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Megacap tech stocks aren't just powering the U.S. stock market — they're also holding the world together. U.S. equities now comprise 70% of the MSCI World Index, the benchmark for large- and mid-cap companies across 23 developed markets. The MSCI World Index shifts regional and country weights based on broader economic trends. High levels of market concentration in the late 1920s to early 1930s, as well as 2000, coincided with a market top, he noted. The Europe Stoxx 600 has risen only 2.6% year to date, underperforming the U.S. broad market index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Scott Rubner, Peter Berezin, Berezin, NVDA, Phillip Colmar, that's, Mike Dickson, Dickson, Warren Buffett's, Colmar, It's, you've, Germany DAX Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BCA Research, Big Tech, MRB Partners, Horizon Investments, Nikkei, British FTSE, France CAC Locations: U.S, Europe, Colmar, Japan, Asia, Germany, France
Michael Burry, best known for calling the subprime mortgage crisis, added several new stocks in the fourth quarter, including some leading tech names Amazon and Alphabet , according to a new regulatory filing. The 52-year-old's new Amazon and Alphabet positions were worth more than $4 million each at the end of 2023. The chip ETF fund was up nearly 22% in the fourth quarter. During the fourth quarter, Burry also added small positions in MGM Resorts , Advance Auto Parts , Warner Bros. The latest SEC filing from Scion Asset reflects Burry's holdings as of the end of December.
Persons: Michael Burry, Burry, Michael Lewis Organizations: Scion Asset Management, Healthcare, Oracle, Citigroup, CVS Health, Amazon, iShares Semiconductor, MGM Resorts, Advance, Parts, Warner Bros, Vital Energy, SEC, Scion Asset Locations: Mettler, Toledo, Bruker
A momentum-focused fund that has gained favor among traders could be in for a turnaround, according to BTIG. The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) is trading about 26.5% above its 200-day moving average, said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at the firm. MTUM YTD mountain The ETF this year The fund tracks large- and mid-cap stocks that have shown relatively strong price momentum, according to iShares. Market wisdom says that trading above the 200-day average indicates conviction and buying interest from investors. That comes after the fund lagged the market last year, finishing just 7.5% higher while the S & P 500 surged more than 24%.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Eli Lilly —, , Dow Jones Organizations: Meta, Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, Netflix, Morningstar, Tesla
Tech stocks already had a good run, and investors may be wondering if they still have further to go. The iShares Global Tech ETF, which comprises tech stocks around the world, for instance, had more than 50% returns in 2023, beating the S & P 500's 24%. Citi, which has an overweight rating on information technology within the growth cyclicals segment, is optimistic on the sector in certain markets. Overall, the bank says that it sees more gains for global stocks, giving the MSCI AC World 5% potential upside by end of the year. Investors looking for more upside in tech can consider some tech stocks in Citi's list of top "high-conviction" picks from markets across the United States, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America.
Persons: It's, capex, Michael Bloom Organizations: Tech, iShares Global Tech ETF, Citi, Arista Networks, Arista Locations: China, United States, Europe, Asia, Pacific, America
To grow, the ETF industry has to expand the offerings of active management and devise new ways to entice investors. The big topics in 2024: Bitcoin, AI, Magnificent 7 alternativesIn 2024, the industry is betting that the new crop of bitcoin ETFs will pull in billions. Financial advisors are divided on whether to jump inTen spot bitcoin ETFs have successfully launched. Inflows into bitcoin ETFs to date have been modest, but bitcoin ETFs are being viewed by some advisors as the first true bridge between traditional finance and the crypto community. Jason Pereira, senior partner & financial Planner, Woodgate Financial, is speaking on how financial advisors are using artificial intelligence.
