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☆ The 'greatest bubble in human history' is close to bursting, Black Swan investor Mark Spitznagel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bearish investor Mark Spitznagel predicts stocks could soon lose over half their value in a steep sell-off. His fund, Universa Investments, has made billions from past stock market crises. AdvertisementBlack Swan investor Mark Spitznagel says the stock market is heading for a historic sell-off, reiterating an uber-bearish warning for investors who are getting comfortable with steady stock gains amid the frenzy for AI. Spitznagel said the years-long rally in the stock market amounts to the "greatest bubble in human history" in a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal. He made billions during the 2008 stock market crash, the 2015 Flash Crash, and at the onset of COVID-19 in early 2020.

Persons: Mark Spitznagel, —, Spitznagel, it's, he's Organizations: Universa Investments, Service, Wall Street, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Universa

☆ The mass IT outage is causing chaos, but social media users are having a field day
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Alexandra Bacon | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

While businesses scramble to deal with the consequences of the hit, social media users are responding in the best way they know how: memes. 'The blue screen of death'Many PC users logged on to their computers on Friday to be met with Window's so-called blue screen of death. Attached is a photo of five laptops on an office desk, all displaying the "blue screen of death." Advertisement"Crowdstrike is accomplishing what we thought Y2K would be, it's quite impressive," one user posted on X. AdvertisementSocial media users have been quick to point out the irony of how CrowdStrike's software, which is meant to prevent businesses from being brought down, has ended up accidentally causing so much chaos.

Persons: —, Window's Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Business Locations: Las Vegas

☆ Live Updates: Biden Isolates With Covid as His Campaign Crisis Deepens
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Michael D. Shear | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Joe Scarborough, the former congressman, ally of President Biden and influential host of the MSNBC show “Morning Joe,” on Thursday morning all but called on Mr. Biden’s aides to help him exit the race. On the same day, California Senate candidate and Pelosi ally Adam Schiff publicly called on Mr. Biden to leave the race. Look at the events of yesterday, the events of the last three weeks.”He added: “The anger that I hear is not at Joe Biden. Mr. Scarborough appeared to echo that point, suggesting that the people around the president are failing him. Mr. Scarborough said bluntly: “Joe Biden deserves better.

Persons: Joe Scarborough, President Biden, ”, Biden’s, Scarborough, Donald J, Trump, Biden, Hakeem Jeffries, Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi, Adam Schiff, Joe ”, you’re, they’re, “ It’s, Joe Biden, Mr, “ That’s, “ Joe Biden Organizations: MSNBC, Democratic, California Senate, Mr, Senate Locations: California

☆ I grew up in Norway and live in Bali. I'm learning to blend Asian and Western parenting styles when raising my kids.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Amanda Goh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementNow, I'm learning to embrace both Asian and Western parenting styles when raising my kids. The local kids in Bali do that, too, but it's harder to get around Bali on foot. I've noticed that Asian families seem closerHere, parents often sleep with their young kids for a long time. In Norway, parents show love but it's not as common for them to say it out loud. We also have friends with kids, so we often go to someone's house and hang out.

Persons: —, Simen Platou, Jen, I'd, Koji, I've, Amanda Goh, We're, She's, they've, they're, it's, Simen, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, Naia, Norway That's Locations: Bali, Florida, Norway, Oslo

☆ Ron Insana sees political risk rising for investors as the presidential election heats up
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The selloff in the Nasdaq on Wednesday, more specifically in semiconductor stocks, has added a relatively new wrinkle to what has been an unexpectedly exceptional year for stocks: political risk. And by that I do not mean the outcome of the 2024 presidential election , per se, but the risk of trial balloons being floated for the next several months leading up to the election. Two news items on Wednesday rocked the chip stocks as the Biden administration is reportedly considering much tighter constraints on chip sales to China . Competing proposals We've already heard of some of the potential policy prescriptions that either a Biden or Trump administration might pursue beginning in 2025. Some may never see the light of day depending, not only on the outcome of the presidential election, but also on the composition of the next Congress.

Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S, Biden, Federal Locations: China, Taiwan, Trump, U.S

☆ The stock market is flashing warning signs as tech shares are a 'valuation timebomb,' SocGen says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The SocGen strategist has been warning of a recession and coming stock crash for months. The tech sector is showing a number of signs that valuations are an overstretched "timebomb," he said. AdvertisementThe stock market is flashing warning signs that the tech stock frenzy is about to end, according to one of Wall Street's most bearish analysts. "As time marches on, there are few of us left who were in the industry during the 2000 Nasdaq crash let alone the 1987 crash. Analysts are expecting tech stocks to post forward earnings growth of around 30% year-over-year, Edwards noted, though tech stocks have actually been posting around 20% yearly earnings growth.

