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AdvertisementTrump is preparing to nominate Scott Bessent, a billionaire investor, for Treasury secretary. President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly preparing to nominate Scott Bessent, a Wall Street veteran and campaign ally, for Treasury secretary, one of the biggest Cabinet prizes. AdvertisementBessent, 62, founded and runs the macro hedge fund Key Square Group and emerged as a key economic advisor to Trump on the campaign trail. Known for his interest in niche economic data, Bessent helped draft speeches and write policy proposals for Trump's economic ideas. Dubbed a "Trump whisperer" by Forbes, Bessent has signaled support for some of Trump's key proposals.
Persons: Scott Bessent, Bessent, George Soros, Donald Trump, Trump's, Trump, Al Gore, Soros, James Rogers, hasn't, John Freeman, he's, — Trump, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Trump, Wall Street, Group, GOP, Democratic, Street Journal, Yale, Soros Fund Management, Republican, Soros, Mar, Forbes, CNBC, Federal Locations: South Carolina, New York City, Charleston , South Carolina, Southampton , New York
John Prescott, the pugnacious deputy prime minister to Britain’s Tony Blair during his 10 years in government, has died aged 86 after a battle with Alzheimer’s, his family said on Thursday. “There was no one quite like him in British politics,” Blair told BBC radio. He went into politics after coming ashore and he attended Oxford’s Ruskin College, which offered courses for mature students. “I’ve never worked with anyone in politics on my side of the pond or his quite like John Prescott,” Gore said. His family said he had died “surrounded by the love of his family and the jazz music of Marian Montgomery”.
Persons: John Prescott, Tony Blair, Alzheimer’s, Prescott, Blair, ” Blair, I’d, John, I’ve, he’s, bruiser ”, Prescott scuffles, David Kendall, Getty Images Prescott, Gordon Brown, Al Gore, Reuters “ John Prescott, ” Brown, Prescott’s, “ I’ve, ” Gore, Pauline, Marian Montgomery ”, “ John Organizations: Labour Party, BBC, Getty Images, Oxford’s Ruskin College, Labour, Kyoto, Reuters, U.S, Guardian Locations: Wales, Prescott, London, Kyoto
Former Vice President Mike Pence was, for most of their four years together, a loyal partner who helped smooth Trump’s dealings with establishment Republicans and evangelical conservatives. “It compresses things,” said Joel Goldstein, a vice presidential scholar and professor emeritus at Saint Louis University. At one point, polling showed him to be one of the least-liked vice presidential candidates over the last 30 years. And during his own presidency, Biden tasked Vice President Kamala Harris with the tough-to-define and tough-to-evaluate assignment of tackling the root causes of migration from Mexico and Central America. He also was the last sitting vice president to win the presidency.
Persons: JD Vance, — “, Vance, , Donald Trump, Trump, , Jordan Wiggins, “ He’s, Al Gore, Bill Clinton’s, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Obama, Grover, Mike Pence, Pence, Trump —, Joel Goldstein, Tim Walz, JD, ” Wiggins, ” Vance, isn’t, “ JD, ” Vance hasn’t, Gore, George W, Bush, Dick Cheney, Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, I’d, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Ronald Reagan, Reagan Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Jan, U.S . Capitol, Saint Louis University, Senate, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, NBC, Press, GOP, The New York Times, Central America, NBC News, Republican National Convention Locations: Ohio, Cincinnati, Grover Cleveland, Iowa, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Clinton, Mexico, Central, George H.W .
As president, Trump repeatedly came under fire from ethics groups for potential conflicts of interest relating to his businesses and brands. A source familiar with the process acknowledged that details are still being worked out with the Biden administration regarding the ethics agreement, which is required by law under the Presidential Transition Act and which applies to all members of the transition team. Updates to that bill requiring the ethics pledge were introduced by Trump ally Sen. Ron Johnson, a Wisconsin Republican, and signed into law by Trump himself in March 2020. The Trump team ignored a pair of key preelection deadlines to unlock transition activities with the Biden administration’s General Services Administration and the White House. The ethics agreement was also due by October 1.