Persons: Matt Hougan, Steve Kurz, David LaValle, Ric Edelman, Edelman, Gary Gensler's, bitcoin, Jason Pereira, Pereira, Roundhill's, Alex Zweber, Eric Veiel, Rowe Price, Brian Portnoy, Neil Bage, feely Organizations: ETF, LIV, Miami, Super, Advisors, JPMorgan, bitcoin, Galaxy, Edelman, Digital Assets, Financial Professionals, SEC, Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA, China ETF Locations: Fontainebleau, Miami Beach, China, bitcoin
The WisdomTree India Earnings ETF (EPI) has a total return of 6.6% through Feb. 8, according to FactSet, and is up 18.7% over the past three months. That makes it the best performing of the five biggest India ETFs, with the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) and the Franklin FTSE India ETF (FLIN) both up less than 4% year to date.The WisdomTree fund is also beating The S & P 500, which up less than 5% over the same period. The WisdomTree fund has been a long-term winner as well, with an average annualized return of roughly 12% over the past decade. And, notably, the second-best performing major India ETF this year is the iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF (SMIN) . That is above the 0.65% of the iShares INDA ETF and the 0.19% of Franklin Templeton's FLIN.
Persons: date.The, Jeremy Schwartz, it's, It's, Schwartz, Franklin Templeton's FLIN Organizations: Franklin FTSE, CNBC, India ETF Locations: India, Franklin FTSE India
Investors expect the Securities and Exchange Commission to greenlight spot ether ETFs in May, but the price action for the crypto could be subdued compared to bitcoin's moves in the runup to its ETF approvals. That compares to the 55% surge bitcoin saw after BlackRock first filed its spot ETF application for the flagship crypto. Regardless, we see the spot ether ETF being less appreciated by the market." JPMorgan estimates a "no more than 50% chance" of spot ether ETF approval by May 23, the final deadline for the SEC to approve or deny the Ark/21Shares application . Schwenkler said any excitement leading up to potential ether ETF approvals will be "less speculative" and that a lot of it is priced in already.
Persons: Kenneth Worthington, Nico Cordeiro, there's, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Gustavo Schwenkler, Bitcoin, Solana, Schwenkler, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, JPMorgan, BlackRock, BTC, ETH, SEC, CNBC, Leavey School of Business, Santa Clara University, of Locations: Southern, of New York, bitcoin
Investors should prefer the Canadian TSX Composite benchmark index in 2024 to the S & P 500 , according to Bank of America. Last year, while inflation was moderating, the TSX underperformed the S & P 500 by 16 percentage points. However, the Canadian index beat the S & P 500 in 2022 when inflation was investors' prime concern. According to FactSet, the P/E currently stands at 15.75x, lower than the 20.28x of the S & P 500. Canadian investors can access the index through the near-identical iShares Core S & P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF and BMO S & P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF .
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, FactSet, Kwon, SPX Organizations: Canadian, Bank of America, TSX, of America's, BMO, U.S Locations: of America's Canada, 15.75x, United States, Canada, Yom Kippur, Vietnam
Investors looking for income should be well-rewarded this year, once again, buying high-yield bonds, according to State Street. He's predicting high-yield bonds will again be one of the top-performing fixed-income sectors in 2024. High-yield bonds currently have spreads of 3.43 percentage points relative to Treasurys, according to the ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread . Of course, investors should understand that high-yield bonds carry more risk than investment-grade debt. "They should be balancing the quality characteristics of high-yield bonds relative to the yield that those bonds are providing," he said.
Persons: Michael Arone, Arone Organizations: Bloomberg, Federal, ICE, CNBC Locations: United States
"People recommend investing in the Swiss market during uncertain periods – like if you are expecting a recession. "Maybe in a bull market, Swiss equities are not going to be a huge outperformer globally — but they can generate positive returns. But in difficult times, Swiss equities, besides the U.S., is one of the markets to buy," Bänziger said. In her view, Swiss stocks benefit from the strong Swiss franc and a political system that fosters innovation in companies. Meanwhile, Bänziger believes Swiss Prime Site and PSP Swiss Property make good investments among small- and mid-caps, given the opportunities in the Swiss real estate sector.
