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The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.3345% after dipping by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were lower Friday as investors weighed mixed economic data and assessed the state of the economy. Investors considered the current state and outlook for the U.S. economy after Thursday brought a series of mixed data points. Investors also assessed the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials, scanning them for hints about whether a third back-to-back interest rate cut could be announced when policymakers meet again next month. Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday indicated that he saw the need for more rate cuts ahead, but cautioned that the pace of reductions could slow.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Wall Street, Philadelphia Federal Reserve, P Global, Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal Locations: U.S
One basis point equals 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 1 basis point to 4.390%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury slipped by nearly 2 basis points to 4.291%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dipped on Thursday as investors await a fresh batch of economic data and a flurry of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Existing home sales for October and the Kansas City Fed survey for November are scheduled to follow slightly later in the session. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr are all poised to deliver remarks about the U.S. economy on Thursday.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Beth Hammack, Austan Goolsbee, Jeff Schmid, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, Samantha Subin, Sophie Kiderlin Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Philadelphia Fed, Kansas City Fed, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Washington, Moscow, Kansas, U.S
Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night as investors parsed the all-important earnings release from artificial intelligence darling Nvidia . Investors kept a close eye on after-the-bell earnings from Nvidia, the chipmaker that has dazzled Wall Street for more than a year as a key AI beneficiary. While the company beat expectations for the third quarter and issued strong guidance, shares shed more than 1%. On the other hand, Snowflake jumped more than 19% after the data analytics software company beat expectations for the third quarter. That action follows a mixed day on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 ending near flat.
Persons: University's, Snowflake, Dow, Beth Hammack, Austan Goolsbee, Jeff Schmid Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investors, Dow, University's Stern School of Business, Traders, Cleveland Federal, Chicago Fed, Kansas City, Intuit Locations: New York City, New
However, he went on to back up Chair Jerome Powell 's statement Thursday that the Fed doesn't need to be "in a hurry" to cut. "I do think if there's disagreement of what's the neutral rate, it does make sense at some point to start slowing." Getting to neutral, or a place that neither boosts nor restrains growth, is the Fed's ultimate goal, but Trump's victory could complicate the journey. The burst of euphoria after Trump's win actually complicates the situation by providing looser financial conditions that might make the Fed slower to ease. In any event, traders see a high likelihood that even if a December cut does happen, the Fed almost certainly will skip January as it assesses the landscape.
Persons: Donald Trump, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins Organizations: Trump, Wall, Federal, Chicago Federal, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Boston Fed, Traders
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago. Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target. The Wall Street investment bank on Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, Commerce, Fed, PCE, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
Dollar bulls suffer setback as traders add to Fed cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar fell from two-month highs hit overnight versus its major peers after signs of weakness in the labor market boosted the case for quicker Federal Reserve rate cuts. Bets for a quarter-point Fed rate cut on Nov. 7 increased to 83.3% from 80.3% a day earlier, with the remaining odds for policy to stay steady, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. A week earlier, there was a 32.1% chance of a half-point reduction and 67.9% probability of a quarter-point cut. The dollar added 0.06% to 148.68 yen , inching back towards Thursday's high of 149.58 yen, a level previously not seen since Aug. 2. The Australian dollar held firm at $0.67395 after rebounding from its lowest since Sept. 16 at $0.6702 on Thursday.
Persons: Tapas Strickland, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic Organizations: U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChicago Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has come down and job market is around full employment levelAustan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Goolsbee's reaction to the latest economic data to cross the tape, if the Fed president wants to 'recalibrate' Fed policy, and much more.
Organizations: Chicago, Chicago Fed, Fed
The average credit-card interest rate is now just over 21%, up from about 15% a decade ago. Additionally, as credit-card companies continue to charge high interest rates, more cardholders in debt become delinquent — and that could push the US economy closer to recession. Advertisement'The highest credit-card rates we've ever seen'Until 1978, most states had laws capping interest rates for credit cards and consumer products. Lowering the current high interest rates, and the profits that come with them, has become a priority across the aisle. Ted Rossman, a senior industry analyst at Bankrate, described the feedback loop of high prices and high interest rates as "a tough cycle to break."