Persons: Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Trump’s, Sen, Ron Johnson, Valerie Smith Boyd, Boyd, Max Stier, Joe Biden’s, Stier, ” Stier, , Jeff Zients, Howard Lutnick, Linda McMahon, Jamie Raskin, ” Raskin, George W, Al Gore’s, CNN’s Arlette Saenz, Fredreka Schouten Organizations: CNN, Trump, Wisconsin Republican, Truth, Biden, Services Administration, White, GSA, Center, Public Service, Public, , Vance Locations: Wisconsin, Maryland, Florida
The reality is that both parties learn lessons from losing elections that apply only in the short term — say, from one presidential election to the next midterm or from one midterm to the next presidential election. Not anymore — it’s why Democrats usually overperform in special elections, with more devoted “every election” voters right now. Meanwhile, in the non-battlegrounds, which were more affected by the basic “mood music” of the election, Democrats were shellacked. The seeds of discontent with this version of the Democratic Party can be traced back a decade to Obama’s decision to anoint Hillary Clinton as his successor. Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at the CNN Democratic presidential primary debate in New York City on April 14, 2016.
Persons: inbox, It’s, Donald Trump, Devin Yalkin, doesn’t, Karl Rove, Barack Obama, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Bill Clinton, Obama, Clinton, Harris, Court's Dobbs, Dobbs, Trump, I’m, Kamala Harris, Morry Gash, hadn't, misfired, Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn, Osborn, Josh Shapiro, wasn’t, Harris wouldn’t, They’ve, Franklin D, Roosevelt, John F, Kennedy, Lyndon B, Johnson, Hillary Clinton, he’d, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Justin Sullivan, Democratic Party didn’t, Sanders, Bernie Bros, Joe Rogan, , didn’t, nitpick, , Bob Dole, Al Gore, John Kerry, John McCain, Mitt Romney, What's, Elon, MAGA, Michael Dukakis Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Biden, GOP, Democrats, Social Security, Senate, Electoral, Massachusetts Democrat, San, San Francisco Democrat, CNN Democratic, Clinton, Obama, Trump bros Locations: West Palm Beach, Fla, Plenty, , Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada , Michigan, Wisconsin, Madison, Wis, America, Texas, Massachusetts, San Francisco, New York City, Trump, Iowa, Clinton
New York CNN —US stocks rallied Tuesday as Wall Street awaited the results of a closely contested presidential race. “While it’s still anyone’s call on where the chips will fall on the election, putting it behind in either direction is a relief.”Historically, stocks have often risen on Election Day. This marks the sixth-straight Election Day gain for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. “With Election Day finally here, expect more market volatility, particularly if the wait for a result is long or contested. Just two days after Election Day, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision, the first since cutting rates by half a point.
Persons: Dow, , Louis Navellier, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Adam Turnquist, Gore, ” Turnquist Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, LPL, Federal Reserve Locations: New York
Georgia2012 margin: Romney +7.8%Advertisement2016 margin: Trump +5.1%2020 margin: Biden +0.2%Related storiesFor decades, Republicans could easily depend on the Peach State's electoral votes falling into their column. Two years later, Biden won Georgia by roughly 12,000 votes over Trump, followed by the dual 2021 runoff victories of Sens. Pennsylvania2012 margin: Obama +5.4%2016 margin: Trump +0.7%2020 margin: Biden +1.2%AdvertisementBiden's hometown of Scranton is dear to his heart so Pennsylvania was always going to be a key state for the party in 2024. Wisconsin2012 margin: Obama +6.9%2016 margin: Trump +0.8%Advertisement2020 margin: Biden +0.6%Wisconsin is one of the most politically divided states in the country. But Trump flipped Wisconsin to the GOP in 2016, the first time it had supported a Republican presidential nominee since 1984.