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September is a historically weak month for stocks, but the first U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in four years meant that markets have mostly bucked the trend so far. The S & P 500 has risen around 1% month-to-date, and jumped about 8% since the end of June when stocks went through much volatility. But risks such as the U.S. election, inflation and geopolitical conditions raise the question of what the path ahead will be like for stocks. "In my view, the banking sector could win ... as should solid growth stocks – at reasonable valuations – in the healthcare and software sectors," he added. Valuations in the U.S. market look "less demanding" — if you exclude Big Tech, mega-growth stocks, which are dragging up the overall price-to-earnings multiple of the S & P 500, Webber added.
Persons: David Bianco, Simon Webber, Schroders, Webber Organizations: U.S . Federal, Equity, Big Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: DWS, U.S
Here are the stocks making notable moves in extended trading on Tuesday: KB Home — The homebuilder fell 6% after fiscal third-quarter earnings missed expectations. KB Home reported $2.04 in earnings per share, slightly below the $2.06 per share expected by analysts, according to LSEG. Rithm Capital — Shares of the asset manager fell 2% after Rithm announced a plan to sell 30 million shares. Progress reported adjusted earnings of $1.26 per share on $178.7 million of revenue. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were looking for $1.14 in earnings per share on $176.2 million of revenue.
Persons: Rithm Organizations: Rithm
One of the world's largest e-commerce companies is emerging as a top pick on Wall Street as investors look for tech opportunities beyond the Magnificent Seven. "There was no venture capital for Latin America. Last year, venture-backed companies in Latin America raised $3.3 billion across nearly 1,000 deals, according to PitchBook. E-commerce and online payments are steadily growing, and Latin America has a young, mobile-savvy population of more than 600 million people. "When you look at the penetration of e-commerce in Latin America, it's still quite low compared to the U.S., Europe or Asia," Galperin told CNBC.
Persons: Marcos Gaplerin, Brad Gerstner, Gerstner, CNBC's Scott Wapner, Goldman Sachs, It's, Buenos Aires Galperin, Galperin, MercadoLibre, We've, it's Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall Street, Stanford Graduate School of Business, CNBC, Stanford, eBay Locations: Delaware, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Chile, South America, Mercado Pago, Buenos Aires, Palo Alto , California, California, America, Silicon Valley, New York, Sand, West, Latin America, U.S, Europe, Asia
Four worries that should keep market bulls awake at night
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors are still expressing signs of concern despite the stock market hitting all-time highs, according to Deutsche Bank. The S & P and the Dow weren't alone in their milestones. Gold prices also notched a new all-time high following the supersized Fed cut, crossing the $2,600 per ounce level on Friday. Allen also highlighted that traditional valuation metrics are "elevated" considering the "relentless" nature of the market in 2024. Year to date, the S & P has gained nearly 20%, and has risen in 24 of this year's 38 weeks, according to FactSet.
Persons: Dow, Henry Allen, Allen Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ECB Locations: Ukraine
The move they made is a big cut," SlateStone Wealth's Kenny Polcari told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " on Sept. 19. Calling it a "crisis level cut," he added that "people [are] scratching their heads, going, what's it really mean?" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the big rate cut does not signal that the risk of a recession is elevated. According to FactSet data, of the 20 analysts covering the stock, 18 give it a buy or overweight rating, while two have a hold rating. Biotech play Another stock Polcari is bullish on is biopharmaceutical player Amgen , given its pipeline of new products .
Persons: Kenny Polcari, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Polcari, Amgen, — CNBC's Sean Conlon Organizations: U.S, Biotech, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Euronext, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: Federal, U.S, Amgen, Euronext Amsterdam, Dutch, ASML
Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
A major exchange-traded fund and mutual fund manager finds the winning gold trade isn't talked about as much as the artificial intelligence trade — but maybe it should be. VanEck CEO Jan van Eck thinks the best investment this year is "the hedge against political cycles." But as of Friday, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF has started to outperform, up 31% this year. As for the AI trade, van Eck says it's "amazing" how investors refuse to give up on it. It's a companion to its VanEck Semiconductor ETF that excludes companies that run their own foundries, such as Intel .
Persons: isn't, Jan van Eck, Van Eck, CNBC's, Gold, van Eck Organizations: Gold Miners, Semiconductor, VanEck Semiconductor, Intel, Nvidia, Broadcom, Devices Locations: Huntington Beach
Constellation Energy plans to restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant , with operations slated to resume in 2028 subject to approval by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. It demonstrates the growing financial opportunity that nuclear power represents for utilities and their investors. VST YTD mountain Vistra shares, YTD The power company, headquartered outside Dallas, is viewed as one of the lead contenders to ink a data center nuclear deal next. "Vistra's timely acquisition of nuclear portfolio Energy Harbor in 2023 gives the company a coveted nuclear portfolio," the analysts said. Burke specifically called out Comanche Peak, a twin reactor nuclear plant with 2.4 gigawatts of capacity outside Forth Worth, Texas.
