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☆ Expect a US recession that will ravage markets and could send stocks spiraling down 24% next year, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-30 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of America economists expect the US to slip into a recession in the first quarter of 2023. The S&P 500 could plunge 24% from its current level by the end of the year, strategists warned. And it's not just a recession that will rattle markets next year, according to Bank of America. All these factors played a key role in the stock selloff that has seen the S&P 500 plunge 17% in 2022, they noted. Read more: The S&P 500 could drop 24% within months as earnings gloom reaches a crescendo, Morgan Stanley's top stock picker warns

☆ Bank of America sees stocks going nowhere next year and tech continuing to take hits
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-22 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 will likely end 2023 little changed from where it currently stands despite the concern of a recession, according to Bank of America. The market typically bottoms six months before the end of a recession, Subramanian noted. To be sure, a variety of factors could influence the S & P 500's performance. The bank's more pessimistic outlook has the S & P 500 ending 2023 at 3,000 points – a 24% drop from where it closed on Monday. Within the S & P 500, information technology is down nearly 25% this year.

☆ Value investors make a big comeback with one of their best months since 1978
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on November 02, 2022 in New York City. Value investors have come back with a vengeance as inexpensive stocks pulled off a historic month of outperformance against growth names. The Russell 1000 Value index jumped 10.1% in October, beating its growth counterparts by 4.3 percentage points. The value outperformance spread is in the 96th percentile of outcomes since 1978, according to Bank of America. The iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD ) raked in $444 million inflows last month during the rally.

☆ This contrarian indicator from Bank of America signals a 94% chance stocks are higher a year from now
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-01 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bank said historically, when the indicator was at current levels or lower, subsequent 12-month S & P 500 returns were positive 94% of the time and the median 12-month return was 22%. "We have found that Wall Street's consensus equity allocation has historically been a reliable contrarian indicator." Bank of America said a range of 60% to 65% represents the traditional "normal" equity allocation for a balanced fund. The S & P 500 is down more than 19% this year. The bank sees the S & P 500 ending the year at 3,600, about 6% lower from where it trades now.

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes says stocks would still need to fall more than 50% just to reach valuation norms — and warns of an 'avalanche of earnings disappointments'
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

John Hussman says stocks would have to fall more than 50% further to hit valuation norms. Stocks have staged an impressive rally in recent weeks, with the S&P 500 up 9% since October 12. For Hussman, valuations are still too high, even though the benchmark index has fallen as much as 25% this year. Still, valuations are nowhere near levels that we associate with satisfactory long-term market returns, so I suspect that more shoes will drop." The earnings disappointments Hussman sees will be caused by restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve that weigh on demand.

☆ Stock pickers are still positioned for a Fed 'soft landing,' mutual fund holdings show
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Professional stock pickers are still betting that the U.S. economy could skirt a recession, according to Bank of America analysis. Actively managed mutual funds have maintained their pro-cyclical stance with overweights in consumer discretionary and industrials, while having a sizeable underweight in consumer staples, Bank of America's monthly analysis of fund holdings showed. "Long-only mutual funds appear to be expecting a soft landing," Savita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, said in a note. Still, mutual funds are not well positioned to hedge against stubborn inflation or a strong dollar. So far this year, 39% of large cap active funds are outperforming their benchmarks, higher than the 35% average over the past decade, Bank of America said.

☆ BANK OF AMERICA: Buy these 13 stocks most likely to beat earnings expectations in Q3 — 8 of which are underowned by fund managers
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Some on Wall Street think earnings estimates remain too high as the Fed tightens. They shared on Monday 13 stocks they think will beat earnings estimates in Q3. Still, some companies should outperform expectations, Bank of America says, offering opportunities for investors as firms begin to report their third-quarter earnings this month. Bank of America's earnings expectations for the stocks are at least 0.4 standard deviations above the rest of Wall Street. While having a "buy" rating placed on each of the stocks, the bank urged investors not to invest in the stocks solely based on their potential to beat earnings.

☆ Stock market inflows hit near-records last week suggesting that investors think the bottom is in, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are acting like they think the bottom is in for stocks, Bank of America said in a Tuesday note. BofA clients poured $6.1 billion into US stocks last week, representing the third largest inflow since 2008. The bank tracks the trading activity of its clients, which include hedge funds, institutional, and private investors. The stock buying was broad-based by BofA's clients, with inflows into both individual stocks and ETFs across various sectors and styles. One group of BofA's clients that could drive further buying into year-end is corporations with stock buyback programs.