Persons: Albert Edwards, —, He's, Edwards, Russell, Morgan Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Nasdaq, Tech

Deputy White House chief of staff Annie Tomasini, a longtime aide to the Bidens, joins Donilon and Ricchetti in forming a protective bubble around the president. “The phones just kind of stopped ringing,” is how one senior Democrat put it. “Staff in general are just over the leadership here,” one White House official said. Inside the White House, senior administration officials are bracing for Republicans to call for Biden to resign the presidency if he doesn’t seek reelection. With Biden’s political future on the brink, the White House is fielding a steady stream of letters, telephone calls and message from Americans, too, from Democratic voters like Terri and John Hale.

Persons: Joe Biden, “, Biden, Anita Dunn, Bob Bauer, Jen O’Malley Dillon –, –, Mike Donilon, Steve Ricchetti –, Annie Tomasini, Anthony Bernal, Jill Biden, Tomasini, Biden –, Andrew Bates, they’ve, ” Bates, Kevin Munoz, we’re, Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi, ”, Donilon, Hakeem Jeffries, Jeffries, ” Biden’s, Quentin Fulks, doesn’t, Terri, John Hale, Hales, ” CNN’s Pamela Brown Organizations: Washington CNN, White, Democratic, CNN, Wing, Biden, White House, Donilon, Democrats, “ Staff, House Locations: ”, Milwaukee, Covid, Delaware, Rehoboth Beach, Ankeny , Iowa

☆ Small-cap ETF poised to break out to all-time high and perhaps beyond, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

As is clear, that objective is considerably higher than the 2021 peak, which was the last time IWM made a new all-time high. The obvious question then would be this: If IWM does, in fact, make a new all-time high, what happens next? First, notice how well the IWM/SPX relative line performed as it rallied from a key low to a peak since 2011. Conversely, during the three times that IWM has broken out to new highs in absolute terms, the IWM/SPX relative line has declined soon thereafter. In fact, the relative line has been diverging from IWM for 13 years and hasn't made a higher high since 2011.

Persons: Russell, IWM, shouldn't, What's, hasn't, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IWM

☆ Retail investors in AI stocks may get burned like they did in past bubbles, says Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors may want to exercise some caution with this year's leading artificial intelligence stocks, according to Bank of America. The investing and ETF strategist anticipates some profit-taking in megacap technology stocks during the second half as investors become "impatient for an AI killer app" or more revenues. Stocks have rallied this year as investors mount bets on popular AI names such as Nvidia and megacap technology. "No one denies the computing power," Woodard wrote. This includes small-cap value stocks, utilities, energy and banks.

Persons: Jared Woodard, Stocks, Woodard Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia Locations: India, Latin America

☆ Small Landlords Are Using New Tech Tools to Raise Tenants Rents
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

The past few years have solidified single-family rental homes as genuine moneymaking enterprises, not just ho-hum nest eggs. Related storiesWhen everyone was scrambling for their piece of the suburbs during the pandemic, mom-and-pop landlords pounced, using these newfound tools to collect more cash. The company, which estimates only one-fourth of single-family-rental landlords use professional management services, now manages more than 28,000 rentals on behalf of small landlords. As the Wall Street ethos trickles down to small rental owners, it'll be harder and harder to tell them apart. But the gap is narrowing as small rental owners capitalize on the innovations that the institutional class has already embraced.

Persons: Daniel doesn't, Daniel, hasn't, he's, Bryan Smith, —, Zers, John Burns, Rick Palacios Jr, Palacios, Jordan Kavana, Rich Ford, you've, Ford, Devin Redmond, doesn't, Philip Garboden, It's, Garboden, Roofstock Organizations: Atlanta, Corporate, Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, John Burns Research, Consulting, Ark Homes, Rent, Vesta Ventures, University of Chicago Locations: Zillow, Atlanta, Raleigh, Chattanooga , Tennessee, Grand Rapids , Michigan

☆ Schwartz: Mega-caps are much more expensive than small-caps but aren't in a bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSchwartz: Mega-caps are much more expensive than small-caps but aren't in a bubbleJeremy Schwartz, Global Chief Investment Officer at WisdomTree, discusses market breadth, small caps vs. small caps, and interest rates.