Persons: Carla Bänziger, Bänziger, Stocks Organizations: U.S . Federal, that's, CNBC Pro, Swiss, State Secretariat, Economic Affairs, Swiss Re, SIX Swiss Exchange, Dow Jones International Real, ABB, Nestle, Roche, Novartis Locations: that's Switzerland, Swiss, Zurich, U.S, Switzerland, Germany, China, Europe
As China's property market and deflation woes continue to rattle investors, India's growth outlook appears all the more impressive. Last year's annual report attributed strong revenue growth partially to expansion in the Middle East, India, and Asia, Krishna wrote. "More than revenue, India is an important area for sourcing talent" as well, Krishna wrote. Growth potential For investors looking to gain exposure to the domestic stock market, Indian equities themselves aren't especially cheap though. "You're paying for the growth potential in India, certainly.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Bernstein, , Narendra Modi, Bill Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, Quincy Krosby, Venu Krishna, Aecom, Krishna, Tim Long, Long, Simon Coles, Krosby, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment, Logan Capital Management, Modi, Infrastructure Pipeline, Aecom, Barclays, Cisco Systems, Juniper Networks, India —, Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Qualcomm, Logan Capital Locations: India, China, Asia, Philadelphia, South Carolina . U.S, Dallas, East, Asia Pacific, Japan, Coles , U.S, U.S, IShares
The Nikkei 225 index , one of Japan's most important stock market benchmarks, could surge more than 50% over the next two years, according to Tokyo-based advisor Jasper Koll. The Nikkei 225 currently stands at just over 36,000 points, meaning Koll's target represents a potential upside of around 50% in the next two years. Hong Kong investors have the CSOP Nikkei 225 Index ETF available. This ETF tracks the MSCI Japan index, which is a different index from the Nikkei 225 but holds about 70% of the same stocks. European, UAE, and Singapore-based investors can access the MSCI Japan index through the iShares MSCI Japan UCITS ETF.
Persons: Jasper Koll, Monex, Koll, CNBC's, JP Morgan Japan, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Nikkei, JP Morgan, Berkshire, KIM, Japan, Japan Hedged Equity Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Berkshire, that's, Swiss, Hong Kong, U.S, UAE, Singapore
Valentine Andrews, 52, will report to Lorentz and lead the firm's "next era of private markets growth," he wrote. She will remain in New York City, where Manulife's private equity and private credit teams are based. Valentine Andrews joined BlackRock in 2014 from Morgan Stanley, where she spent seven years and helped establish the firm's infrastructure-investing platform. She previously worked at Macquarie Bank, the firm known for its infrastructure investments, in Melbourne and New York. "I like to think about living life in chapters," Valentine Andrews wrote in a post on LinkedIn last month.
Persons: CQS, Anne Valentine Andrews, Paul Lorentz, Valentine Andrews, Lorentz, Angelo Gordon, Nuveen, BlackRock, Edwin Conway, Salim Ramji, Vipon, Brian Kernohan, Marc Feliciano, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Manulife Investment Management, Business, BlackRock, Manulife, Investment, Global Infrastructure Partners, TPG, Macquarie Bank, LinkedIn Locations: Toronto, Massachusetts, Manulife, New York City, Melbourne, New York
Under-the-radar stock picks Morgan Stanley reckons the way to play the obesity theme in Asia is through names involved in GLP-1 drug development that "could find upside in burgeoning overseas markets." Calling it "top beneficiary as global demand for GLP-1 drugs significantly outpaces capacity," Morgan Stanley has an overweight rating on the stock. Morgan Stanley has an investment horizon of just over six months for WuXi AppTec and Innovent and over 12 months for Chugai and EBOS. Morgan Stanley's analysts estimate that worldwide sales of Orforglipron could hit $7 billion in 2023. Elsewhere, it sees opportunities for EBOS following the Australian government's approval for it to distribute obesity drugs.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Morgan, Sean Wu, Morgan Stanley's, Health Organization's, Morgan Stanley, Chugai, Goldman, EBOS, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Health, WHO, BMI, WuXi AppTec, Australian, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China Health Care, Goldman Sachs, Health Care Equity, Zealand ETF Locations: U.S, Asia, Asia Pacific, Australia, GLP, WuXi, China, Japan, New Zealand, Zealand
Long-term yields might be the best bond investment this year, according to one exchange-traded fund expert. "The iShares 20-year Treasury ETF (TLT ) will get the biggest bang for its buck [and] some of the intermediate-term products like the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corp Bond (VCIT ) will get some bang for the buck," VettaFi's Todd Rosenbluth told CNBC's "ETF Edge" on Monday. Rosenbluth added that while the short-term products were very popular last year, they will "largely tread water or earn a little more than their overall income." The firm's head of research reasons that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates more than expected then investors should stay in longer-term products to benefit. "We saw a lot of money start to move out of the short end of the curve into intermediate duration," said Slavin, the company's global head of ETFs.