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, , Joe Biden, Harris, Kevin McCarthy of, Mike Johnson of, suburbanites, Roe, Wade, Trump, Bill Clinton, Kansas Sen, Bob Dole, Barry Goldwater, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Katie Hobbs, MAGA, Kari Lake, Sen, Mark Kelly, Republican Blake Masters, Adrian Fontes, Hobbs, Mark Finchem, Ruben Gallego, Stacey Abrams —, Georgia —, Abrams, Sens, Raphael Warnock, Jon Ossoff, Kelly Loeffler, David Perdue, midterms, Warnock, Republican Herschel Walker, Walker, Brian Kemp, Gretchen Whitmer, Dana Nessel, Jocelyn Benson, Obama, Clinton, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, Steve Sisolak, reelecting Sen, Catherine Cortez Masto, Adam Laxalt, — Dina Titus, Steven Horsford, Susie Lee —, Arizona GOP Sen, John McCain, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Roy Cooper, Gov, John Fetterman, GOP Sen, Pat Toomey, Josh Shapiro, Tom Wolf, Al Gore, John Kerry eked, Tony Evers, Scott Walker —, Tammy Baldwin, Evers, Tim Michels, Ron Johnson, Mandela Barnes Organizations: Swing, Sun, Service, Democratic, Republican, House, Republicans, State, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Democratic Rep, GOP, Republican Party, Georgia, Gov, Michigan, Silver State, Democratic Gov, North Carolina, Arizona GOP, Romney, Democrats, Senate, Badger State Locations: Midwest, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Israel, Kevin McCarthy of California, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Kansas, Massachusetts, Ruben Gallego . Georgia, Atlanta, Detroit, Gaza, Nevada, Silver, Clark, Clark County, North Carolina, North, Roy Cooper . Pennsylvania, Scranton, Philadelphia, Allegheny County, Pittsburgh
The only thing that matters is getting to 270 electoral votes through the Electoral College. Meanwhile, 219 electoral votes seem to be leaning in the former president’s direction. Closing off the ‘blue wall’Looking at those battleground states, Harris has the easier path than Trump to getting to 270 electoral votes. She could win by corralling Michigan (15 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes) and Wisconsin (10 electoral votes). But the bottom line is this election is most likely going to come down to five states … or maybe six.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Al Gore, Harris, there’s, Ann Selzer’s, corralling Michigan, Jacquelyn Martin, Clinton, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Trump’s, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: CNN, Electoral, Congressional District, Trump, Ann Selzer’s Des Moines Register, corralling, Southern Sun, State, North, Georgia, Democratic, North Carolina, Silver State Locations: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Washington, Ann Selzer’s Des, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Madison , Wisconsin, North Carolina, Trump, Southern, Greensboro , North Carolina, Nevada, , Arizona, Arizona . Arizona, Silver
A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points in the state. Political experts told Business Insider that the Iowa poll is significant for the Harris campaign given that the demographic makeup of Iowa — rural, older, and largely white voters — is similar to some key swing states. AdvertisementThe Iowa Poll has scrambled the conventional wisdom that former President Donald Trump will easily win the state. And notably, 69% of female respondents in the Selzer poll opposed the law, while only 27% of Iowa women backed the new restrictions. In the Selzer poll taken in September, Reynolds' job approval rating sat at 45%, while 50% of Iowans disapproved of her performance.
Persons: Harris, Trump, bode, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, they're, John Conway, Christian Grose, J, Ann Selzer —, Selzer, FiveThirtyEight, Patricia Crouse, it's, Joe Biden, Chip Somodevilla, Crouse, Al Gore, George W, Bush, Barack Obama's, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds, Reynolds, Iowans Organizations: Des Moines Register, Trump, Service, Republicans Voters Against Trump, University of Southern, Harris, Selzer, University of New, Hawkeye State, Getty, Democratic, Texas Gov, GOP, Republicans, Republican Gov Locations: Iowa, It's, Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin, University of Southern California, Wisconsin , Michigan, Kansas, University of New Haven
Unlike younger generations, who until recently may have taken federal abortion protections for granted, older women recall the era of illegal backroom abortions that preceded Roe. A fight for the senior voteNot all older women are motivated by abortion. But in a race that is expected to be decided on the margins, boosting support among women and older voters could make a difference. There are some signs in early voting data that women seniors are highly motivated to vote, said Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart. Abortion bans in many states, including North Carolina, make exceptions for ectopic pregnancies, but patients have reported delays in care.
