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Hong Kong central bank cuts interest rate, tracks Fed move
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People wearing face masks walk by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority on March 4, 2020 in Hong Kong. HKMA said the U.S. interest rate cut will have a positive impact on the economy of the Asia financial center and will provide some room for easing of local interest rates. "In Hong Kong, our financial and monetary markets have continued to operate in a smooth and orderly manner. "The rate cut cycle has just begun, interest rates will remain at relatively high level in the foreseeble future. The public should carefully assess and continue to manage the interest rate risk when making property purchase, mortgage or other lending decisions," Lee added.
Persons: HKMA, Howard Lee, Lee Organizations: Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Hong, HK, U.S ., U.S . Federal Reserve, Hong Kong Locations: Hong Kong, United States, U.S, Asia
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has unveiled his latest buzzword to describe monetary policy, with a "recalibration" of policy at a pivotal moment for the central bank. "This recalibration of our policy stance will help maintain the strength of the economy and the labor market, and will continue to enable further progress on inflation as we begin the process of moving forward a more neutral stance," Powell said. Financial markets weren't quite sure what to make of the chair's messaging in the meeting's immediate aftermath. However, asset prices soared Thursday as investors took Powell at his word that the unusually outsized move wasn't in response to a substantial slowing of the economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 jumped to new highs in trading Thursday after swinging violently Wednesday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, didn't, Tom Porcelli Organizations: Financial, Dow Jones Industrial
Introduction to the federal funds rateDefinition and purpose of the federal fund rateThe federal funds rate, or fed funds rate, is the interest rate set by the Federal Open Markets Committee. The Federal Reserve lowered the federal fund rate on September 19, 2024, to stop aggressive inflation and prevent a recession. Today, the federal fund rate is 5.00%, with the federal fund target rate being 4.75% to 5.00%. How the federal funds rate worksThe federal funds rate, or the overnight rate, is the interest commercial banks charge when they lend money to one another for extremely short-term periods — literally, overnight. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high?
Persons: Karen Fernandez Tessa Campbell, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Open Markets, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, Susquehanna University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Gov. Dan Tarullo: Fed is pivoting to a more future-oriented approach to monetary policyDaniel Tarullo, Harvard Law School professor and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision, what was behind FOMC's decision to cut 50 basis points, takeaways from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, and more.
Persons: Dan Tarullo, Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Former, Harvard Law School, Federal Reserve Locations: takeaways
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced an interest-rate cut of 50 basis points, the first cut Americans have received in over four years. AdvertisementHe's argued in the past that the Fed would only cut rates close to the election to aid Democrats, which he reiterated leading up to the central bank's announcement. Trump sought to use his presidential power to appoint members to the Fed board who supported his unorthodox views of the central bank. Trump has flip-flopped his views on his most important appointment to the Fed: Powell. Trump's tepid support of Powell underlines just how mercurial he can be when it comes to the central bank.
Persons: , Donald Trump isn't, Jerome Powell, Trump, they're, He's, Powell, Judy Shelton, Shelton, Sen, Susan Collins, Herman Cain, Stephen Moore, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, he's, reappoint Powell, Trump hasn't Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Democratic, Business, Federal Reserve, Street, Trump, Bloomberg, Fox, Fed, Governors, Maine Republican, Fed Board, Bloomberg News Locations: New York, Michigan, Maine
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
On the positive side, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel called the decision the "best news" the Fed has offered in years. He said the Fed "moved too fast" with its 50-point cut. This is unusual, since investors will typically snap up these assets after a rate cut. Related storiesSome on Wall Street noted that the Fed's decision to cut beyond 25 basis points was essentially a signal that the central bank is moving past inflation. To Contopoulos point, this may be premature, as August's consumer price index report still stood above the 2% inflation target.
Persons: , Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Michael Contopoulos, Bernstein, Contopoulos, Powell, Narayana Kocherlakota Organizations: Service, Business, Bernstein Advisors, CNBC, Wall, University of Rochester
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWill see a 'gradual cutting pace' from the Federal Reserve, strategist saysMatt Orton, chief market strategist at Raymond James Investment Management, discusses the impact of the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision and the outlook for monetary policy.
Persons: Matt Orton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Raymond James Investment Management
The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point higher to 3.6127%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Thursday as investors digested the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday delivered a 50 basis point interest rate reduction, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.75%-5%. The size of the cut was in line with market expectations, which had shifted from expecting a 25 basis point cut to a bigger 50 basis point one in recent days. Elsewhere, the Bank of England is set to announce its latest interest rate decision.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: U.S
Bank of England holds interest rates steady after August cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Commuters cycles past the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Monday, Sept. 16, 2024. The central bank's Monetary Policy Committee's interest rate decision is scheduled for release on Sept. 19. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday said it would hold interest rates steady following its initial cut in August, even after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted for a jumbo rate cut the day before. The Monetary Policy Committee voted by 8 to 1 to hold, with the dissenting member voting for a 0.25 percentage point cut. Many strategists had expected a smaller 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, despite market pricing through this week pointing to more than 50% probability of the more aggressive option.