Persons: Lana Linge, it's, Linge, isn't, Adam Rust, Bruce McClary, TransUnion, Austan Goolsbee, Rust, You've, you've, Antoinette Schoar, Schoar, David Silberman, GOP Sen, Josh Hawley, Hawley, Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Michele Raneri, Ranieri, Ted Rossman Organizations: Consumer Federation of America, Federal Reserve, National Foundation, Credit, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Louis Federal Reserve, Federal, Financial, MIT, Center for Responsible Lending, Lawmakers, GOP, Democratic, Reserve, TransUnion Locations: overspending, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, South Dakota, Delaware
Dollar firm following sharp rebound as Fed speakers eyed
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Earlier this week, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said policymakers "can't be behind the curve" if the economy is to have a soft landing. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the central bank needn't go on a "mad dash" to lower rates. Later Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gives pre-recorded remarks at a conference in New York, where New York Fed President John Williams also speaks. Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook take to the podium at various other venues as well. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's July meeting, when the central bank raised short-term interest rates, showed policymakers were divided on how quickly the central bank should raise interest rates further.
Persons: Adriana Kugler, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, I'm, it's, Kenneth Crompton, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Susan Collins, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, NAB's Crompton, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, National Australia Bank, New York Fed, Boston, Weekly U.S, Traders, Bank of Japan's, Swiss Locations: New York
CNBC Daily Open: Vaguely reassuring Fedspeak
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said, "We still have a strong, healthy labor market. But I want to keep it a strong, healthy labor market." Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was more circumspect.
Persons: IXIC BRBY, Jerome Powell, Michael Nagle, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, yesterday's Fedspeak, Dow, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Market, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Minneapolis, Atlanta Fed, National Association of State, Chicago Fed, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: New York, U.S
Gold holds ground on dovish Fed-speak, Mideast concerns
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices steadied on Tuesday after surging to a record high in the previous session, following broadly dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Bullion hit a record high of $2,635.29 on Monday. "Gold prices continue to be well-supported amid a series of dovish Fed rhetoric overnight," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee said there are "lots of cuts" to come over the next 12 months, while Fed President Neel Kashkari noted that the actual path would depend on incoming data. "Tensions in the region will likely be kept high for longer, which could see gold prices retain its bullish bias."
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed Bank, Hezbollah Locations: U.S, ., Israel, Lebanon
Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was up just over a basis point at 3.745% at 3:41 a.m. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed the growth outlook following the Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut last week. The 10-year Treasury yield ended last week almost 8 basis points higher after the Fed lowered rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Adriana Kugler Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Locations: U.S
US stocks rose Monday, with the Dow closing at a record high amid hopes for more rate cuts. Odds of a 50 basis point rate cut at the next FOMC meeting increased to 53%, up from 29% last week. AdvertisementUS stocks gained on Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial and S&P 500 closing at record highs as hopes of more Fed interest rate cuts ramped up. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets expect the Fed funds rate to fall to below 3% by the end of 2025, from 4.83% on Monday. That lines up with Kashkari's projection for the long-term Fed funds rate to sit at around 2.9%.
Persons: , Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari, Goolsbee, Kashkari Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Chicago Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Fed Locations: Chicago
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are near flat Sunday night after excitement over last week's interest rate cut propelled the blue-chip index to a record closing level. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures are also both little changed. All three of the major indexes added more than 1% for the week, during which the S&P 500 also reached new records. "But the signal is important nonetheless, and markets responded the following day taking the S&P 500 Index to a new all-time high." They'll also be following speeches from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari for insights into what the central bank will do next.