Persons: Betty Gunz, she’s, Court’s Dobbs, ” Gunz, Charlotte, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Roe, Wade —, , , Diane Stevens, Stevens, Harris, KFF, Al Gore, Glen Bolger, they’ll, Trump, Anna Kelly, Tom Bonier, We’re, MaryAnne Handy, Hillary Clinton, Kamala, “ He’s, ” Handy, Cary, Naomi Jean Bernheim, , “ I’ve, you’ve, ” Bernheim, it’s, ” Karen Taggart, Joe Biden, hoodie, Ulla Johnson, Dobbs, Taggart, Mary, Biden, Carolyn, hasn’t, “ It’s, ” Jeanne Gaffney, Mark Robinson, Gaffney, Organizations: North Carolina CNN —, Democrats, CNN, Democratic, Republican, Trump, Republican Party, Social Security, Republican National, Harris, North Carolina Democrats, Chapel, Raleigh Young Democrat, NARAL, Cary, Mint Hill Locations: Charlotte, North Carolina, Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Cary, Raleigh, Texas, Morrisville, White
What’s at stake on Tuesday? The planet.
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Bill Weir | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
Julian Quinones/CNNFormer Trump administration officials have outlined the speed at which they intend to dismantle the progress the Biden administration made on climate change. Trump has publicly distanced himself from the ideological blueprint, but CNN found at least 140 authors worked in the Trump administration. But given the momentum of the clean energy train, some experts and analysists doubt that Trump would be able to derail it entirely. While the green trend in economics now has Republican states like Texas leading the nation in clean energy installations, Germany, Japan and China got there first. Trump’s plan is to undo that progress, throw billions of dollars of clean energy investment out the window and give other countries the economic opportunity, instead.
Persons: CNN —, ” Mark Twain, Twain, Tom Sawyer ”, Helene, Lincoln, Reagan, it's, Julian Quinones, Kamala Harris, Harris, , Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, ” Mandy Gunasekara, CNN’s Ella Nilsen, David Bernhardt, Nilsen, Gunasekara, Bernhardt, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Weir, CNN Bill Gates, ” Gates, Mark Twain, Organizations: CNN, CNN Former Trump, Environmental, Agency, Trump, Energy Ventures, Microsoft Locations: Minnesota, American, Paris, Phoenix, CNN's, Greenland, Texas, Germany, Japan, China, America
On one level, Trump’s comment shows how his false election fraud claims have entered the outer realms of absurdity. The election fraud claims that Trump most notably supercharged in 2020 to salve his humiliation at losing to Joe Biden are already at high intensity this year. After laying out the darkest closing argument in modern American history, Trump is now increasingly turning to poisoning public confidence in the election. Gore conceded that election, thereby guaranteeing an uncontested transfer of presidential power — a step Trump refused to take four years ago. Just 30% of registered voters think Trump would accept the results of the election and concede if he loses, while 73% say that Harris would accept an election loss.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’d, Trump, he’s, Joe Biden, , , we’d, Kamala Harris, Harris, Andy Harris, Hurricane Helene, Glenn Youngkin, Elon Musk, bellicose, Brendan McDermid, Al Gore, George W . Bush, Gore, Stacey Abrams, Republican Brian Kemp, CNN’s Danny Freeman, ” Trump, Josh Shapiro, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, “ Donald Trump, Jonathan Drake, Gabriel Sterling, Georgia, ” Sterling, CNN’s Jake Tapper Organizations: CNN, Republican, New, Democratic, GOP, Republican National Committee, Maryland Republican, , Trump, Republicans, Representatives, Virginia Gov, Albuquerque International, Reuters, Texas Gov, US, Georgia, Pennsylvania, stoke Locations: California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Hurricane, United States, Albuquerque , New Mexico, Florida, Lancaster County, York County, Marion , North Carolina, Georgia
CNN was able to project that Biden would win the election four days after Election Day, on November 7, but counting would continue. That means a blue shift in the popular vote could still occur even if it does not delay figuring out the presidential election results. A person votes early at a polling station in Deland, Florida, on October 21. North Carolina no longer accepts mail-in ballots if they arrive after Election Day. The Center for Election Innovation & Research has a rundown of the various rules and timelines for processing mail-in ballots.