Persons: Vistra, Shahriar Pourreza, Jefferies, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Jim Burke, Burke, John Ketchum, Duane Arnold, Ketchum, NextEra, Robert Blue Organizations: U.S, Constellation Energy, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Microsoft, Vistra Corp, Nvidia, Energy, Guggenheim Securities, Wall Street, Jefferies, NextEra Energy, Dominion Energy, Dominion Locations: Dallas, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Energy Harbor, Forth Worth , Texas, Iowa, FactSet, Waterford , Connecticut
An unlikely technology billionaire could come out on top in the battle of the world's richest a year from now. That briefly positioned Ellison as the richest person in the world behind Musk and ahead of Bezos. This could boost the ex-CEO's fortune by $27.8 billion to $203.9 billion, placing him less than $3 billion behind Ellison in stock value. That could mean a windfall for CEO Huang's stock fortune, lifting his stake by $27.2 billion to $128.7 billion. Musk's Tesla stake could decline nearly 11% to $89.6 billion from roughly $100.3 billion as of Thursday's close.
Persons: Larry Ellison, Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Ellison, Larry, Kim Forrest, I'm, Amazon's, Tesla Organizations: Oracle, Nvidia, Bokeh Capital Partners, Federal Reserve Locations: Bezos
The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 42,000 this week for the first time ever, while the S & P 500 breached the 5,700 milestone, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. "A lot holds in the balance of the next couple or few days," said Katie Stockton, founder at Fairlead Strategies. .SPX 5D mountain S & P 500 On Friday, the 30-stock Dow, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each closed higher by more than 1% for the week. The breakout is "'pending confirmation,'" Stockton said. Overall, Stockton expects that the longer-term setup for the S & P 500 is "a bit overdone."
Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, That's, Sam Stovall, Gee, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Stockton, CFRA, Fed, Chicago, PMI, Richmond Fed, New, Micron Technology, Transportation, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, PCE Deflator, PCE Locations: . Kansas, Michigan
Check out the companies making headlines in extended trading: Nike — Shares soared 10%. Nike veteran Elliott Hill, who had been at the company for 32 years before retiring in 2020, will take the helm. FedEx reported adjusted earnings per share of $3.60 on revenue of $21.58 billion, while analysts polled by LSEG were looking for $4.76 per share in earnings and $21.93 billion of revenue. MillerKnoll reported adjusted earnings per share of 36 cents on revenue of $861.5 million. Lennar reported earnings of $4.26 per share on revenue of $9.42 billion.
Persons: John Donahoe, Elliott Hill, LSEG, MillerKnoll, Lennar, Chewy, Buddy Chester, Organizations: Nike —, Nike, FedEx —, FedEx, FactSet, Buddy Chester Sub LLC, BC Partners
Forty-one percent of analysts polled by FactSet have a buy rating on Tesla stock, while 21% have a sell rating. About 43% of analysts surveyed by FactSet maintain a buy rating on IBM stock, but 21% are at a sell. He also noted that the risk-to-reward skew on IBM stock is more balanced, leaving less upside for the stock. IBM YTD mountain IBM stock. Goldman Sachs recently added IBM to its conviction list with a $220 price target, or 2% above where shares closed Wednesday.
Persons: Tesla, TSLA, Wolfe Research's Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Elon Musk, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Goldman Sachs, Jim Schneider, Campbell Soup Organizations: CNBC Pro, FactSet, U.S, automakers, IBM, Pepperidge
Talen's surge comes on the back of its deal to sell a data center campus to Amazon Web Services and supply the facility with nuclear power from the Susquehanna station northwest of Allentown, Pennsylvania. The deal is viewed as a trailblazing agreement for the power industry, and Wall Street has taken notice. A year ago, Talen was not covered by any Wall Street analysts, according to FactSet data. And Talen's assets are located almost entirely in the PJM grid, a predominantly mid-Atlantic region where power prices are expected to explode as demand outstrips supply due in part to growing data center load. Data center developers are expected to spend $250 billion annually on data centers, Barclays analyst Nicholas Campanella said in a note this week.
