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The S & P 500 has now seen seven consecutive weeks of inflows, keeping the post-election momentum intact. I want to use the S & P 500 SPDR Trust ETF (SPY) to hedge these gains and bet against the consensus of markets finishing the year on a high note. SPY YTD mountain SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust, YTD Investors have rejoiced with expectations for a more business-friendly economy ahead following President Elect Donald Trump's victory in early November. My short-term view of a shallow repricing in the S & P 500 might come to fruition now that we have Nvidia's earnings in the rearview mirror. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Long Organizations: Bank of America, SPDR, Trust, YTD Investors, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Zoom Video Communications (ZM) , a Covid darling and post-Covid dog, is judged to be an excellent opportunity on the long side going into earnings next week. THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Video Communications, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
AdvertisementUS troops remain in Syria to counter ISIS and patrol oil fields in the region. For almost a decade, US troops have been on the ground in Syria to assist Kurdish-led forces in the defeat of the infamous Islamic State. AdvertisementDuring his first term, Trump ordered the withdrawal of US troops partnered with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces after ISIS' territorial defeat. Trump then backtracked and kept 900 US troops in Syria. Advertisement"We may have felt frustrated during Trump's first term due to his decision to withdraw American forces from Syria in 2019," Mohamad said.
Persons: Trump, tamp, Donald Trump, specter, Sinam Mohamad, Trump's, Mohamad, Bashar al, Assad, Mohammed A, Salih, Delil SOULEIMAN, Paul Iddon Organizations: ISIS, Syrian Democratic Forces, Office, Syrian Democratic Council, Autonomous Administration, North, Kurdistan Workers ' Party, Trump, Foreign Policy Research Institute, SDF Locations: Syria, Turkey, Kurdish, State, Russia, United States, East Syria, Syrian, Kurdistan, Ankara, America, Jordan, Hol, Afghanistan, Iran, North
They named Planned Parenthood as something that could be targeted for cuts. Planned Parenthood is preparing to face off with Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency after it identified the reproductive health provider as fat to be trimmed. We fended off a number of these attacks during Trump's first term — and Planned Parenthood health centers are still there serving millions of patients across the nation." AdvertisementIn a press release, the organization said its health centers saw a surge in appointments following Trump's reelection, including a 1,200% increase in vasectomy appointments and a 760% in IUD appointments. Advertisement"Like any other healthcare provider or hospital, Planned Parenthood affiliates are reimbursed for services provided to patients at health centers.
Persons: Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Alexis McGill Johnson, Donald Trump, McGill Johnson, We've, Trump's, Douglas Holtz, it's, Holtz, Eakin Organizations: of Government Efficiency, Elon, Elon Musk's Department, GOP, Planned Parenthood Federation of America, Congressional, Office, Management
CNN —After recent burglaries at homes of professional athletes – including Kansas City Chiefs stars Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce – the NFL has issued a security bulletin to teams and the players union warning that “organized and skilled groups” are increasingly targeting players’ residences for such crimes. The memo, issued Wednesday and obtained by CNN, warns that players across multiple sports leagues are being targeted. Perpetrators “appear to exploit team schedules to target athletes’ homes on game days,” and appear to be using public records, social media, media reports and surveillance to gather information on their targets, it says. That home belongs to Mahomes, the Chiefs’ quarterback, CNN affiliates KCTV and KSHB reported. Burglaries reported at NBA players’ homesReports of burglaries at the homes of NBA players have also recently emerged.
Persons: Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, , weren’t, ” Mahomes, KCTV, Mike Conley Jr, Conley, Bobby Portis, ” Portis, Jill Martin, Hanna Park, Josh Campbell Organizations: CNN, Kansas City Chiefs, NFL, FBI, Chiefs, KCTV, CNN –, New Orleans Saints, NBA, Minnesota Timberwolves, Minnesota Vikings, Minnesota Star Tribune, Timberwolves, Milwaukee Bucks, Bucks, Cleveland Cavaliers Locations: ” The Kansas City, Mahomes, Missouri’s Cass County, Kansas, Medina , Minnesota, Hills , Wisconsin
While the S & P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have both pushed to new all-time highs in November, market breadth indicators have mostly not confirmed those recent highs. Market breadth indicators like these are equal-weighted, meaning they simply count the number of stocks fulfilling a certain requirement. The change in that indicator over the last six weeks tells us that about 20% of the S & P 500 members have registered a sell signal on their point & figure charts! This chart shows the percent of stocks above their 200-day moving average, as well as the percent of stocks above their 50-day moving average as we quoted above. The S & P 500 continues to make higher lows, but a push below 5,850 would break that pattern which has been in place since August.