Persons: CNN — It’s, , Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Phil Mattingly, Biden, CNN’s Marshall Cohen, Hillary Clinton, Miguel J, Rodriguez Carrillo, Brad Raffensperger, Raffensperger, , Jocelyn Benson, Benson, Republican Al Schmidt, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Harris, George H.W, it’s Organizations: CNN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Biden, Trump, AFP, Getty, North, Brennan Center for Justice, Georgia, Republican, CBS, Election Innovation, Research, NPR Locations: Arizona , North Carolina , Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan, Maine, Georgia, Pennsylvania, California, Deland , Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, , Florida
Registered voters’ views of both Harris (41% favorable to 52% unfavorable) and Trump (41% favorable to 54% unfavorable) break negative. More likely voters say Harris rather than Trump cares about people like them (43% Harris to 37% Trump), is honest and trustworthy (41% Harris to 29% Trump), and will put the country’s interests above their own (45% Harris to 39% Trump). Across each of those attributes though, 16% or more of likely voters say neither candidate fits the bill. Harris holds a wide advantage on handling abortion and reproductive rights (52% Harris to 31% Trump) and a smaller one on protecting democracy (45% Harris to 41% Trump). Harris holds the advantage over Trump among women (50% Harris to 44% Trump), younger voters (51% Harris to 41% Trump among voters younger than 35), and voters of color, including Black likely voters (79% Harris to 13% Trump) and Hispanic likely voters (54% Harris to 37% Trump).
Persons: SSRS, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, who’ve, , Barack Obama, George H.W, Bush, Ronald Reagan, Al Gore, Bill Clinton’s, Harris ’, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Walz, Vance, Trump’s, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Suburban, Republican, Democrat Locations: Black
The mayor of Waukesha, the seat of a reliably Republican county outside Milwaukee, Wisconsin, endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris for president on Wednesday — the first time the formerly Republican city leader is supporting a Democrat for commander in chief, the campaign said. Wisconsin is a key battleground state that could be a critical piece of Harris or Trump's path to victory on election night. In 2000, just 32% of voters in Waukesha County voted for Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore, while in 2020 39% of voters there supported President Joe Biden. On Thursday, GOP former Michigan Rep. Fred Upton also endorsed Harris, saying in a statement that he has never voted for a Democrat for president "until now." Other former GOP members of Congress that have endorsed Harris include Liz Cheney, R-Wyo and Adam Kinzinger, R-Ill. Harris also touts endorsements from GOP former Sen. Jeff Flake, former Vice President Dick Cheney, more than a hundred Republican former national security officials, former Georgia Lt. Gov.
Persons: Kamala Harris, ” Reilly, Harris, Reilly, Donald Trump, , Milwaukee’s, Joe Biden, Trump, Al Gore, George Bush, Biden, Fred Upton, Upton, Liz Cheney, Adam Kinzinger, Sen, Jeff Flake, Dick Cheney, Gov, Geoff Duncan Organizations: Wednesday, Republican, Milwaukee’s Fox News, Republican Party, U.S . Capitol, haven't, Democratic, Trump, GOP, Michigan Rep Locations: Waukesha, Milwaukee , Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Waukesha County, Georgia
Investors should beware of a contested US election, BlackRock's Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. AdvertisementInvestors are dismissing the risk of a disputed US election, BlackRock Investment Institute head Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. Recent battleground state polling shows a race too close to call with the election less than two weeks away. Other market strategists have echoed in recent weeks Boivin's concern over what an election dispute would mean for markets. Meanwhile, stocks rose during Trump's election dispute in 2020, likely due to signs that the COVID-19 pandemic was ending.