Persons: Schwartz, Jeremy Schwartz Organizations: Global Chief

☆ Jeremy Siegel says markets are 'looking forward' to a second Trump boost
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wharton School finance professor Jeremy Siegel said markets are already anticipating a second Trump bump after the attempted assassination of the former president on Saturday raised the odds he will win the November election. He's more free market, he's antiregulatory, for growth," Siegel told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Monday. Will there be a second time where those entrepreneurial spirits could rise and boost the stock market?" Siegel made his comments after the assassination on Trump raised the likelihood the Republican will win the presidency for a second time. "They're not thrilled about the tariffs," Siegel said of Wall Street.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Trump, Donald, he's, Siegel, CNBC's, Stocks, Trump's, They're Organizations: Wharton School, Trump, Republican, U.S, Wall Locations: China

☆ The world's most accurate economist shares his US economic and political outlook, as well as the secret behind his accuracy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Whether it's the markets or the Federal Open Market Committee, no one seems to be getting their forecasts right. But if you want the closest thing to accuracy, French economist Christophe Barraud may be your best bet. One caveat is that Trump would need 60 seats in the Senate to implement policy changes smoothly, Barraud noted. Where uncertainty in a Trump presidency remains is on the geopolitical front, Barraud noted.

Persons: —, Christophe Barraud, haven't, Barraud, it's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, He's Organizations: Service, Federal, Market, Market Securities Monaco, Bloomberg, Business, Trump, Republican, Fed Locations: China, delinquencies, France, Italy, Ukraine, Russia

☆ Prepare for the S&P 500's 'rocket launch' to 6,000 by year's end by making these 10 investments now: Founder of multi-billion-dollar research firm
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

"The beginning of bull markets has this really incredible trajectory," Demmert said in a recent interview. AdvertisementA slew of catalysts, including investors' fear of missing out, will drive the S&P 500 to 6,000 by year's end, Demmert predicted. "This whole thing ends, eventually, very ugly, but I think that's years away — not months," Demmert said. So we start a new business cycle; new bull market. AdvertisementEconomic cycles usually go for seven to eight years, Demmert said, and this bull market began two Octobers ago.

Persons: —, James Demmert, Demmert, I'm, inflation's, there's, We're, that's, Scott Organizations: Service, Main, Research, Business, Federal Reserve, Bears Locations: Wall, Japan, India, China

☆ A part-time trader who gained 127% in 5 months this year shares how he finds stocks and an 'immediate' buy signal for an imminent breakout
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewJohn Rodrigues works a full-time 9-to-5 job as an associate manager in operations at PGIM, Prudential's investment management arm. And vice versa, if the index is high, it signals high volatility and fearful investors, indicating that the market may be reaching a low. Here, he can see different metrics for stocks, allowing him to watch for signals he likes to trade on. He also looks at the stock's day's volume; if it rises above 25% of its 50-day volume, it's another likely trade. But perhaps one of the best signals that a breakout is about to really outperform the market is those with very high volume relative to the past two years.

Persons: —, John Rodrigues, doesn't, Bob Brinker, Brinker, Rodrigues, Norman Zadeh, " Rodrigues Organizations: Service, New York Stock Exchange, Business, Companies, Nasdaq, Investors Intelligence, IBD, Micro Locations: PGIM, Chicago

☆ I'm a conservative who moved from California to Texas during the pandemic, but I only stayed 2 years before moving back to Orange County.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But Nickens only stayed in Texas for two years before returning to California because she missed the weather and access to nature. I moved from the Inland Empire to Orange County in 2016 after my daughter graduated from high school. I really didn't want to be left behind. I didn't realize how much I really loved being outside until I moved to Texas. I really, really missed the beach.

Persons: —, Heather Nickens, Nickens, I'm, Dallas, Abbott, I've Organizations: Service, Business, Labor, Angels Locations: Orange County , California, Dallas, Texas, California, Houston, Inland, Orange County, Austin, Galveston

☆ Republicans and Democrats take opposite approaches to flawed candidates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

And yet one of the men, former President Donald Trump, 78, has been able to remake the Republican Party around his own divisive persona. Trump, between now and then, will pick a vice president from a short list of people who have previously criticized him but are now all in. Doug Burgum, who are also reportedly on Trump’s vice presidential short list, should be wary. A CNN poll released back in February, before Trump had sealed the Republican presidential nomination, suggested his top Republican rival, former South Carolina Gov. If Biden dropped out, Clyburn said he would back Vice President Kamala Harris.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, couldn’t, Rubio, Trump, Sen, J.D, Vance of Ohio, Trumper, Vance, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Mike Pence, Trump’s, Nikki Haley, It’s, James Clyburn of, “, ’, ” Clyburn, Clyburn, Kamala Harris, Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez, Bernie Sanders, hasn’t, ABC’s George Stephanopoulos, ”, –, MAGA, Chris Whipple, Jessica Dean, ” Whipple Organizations: CNN, Republican Party, White, GOP, Republican National Convention, Trump, Republican, North Dakota Gov, Republicans, South Carolina Gov, Biden, Democratic, NBC, Progressives, Senate, Congress, Trump Biden Locations: Trump, Florida, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Trump’s, James Clyburn of South Carolina, Alexandria, Cortez of New York, Vermont