Persons: David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Back in late September, I laid out a bearish thesis on Apple and the trade expired last Friday and resulted in a 100% gain. Apple (AAPL) continues to face significant headwinds, with disappointing iPhone 16 sales, growing competition in augmented reality, and underwhelming progress in artificial intelligence (AI). China's slowing economy has weighed heavily on Apple, exacerbating challenges in one of its largest markets. While Apple boasts industry-leading net margins of 24%, its expected EPS growth of 11.6% and revenue growth of 6.9% provide limited justification for this valuation premium. With iPhone sales growth faltering and the lack of a clear catalyst from AI or AR/VR initiatives, AAPL's premium valuation remains increasingly difficult to sustain.
Persons: AAPL Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence, Meta, Microsoft, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: OptionsPlay
Einhorn said he's not bearish, but there will likely be better entry points into the market. Add David Einhorn to the list of top Wall Streeters pointing out how expensive the stock market is. Advertisement"This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish. Einhorn called this "the most expensive market of all time, as far as I can see, at least since I've been managing." AdvertisementBank of AmericaEinhorn is one of many to highlight stock valuations as a factor likely to impact forward returns.
Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, he's, CNH Industrials, it's, I've, Bank of America Einhorn, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Rob Arnott, Nelson Peltz, CNH, that's, That's Organizations: Alpha, Delivering Alpha, Capital, Bank of America, Research, Trian Partners, AG
On the day that Nvidia is reporting earnings post-close, there isn't much attention on anything else, especially not chemical companies. There's no use in trying to bottom fish a stock that continues to make new lows… until it actually shows a marked change of character. If the stock can, in fact, see an upside follow through soon, then the measured move target would be up at $138. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but patterns have the tendency to repeat – both over the short-term and long-term. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: it's, ALB Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Albemarle, ALB
Small-caps, small-cap value, non-US value stocks are expected to outperform with low valuations. Research Affiliates Founder Rob Arnott sees a bear market ahead for large-cap growth stocks. That spells trouble for the S&P 500, which is heavily made up of giant growth stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Small-cap stocks, small-cap value stocks, and non-US value stocks are all poised to deliver at least 10% returns annually over the next 10 years, he said. Small-cap value stocks (Russell 2000 Value index) are also cheap, with a 14 CAPE ratio.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Arnott, Russell, Vanguard Russell Organizations: Research, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Russell, Equity, Vanguard Locations: Japan, Europe, U.S
What the charts say about Nvidia before earnings
  + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Since early last year Nvidia (NVDA) has become the Super Bowl of earnings and like the actual big game, it comes right at the end of the season. Fundamental outlook The analyst community is looking for Nvidia to report 75 cents in EPS on $33.13 billion in revenue, according to FactSet. Nvidia charts The prior quarter's growth rates are coming down from astronomical levels of multiple hundreds of percentage points. As a result Nvidia sold off on Aug 28 from around the $130 level all the way down to $101.50. Hedge on Nvidia, just in case We're looking at buying a Nov 22nd expiration $140 / $130 put debit spread, currently trading at $2.88.
Persons: Blackwell, NVDA, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Philadelphia Semiconductor, Inside Edge Capital Management, NVDA, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA
The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has shown remarkable strength in 2024, soaring 40% between January and October. For those who missed the rally, November offers a potential opportunity as GLD has pulled back 8% from its all-time highs, creating a dip-buying scenario. DMI (Directional Movement Index): The DMI is composed of three lines: DI+ (green line), DI- (red line), and ADX (blue line). When the DI- (red line) is above the DI+ (green line), it indicates a downtrend. Note that both DI- and DI+ are changing direction, which provides the first indication of a possible trend change.
