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It may be time to consider adding emerging markets bonds to your fixed-income portfolio. His Vanguard Emerging Markets Bond Fund (VEGBX) is rated five stars by Morningstar. BlackRock also likes emerging markets, specifically external currency debt. Often issued in U.S. dollars, hard currency EM debt is also cushioned from EM currency weakness as EM central banks cut rates," she wrote. He suggests working with an advisor if you want to add EM bonds to your portfolio.
Persons: shying, Daniel Shaykevich, Morningstar, you'd, Shaykevich, Wei Li, Vanguard's Shaykevich, It's Organizations: Vanguard, Emerging Markets Bond Fund, BlackRock, U.S, BlackRock Investment Locations: Treasurys, America, Mexico, Brazil, Saudi Arabia
In today's big story, we're looking at what a hotter-than-expected inflation report means for markets and the econom y . That silver lining doesn’t address the elephant in the room: What does the latest CPI data mean for interest rates? AdvertisementMadison Hoff/Noah Sheidlower/Business InsiderThe hot inflation report comes just a few weeks after some industry experts felt the market was in a perfect position. Stubbornly elevated inflation means Powell might be less willing to cut rates and risk further fueling inflation. It’s particularly painful for smaller companies, which tend to carry floating-rate debt more susceptible to elevated interest rates.
Persons: , Angela Weiss, Insider’s Madison Hoff, BI’s Aruni Soni, Madison Hoff, Noah Sheidlower, we’ve, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jim Zelter, BI’s Yuheng Zhan, Alyssa Powell, Peter Thiel, bitcoin, Noah Berger Sam Altman’s, Jensen Huang, Altman's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Bezos, Rob Dobi, doomsayers, Brace, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Dow Jones, Bank of America, Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve Bank of New, BlackRock, Strategic Investors Group, BI, Fund, Reuters, Apple Vision, BI Sky, Employees, Cisco Systems, Sony, McLaren Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Dubai, Miami, Washington, New York, London
LONDON — European markets were a mixed bag on Tuesday morning, as investors assessed incoming corporate earnings reports and awaited a key U.S. inflation print. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index slipped 0.15% in early trade, with tech stocks shedding 1.3% to lead losses while mining stocks added 0.5%. Headline inflation is expected to come in at 0.2% month-on-month and 2.9% annually, according to economists polled by Dow Jones. The regional Stoxx index has recorded a muted February so far, following a strong end to January. This week will see reporting from several major European businesses, including Heineken, Airbus, Renault, NatWest and Commerzbank.
Persons: DAX, Dow Jones Organizations: LONDON, Japan's Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Heineken, Airbus, Renault, NatWest, Commerzbank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, London, Europe
The shake-up targets the $10 trillion money manager's influential group that provides services to high-stakes institutional clients like sovereign wealth funds, insurers, and central banks. The group has ambitions to become "the most trusted advisor to financial institutions in our industry," he wrote. AdvertisementThe FSIG includes the firm's Financial Markets Advisory team and the Financial Institutions Group. It had also historically encompassed the Official Institutions Group, known as OIG, which will no longer be a stand-alone unit, a BlackRock spokesperson confirmed on Tuesday. She has been critical to driving relationships with institutions and "instrumental in making BlackRock the partner of choice for central banks globally," he wrote.
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Charles Hatami, BlackRock's, Hatami, Isabelle Mateos y, OIG, Mateos y, Crystal Wan, Olivier Van Eyseren, Anne Parthiot, Mark Erickson, Kimberly Kim, Erickson, Hiro Shimizu, Philipp Hildebrand, BlackRock's Brandon Hall, Brandon Hall, Ben Leax, Rob Goldstein, FMA, Larry Fink Organizations: Service, Business, BlackRock's Financial, Strategic Investors Group, Business Insider, Financial, Group, BlackRock, International Monetary Fund, FIG, EMEA, Presidential, Brandon Locations: Isabelle Mateos y Lago, Hatami, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia, Pacific, Ukraine, Central Asia, US
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG said it's bracing for an ongoing decline in commercial real estate. It called the downturn "the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis." Shares of the German bank have declined about 25% year-to-date. AdvertisementSigns of commercial real estate distress continue to mount, with the latest warning coming from German lending giant Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG. "Despite these expenses, pbb remains profitable thanks to its financial strength – even in the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis," the bank said in a statement February 7.