☆ Wall Street is bullish on stocks for the 2nd half of the year. Here are each firm's exact forecasts.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The most bullish S&P 500 price target is 6,000 from Evercore ISI, which represents a gain of about 7%. While the average year-end S&P 500 price target is 5,429, according to data from Bloomberg, the median year-end price target is 5,600. Yardeni Research: S&P 500 price target of 5,800Yardeni Research raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 5,800 from 5,400 this week. Goldman Sachs: S&P 500 price target of 5,600Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin boosted his S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,200 last month. UBS: S&P 500 price target of 5,600UBS raised its S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,400 in May, and that's after the bank raised its price target in February.

Persons: —, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, they're, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Wall, ISI, Service, Bloomberg, CNBC, Security, Yardeni, Research, Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research, UBS, Chicago, & $ Locations: bearish

☆ Trump's promise of tariffs and deportations could pop the stock market bubble if he wins a 2nd term, Capital Economics says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

An AI-driven stock market bubble could burst early if Trump wins the 2024 election, according to Capital Economics. Trump's proposed policies on tariffs and immigration could slow economic growth and spark higher inflation, the firm said. Higher inflation would restrict the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates. AdvertisementThe ongoing stock market bubble that has been inflated by a strong rally in AI stocks could pop prematurely if former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election. A second Trump Presidency "could potentially result in the imposition of universal tariffs and reductions in immigration," Higgins said.

Persons: Trump's, —, Donald Trump, John Higgins, Higgins, Trump Organizations: Trump, Capital Economics, Service, Trump Presidency, Federal Reserve

☆ Ellen DeGeneres said she's 'done' with fame after her upcoming Netflix special. Here's a complete timeline of the backlash she's faced since 2020.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Olivia Singh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +32 min

Read previewThe talk show host Ellen DeGeneres has long been considered a beloved celebrity for her friendly and funny public demeanor. "Maybe I'm being naive, but I expected them to welcome me with confetti: Welcome to 'The Ellen DeGeneres Show'!" Next thing we know, we literally hear Steve Jobs pick up and say, 'Hi, Ellen' … Ellen told him the iPhone should have a bigger font," the producer said. I have been getting calls asking me about the Ellen Degeneres Show and I would like to address the time I spent there. AdvertisementPaytas appeared on "The Ellen DeGeneres Show" in 2010 when she was 22 years old to showcase her speed-reading talent during an audience talent segment.

Persons: —, Ellen DeGeneres, Nikkie de Jager, DeGeneres, NikkieTutorials, vlogger, de Jager, hadn't, van, Sebastian Williams, van Nieuwkerk, YouTuber, De Jager, Pop Crave, Ellen, Jonas, Kevin T, Porter crowdsourced, you've, Portia de Rossi, wouldn't, didn't, X weren't, I've, Kevin Winter, Stagehands, Jimmy Kimmel, John Oliver, Samantha Bee, Ellen DeGeneres's, Jordan Strauss, Tom Majercak, Majercak, de Rossi, Steve Granitz, Steve Jobs, Jobs, Jane Lynch's, Katy Perry, Chris Pizzello, Ellen Show, Neil Breen, Breen, Richard Wilkins, she'll, Richard, you'll, Neil, She'll, I'd, I'm, Raymond, Brad Garrett, Garrett, Lea Thompson, Scooter Braun, Kevin Mazur, Braun, Justin Bieber, Ariana Grande, Andy Lassner, James Corden, Corden, Hedda Muskat, Joshua Blanchard, Patrick McMullan, Ed Glavin, Mary Connelly, Muskat, Glavin, Ed, Tony Okungbowa, Okungbowa, Ellen Degeneres, Tony okungbowa, Dakota Johnson, Johnson's, Johnson, that's, Craig, Trisha Paytas, Christopher Polk, YouTuber Trisha Paytas, H3H3, Ethan Klein, Paytas, Ashton Kutcher, Kutcher, De Rossi, Ryan Phillippe, haven't, Jim Spellman, WireImage, Thompson, Phillippe, Jennifer Aniston, Billie Eilish, Greyson Chance, Gaga's, Chance, Stone, she'd, Rolling Stone, would've, It's, Tasos Katopodis, SFGate, Libby Torres Organizations: Service, Business, C Magazine, YouTube, Los Angeles Regional Food Bank, Variety, Warner Bros, Television, ABC, Fox News, New York Post, New York, Producers, AP, BuzzFeed, The Hollywood, British, Twitter, Sun, NBC, Getty, CDC, Centers, Disease Control, West Hollywood, Netflix Locations: Dutch, California, Australian, Melbourne, Dakota, West

