milton, Helene, Helene — Organizations: CNN —, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Boeing, RSM, CNN, Federal Reserve, BLS Locations: Hurricane, Florida
The final pre-election edition of the closely watched monthly jobs report is set to be published Nov. 1, four days ahead of Election Day. All eyes are now on a handful of states expected to see razor-thin vote margins, likely to be determined by a small but crucial pool of persuadable voters. The exact impact on the jobs report is unclear. The strike, which kicked off in September, has coincided with layoff notices sent to 17,000 workers in Boeing's commercial aviation division. While the Keystone State's unemployment rate climbed by a tenth of a percentage point compared with the September 2023 figure, its latest reading, at 3.4%, marked two straight years below 4%.
Persons: Milton —, Boeing machinists, Goldman Sachs, , Goldman, Helene, Trump Organizations: Boeing, of Labor Statistics, Nomura Holdings, Nomura, BLS, Electoral College, Keystone, Democratic, Republican Locations: U.S, Milton, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
Remote work continues to be popular among workers. Nearly a quarter, 22% say remote work flexibility is the most important benefit, according to Monster's 2024 Work Watch Report. "A lot of remote jobs are tech jobs" for example, says John Mullinix, head of growth marketing at Ladders. But remote jobs can be found in a wide range of fields — including opportunities "that are upwards of $130,000," says Toni Frana, career expert at FlexJobs. Mullinix and Frana regularly scour their sites to see what employers are looking for and how much they'll pay.
Persons: John Mullinix, Toni Frana Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS
Another key US inflation gauge fell in September
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Inflation for US producers slowed further in September, adding to hopes that prices aren’t getting jacked up before they get to consumers. The annual rate is running faster than the 1.6% gain economists expected, according to FactSet estimates; however, August’s rate was revised higher from the initial 1.7% estimate, so prices still fell in September. PPI is important because it’s often seen as a bellwether for the price increases consumers will wind up paying down the line. On Thursday, the Consumer Price Index — a measurement of average price changes for commonly purchased goods and services — cooled to 2.4%, its lowest rate since February 2021. As a result, Fed officials have now shifted from trying to contain inflation to trying to keep the job market healthy, the other half of their so-called dual mandate.
Persons: Price, that’s Organizations: CNN, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
Consumer price inflation slows in September
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
CNN —Price increases have slowed considerably from their peak two years ago and are now rising at a similar pace to inflation in 2017 and 2018, according to new inflation data released Thursday. The Consumer Price Index, which measures price changes across commonly purchased goods and services, was 2.4% for the 12 months ended in September, slowing from a 2.5% annual rate in August, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics report. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2%, in line with the advance in August but faster than economists’ projections of 0.1%. A jump in food prices combined with ongoing shelter-related price-hikes pushed the overall CPI higher last month, BLS said. Still, economists say that inflation is headed in the right direction, because the factors that pushed prices higher during the pandemic era have largely faded while demand has slowed to more normal levels.
Persons: CNN — Price, Organizations: CNN, Labor Statistics, BLS
CNN —US job growth surged in September, blowing past expectations and providing solid reassurance for the ongoing stability of the labor market. Employers added an estimated 254,000 jobs in September, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The outlook for the economy in the months ahead is quite favorable, according to the September jobs report. As job gains dropped off from their once breakneck pace, economists were quick to note that the labor market was merely slowing and not at risk of imminent collapse. “The labor market is strong,” she said.
Persons: , ” Brian Bethune, , Chris Rupkey, , Elise Gould, Gould, Jerome Powell, September’s, it’s, ” Bethune, , , Josh Hirt, ” Hirt, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boston College, Service, Federal Reserve, FwdBonds, Economic Policy Institute, Federal, Vanguard, Boeing
Job interviews: How young people can ace them
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Kristen Rogers | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
CNN —Megan Rathmell thought she’d bombed her job interview earlier this year, assuming her nervousness and lack of preparation had cost her the opportunity. SDI Productions/E+/Getty ImagesWhat Rathmell learned from her boss mirrors what hiring managers say: Some Gen Z college graduates are unprepared for job interviews or behave unprofessionally during job interviews. Some people think they can just wing a job interview, said Stacie Haller, chief career advisor at ResumeBuilder. How to handle the actual job interviewDressing professionally for both in-person and virtual interviews is important regardless of whether it’s for a fast-food restaurant, retail store or office job, experts said. When you’re given the chance to ask questions, ask what you’ve prepared.
Persons: Megan Rathmell, she’d, , , Rathmell, unprofessionally, Nathan Mondragon, Mondragon, Stacie Haller, Haller, you’ve, it’s, Nicolas Roulin, you’ll, Roulin, they’re, don’t, , you’re, they’ll Organizations: CNN, SDI, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Saint Mary’s University, United, Services Locations: Virginia, ResumeBuilder, Canada, Colorado, New York
The jobs market had a very strong September
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The Fed is pivoting away from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market. The encouraging numbers doubled down on a labor market that's showing signs of strength after a slowdown. The Federal Reserve signaled a pivot from fighting inflation to supporting the job market with a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in mid-September, the first cut in four years. AdvertisementWage growth was another highlight for the labor market in September. The latest jobs report didn't just indicate a strong September.
Persons: , Glen Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS, GDS Wealth Management, Fed
CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.
Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, , Erica Groshen, They’ve, , Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, , American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio
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