Persons: BOE Organizations: Bank of England, City of, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Monetary, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: City, City of London, U.K
But in his own way (very demure, very mindful) that is what happened Wednesday when he announced the Fed’s first rate cut in four years, a giant half-point reduction that will lower the cost of borrowing and offer financial relief for consumers and businesses. Whenever a reporter asks him about politics, Powell refuses to bite. Like on Wednesday, when he was asked whether the half-point rate cut had political motivations, he responded with something approaching exasperation. It’s just maximum employment and price stability on behalf of all Americans.”Of course, that’s unlikely to stop either party from using the rate cut news to their advantage, given that the economy is the No. Trump can continue to claim that a rate cut is a sign the economy is weak.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Jerome Powell, That’s, ” Powell, “ We’re, Republican Sen, Tommy Tuberville, , Kamala Harris, , it’s, It’s, Jason Furman, Donald Trump, they’re, Pubkey, ” Trump, Powell, He’s, Joe Biden, Powell isn’t, Barack Obama, don’t, Harris, Biden, Steve Sosnick Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, CNN, Trump, Fed’s, Governors, Interactive Brokers, Fed Locations: New York, America, Alabama, New York City, Trump
It's the first time the Federal Reserve has cut rates since March 2020. The unemployment rate also ticked down in August, giving the Fed the data it needed to cut rates. AdvertisementAccording to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest-rate changes based on market predictions, a rate cut was all but certain; the question was how big of a cut the Fed would implement. Additionally, some economists and Democratic lawmakers had for months been calling for a rate cut of at least 50 basis points. "They're going to cut rates this week," Bharat Ramamurti, a senior advisor for economic strategy at the American Economic Liberties Project, told reporters during a Monday briefing.
Persons: , Jerome Powell's, Skanda Amarnath, Democratic Sens, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Sheldon Whitehouse, Powell, delinquencies, Bharat Ramamurti Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Federal Reserve, Business, CME FedWatch, Democratic, Fed, American Economic Liberties Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, America
Commuters outside the Bank of England (BOE) in the City of London, UK, on Monday, Sept. 16, 2024. The central bank's Monetary Policy Committee's interest rate decision is scheduled for release on Sept. 19. Either way, this would be Fed's first rate cut in the current cycle. Meanwhile, money market pricing for a BOE cut at Thursday's September meeting dipped from 35% late Tuesday to 26% Wednesday morning, still slightly higher than it was last week. The move came after U.K. inflation came in at 2.2% for August, steady on July and in-line with expectations — thus backing the need for a little more caution in Threadneedle Street.
Persons: BOE, , Sanjay Raja, Raja, George Lazarias, Mazars, they're, Lazarias Organizations: Bank of England, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Monetary, MPC Locations: City, City of London, China
Watch CNBC's full interview with Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Carlyle CEO Harvey SchwartzCNBC’s Leslie Picker and Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, central bank's monetary policy, rate path outlook, state of private equity, Carlyle's private credit strategy, and more.
Persons: Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Leslie Picker
Traders across Wall Street expect the Fed to lower rates, ending the tightening cycle that began in March 2022. That said, investors aren't sure how big the rate reduction will be. To be sure, it closed more than 30 points below the closing all-time high of 5,634.58 set in July. We tend to agree with that, but also think the setup for a 'false breakout' remains high," wrote Krinsky. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Barclays upgraded VF Corp to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Chris Murphy, Susquehanna, Jonathan Krinsky, It's, Adrienne Yih Organizations: Federal, Traders, Barclays, Corp
The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first cut to interest rates on Wednesday after more than two years of tight monetary policy. That is up from 4.29% during the week of March 11, 2022, just prior to the Fed kicking off its first hike. Home equity loans have also become more expensive, with rates rising to 8.49% as of last week, compared to 5.96% back in March 2022, according to Bankrate. The Fed's tight policy has provided a silver lining to savers, however. The annual percentage yield on a five-year certificate of deposit has jumped to 2.87%, up from 0.5% in March 2022, according to Haver.
Persons: Bankrate, Haver, — Darla Mercado, Nick Wells Organizations: Federal, Mortgage News, Fed
US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, , John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment
Anadolu | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation held steady during the month of August, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday, and matched analyst expectations. Headline CPI had come in at 2% in May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. Services inflation — which is closely watched by the BOE, given its dominance within the U.K. economy and its reflection of domestically-generated price rises — rose to 5.6% in August from 5.2% in July. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.6%, up from the 3.3% recorded in July. "Despite recent data showing a stagnation in UK economic output and easing wage growth, core inflation remains sticky, with services inflation rising from 5.2% to 5.6% which will weigh heavily on the BOE's decision-making," Carter said in a note.
