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☆ Bank results lift stocks; Dow up for seventh straight session
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Shares of other banks such as Bank of New York Mellon (BK.N) and PNC Financial (PNC.N) also rose on Tuesday after they reported quarterly results. "I always hate to extrapolate the big bank earnings, which are always the first ones, to the rest of the market. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) advanced to its highest intraday level since March 10, when the start of a mini-bank crisis created a sharp sell-off in the sector. Charles Schwab (SCHW.N) shot higher as the best performer on the S&P 500 after the brokerage posted a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit. Equities have rallied recently, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbing to 15-month highs on data showing economic resilience, cooling inflation and a solid labor market.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Tim Ghriskey, Ingalls & Snyder, JP Morgan, Charles Schwab, Bernstein, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: Bank of America, Dow, Reuters Graphics Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC Financial, PNC, Ingalls &, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Technology, Microsoft, Thomson Locations: New York

☆ US bank shares jump on interest income and deals optimism, but outlook mixed
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The bank said it expects full year NII to be up about 8% at about $57 billion. The bank's full year NII outlook remains unchanged at 20% growth, Chief Financial Officer Dermot McDonogh told analysts. Overall, its profit slipped 18% in the second quarter as a fewer deals hurt investment banking revenues. Sluggish deals have been a sore spot across Wall Street with global investment banking activity plunging to $15.7 billion in the second quarter, the lowest since 2012, according to Dealogic. While investment banking and trading were also a drag on earnings for big banks on Friday, JPMorgan likewise said the bank was seeing “green shoots” in trading and investment banking.

Persons: Nacho, Morgan Stanley, BNY Mellon, Dermot McDonogh, Robert Pavlik, BNY, Morgan, JPMorgan Chase, Charles Schwab, Walt Bettinger, MS.N, Morgan Stanley's, Sharon Yeshaya, Goldman Sachs, Mehnaz Yasmin, Niket, Jaiveer, Manya Saini, Saeed Azhar, Tatiana Bautzer, Lance Tupper, Johann Cherian, Michelle Price, Megan Davies, Nick Zieminski Organizations: of America, REUTERS, WASHINGTON, . Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon Corp, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Wall, PNC Financial Services, Dakota Wealth, JPMorgan, Citigroup, PNC, Silicon Valley Bank, Reuters, Street, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Big U.S, NII, KBW, Wells Fargo, Silicon, Bengaluru

☆ U.S. banks shares spark after interest income boost, but outlook mixed
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Nacho Doce/File PhotoWASHINGTON, July 18 (Reuters) - Big U.S. banks on Tuesday said higher interest rates had helped boost profits in the second quarter, causing shares to spike, but a pullback in consumer spending, slower loan growth and increased deposit costs may cloud the outlook for the sector. Bank of America's net interest income (NII), which measures the difference between what banks earn on loans and pay out on deposits, rose 14% to $14.2 billion in the second quarter, helping it to beat Wall Street estimates. The bank said it expects full year NII to be up about 8% at about $57 billion. That has forced some banks to offer consumers higher returns to deter them from moving their deposits to competitors. Overall, the bank's profit slipped 18% in the second quarter as Wall Street's deal-making drought stunted revenue from investment banking, although investors were cheered by executives' positive outlook for M&A.

Persons: Nacho, BNY Mellon, Robert Pavlik, BNY, JPMorgan Chase, Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley, MS.N, BofA, Mehnaz Yasmin, Niket, Manya Saini, Saeed Azhar, Tatiana Bautzer, Lance Tupper, Johann Cherian, Michelle Price, Megan Davies, Nick Zieminski Organizations: of America, REUTERS, WASHINGTON, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon Corp, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Wall, PNC Financial Services, Dakota Wealth, " Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citigroup, PNC, Silicon Valley Bank, Investment, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Big U.S, NII, KBW, Wells Fargo, Silicon, Bengaluru

☆ Charles Schwab stock pops 12% after second-quarter results beat expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A man passes by a location of financial broker Charles Schwab in the financial district in New York, March 20, 2023. Schwab generated 75 cents in adjusted earnings per share on $4.66 billion in revenue. CFO Peter Crawford said in the release that revenue — which fell 9% year over year — was hurt by customers reallocating their cash with higher rates. However, Crawford stated that "we observed a continued and substantial deceleration in the daily pace of cash outflows" in June and that the company expected client cash to start growing again by the end of the year. CEO Walt Bettinger said on "Squawk on the Street" that "client cash realigning" is now down more than 80% from the first quarter.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Schwab, Peter Crawford, —, Crawford, Walt Bettinger, Bettinger Locations: New York

☆ Schwab CEO says bullishness among retail traders is rising, with buy orders 20% higher than sells
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Walter "Walt" Bettinger, president and chief executive officer of Charles Schwab Corp., speaks during the 2015 Fortune Global Forum in San Francisco, California, on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2015. Charles Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger said Tuesday that retail investors using his brokerage platform are showing signs of bullishness on the stock market. Bettinger revealed that Schwab clients have been adding equity exposure in the past few months. The volume of buy orders on Schwab's platform is 20% higher than sell orders, showing investor optimism about the market, he added. And we saw in the aggregate for the second quarter, buys were about 20% higher than sells.

