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Andy Sieg shocked the finance industry last spring when he left Merrill Wealth Management. AdvertisementBank of America analyst Ebrahim Poonawala recently argued that Citi should consider selling the wealth business if it cannot improve its profitability. AdvertisementWhile Sieg has told Citi managing directors to manage up less, a former Merrill executive who worked under him said Sieg was adept at it. Former Citi managing directorAdvertisementVahid's position will be taken by Kris Bitterly, the global head of investment products, in September. Mirroring tactics that supercharged Merrill, Sieg has changed Citi Wealth's compensation scheme to prioritize asset gathering, to the consternation of several employees.
Persons: Andy Sieg, Kevin Crain, Sieg, Crain, Jane Fraser, Fraser, Morgan Stanley, Merrill, Smith Barney, Ebrahim Poonawala, Wells, Mike Mayo, Brian Moynihan, Alex Wong, Moynihan, Fraser isn't, Mayo, anoint, Jamie Dimon, Jennifer Piepszak, Marianne Lake, Viswas Raghavan, Jane, He'd, George H, Bush, Bill Schreyer, Merrill Lynch, Dave Komansky, David Komansky, YOSHIKAZU TSUNO, Phil, Doug, Lord Abbett, David Poole, Citi's, there's, That's, Poole, Glenn Schorr, Jim O'Donnell, O'Donnell, Sieg's, Andy Sieg's, Naz Vahid, David Bailin, Bailin, Naz, Phil Waxelbaum, Vahid, Kris, Don Plaus, Keith Glenfield, Dawn Nordberg, Edward Jones, They're, Ernst & Young, he's Organizations: Merrill Wealth Management, Business, Citi, Bank of America, Morgan, BI, Merrill, Bank, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Harvard, Penn State, JPMorgan Advisors, United Arab, Citi . Citi, Work, Citi lifer, Former Citi, North, Citi Alliance, Citi Wealth, Bloomberg, Ernst &, Citizens Bank Locations: Sieg, Wells Fargo, Merrill, Bellefonte , Pennsylvania, Poole, Singapore, United Arab Emirates, Mexico, London, Aventura , Florida, Asia, Manhattan, North America
Hardware is Wall Street's new favorite bet
  + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at the Apple-Google partnership that shows why hardware has become Wall Street's new favorite bet . The big storyHardware is hotGetty Images; Chelsea Jia Feng/BISoftware may still eat the world, but only with the help of some serious hardware. But generative AI has put a considerable spotlight on a less sexy part of tech: hardware. That's playing out in the stock market, where hardware tech stocks have outperformed software tech stocks by 30 percentage points this year , writes BI's Matthew Fox.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Marc Andreessen's, Hugh Langley, That's, BI's Matthew Fox, it's, Steve Schwarzman, Jon Gray, Brian Ach, Tyler Le, Andy Sieg, Merrill Wealth, Dan Sundheim, Chris Tuite, Trump, Elon Musk, hasn't, Jimmy Simpson, they're, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Elon, Apple, Business, Apple Intelligence, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Oracle, Street, Nvidia, Broadcom, Blackstone, Merrill, D1 Capital, YouTube, Netflix, BI, Cannes Lions, advertising's Locations: That's, New York, London
Dollar firm as euro wallows; yuan brushes aside China data
  + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was firm on Monday as the euro hovered near a more than one-month low amid continued concerns about the political outlook in Europe. The yuan held close to a multi-month low after China released a slew of economic data that pointed to an uneven recovery in the world's second-largest economy. A Reuters poll published last week showed 63 of 65 economists thought a first cut would not come until Aug. 1. Elsewhere, the yuan was mostly flat at 7.2550 per dollar after domestic data showed a mixed economic picture in China. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Monday as the weak yuan continued to hamper policy easing.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron's, Matt Simpson, Neel Kashkari, Index's Simpson, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Gazprom, European Central Bank, Reuters, Index, . Minneapolis Federal, Bank of England, Bank of Japan Locations: Poland, Bulgaria, Europe, China, U.S
So that's what the bank did, listing 10 signals that they found to be most reliable, as well as the best investing approach for a market peak. The index has reached 110 within the six months preceding every market peak since July 1990, and in January 2024, it reached 111. ValuationElevated stock valuations are also telling of a market peak, but Bank of America's indicators relating to P/E ratios aren't currently triggered. A third macroeconomic indicator, Bank of America's Credit Stress Indicator (CSI), is not triggered. It often drops below 0.25 within six months of a market peak, but sits at 0.39.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, America quantifies Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, Conference, Bank of America Investor, Bank, America, The Conference Board, SSI, Wall Street, of America's, CSI Locations: today's
Here's what five forecasters have to say about the latest rally — and why they think the stock market is headed for a fall. In 2009, he wrote a book predicting a stock market crash and ensuing economic depression, which he said could last for 10 years or more. The research firm is predicting the S&P 500 could see a steep correction following a rally to 6,500. Yet, that could end up being an excellent opportunity for investors who are diversified in other areas of the market, Bernstein said. AdvertisementTypically, there are eight warning signs of a market bubble forming, and six of them have already flashed, the bank said.