Persons: BOE, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Carter Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Office, National Statistics, Headline CPI, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve
How to play the Fed decision using options on gold
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Gold is trading at all-time highs due to a combination of inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and expectations around monetary policy. Historically, gold tends to benefit from dovish monetary policies, especially when they signal prolonged low interest rates, which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Gold has maintained its bullish momentum, trading near $2,600, and appears to be breaking into new all-time highs. Looking at the chart, gold has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, a sign of strong upward momentum. The trade To express a bullish to neutral view on gold going into the Fed announcement, consider selling a SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Nov 1 $237.5/232.5 Put Vertical @ $2.02 Credit.
Persons: GLD Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Central
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.6046% after adding over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Wednesday as all eyes were on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision expected for later in the day. The focus on Wednesday will be on the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision and guidance for the monetary policy outlook. While a interest rate cut is all but guaranteed, traders are divided about the size of the rate reduction. Investors are also hoping for hints about what Fed interest rate policy could look like for the remainder of the year and if more cuts are on the horizon.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors
Read previewOver the past few years, US mortgage rates have fluctuated wildly, leaving both homebuyers and sellers scrambling. AdvertisementThis can lead to significantly lower interest rates, making monthly mortgage payments more affordable and saving thousands over the life of the loan. The Federal Open Market Committee, which oversees US monetary policy, is expected to cut interest rates at its meeting this week. This could lead to further declines in mortgage rates in the coming months. Here are the stories of three homebuying couples who secured mortgage rates below 3% since March 2023 using assumable mortgages.
Persons: , Louis, Freddie Mac, aren't, Grace Lucchese, Mickey Ricard, Boston —, Lucchese, Ricard, Riccard, Brian Sankey, Fort Knox, Sankey, Brian Sankey Sankey, wouldn't, Amy Yzaguirre, Yzaguirre, I've Organizations: Service, Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Business, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Market Committee, Boston, Lucchese, assumable Veterans Affairs, Veterans Affairs, Army, Toyota Tacoma Locations: Lucchese's, Sudbury , Massachusetts, Boston, couple's Massachusetts, Elizabethtown , Kentucky, Fort, Elizabethtown, Oregon, Idaho, Tigard, Portland, Sherwood
Read previewThe nation's central bank has finally cut interest rates for the first time in over four years. AdvertisementStill, Hamrick said within a day of the Fed's rate cuts, banks will likely adjust their prime lending rates, which will be noticed in credit-card rates "immediately." The Fed rate cuts indirectly affect mortgages, which are generally based on other interest rates that are loosely tied to the Fed funds rate. And when it comes to businesses, rate cuts will have a positive impact on their operations, making it cheaper to take out loans. Are you planning to make any big purchases now that the Fed has cut interest rates?
Persons: , Mark Hamrick, Erica Groshen, Michele Raneri, Raneri, Hamrick, Elizabeth Renter, Renter Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Democratic, Fed, Business, Cornell University, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Financial, TransUnion, asheffey
The Club has stayed with Morgan Stanley on expectations that its investment banking outfit will flourish again. At Wells Fargo , the Club's other financial name, lower rates should help its burgeoning investment banking business. Wells Fargo shares year-to-date have performed better than Morgan Stanley, gaining 11%. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance The Corporate and Investment Banking division makes up 23% of overall revenue. To be sure, Wells Fargo management said during July's second-quarter earnings call that the bank will continue to de-risk its office portfolio.
Persons: Banks, Erica Groshen, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Charlie Scharf, Wells, July's, Jim Cramer's, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, CNBC, Cornell University, Fed, Investment, Morgan Stanley's Institutional Securities, Morgan Stanley's, Wells, Investment Banking, CIB, Federal Reserve Bank, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCarlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz on the Fed, state of private equity and economic outlookCNBC’s Leslie Picker and Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, central bank's monetary policy, rate path outlook, state of private equity, Carlyle's private credit strategy, and more.
Persons: Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Leslie Picker
That's because the Fed wants a "healthy economy," a big component of which is a strong stock market, he said. AdvertisementThe "Fed put" is back, and stock investors may not be fully pricing in the good news, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. The prominent stock bull pointed to the idea that central bankers could move to further ease monetary policy at any sign of weakness in the stock market. AdvertisementA healthy economy, though, hinges on consumer and business confidence, which is largely tied to the stock market, Lee said. We could be seeing turbulence for the next 8 weeks, but this is also in the context of a very strong stock market in 2024," he added.
Persons: Tom Lee, That's, , Lee, There's Organizations: Fed, Service, Wednesday
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