Persons: , they've Organizations: Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG, Service
The latest stock gains will hold until the end of the year and survive a mid-year market correction, if central banks implement interest rate cuts later than investors have currently priced in, one economist says. Gains will stay in line with recent rallies despite seasonal volatility, as markets potentially re-price to acclimate to a different rate cut trajectory from central banks, Ludovic Subran, chief economist at German financial services firm Allianz, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday. Investors currently "expect a huge pivot and they expect a very early pivot," Subran said, despite signs now suggesting a mid-year rate pivot from central banks that may come in smaller than previously thought. European stocks went on a tear through the final two months of 2023, taking the regional Stoxx 600 index to an annual gain of 12.7%, according to LSEG data. The U.S. S&P 500 has meanwhile been on the ascent since late October and on Friday closed above 5,000 for the first time on record.
Persons: Ludovic Subran, CNBC's, Subran Organizations: Allianz Locations: U.S
After a strong end to January, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index has recorded a muted February so far, dipping 0.17% to date. European markets are heading for a higher open to kick off the new trading week, as investors continue to monitor corporate earnings and the interest rate outlook. Investors may pay particular attention to consumer stocks and what they suggest about the strength of certain economies, as central banks monitor the state of growth and inflation. Many major Asia-Pacific stock markets were closed on Monday for the Lunar New Year, while Chinese markets are shut for the week. The U.S. consumer price index will be released Tuesday.
Organizations: Heineken, Airbus, Renault, Natwest, Commerzbank, Sony Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S
Read previewThe two executives who have ran BlackRock's influential consulting business since 2020 are each being promoted to new roles at the asset manager, a spokesperson told Business Insider, as BlackRock makes sweeping changes to its leadership ranks across divisions. The firm is naming Brandon Hall as the firm's deputy chief operating officer, reporting to Rob Goldstein, BlackRock's chief operating officer and a prominent leader at the company. He replaces Stacey Mullin, who had held the role since 2022 and was recently named chief of staff to BlackRock Chief Executive Larry Fink. He will report to Charles Hatami, who runs the group known as FSIG and heads up BlackRock's business in the Middle East. Martin Small, now the New York-based firm's chief financial officer, had previously held roles in FMA.
Persons: , Brandon Hall, Rob Goldstein, Stacey Mullin, Larry Fink, Ben Leax, Charles Hatami, FMA, Goldstein, Martin Small, Hatami, Mark Wiedman, Fink, Mark Erickson, Mark Azzopardi Organizations: Service, BlackRock, Business, Financial, Hall, BI, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: New York, FMA, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
PRAGUE (AP) — The Czech Republic’s central bank cut its key interest rate for the second straight time Thursday in an effort to help the struggling economy. The cut by a half-percentage point brought the interest rate down to 6.25%. Photos You Should See View All 15 ImagesThe Czech bank's decision comes as major central banks around the world are discussing when to start bringing down borrowing costs. The European Central Bank left its benchmark rate unchanged at a record-high 4% on Jan. 25, saying it was premature to discuss cuts. Last week, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate steady, indicating that it needed to see more evidence that inflation is truly in check before making cuts.
Organizations: Czech Statistics Office, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: PRAGUE, Czech
ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — The work to tame inflation in Turkey — namely through interest rate hikes — will continue “with determination,” the country’s new central bank chief said Thursday, offering some certainty about efforts to right the battered economy following his precedessor's surprise resignation. The duty of the central bank is to ensure and maintain price stability,” Karahan told reporters in Turkey’s capital, Ankara. Erdogan, who has previously fired central bank governors who spurned his unorthodox policies, appointed the new economic team after getting reelected in May. The Turkish central bank most recently raised its key interest rate by 2.5 percentage points in January, when inflation reached nearly 65%. Despite such hikes, inflation remains high — consumer prices rose to an eye-watering 64.86% in January from a year earlier, according to figures released Monday, up from 64.77% in December.