Persons: VettaFi's Todd Rosenbluth, CNBC's, Rosenbluth, BNY Mellon's Benjamin Slavin Organizations: Treasury, Corp, Federal Reserve
One stock frequently showed up among analysts' top calls this month: South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix . In December, HSBC raised the price target for the stock from 150,000 Korean ($112) won to 180,000 Korean won ($134). "We also expect positive impact from ongoing AI demand on expanding On-device AI adoption. For global investors who wish to buy SK Hynix shares, its shares are listed on the Korea Stock Exchange and its depository receipts are listed on the Luxembourg Stock Exchanges. Investors can also buy into SK Hynix via the ETF route.
Persons: Trent Masters, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Korean chipmaker SK Hynix, SK Hynix, Nvidia, SK Hynix's, UBS, HSBC, Korean, Trent, Alphinity Investment Management, CNBC, Samsung, SK, Korea Stock Exchange, Luxembourg Stock Exchanges, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF, Korea ETF Locations: Franklin FTSE South Korea, Korea
Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. This material is for illustration and discussion purposes and not intended to be, nor construed as, financial, legal, tax or investment advice. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: bellwether LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, IEUR Organizations: Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Europe, IEUR, Japan
Among the most broadly played investment "factors" — including value, momentum, low volatility, dividend yield — quality has dominated the market, the representative iShares MSCI USA Quality ETF (QUAL) up 25% in the past year, compared to 13% for S & P 500 value and less than 5% for the equal-weighted S & P 500. Even within industry sectors, the stocks with higher quality scores have sped ahead ( Costco in retail, WW Grainger in industrials, etc.). The quality label is based on strong balance sheets, high and steady profit margins, consistency of earnings growth and the like. Sure, there are multi-year secular growth stories animating the AI innovators and weight-loss-drug developers, but most quality stocks stand out for steadiness. Any give-back of the leading quality growth names wouldn't be easily absorbed by the broader market.
Persons: iShares, WW Grainger, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, FactSet, Michael Gates, Ed Yardeni, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: Costco, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Nike, Bank of America, Citi, Invest, BlackRock's, Yardeni Research Locations: industrials, Berkshire
"Bond fund / ETF flows tend to follow returns with about a month lag. The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) is the top bond ETF by inflows with more than $4.5 billion month to date, according to FactSet. Another notable fund is the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) , which has brought in more than $2 billion. "People have definitely been allocating to investment grade. How fixed income investors react to expected rate cuts from the Federal Reserve is a key question in 2024.