Persons: Stocks, , haven't, Harry Dent Stocks, Harry Dent, Dent, John Higgins, Higgins, John Hussman, Hussman, Richard Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Fox Business Network, Stocks, Capital Economics, John Hussman Elite, UBS
CNN —“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for a while now. When economic reports are released that are solid, they have all too often been clouded with concerns that good news for the economy actually means a longer wait before the Federal Reserve rolls out rate cuts. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index cooled more than expected in May, with prices holding flat on the month for the first time since July 2022. The markets don’t seem to be buying the one-cut plan, especially after the Producer Price Index on Thursday showed that wholesale prices fell from April to May and the BLS’ Import and Export Price Index showed that US imports prices fell 0.4% in May after rising 0.9% in April. And more good news is likely on the way this next week and later this month, Brusuelas said.
Persons: CNN —, , Joe Brusuelas, , ” Brusuelas, spoilsport, Price, ” Chris Rupkey, , ” Rupkey, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, RSM US, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent, Consumer, Index, BLS, Price, FwdBonds, CPI, PPI
The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.
Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of
Tech giant Apple has made headlines this week following its artificial intelligence announcements — but one market watcher is unimpressed. "I do not like Apple," Paul Meeks, co-chief investment officer at Harvest Portfolio Management told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Tuesday — while acknowledging that many people disagree with him. Apple's shares reacted positively to the announcement, surging 7% to close at a record high on Tuesday. Shares in the tech giant are up over 10% year-to-date and 16% in the past 12 months. AAPL YTD mountain Year-to-date shares in Apple Meeks, however, maintains his bearish stance on Apple.
Persons: Paul Meeks, CNBC's, , wearables, Siri, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Apple Meeks, Meeks Organizations: Tech, Apple, Portfolio Management, Wall
OPEC+ members recently announced plans to bring 2.5 million bpd back to the market from October through September 2025. If the group follows through with its announced plan, the oil market will see a surplus of 2.6 million bpd or more. Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh said the OPEC+ production plan will cast a bearish shadow over the next two years . It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.5 million bpd, Hsueh said. The International Energy Agency warned Wednesday the world will be awash in oil by 2030, with production capacity outpacing demand projections by eight million bpd.
Persons: Brent, Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Fatih Birol Organizations: Citi, Brent, Deutsche Bank, United Arab Emirates, TD Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: OPEC, North America, Brazil, Guyana, U.S
The financial sector, along with other value-oriented sectors, is beginning to significantly underperform the major equity benchmarks over the last six weeks. We'll share a potential short candidate, close to breaking down through a key support level that could indicate much further downside to come. First, let's visualize the relative performance of the financial sector, along with three other value sectors that have all shown deterioration since April. In searching through the financial sector for an actionable chart to play potential downside, I discovered that Progressive Corp. (PGR) is showing all the signs of a bearish rotation. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: PGR, I'm, David Keller Organizations: Progressive Corp, Progressive, PGR, CMT
Crude oil futures rose Wednesday as traders bet on tightening supplies later in the year. Fuel demand increased by 94,000 bpd to about nine million bpd total. The investment bank sees a 1.2 million bpd deficit in the third quarter, which could push Brent prices to $86 per barrel. OPEC, meanwhile, stuck to its demand growth forecast of 2.2 million bpd due to solid global economic growth of 2.8% this year. Those forecasts clashed with a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency, which sees weakening demand and rising supplies.