☆ A Trump win brings a deregulatory agenda. Here's what it'll mean for different stock sectors, according to Goldman Sachs.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But a Republican win yielded a higher return at 15.3%. The S&P 500 fell 9% in 2000 as the tech bubble peaked months before George W. Bush's Republican win. This could increase the chances of a Trump win — at least, that's what the market thinks. The two graphs below from a Goldman Sachs note on July 8 indicate what prediction markets perceive as each candidate's odds of winning following the debate. On that front, consumer discretionary stocks are perceived as riskier under a Trump administration due to the threat of increased tariffs.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, George W, Barack Obama, Biden's, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Organizations: Service, Republican, Democratic, Business, Bush's Republican, Trump, Republican Presidency, Republican House, Senate, Biden

☆ Investors grow concerned AI isn't being adopted fast enough to justify the hype, says Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"Our conversations with investors have been defined by skepticism about latter stages of AI adoption," Ryan Hammond of Goldman's portfolio strategy research team said in a recent note to clients. "Even among investors that are long-term bullish on the potential gains from AI adoption, there appears to be considerable uncertainty about the timeline." Goldman's AI adoption tracker showed that only 5% of U.S. companies are using generative AI to produce goods and services. Many software companies tied to AI posted disappointing guidance during the last earnings seasons that triggered a sizeable sell-off, Goldman noted. Investors should focus on revised sales forecasts of AI-related companies, Goldman said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ryan Hammond, Goldman, Hammond Organizations: Nvidia, Wall, Investors Locations: U.S

☆ These new WhatsApp TV ads tell you a lot about the company's growth plans
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Peter Kafka | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewTen years ago, Meta bought WhatsApp for some $21 billion. A few years ago, it announced that WhatsApp had 2 billion users around the world, and that's about it. That's where Meta has started running ads promoting the messaging platform, using the cast of "Modern Family," the long-running sitcom. This isn't the first time Meta has advertised WhatsApp on TV. I ran that thesis by Carl Woog, who runs comms for WhatsApp, and he … said I had it right: WhatsApp thinks middle America is a growth market.

Persons: —, Meta, Meta's, WhatsApp, Carl Woog, …, Woog Organizations: Service, Facebook, Business, Meta, Hulu, Prestige, NBA Locations: America, Miami , New York, Seattle

☆ When will AI's stock-market dominance fade? Goldman says watch this key signal.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

With that in mind, the authors of the note — led by Ryan Hammond — are closely watching downward revenue revisions for signs the AI spending isn't paying off. "Today's hyperscalers will eventually be required to prove that revenues and earnings will be generated from their investments," analysts wrote. "Investors have expressed uncertainty about the return on those investments for the mega-cap tech stocks, but these stocks remain extremely popular," the analysts wrote. Goldman also points out that, according to a measure it tracks, just 5% of companies are currently using AI to produce goods and services. "Adjusting for profits of these companies, the AI capex cycle still pales in comparison to the tech bubble," the analysts wrote.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, they'll, Goldman, Ryan Hammond — Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Service, Nvidia

☆ Opinion | A Beautiful Inflation Report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

One of my go-to economic data experts emailed on Thursday morning about the latest inflation report, which showed prices actually falling in June and up only 3 percent over the past year. It was, he declared, “beautiful.”Your aesthetic sense may vary, but we’ve now had two months of really good price data, enough to puncture the bubble of pessimism that, um, inflated early this year. Many economists argued, however, that the bad data was just noise, largely reflecting one-time price resets at the start of the year. Note that the Federal Reserve focuses not on the Consumer Price Index but on an alternative measure, the personal consumption expenditure price index, which isn’t in yet for June. And since the Fed is supposed to skate to where the puck will be, not where it is right now, there’s now an overwhelming case for interest rate cuts.

Persons: we’ve, there’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Consumer

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