Persons: GLD, Nishant Pant Organizations: RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: GLD
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: LRCX, Katie Stockton Organizations: Nvidia, ASML Holdings, Lam Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: U.S
It builds on the P/E ratio (price-earnings ratio) by incorporating the expected long term earnings growth rate, providing a more dynamic perspective. Using a two-axis growth of a similar relative scale, we can normalize and compare BJ's revenue growth to Costco's. Costco's growth rate is better than that of its smaller competitors, but is the stock itself a better value? Over the past five years, Costco has experienced a growth rate of 11%, and BJ's is a more modest but still respectable 7%. BJ's PEG ratio is 21/7 = 3.
Persons: BJ, I've, BJ Jan Organizations: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, BJ's, Costco, Walmart, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Marlborough , Massachusetts, East Coast, Midwest
It's game time for the world's largest publicly traded uranium company, Cameco (CCJ) . Long-term: CCJ 20-Year Monthly Bar Chart "The lines draw themselves." The stock is at a major inflection point, toying not only with the prospect of a breakout near-term, to a new 52-week high (see the 2-year chart), but also toying with the prospect of a breakout to a new 20-year high and all-time high (see the 20-year chart). THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: ., toying, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
President-elect Donald Trump selected Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Health and Human Services Department, the United States' top health agency. This cabinet appointment has created jitters among various healthcare stocks. I want to find a way to hedge my healthcare exposure and also capitalize on further potential downside in the lagging healthcare sector by using options in Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) . The trade I want to buy a put spread to express my short-term bearish view on healthcare. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, SPDR, Eli Lily, UnitedHealthcare, Johnson Organizations: Health, Human Services Department, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: United States, crosshairs
First, let's recognize the strength of the uptrend in gold leading into November 2024. While the two trends were both higher in October, a post-election surge in the US Dollar appeared to signal the end of the golden era of gold in 2024. And while the long-term chart of gold remains in decent shape, the short-term reversal in recent weeks has pushed gold stocks down to key price support. Now the GDX is testing its 200-day moving average, which also represents a 50% retracement of the 2024 bull phase. In terms of a longer-term inflection point for gold, it's all about finding signs of accumulation.
Persons: it's, wasn't, we'd, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Gold Miners, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
As he has done several times before, Einhorn pointed a finger at passive, index investors: "The passive people, they don't care what the value is." "I view the markets as fundamentally broken," Einhorn said back in February on Barry Ritholtz's "Masters in Business" podcast. "You have these companies, and all they do is they manage these expectations, right?," Einhorn told Picker. This is causing great pain to value investors like Einhorn, many of whom have seen cash flee their funds. Another reason for long-term underperformance by active managers: They are competing against other active managers who have very little competitive edge against each other.
Persons: David Einhorn, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Leslie Picker, Einhorn, It's, Picker, Barry Ritholtz's, Rob Arnott, Arnott, there's, doesn't, RAFI, you'd, I'm Organizations: Greenlight Capital, CNBC Delivering Alpha Investor, Alpha, CNH, Interactive, Cornell grad, Research Affiliates, P Global Locations: New York City, U.S
Value investors believe these companies are undervalued due to temporary issues, market overreactions, or broader economic conditions. The approach is long-term, as value investors wait for the market to recognize the company's actual value, which may take time. On a podcast earlier this year, well-known hedge fund manager David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital lamented that modern-day passive investors pay no attention to "value" of the companies they buy. Outcome Scenarios : If the stock price stays above the strike price, the option expires worthless, allowing the investor to keep the premium as profit. If the stock price falls below the strike price, the option buyer will likely exercise it, obligating the seller to buy the stock at the strike price.