Persons: Talen, Shahriar Pourreza, Pourreza, TLN, William Appicelli, Nicholas Campanella, Campanella, amortization, Appicelli Organizations: Talen Energy Corporation, Amazon Web Services, Street, Barclays, Guggenheim, Jefferies, UBS, Susquehanna, Talen Energy, AWS, American Electric Power, AEP, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Locations: Susquehanna, Allentown , Pennsylvania, Wednesday's
Heading into a lower interest-rate environment, there is one stock that should be on investors' radar, according to Ariel Investments' Charles Bobrinskoy: Oracle. " AI is all about analyzing your data, and Oracle controls a lot of that data." While Bobrinskoy said Oracle used to be "way too cheap," it is currently "getting pretty close to fairly valued." Bobrinskoy now expects there to be a rotation into value stocks given the view that there is a lower risk of a recession. "Value stocks are very cheap," he continued.
Persons: Ariel, Charles Bobrinskoy, CNBC's, Bobrinskoy, BorgWarner, Stocks Organizations: Ariel Investments, Oracle, Federal Reserve
With that seasonal volatility in mind, Evercore ISI screened for stocks that may continue to outperform in the current climate. The investment bank combed through the Russell 3000 for stocks that are in the top quintiles for momentum, sentiment and buybacks. One company that made the Evercore ISI screen was mobile tech company AppLovin . Evercore ISI also highlighted Sprouts Farmers Market as a potential outperformer. Evercore ISI upgraded Sprouts to outperform from in line this week.
Persons: Russell, LSEG, BTIG, Benjamin Budish, Robinhood, Michael Montani Organizations: Stock, Federal, UBS, FactSet, Financial, LSEG, Barclays, ISI
Darden Restaurants — Shares advanced nearly 11% after the restaurant operator announced a multiyear partnership with Uber for on-demand delivery later this year. The company reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings and revenue, however, as its sales weakened at Olive Garden and its fine dining restaurants. DoorDash — The food delivery stock rose more than 3% after an upgrade to buy from neutral at BTIG. Alibaba – Shares rose more than 4% after the Chinese e-commerce company launched more than 100 open-source artificial intelligence models and a text-to-video tool. FedEx — Shares rose more than 1% ahead of the shipping giant's first-quarter earnings report due after the bell.
Persons: Uber, Jefferies, chipmakers, FactSet, Alibaba, Max, Stocks, bitcoin, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Brian Evans, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Darden, Olive, NextEra Energy, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, Micron, Micron Technology, FedEx —
Google-parent Alphabet has long been an investor favorite among tech stocks, but one portfolio manager says he's now steering clear. Shares in Alphabet are up around 13% year-to-date and trade around 20.6 times forward earnings, according to FactSet data. 'Core investments' Beyond Alphabet, Cvetanovski remains bullish on other tech stocks, naming Nvidia , Vertiv , ASML , Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co and Schneider Electric as his "core investments." Nvidia is trading at over 41 times forward earnings, according to FactSet data. Analysts' average price target is $149.49, giving it 28% potential upside, FactSet data shows.
Persons: he's, We've, SearchGPT, Jordan, OpenAI, Cvetanovski, we've, — CNBC's Jennifer Elias Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Pella Funds, Apple, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, Schneider Electric Locations: Sydney, Pella, Cvetanovski, ASML
Concerns about iPhone 16 lead times could send Apple shares lower in the near term, according to Morgan Stanley. This has led to the stock underperforming by an average of five points in the three months following an iPhone launch. "What will matter most over the next 10 days is the trajectory of iPhone 16 lead times, as historically iPhone lead times elongate through the first in-store availability date (Friday, September 20th) before gradually trending lower in the weeks thereafter," the analyst wrote in a Wednesday note to clients. "Therefore, a more sustained elongation in iPhone 16 lead times from today should be viewed positively, while a sharp reversal in iPhone 16 lead times after Friday would likely indicate a greater risk of negative iPhone build revisions." With 48 analysts covering the stock, 36 of them have a strong buy or buy rating, while 11 are neutral.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring, Wall Organizations: Apple
Gold is already near the top of the 2024 range of outcomes projected by BlackRock Investment Institute, for example. Emerging market central banks have about 6% of their FX reserves in gold, and developed markets have about 12%. "Weaponizing dollar-based systems, including SWIFT , has led to more people, more countries specifically — more sovereign wealth funds and central banks — not trusting dollar-based assets as much. ETF flows As central banks have been bidding up gold, smaller investors were selling for much of this year. The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) and the Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) are the other funds with at least $100 million in net inflows this year, according to FactSet.