Persons: Fatih Karahan, Goldman Sachs, Karahan, Mehmet Simsek, ” Karahan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, , Erkan, Recep Tayyip Erdogan's, Erdogan, ___ Robert Badendieck Organizations: Finance, Turkish Locations: ANKARA, Turkey, Ankara, Turkish, Ukraine, Istanbul
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Harris Associates' David Herro prefers the overseas marketDavid Herro, Harris Associates portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if central banks around the world will begin cutting interest rates, what makes the current time different for European markets, and more.
Persons: Harris, David Herro Organizations: Harris Associates
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCentral banks are right to be cautious on rate cuts, OECD chief economist saysClare Lombardelli, chief economist at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, discusses the group's latest growth and inflation forecasts, and risks to the outlook from Red Sea tensions.
Persons: Clare Lombardelli Organizations: Organisation for Economic Co, Development
Gold purchases from central banks led to last year's surge, with purchases exceeding 1,000 tons for two consecutive years. Gold demand hit record highs in 2023 as persistent geopolitical tensions and weakness in China's economy pushed investors toward the safe haven asset, the World Gold Council said in report. Prices hit an all-time high of $2,100 an ounce in December as central banks as well as retail investors increased purchases of gold — central bank purchases have exceeded 1,000 tons for two consecutive years. "2023 was the second highest year in history of central bank gold buying, within a hair's breadth of the record high in 2022," Fan told CNBC in a Zoom interview. Gold has actually done very well in renminbi terms, and very well compared to other asset classes in China."
Persons: Shaokai Fan, Fan, China Evergrande, Gold Organizations: Gold, CNBC, People's Bank of Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Israel, People's Bank of China, China, Hong Kong
LONDON — European markets are set for a higher open on Friday to close out a busy week of corporate earnings and major central bank decisions. On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve also left policy unchanged and Chair Jerome Powell poured cold water on speculation about a potential first interest rate cut in March. Preliminary inflation data for the euro zone on Thursday revealed the annual increase in the headline consumer price index eased slightly in January, while core figures declined less than expected and services inflation held steady. Friday is set to be quieter on the earnings front, with Spain's CaixaBank among the biggest names reporting. No major corporate earnings or economic data releases are due from Europe.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Spain's Organizations: Bank of England, U.S . Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, BNP, Adidas, Volvo Locations: Europe
The world is starting 2024 on an optimistic economic note, as inflation fades globally and growth remains more resilient than many forecasters had expected. Yet one country stands out for its surprising strength: the United States. The question is why America has pulled out ahead of other developed economies in the pack. said this week that it expected the United States to grow 2.1 percent, a sharp upgrade from the previous estimate of 1.5 percent. The euro area is expected to notch out 0.9 percent growth, as is Japan, and the United Kingdom is forecast to expand by 0.6 percent.
Organizations: Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund Locations: United States, Ukraine, U.S, United Kingdom, Germany, America, Japan
LONDON (AP) — The Bank of England is expected to keep its main interest rate at near 16-year highs Thursday and indicate that lower borrowing costs are not imminent because inflation is stuck too high for comfort. In December, inflation in Britain unexpectedly rose to 4%, an increase that tempered market expectations that the central bank would cut borrowing costs as soon as May. On Wednesday, the Fed held rates steady but surprised financial markets with its cautious statement that it “does not expect it will be appropriate” to cut rates. Higher interest rates — which cool the economy by making it more expensive to borrow, thereby bearing down on spending — have contributed to bringing down inflation worldwide. That's despite mortgage lenders reducing their lending rates on the assumption that the bank's main rate has peaked.