Persons: Yuri Seliger, Bond, Seliger, Stephen Laipply, Laipply Organizations: Bank of, Corporate, Federal Locations: LQD, BlackRock
Europe's power grid is in dire need of an upgrade, Goldman Sachs says, naming two stocks it expects to benefit from the network's expansion and modernization. "Power grids sit in the sweet spot of electrification: besides an accelerating top line, we highlight attractive risk-adjusted returns, which are usually set on a 'cost plus' basis." Stock picks Goldman Sachs said the way to play this theme is through pure plays and green energy majors. The green energy industry has had a tough time of it since 2021 as global central banks hiked interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. "We believe power network activities represent an incremental leg in our re-rating thesis for Green Energy Majors," Goldman's analysts added, naming Enel and SSE as buy-rated stocks.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alberto Gandolfi, Stock, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Clean Energy ETF, Energy Index, Green Energy, Milan Stock Exchange, London Stock Exchange, Global Renewable Energy Locations: Europe
The health-care sector may have done poorly in the last couple of years, but analysts are bullish on it right now, citing biotech as an area to watch. "Just two weeks into 2024, the healthcare sector has shrugged off the title of being a notable laggard in 2023," Citi said in a recent note. To look for biotech stocks that did well last year and that analysts are still positive on, CNBC Pro screened the iShares Biotechnology ETF and the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF. Subscribers can read more here. — Weizhen Tan
Persons: Weizhen Tan Organizations: Citi, CNBC Pro, Biotechnology, P Biotech ETF
The driving force behind the recent sell-off in bitcoin may have run its course, according to JPMorgan. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin has retreated since the approval of bitcoin ETFs. JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said in a note to clients Thursday that the main source of the selling has come from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) . Some outflows from GBTC were expected, given the prior discount and its high cost relative to other bitcoin ETFs. And some of the other bitcoin ETFs are seeing big inflows, with funds from iShares ( IBIT ) and Fidelity Wise Origin ( FBTC ) both surpassing $1 billion in inflows.
Persons: Bitcoin, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Panigirtzoglou Organizations: JPMorgan, Fidelity Locations: bitcoin, GBTC, iShares
To look for biotech stocks that did well last year and that analysts are still positive on, CNBC Pro screened the iShares Biotechnology ETF and the SPDR S & P Biotech ETF. Potential upside to average price target of more than 40%. Four stocks stood out for being given on average more than 100% potential upside: Humacyte , Marinus Pharmaceuticals , Olema Pharmaceuticals and Ovid Therapeutics . Another three stocks in the screen drew 100% buy ratings from analysts: Ardelyx , Cabaletta Bio and Rocket Pharmaceuticals . Of these three, Rocket Pharmaceuticals got the highest potential upside of 81.4%.
Persons: Marinus, Biomea Organizations: Citi, Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Biotechnology, P Biotech ETF, Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Olema Pharmaceuticals, Ovid Therapeutics, Rocket Pharmaceuticals
From the October 2023 low to the end of last year, the ITB soared higher, gaining over 40% in value in just two months. Interest rates moving lower certainly helped this upside momentum, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping from 5.0% to 3.8% during this period. This is where price is moving higher, but the RSI is sloping down. ITB YTD mountain ITB, YTD Technical analysis pioneer Charles Dow taught us that an uptrend is a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: we're, Charles Dow, David Keller Organizations: Construction, RSI, Inc, David Keller https Locations: Horton
Japanese stocks had one of their best years in recent memory, and they could rally even more in 2024. .N225 ALL mountain Big gains for Nikkei in 2023 That momentum has carried into early 2024. What's more, Wall Street sees no signs of Japanese stocks slowing down. In early 2023, Japanese stocks surged after the highest Shunto wage hike in 30 years was passed, at above 3% from above 2% the year prior, according to the Japan Times . Corporate earnings and economic growth Another driver for Japanese stocks this year could be strong corporate earnings and economic growth.
Persons: Warren Buffett, What's, BofA's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Fumio Kishida, Scott Ladner, Ladner, we've, they're, Glovista's Carlos Asilis, there's, Bernstein, Neil Beveridge, Horizon's Ladner Organizations: Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Itochu, Sumitomo, Nikkei, Japan Times, Horizon Investments, Japan, Japan Hedged Equity, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Toyota, U.S Locations: Japan, That's
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