Persons: Dow, Ronald Temple, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Atlanta Fed, Chicago Fed, Minneapolis Fed
But regardless of the week's events, Cramer said the Fed's successful start to the easing cycle is leading the market in a positive direction. "We're in a rate cut cycle now, ok, it's very different from, from the last couple years. Next year should be better for the homebuilder than 2024 because the Fed is lowering rates, he added. Semiconductor outfit Micron will report earnings on Wednesday along with Cintas , which supplies a range of materials, including uniforms, to businesses. Retail grocery giant Costco reports on Thursday, and Cramer will be paying attention to which products are and aren't selling.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Hewlett Packard Organizations: Costco, KB, Federal, Atlanta Fed, Chicago Fed, Apple, Semiconductor, Micron, Retail, Commerce Department
He offered details on the Fed's thinking as the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting approaches in September, with all eyes on the first interest rate cut since the pandemic began. AdvertisementIt's all but certain that the Fed will cut rates in September. That leaves the big question of how much — not if — the Fed will cut rates, and the upcoming jobs report will likely shed some light on that question. "Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. "But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, precarity, Austan Goolsbee, we've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, CME, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Democratic, Chicago Fed
Traders continued to price in a greater likelihood that the Fed will kick off what is expected to be a protracted easing campaign in September with a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis point, reduction. "My base-case scenario is that we are on a journey of 25 basis point cuts, probably for the next eight meetings, a couple hundred basis points cumulative," economist Paul McCulley said on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." "But if we see weaker growth, and particularly weaker jobs, then I think we could have a bit of front-loading and start the process with 50 basis point cuts." That, among other vows to support the economy now that inflation has waned, provided some indication that a 50 basis point move is at least on the table. Markets expect the central bank to knock off a full percentage point this year and at least that much in 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Paul McCulley, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, you've, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Rick Rieder, Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Traders, CME, Cornell, Georgetown, Fed, Nikko Securities, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Locations: Powell's, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Atlanta, Chicago
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole SpeechCNBC's Steve Liesman joins Halftime Report with Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee to discuss Jerome Powell's comments in Jackson Hole earlier today.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Jerome Powell's Jackson, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's, Jackson Organizations: Chicago, Chicago Fed
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Dow plummeted over 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3% and 3.4%, respectively. Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel urged the Federal Reserve to make an emergency 75-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate following Friday's disappointing jobs data. Siegel believes the current fed funds rate "should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," citing the higher-than-expected unemployment rate and declining inflation as reasons for the cuts. "How much have we moved the fed funds rate?
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Amit Mehta, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, CNBC's, Korea's Kospi, Richard Kaye Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Tesla, Berkshire, Google, Department of Justice, Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, Nikkei, Honda, Renesas Electronics, CSI Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific
CNBC Daily Open: Dow sheds 1,000 points
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Abid Ali | Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street sinksThe Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 suffered their sharpest declines in nearly two years, as growing concerns about the U.S. economy rocked global stock markets. The Dow plummeted over 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3% and 3.4%, respectively. Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel urged the Federal Reserve to make an emergency 75-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate following Friday's disappointing jobs data. [PRO] Don't panicDespite a global stock market rout, several investors and strategists advised against panicking at this point.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Amit Mehta, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, CNBC's, cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Nexo, Antoni Trenchev, panicking Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Tesla, Berkshire, Google, Department of Justice, Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, bitcoin Locations: U.S
The yield on the 2-year Treasury note traded over 11 basis points higher at 3.992%. Yields and prices move in opposite directions, and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note traded more than 7 basis points higher at 3.855% at 7:08 a.m. It comes after the yield on the 10-year Treasury note on Monday fell to its lowest level since June 2023 . Brzeski said he expects the Fed to move forward with a 50 basis point interest rate cut next month in order to bolster market confidence.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mary Daly, Austan, Carsten Brzeski, CNBC's, Brzeski Organizations: Global, Federal, U.S, ING Research, Fed Locations: U.S, San Francisco, Chicago
Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, during the National Association of Business Economics (NABE) economic policy conference in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Feb. 16, 2024. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said she expects that interest rates will be cut later this year but declined to provide a timetable or the extent to which the central bank will ease. At their meeting last week, Fed officials provided some hints that lower rates are coming but were short on specifics. Earlier in the day, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told CNBC that the central bank's "restrictive" rates policy doesn't make sense if the economy isn't overheating, which he said it is not. If there are trouble signs with the economy, Goolsbee said the Fed will "fix it."
Persons: Mary Daly, Daly, we've, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of San, National Association of Business Economics, San Francisco Federal, Market, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Washington , DC, Hawaii
Investors are increasingly hopeful that will push Federal Reserve officials to come to their rescue with an emergency rate cut. But if something comes up in between those meetings that changes their views on the ideal level for rates, officials can gather for an unscheduled “emergency” meeting. By doing two large emergency cuts in succession, Fed officials didn’t have to weigh whether their actions would unnecessarily cause Americans to panic. Before those cuts, the last time the Fed was promoted to do an emergency rate cut was in the thick of the Great Recession shortly after Lehman Brothers collapsed in the fall of 2008. But he said he was “reluctantly” comfortable with an emergency cut since other central banks were doing it.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, there’s, Lehman Brothers, ” Charles Plosser, , , That’s, Janet Yellen, ” Yellen, Plosser Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Chicago Fed, New York Times, Philadelphia Fed, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, Bank of England, San, Committee, Fed, Treasury Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: If conditions start to deteriorate, the Fed will 'fix it'CNBC’s Steve Liesman and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Steve Liesman Organizations: Chicago, Chicago Fed
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