Organizations: , Bank of England, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, of England, Conservative Party, Labour Party Locations: U.K, Britain, Ukraine, United States
The International Monetary Fund raised its 2024 forecast for Russia's economy. AdvertisementVladimir Putin's ongoing war with Ukraine is boosting Russia's economy, the International Monetary Fund said. In an update to its World Economic Outlook issued Tuesday, the IMF raised its 2024 growth forecast for Russia from 1.1% to 2.6%. The IMF flagged Russia's high military spending as one factor powering growth. Russia's tight labor market has also helped boost the economy by pushing up wages and consumer spending, according to the IMF.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin's, Dmitry Peskov, Pierre, Olivier Gourrinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, Service, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Russia Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, China, India, Brazil
London CNN —The outlook for the global economy is brightening, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday as it upgraded its growth forecast for 2024. It expects global growth in gross domestic product — a key measure of economic activity — to pick up slightly to 3.2% next year. Despite the IMF’s upgrades, its projections for global growth for 2024 and 2025 are below the annual average of 3.8% clocked up over the first two decades of this century. The longer and costlier journeys have raised fears of a renewed rise in global inflation. An escalation in the Israel-Hamas war into a wider conflict in the Middle East would threaten global growth, the fund added.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Valerie Plesch Organizations: London CNN, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Hamas Locations: Ukraine, Red, United States, India, Washington , DC, Getty Images Iran, Israel
Worldwide, the IMF thinks inflation will ease from 6.8% in 2023 to 5.8% in 2024 and 4.4% in 2025. The IMF expects the 20 countries that share the euro currency to collectively grow a meager 0.9% this year. The IMF also modestly downgraded the outlook for the Japanese economy, to 0.9%, a drop from 1.9% growth in 2023. The IMF expects oil prices, which plunged 16% in 2023, to fall a further 2.3% this year and 4.8% in 2025. The IMF expects world trade to grow just 3.3% this year and 3.6% in 2025, below the historical average of 4.9%.
Persons: ’ Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, ’ Gourinchas, Joe Biden’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, IMF, Trade Organization Locations: United States, Yemen, Red, Asia, Europe, Suez, Africa, U.S, Brazil, India, Southeast Asia, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, China
Global inflation is expected to fall to 5.8% in 2024 and to 4.4% in 2025. “The global economy begins the final descent toward a soft landing, with inflation declining steadily and growth holding up. That is not to say the global economy is without challenges. It also raises concerns about a revival of global inflation pressures as importers face surging shipping costs,” said Lydia Boussour, senior economist at EY-Parthenon. “For now, we don’t expect the situation in the Red Sea to substantially alter the outlook for global inflation and global monetary policy this year,” she added.
Persons: ” Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, , Lydia Boussour, Gourinchas, ” Gourinchas, Eric LeCompte, LeCompte Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, Federal Reserve, . News, USA Locations: U.S, China, , Ukraine, Iranian, Suez, EY, India, Russia, East, Central Asia, Saudi Arabia, , Brazil
Declining inflation rates and consistent growth should create a solid background for stocks and other risky assets, even though some bouts of volatility are likely, according to Goldman Sachs. Broadly speaking, a "soft landing [is] on track," the firm said in a client note in which Goldman market experts said they expect the Federal Reserve soon to make a nod toward an easing in monetary policy that also will be market-positive. "The broad data still points firmly in the direction of easing inflation pressure and resilient growth, especially in the US," wrote Dominic Wilson, senior advisor in Goldman's Global Markets Research Group. But we still think it makes sense to fade those pullbacks and expect US equities and credit to make new highs, as they have been." "This week's FOMC meeting will need to remove the tightening bias to keep March alive, as the [Bank of Canada] did last week, but is unlikely to preview a March cut," Wilson wrote.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Dominic Wilson, Wilson, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Markets Research, Gross, Bank of, CME Locations: Bank of Canada
Photographer: Lionel Ng/Bloomberg via Getty Images Lionel Ng | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesSingapore's central bank left its policy unchanged on Monday in its first quarterly monetary policy decision of 2024, as expected. The central bank strengthens or weakens its currency against those of its main trading partners, thus effectively setting the S$NEER. The central bank estimates core inflation to average between 2.5% and 3.5% in 2024, unchanged from its October forecast. Economists will monitor for clues on when Singapore's central bank will begin to loosen monetary policy. Singapore's central bank ended its policy tightening cycle in April after five consecutive decisions to tighten.