Persons: BlackRock's Jean Boivin, , Jean Boivin, Boivin, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Brian Gardner, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Gardner Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, BlackRock Investment Institute, Trump, Republican Locations: Washington
Philadelphia CNN —Dozens of Black motorcyclists drove through north and west Philadelphia over the weekend with a simple message for Black men: Go vote. Younger Black men have received increased attention from the Harris campaign in recent days. Since January, Black Men Vote has been reaching out to its target audience in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where the group says it has registered more than 100,000 Black men to vote. Black Men Vote has also partnered with barbers, who they’ve trained as voting ambassadors to talk to clients about civic engagement. Ninety-two percent of Black voters in the state backed the president, including 89% of Black men and 94% of Black women, according to CNN exit polls.
Persons: , ’ ”, Mark Kelly Tyler, Kamala Harris ’, isn’t, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Tyjuan Harris, Al Gore, hadn’t, , ” Harris, “ America’s, ” Joe Paul, they’ve, Paul, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, she’s, , Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Hillary, surrogates, Jazzy Jeff, Omar Sabir Organizations: Philadelphia CNN, Black, Black Riders, Mother, Mother Bethel AME Church, Republicans, Custom Creations, CNN, Trump, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia Locations: Philadelphia, Mother Bethel, Pittsburgh, West, America, Michigan , Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Black, Germantown, Philadelphia County
Your election questions, answered
  + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +26 min
They ranged from questions about the Electoral College to specific inquiries about why ballots in some counties look the way they do. We’ll add answers to new questions weekly until the election and also send them out to the What Matters newsletter audience. CNN did not project that President Joe Biden would win the 2020 election until four days after Election Day. -- Linda in WashingtonThere were a lot of questions about the Electoral College, which should frustrate people on both sides of the aisle. I’m not including the election of 1800, even though it resulted in a tie in the Electoral College.
Persons: I’ve, Debbie, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Read, they’ve, Will, Trump, Dennis, Donald Trump, don’t, faithless, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Ron Paul of Texas, Jeanette, Elon Musk, , Democrats –, Elena, you’re, that’s, you’ve, Harris, Kamala Harris, CNN’s KFile, it’s, Ron, CNN’s Tami Luhby, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, George W, Bush, Jennifer Agiesta, what’s, we’re, hasn’t, noncitizens, Critics, doesn’t, Sheila, Nicole Unzicker, Unzicker, Terry I’m, Harvey Let’s, Doug Sosnik’s, Patricia, Al Gore, Rutherford B, Hayes, Samuel Tilden, Tilden, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, James Garfield, Winfield Hancock, I’m, Sandra, Jack Smith, Julie Organizations: CNN, Electoral College, Washington, Puerto Rican, Social Security, Electoral, Library of Congress, Elon, Democrats, Trump, Colorado Presidents, Security, Federal, Republican, Heritage Foundation, Dominion, Senate, White, Democratic, Lumina Foundation, Supreme, eventual, Michigan Trump, Gallup Locations: Florida, Madison, Chad, Virginia, Michigan, Puerto Rico, Guam, Minnesota, Washington, DC, Puerto, Congress, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Pennsylvania, Colorado, South Carolina, United States, California, Harris, Georgia, North Carolina, . Pennsylvania, Missouri, North Dakota, California , Maryland, Vermont, Washington ,, Ohio, Butler County, Texas, New York, It’s, today’s America, New Hampshire
State polling misses in presidential elections with Trump Polls underestimated Democrat Republican 2020 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 Iowa Result Poll avg. State polling misses in presidential elections Polls underestimated Democrat Republican 2012 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 S.C. One theory, presented by a report evaluating 2020 polls, is that Trump supporters were less likely to respond to surveys. Past polling misses in presidential elections for battleground states Years in bold indicate those in which the polling leader lost in that state. D+15 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 R+15 Note: Averages not available for some states in some years.