Persons: there's, Robert Minter, Minter, SWIFT, Lauren Goodwin, we're, Chris Verrone Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, BlackRock Investment Institute, Abrdn, World Gold Council, U.S ., FX, United, Russia, New York Life Investments, MiniShares, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Abrdn . Central, Central, United States, Ukraine
In recent weeks, more stocks are participating in the market's move to record or near-record highs. "Market breadth breakouts support the bullish case," Bank of America technical analyst Stephen Suttmeier said in a 29-page report Monday. Suttmeier relied on the advance/decline line , a measure of the number of stocks rising in price on a given day versus the number of stocks that have fallen in price, for his analysis. Advancers also beat decliners on the Nasdaq Stock Market by about 2,500 to 1,000, or a ratio of 2.5 to 1. "Strong advance-decline (A-D) lines show solid market breadth [and] suggest a 'rotational' versus 'toppy' trading pattern since July," Suttmeier told clients.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Advancers, decliners Organizations: Bank of America, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, U.S, NYSE Locations: U.S
Gold's rally to records shows no signs of slowing
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices just won't stop rising. Year to date, gold is up nearly 26% — outpacing the S & P 500's 18% gain. Since ETF holdings only increase gradually as the Fed cuts, this upside is not yet fully priced in." Investors seeking exposure to gold can obtain it through exchange traded funds, such as the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) . The fund, which tracks gold prices and charges 0.4% in fees, is up nearly 25% in 2024.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas, Christopher Danely Organizations: Reserve, Goldman, Miners, Gold Miners, Citigroup, Micron Technology
Tech stocks may have had a volatile past few weeks , but one chief investment officer is still bullish. The chief investment officer believes Nvidia's stock is "reasonably valued," based on its two to three-year outlook. "We've been doing that, and we've been pretty happy with the price we've been getting," he added. Broadcom shares fell 7% in extended trading following its results announcement, but remain up close to 47.5% year-to-date. Nineteen of 33 analysts covering the stock give it a buy or overweight rating, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Jason Ware, Jensen Huang's, Ware, CNBC's, We've, we've, Oracle Corporation Ware, it's, Leswing, Jordan Novet Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Oracle, Broadcom, Oracle Corporation, Apple, Tesla Locations: Albion
While that may give some investors pause, veteran tech investor Trent Masters continues to see promise, revealing four stocks he has a "high degree of conviction" in. They are: Nvidia , Motorola Solutions , Trane Technologies and Sherwin-Williams . Trane Technologies Beyond the traditional tech plays, Masters is betting on Trane Technologies, a company specializing in heating, ventilation, air-conditioning and refrigeration systems. The average price target for Trane Technologies is $361.46, according to FactSet data, giving it a 0.8% discount. Sherwin-Williams Outside tech, Masters likes paint manufacturer Sherwin-Williams thanks to its "very strong ... business (with a) good returns profile."
Persons: Trent Masters, Sherwin, Williams, CNBC's, Jensen Huang's, Masters, — CNBC's Jim Cramer Organizations: Nvidia, Motorola Solutions, Trane Technologies, Sydney, Alphinity Investment Management, Motorola, Land Mobile
Nvidia stock got a boost last week as investors cheered comments by CEO Jensen Huang about the company's new AI chip rollout. Blackwell — Nvidia's next-generation processor — is a key focus for Wall Street amid some delays. This — and some other concerns — have hit the company's share price in recent weeks. Shares of the firm rallied 8% last Wednesday and rose nearly 16% over the week. In case you missed it, here's a round-up of all the top analyst calls and more over the past week:
Persons: Jensen Huang, Blackwell — Nvidia's, Huang, Goldman Sachs, ramping Blackwell Organizations: Technology Conference, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: San Francisco
watch nowDrugmakers are betting that delivering radiation directly to tumors will become the next big cancer breakthrough. That can allow the treatment to deliver radiation to cancer cells and spare the rest of the body from the level of damage that comes with many cancer drugs. For Pluvicto, patients come in once every six weeks for up to six treatments. One opportunity Bristol Myers Squibb sees is combining radiopharmaceuticals with existing cancer drugs like immunotherapy, said Robert Plenge, Bristol's chief research officer. But she thinks the technology will become an important part of cancer drugs in the next decade.
Persons: Eli Lilly, They've, Michael Schmidt, Schmidt, Franco Origlia, Jacob Van Naarden, Eli Lilly's, Lilly, Biopharma, Van Naarden, Radiopharmaceuticals, Bristol Myers, Ben Hickey, RayzeBio, Hickey, Victor Bulto, Bulto, Timothy Korytko, Ronald Coy, Sharon, Ronald Coy Ronald Coy, Coy, who's, Coy hasn't, she's, we've, Eli Lilly's Van Naarden, Bristol Myers Squibb, Robert Plenge, Susan Galbraith, Galbraith Organizations: Bristol Myers Squibb, AstraZeneca, Guggenheim Securities, Novartis, NSA, Pharmaceutical, Bassett Healthcare Network, Bristol, Fusion Pharmaceuticals, Guggenheim Locations: Aedea Rome, Italy, radiopharmaceuticals, Swiss, FactSet, Bristol, Indiana, U.S, New York, Bassett
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