Persons: Lionel Ng, Goldman Sachs, Yun Liu, CNBC's, Liu Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Monetary Authority, Singapore, MAS, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Singapore, Central, ASEAN
Dollar steady in cautious start to busy data, Fed week
  + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on December 15, 2023. The dollar started the week on a steady footing as investors took stock of U.S. economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve policy meeting this week, while escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East kept risk sentiment in check. But since then, strong economic data and pushback from central bankers have prompted traders to adjust expectations. Beyond the Fed, investors will also watch for a slew of economic data including a U.S. payrolls report that will help gauge the strength of labor market. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar rose 0.21% to $0.659, while the New Zealand dollar gained 0.18% to$0.610.
Persons: Marc Chandler, Chandler, Jerome Powell, Paul Mackel, Sterling, Joe Biden, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal, HSBC, Bank of England, U.S, New Zealand Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Bannockburn, Jordan, Syrian, Iran, Israel
Attacks on ships in the Red Sea are delivering another shock to global trade, coming on top of pandemic-related logjams at ports and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The normal route — three weeks via the Suez Canal — has been shut down by the Houthi attacks. Chief executive Stuart Machin said the Red Sea trouble was “impacting everyone and something we’re very focused on." For Europe, the impact is even bigger: 40% of clothes and 50% of shoes traverse the Red Sea. Norwegian fertilizer giant Yara said it was “only mildly impacted by the transit challenges in the Red Sea."
Persons: What’s, Ryan Petersen, Petersen, It’s, Clifton Broumand, Broumand, , , , it’s, Tesla, Spencer, Stuart Machin, Steve Lamar, Lamar, Flexport, Katheryn Russ, Davis, Judah Levine, Freightos, it's, Russ, Obama, Carlos Tavares, Stellantis, Jan Hoffmann, Frank Conforti, Conforti, ____ Anderson, Kelvin Chan, Anne D'Innocenzio, Yuri Kageyama, Tom Krisher, David McHugh Organizations: WASHINGTON, , Hamas, Machine, Volvo, Suzuki Motor Corp, American Apparel & Footwear Association, University of California, U.S . Federal Reserve, BMW, Retailer, Free People, AP Business Locations: Belgium, Germany, British, Maryland, Asia, Ukraine, Yemen, Gaza, Europe, United States, Suez, Africa, , Panama, Greater Landover , Maryland, Taiwan, China, Los Angeles, Berlin, Swedish, Ghent, Hungary, Japan, U.S, overcapacity, Red, Israel, India, New York, London, Tokyo, Detroit, Frankfurt
Attacks on ships in the Red Sea are delivering another shock to global trade, coming on top of pandemic-related logjams at ports and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The normal route — three weeks via the Suez Canal — has been shut down by the Houthi attacks. Chief executive Stuart Machin said the Red Sea trouble was "impacting everyone and something we're very focused on." For Europe, the impact is even bigger: 40% of clothes and 50% of shoes traverse the Red Sea. Norwegian fertilizer giant Yara said it was "only mildly impacted by the transit challenges in the Red Sea."
Persons: It's, Petersen, Ryan Petersen, Clifton Broumand, Broumand, it's, Tesla, Spencer, Stuart Machin, Steve Lamar, Lamar, Flexport, Katheryn Russ, Davis, Judah Levine, Freightos, Russ, Obama, Carlos Tavares, Stellantis, Jan Hoffmann, Frank Conforti, Conforti Organizations: Galaxy, Houthis Media, Getty, Machine, Hamas, Volvo, Suzuki Motor Corp, American Apparel & Footwear Association, University of California, U.S . Federal Reserve, BMW, Retailer Urban Outfitters, Free People Locations: Iran, Yemen, Anadolu, Greater Landover , Maryland, Taiwan, China, Gaza, Panama, Asia, Europe, United States, Suez, Africa, Ukraine, Belgium, Germany, British, Maryland, Los Angeles, Berlin, Swedish, Ghent, Hungary, Japan, U.S, overcapacity, Red, Israel, India
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