Persons: it’s, Donald J, Hillary Clinton, Joseph R, Biden, pollsters, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Trump, Mr, Clinton, Obama, Mitt Romney, John McCain, George W, Bush, John Kerry, Al Gore, , Chris Jackson, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, , Berwood Yost, we’ve Organizations: Republican, Mr, Trump Polls, Ohio Texas, Iowa Ohio, Electoral, N.H . Iowa Nev, Nev . Ohio N.M, Nev . Ohio N.M . Iowa Wis, ., . Ohio Mo, Democratic, Ipsos, Biden, Pew Research, Wisconsin Polling, Michigan Polling, Nevada Polling, Carolina Polling, Arizona Polling, Georgia Polling, Franklin & Marshall, Poll of Pennsylvania Locations: Ohio Texas Fla, N.C ., Ariz . Wis, Pa, Nev . Mich . Wisconsin, N.C, Ariz . Fla, Wis, Pa . Mich, N.H, Minn, Nev, Colo, Fla . Ohio Va, N.H . Iowa, Mich, South Carolina, Mont, Mo, Ind, Indiana, Fla, Nev . Ohio, Nev . Ohio N.M . Iowa, Ore, Hawaii, . Ohio, N.H . Fla, Iowa Minn, Wash, Ill, Florida, pollsters, State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Carolina, Arizona, Georgia
In the most recent NBC News poll, 54% of respondents say they disapprove of the job Biden is doing. In fact, Biden is now more personally unpopular than either Harris or Trump. Between now and Election Day, I do expect Harris to find more ways to differentiate herself from Biden. If that’s a Biden “hangover” that ends up hurting Trump more than Biden, it means team Harris effectively weaponized his age. In this most recent poll, Trump was losing the core Democratic states by only 13 points.
Persons: Biden, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, , couldn’t, Biden isn’t, it’s, Let’s, Harris, haven’t, , , John Kerry, Kerry, George W, Trump, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Richard Nixon, Hubert Humphrey, Al Gore, Gore, Humphrey, Nixon, that’s, Nate Cohn Organizations: White House, Biden, NBC, GOP, Democratic, Trump, The New York Times, Electoral College, Electoral Locations: Iraq, George H.W .
In today’s edition, national political correspondent Steve Kornacki breaks down the historical challenges Kamala Harris faces running for president as a sitting VP. Harris faces historic challenge in running as a sitting VPBy Steve KornackiKamala Harris is the third presidential nominee in the last half-century to run as a sitting vice president. Measures like more Secret Service agents and bulletproof glass are now common on the campaign trail. Read more → 🔑 It all comes down to yinz: The Harris campaign believes its path to winning all-important Pennsylvania runs through the suburbs. Read more →The Harris campaign believes its path to winning all-important Pennsylvania runs through the suburbs.
Persons: Steve Kornacki, Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama hasn't, Harris, Hakeem Jeffries, Steve Kornacki Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump’s, VPs, Al Gore, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan, , , ” Reagan, Bush, Michael Dukakis, Gore, Clinton, Hubert Humphrey, Lyndon Johnson, Johnson, Humphrey, Republican Richard Nixon —, they’d, Michelle Obama, Monica Alba, Carol E, Lee, Kristen Welker Barack Obama, Trump, ” Michelle Obama, Ali Vitali, Kyle Stewart ALBUQUERQUE, Democrats haven’t, “ we’ve, ” Jeffries, Jeffries, Nancy Pelosi speakership, Kevin McCarthy, Mike Johnson, , abou, l, ord, O Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Democratic, White, ABC, Democratic Party, Republican, Biden, Democratic National Convention, Service, Democrats, NBC News, GOP, Republicans, aig Locations: George H.W ., midstream, Vietnam, N.M, D, Jeffries, New York, California
Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, , Lake, , Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, , Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, , Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania
“To date, GSA has entered into an MOU with the Harris transition team outlining the terms for space and services, and is prepared to provide services to the Trump transition team once an MOU is executed and services are accepted,” a GSA spokesperson said. The Harris team has also submitted its ethics plan; the Trump team has not. The federal transition coordinator, a White House spokesperson told CNN, is “actively working” with the former president’s transition team to complete its MOU. Inside Biden administration preparationsThe Biden administration began preparing for this transition in 2023, starting with the appointment of a federal transition coordinator, a senior career official who serves as the main liaison between the candidates and eventual president-elect. “We were waiting for the phone calls [from the Trump team], waiting for people to show up, and they never did.