Persons: Martijn, Morgan Stanley, Brent Organizations: Department of Energy, U.S, Oil, Federal Reserve, International Energy Agency Locations: U.S
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple's main challenge is that AI isn't ready for prime time: AnalystTom Forte of Maxim Group remains bearish on Apple and questions how long the company can continue to generate half its revenue from a single product.
Persons: Tom Forte Organizations: Maxim, Apple
The firm upgraded the ingredients maker to buy from neutral but lowered its price target to $48 per share from $50. "Though these items might not help earnings until 2025, we believe visibility surrounding them could improve in coming months and send the share price higher," he added. Lovallo has a $198 price target for Lennar, reflecting 30.1% in upside. Analyst Raimo Lenschow upgraded the marketing automation stock to overweight from equal weight and upped his price target by $4 to $29. Singlehurst raised her price target to $58 from $54.20, but the new forecast implies nearly 2% downside from Tuesday's close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Thomas Palmer, — Brian Evans, Edward Jones, Logan Purk, — Jesse Pound, John Lovallo, Lovallo, — Alex Harring, Oppenheimer, Colin Rusch, Rusch, Alex Bradley, Alex Harring, Raimo Lenschow, Lenschow, Wells, Steven Cahall, Wedbush, Michael Pachter, Pachter, Keith Gill, Piper Sandler, Valvoline Piper Sandler, Peter Keith, Keith, VVV's algo, hasn't, Will Gaertner, Gaertner, Morgan Stanley, Mark Murphy, Keith Weiss, Brent Bracelin, Louise Singlehurst, Singlehurst, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Analysts, Citi, Diamond Green Diesel, AMD, Devices, Nvidia, UBS, Lennar, KB, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Paramount, GameStop, Products, LSEG, Google, AI, JPMorgan, Oracle Locations: California, Tuesday's, VVV, reaccelerate, ORCL
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple will continue to struggle without a large acquisition: Paul MeeksPaul Meeks of Harvest Portfolio Management remains bearish on Apple and says the company's announcements at Worldwide Developers Conference were "as expected."
Persons: Paul Meeks Paul Meeks Organizations: Apple, Worldwide Developers
Crude oil futures were little changed Tuesday as OPEC stuck to its demand forecasts, counting on steady economic growth this year. Oil prices rallied more than 2% Monday and have now recovered most of the losses from last week. The market had sold-off to four month lows after OPEC+ decided to increase crude production in October. Here are today's energy prices:OPEC is projecting oil demand growth of 2.2 million barrels per day for 2024 and 1.8 million bpd in 2025, according to the group's monthly report. The oil producers see global economic growth of 2.8% this year and 2.9% in 2025.
Persons: John Evans, Evans Organizations: OPEC Locations: OPEC
The outlook for stocks looks dour as the chances of Federal Reserve rate cuts decrease and risks abound, according to JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic. Indeed, the S & P 500 initially ripped higher on Friday after the data was released but closed along the flatline for the day. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Against this backdrop, the strategist reiterated his "defensive tilt," staying overweight commodities and cash and being underweight stocks. JPMorgan is the most bearish firm out of all those surveyed by CNBC PRO with an S & P 500 target of 4,200. The S & P 500 closed Monday at 5,360.79.
Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Dow Jones, Kolanovic Organizations: Equity, Labor Department, Dow, Investors, JPMorgan, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S
As the AI bubble turns into a mania and AI shifts to the cloud, many companies can benefit indirectly from this boom. Since that stock has already hit new highs, I am looking to participate in this sympathy move by using another cybersecurity darling, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) , as a proxy trade. A bullish price momentum accompanied by an increasing RSI indicates the strength of the move. The trade To bet bullish on PANW, the trade structure I have used here is called a "bull call spread". BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: CrowdStrike, bullish, PANW, Jay Powell's Organizations: Alto Networks Locations: PANW
The US is poised to see an epic stock market crash next year, according to Harry Dent. AdvertisementThe stock market could be in for a steep correction, resulting in a crash even worse than what investors saw during the Great Financial Crisis, according to economist Harry Dent. "Hero" stocks, like chipmaker Nvidia, could drop as much as 98%, he said, implying a multi-trillion market crash. "We've got to see a crash of about 40% to say, okay, the bubble's finally let off the steam. "This is really the second tech bubble version," he added, referring to the dot-com bubble in the 2000s."