Persons: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, David Einhorn, CNH Organizations: Greenlight, Deere & Co, Agco Corp, Farmers, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
CNN —The Kansas City-area homes of Chiefs stars Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce were burglarized last month, according to multiple local news outlets citing authorities. Deputies responded to the first reported burglary shortly after midnight on October 6 at a home in Loch Lloyd, Missouri, a criminal report from the Cass County Sheriff’s Office states. That home belongs to Mahomes, the Chiefs’ quarterback, CNN affiliates KCTV and KSHB reported. There was no forced entry and “deputies completed an investigation and a report was taken,” according to the criminal report. The home was believed to belong to Kelce, the Chiefs tight end, KCTV said.
Persons: Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Kelce’s, Taylor Swift, ” Mahomes, ” Kelce, KCTV, CNN’s Taliah Miller, Eric Levenson Organizations: CNN, Chiefs, New Orleans Saints, TMZ, Sheriff’s, KCTV Locations: Kansas City, Loch Lloyd , Missouri, Cass, Leawood , Kansas
The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is particularly interesting for swing traders, as it tends to trade within predictable ranges over extended periods. Given that IWM is trading at the top of the new trading range, I'm considering a bearish trade on IWM. With $242 as the upper bound of the range, I'll sell a $245 call option, just above the current resistance level. The trade As mentioned earlier, the trade structure I am using here is called a "bear call spread," also known as a "call credit spread". To construct my trade, I need to sell a $245 call option and buy a $250 call option as a single unit.
Persons: Russell, IWM, Nishant Pant Organizations: Trump, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has been getting a lot of attention, and rightly so. Things have recently accelerated in November, and Tuesday, the IGV Software ETF was one of just three ETFs we track to make new all-time highs. Within the IGV Software ETF, it also has the third biggest weighting, but it's behind both CRM and ORCL. More importantly, MSFT has been noticeably lagging the IGV ETF across various time frames. The potential good news is that: 1. the ratio line remains in a long-term uptrend and 2. the last two oversold conditions happened near major relative trading lows.
Persons: IGV, MSFT, it's Organizations: Software Sector, Technology Trust, IGV Software, Microsoft, NASDAQ, Software, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: MSFT
As we approach the expiration of our Meta Platforms (META) trade from early October we have successfully captured 78% of the total maximum gain. On the fundamentals, META stands out as a leader in profitability and growth compared to its industry peers. And with analysts expecting EPS growth of 23% and revenue growth at 16%, META outpaces the industry averages by a significant margin. Additionally, META trades at 23x forward earnings, which is a 15% discount relative to its peers, presenting a substantial upside potential. The breakeven point is $571.77, meaning the trade remains profitable as long as Meta stays above this level.
Persons: AAPL Organizations: Apple, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: OptionsPlay
VinFast electric vehicles are parked before delivery to their first customers at a store in Los Angeles, March 1, 2023. Nasdaq-listed electric vehicle maker VinFast said on Wednesday it will get a fresh round of funding worth $3.35 billion from its founder and its parent firm, Vingroup by 2026, when it expects to break even. Approximately $1.97 billion of the new funding is expected to come from VinFast's founder, tycoon Pham Nhat Vuong, according to a company statement. Since its inception in 2017 up until June this year, VinFast has received capital injections totaling $13.5 billion from Vingroup, its affiliates, and founder Vuong, according to a company filing in late October. In July, VinFast suspended its $2 billion manufacturing complex project in North Carolina until 2028 due to challenging market conditions.
Persons: VinFast, Pham Nhat Vuong, Vuong, Donald Trump Organizations: Nasdaq, Reuters Locations: Los Angeles, Vietnam, Vingroup, North America, North Carolina
The small cap Russell 2000 index contains domestic companies that should benefit in a protectionist, on-shoring environment as long as inflation and rates stay contained. The monthly chart of the Russell 2000 shows a pending breakout from all-time highs of 2,459. Put in simpler terms the Russell 2000 small cap index has underperformed the large cap S & P 500 index for the past 13 years. The small cap Industrial ETF just broke from a consolidation around $135 and is still in the earlier stages of the expansion. The forward valuation is 28 times 2025 earnings so not egregious for this high growth small cap industrial name.
Persons: Russell, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon, POWL Organizations: Utilities, MGE Energy, Powell Industries, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
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