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Max Stier, , , Trump, Chris Lu, Barack Obama’s, Harris, Biden, Linda McMahon, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Joe Biden, Yohannes Abraham, ” Stier, Stier, Chris Christie, Christie, Mike Pence, Obama, Jason Miller, Aimee Whiteman, Valerie Boyd, Bush, John McCain, Lu, George W, Al Gore’s, Harris ’, Boyd, Trump’s, , you’re Organizations: CNN, Public Service, White, Office of Management, Budget, General Services Administration, Republican, Democratic, , Trump, Small Business Administration, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, GSA, , House, New, New Jersey Gov, Biden, Activity, OMB, Center, Partnership for Public Service, Senate Locations: Indonesia, New Jersey, Florida
The former star appellate lawyer who allies once cast as the smartest person in the room remains confounded by the realities of Donald Trump. Roberts was shaken by the adverse public reaction to his decision affording Trump substantial immunity from criminal prosecution. The Roberts Court has been in sync with the GOP political agenda largely because of decisions the chief justice has authored: For Trump and other Republicans. But the politically charged valence deepened in the justices’ resolution of the case against former President Trump on election-interference charges from 2020. Harvard Law School professor Richard Lazarus, a longtime friend of Roberts, spent time with him in July immediately after the Trump decision was issued.
Persons: John Roberts, Donald Trump, Roberts, Trump, Roberts hewed, Roberts ’, Holder, Kamala Harris, Pew, Obama, John Marshall, Roger Taney, ” Roberts, Scott, Gore, Joe Biden, Harris, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Reagan, George H.W, William Rehnquist, , ” “, ” Trump, , Jack Smith, Sonia Sotomayor, excoriated, Sean Wilentz, Dred Scott, Erin Murphy, , ” Roman Martinez, Pence, ” Smith, Tanya Chutkan, Chutkan, Smith, Richard Lazarus, Lazarus, ” Lazarus Organizations: CNN, Trump, White House, Democratic, Pew Research Center, Republicans, Texas Gov, Capitol, Princeton, New York, . United, Georgetown University Law Center, House . Harvard Law, New, New England Law Boston, The Washington Locations: County, . United States, Galway, Ireland, New England
By contrast, the modern day Democrats’ historic success at winning the popular vote hasn’t translated into nearly as much governing power for them. Over this record run of popular vote success, Democrats have already twice lost the Electoral College – and thus the White House – while winning more votes. Amazingly, Republicans won unified control of government in two elections when Democrats won a plurality of the national presidential vote: 2000 and 2016. The Democrats’ popular vote winning stretch began in 1992 with Clinton’s victory over George H.W. The highest share of the popular vote Democrats have won over this period is the 52.9% that Obama garnered in 2008.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D, Roosevelt, , , Paul Pierson, Harris isn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Evan Vucci, Grover Cleveland, Kyle Kondik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Biden, Lee Drutman, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, Truman, , Pierson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Mark Schiefelbein, George H.W, Clinton, Al Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, George W . Bush, William McKinley, Teddy Roosevelt’s, William Howard Taft’s, Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover, Harding, Lyndon B, FDR, John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, Michael Tesler, Kondik, that’s, Drutman, Mitch McConnell, ” Drutman, Mitt Romney’s, Nikki Haley, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, centrists, Jim Kessler, Reagan, H.W, H.W . Bush, haven’t, ” Pierson, Ruffini Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Deal, TR Republicans, FDR Democrats, Electoral College –, TR, Supreme, University of California, Electoral, House, Senate, AP, Republican Senate, Democratic, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, FDR, White, White House, “ Republicans, New America, Republicans, Republican, Dort Financial, Electoral College, Trump, GOP, kinks, Democratic Party, “ Party, The Locations: Berkeley, Butler , Pennsylvania, LBJ, Dort, Flint , Michigan, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Vermont, Arkansas, North Carolina, , , H.W .
Total: 25