Persons: Harry Dent, , Dent, We've, " Dent Organizations: Service, Harvard Business School, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Fox Business Network
When your job is to write a commentary about the stock market you start with a blank Word document. I bring up this mortifying moment because it reminds me of what happens if you write to extreme. No, nobody's saying, "How wrong Cramer can be, just watch the collapse that occurs now." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim Cramer on Squawk on the Street, June 30, 2022.
Persons: Cramer, Karen Cramer, bullish, that's, Bob Dylan, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: Cramer & Co, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Water, Hamptons, CNBC Locations: Water, New York City, John
Shares of Citigroup (C) have far outpaced the major equity benchmarks in 2024, gaining around 22% year-to-date versus the S & P 500's 13%. Soon after, the stock broke above its 40-week moving average, validating the strength of the rally off the October low. Then in February 2024, the stock pushed above the 150-week moving average, validating the strength and persistence of the uptrend phase. The weekly PPO indicator has since registered a sell signal, indicating that the previous uptrend phase is likely terminated. But a failure to regain the 50-day moving average in early June would mean the previous uptrend phase is most likely exhausted.
Persons: David Keller Organizations: Citigroup, RSI, CMT
The May jobs report could spark a bearish narrative change in the stock market. AdvertisementA 10% sell-off in the stock market is possible this summer after a massive year-to-date rally, according to JPMorgan. "The combination of earnings season stock performance and narrowing market breadth points to a market that needs a new set of catalysts and/or reassurance about the prevailing market narrative," JPMorgan said. "Momentum unwind"The bulk of the stock market's recent gains have been driven by momentum, with tech stocks leading the advance. AdvertisementJPMorgan said a jobs report below 50,000 to 75,000 range or above the 250,000 to 300,000 range could spark a narrative change and hurt stock prices.
Persons: Organizations: JPMorgan, Service
The bank reiterated its $1,500 price target this week, implying another 24% upside for the stock. Nvidia will continue to dominate the computing market in the next upgrade cycle, the bank said. BofA strategists have a 12-month price target of $1,500 a share, implying another 24% upside from where the stock was trading late Thursday morning. Vivek Arya, a senior semiconductor analyst for the bank, added that he believed the stock would dominate the computer market for the next decade. Nvidia stock undergo a 10-for-1 split on Friday, a move that could be a catalyst for further gains as a lower share price helps draw more attention from retail investors.
Persons: , Jensen Huang, Vivek Arya, Ayra Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia, Service, AMD, Intel, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street, Apple
U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillate stocks rose last week, according to sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. API figures showed crude stocks rose by more than 4 million barrels in the week ended May 31, against analysts' forecasts for a 2.3 million-barrel decline in a Reuters poll. Gasoline stocks also rose more than 4 million barrels, which was a much bigger build than the 2 million-barrel increase analysts had expected. Rising U.S. stocks could weigh heavily on investor sentiment around oil demand. Data for last week reflects fuel usage around the Memorial Day holiday, closely watched as it marks the start of U.S. driving season.
Persons: Tim Evans Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: OPEC, U.S
The decision by OPEC+ to increase oil production will cast a "bearish shadow" over oil prices for the next two years, creating a level of uncertainty not seen since the pandemic severely disrupted demand, according to Deutsche Bank. It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.2 million bpd, Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh told clients in a note Wednesday. The supply increase is similar in magnitude to the 2.3 million bpd oversupply during the first year of the pandemic in 2020, Hsueh wrote. The policy shift by OPEC+ "marks the end of the tightening cycle that began in October 2022," Hsueh said. The supply deficit of 500,000 bpd this quarter will rise to 1 million bpd in the third quarter before the OPEC+ production increases start, according to Deutsche.
Persons: Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: OPEC, Deutsche Bank ., Deutsche Bank, TD Securities, Deutsche, Brent Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Mexico, U.S
Branch Global's Greg Branch is still bearish on the market
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBranch Global's Greg Branch is still bearish on the marketGreg Branch, Branch Global Advisors founder, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the Fed and being bearish on the market.
Persons: Greg Branch Organizations: Branch Global Advisors
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