☆ Bank of America: History says this seasonal investing strategy has a 100% success rate in down years, and these 28 lagging stocks could benefit most from it
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Tax-loss harvesting is a popular investing strategy at this time of year. Here are 28 lagging stocks that could see big gains, according to Bank of America. However, history teaches that there is a tactic that has a perfect 100% track record of success when the S&P 500 is down through October, according to Bank of America: buying stocks that are tax-loss harvesting candidates. Tax-loss harvesting is an investing strategy used to make stock market losses less painful. 28 beaten-down buy-rated stocks that could bounce backBank of America recently identified 159 buy-rated stocks that are tax-loss harvesting candidates and could be set to rebound from November through January.

☆ Wall Street strategists say this is what investors must watch for in 3Q earnings reports
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( Robert Hum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

As third-quarter earnings season gets underway, investors will be missing a good chunk of the action if they ignore guidance for the fourth quarter. Paint and coatings producer PPG Industries said " sales volume declines were most pronounced in September" and it expects difficult conditions to continue into the fourth quarter. Fourth-quarter earnings estimates for the S & P 500 have already been reduced in half since July 1 – which was just before the start of the second-quarter earnings season. Take a look at what happened during the just-completed Q2 earnings season. That's why it's important to watch what happens with the forward-looking fourth-quarter estimates this earnings season.

☆ Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller says owning stocks 'doesn't make a lot of sense' right now as the US economy will likely go into recession in 2023 — and warns the market is in for a decade
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller says the US economy is headed for a recession in 2023. Stanley Druckenmiller delivered a bleak message on Wednesday on the fate of the US economy: a recession is very likely sometime next year. "I will be stunned if we don't have a recession in '23," Druckenmiller said at the CNBC Delivering Alpha conference in New York. Given the poor macroeconomic outlook and the Fed's stated willingness to cause damage to the labor market, Druckenmiller said he's not bullish on risk assets like stocks right now. "You can have a period of 15, 20 years, 10 years where the market doesn't go anywhere.

☆ I'm worried markets won't hit bottom until the Fed cuts rates, says BofA's Subramanian
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI'm worried markets won't hit bottom until the Fed cuts rates, says BofA's SubramanianSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss why she believes stocks can fall further from here, where the strategist would point investors and more.

☆ A former top TD Ameritrade technical analyst says stocks have yet to bottom as shares of several major firms remain 'disconnected' from reality — and warns the market could fall another 22%
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-17 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The S&P 500 is down 19% in 2022. Since January 3, the S&P 500 is down more than 19%. All except for Apple have underperformed the S&P 500, though they are more on par with the performance of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, which is down 28.1% this year. It currently sits at 27.54, and tends to rise when the S&P 500 falls. Markets InsiderWhen all is said and done, Bierman said he thinks the S&P 500 will bottom out somewhere between 3,000-3,300.

☆ U.S. companies are reshoring at a rapid pace. Here's how to play the trend
▼ + stars: | 2022-08-27 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The reshoring trend – or companies shifting parts of their manufacturing and supply chains to different countries – has boomed over the last decade. In 2022, reshoring and foreign direct investment jobs announced coming back to the U.S. is on pace hit a record high of 348,493, according to data from the Reshoring Initiative. The trend also includes companies moving parts of their supply chains or manufacturing to different countries abroad. Investing the trend There are a few ways to play the reshoring trend as it continues to unfold. Analysts covering the space generally recommend picking up stocks in companies that stand to benefit from the trend, as opposed to companies in the reshoring process.

☆ An exclusive interview with market sage Jeremy Grantham, plus wisdom from a 29-year-old crypto billionaire
▼ + stars: | 2021-05-16 | by ( Business Insider | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

I'm Joe Ciolli, and I'm here to guide you through what's been happening in markets. Here's what's on the docket:If you aren't yet a subscriber to Insider Investing, you can sign up here. Grantham also broke down the psychology of investing in bubbly assets like Dogecoin — and revealed where long-term investors can find cheap assets. In an exclusive interview, Bankman-Fried shares his tips for investors looking to get into crypto trading. She shared 2 trades for investors looking to capitalize on an inflationary environment.

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