Persons: Walter, Walt, Bettinger, Charles Schwab, Walt Bettinger, Schwab, Jesse Pound Organizations: Charles Schwab Corp, Global Locations: San Francisco , California

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Charles Schwab and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley — Shares of the James Gorman-led bank jumped more than 6% after the firm posted second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analysts' expectations. Bank of America – Bank of America shares rose nearly 4% after the company reported second-quarter financial results. Bank of New York Mellon — Shares rose more than 4% after Bank of New York Mellon reported second-quarter revenue and profit that beat Wall Street's expectations. PNC Financial — Shares gained 2.6% after PNC Financial reported second-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street's earnings expectations but came in slightly short on revenue. The Swiss pharmaceutical firm reported second-quarter earnings that topped estimates, according to StreetAccount.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley —, James Gorman, Morgan Stanley's, Refinitiv, PacWest, Bernstein, UnitedHealth, Pinterest, intraday, Masimo preannounced, Stifel, Lockheed Martin, Macheel, Sarah Min, Yun Li, Alex Harring, Michelle Fox Organizations: Bank of America – Bank of America, Regional Banking, Western Alliance, FB Financial, Verizon, AT, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC, PNC Financial, Novartis — U.S, Novartis, Sandoz, Masimo, Lockheed Locations: San Francisco , California, Swiss, FactSet

☆ Bank of America Reports Big Profit Jump on Higher Interest Rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Stacy Cowley | More About Stacy Cowley | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

The NumbersBank of America reported a profit of $7.4 billion last quarter, up nearly 20 percent from the year before. Revenue grew more than 10 percent, to $25.2 billion in the second quarter. Customer spending on credit and debit cards rose 3 percent, to $226 billion, the bank said. Notably, the lender’s investment-banking business rebounded in the second quarter, after a sharp drop in deal-making had cast a chill over the industry. Last week, Bank of America was fined $150 million by two federal regulators for charging its customers improper fees and denying them promised sign-up bonuses.

Persons: Mr, Borthwick, Takeaways Brian Moynihan, “, ”, “ That’s, Alastair Borthwick, “ We’ve, that’s, Wells Fargo, Banks, Goldman Sachs, They’ll Organizations: Bank of America, Revenue, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Western Alliance Locations: U.S

If the U.S. economy has a "soft landing" - no recession this year with inflation near target, and only a mild downturn next year with unemployment staying historically low - Jerome Powell may lay claim to being the most successful Fed chief in history. Powell was frequently on the receiving end of public lashings from his then boss - "Clueless," "horrendous lack of vision" and "pathetic!" "Kudos to Powell if he can achieve a soft landing. Greenspan, dubbed 'the Maestro' by his admirers, was Fed chief from 1987 to 2006. Not only that, his 36% rating was the lowest of any Fed chair since the survey series began in 2001.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Janet Yellen, Donald Trump, Trump, Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Volcker, Greenspan, Joe LaVorgna, Alan Blinder, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Joe, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Powell's, Republican, Nikko Securities, Trump White House, Reuters, New York Fed, Gallup, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, U.S

Potential buyers and sellers are also being deterred by the long wait for deal approvals by regulators, the experts said. The uncertainty over capital rules has created a "chilling effect" that could put a lid on mergers, while rising interest rates and a looming economic downturn could also damp activity, Adams said. That compares to $3.9 billion in bank deals for non-stressed institutions, the lowest seen over the first half of a year since 2010. "Instead of evaluating mergers based on competition and the needs of the community, political factors have become too important," she said. Regional banks will "have incentives to merge and reach larger scale since they will be subject to more regulatory scrutiny and capital,” Johnson said.

Persons: ”, Timothy Adams, Adams, Michael Barr, “, Meg Tahyar, Davis Polk, Janet Yellen, Tim Johnson, ” Johnson, Tatiana Bautzer, Saeed Azhar, Nupur Anand, Pete Schroeder, Lananh Nguyen, Deepa Babington Organizations: YORK, Institute of International Finance, Global, Federal, Treasury, Dominion Bank, First, KPMG, Thomson Locations: U.S, Canada's Toronto

☆ These companies reporting next week have a history of beating earnings estimates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The new corporate earnings season revs up next week, and some stocks could do well on the back of their reports. The regional bank has beat earnings expectations in 70% of its past reports and typically advances 1.7% on the back of a report. Blackstone Investment firm Blackstone also made the list, with the company beating expectations 70% and 79% of the time for earnings and revenue, respectively. Horton , which is also set to report Thursday, has beat earnings expectations 76% of the time and sales forecasts 70%. The company, which reports Thursday after the bell, has beat earnings and sales expectations 87% and 83% of the time, respectively.

Persons: revs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, they've, Wells, Jared Shaw, WAL, Blackstone, D.R, Horton D.R, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank of America, Netflix, United, Investors, CNBC Pro, Investment, Western Alliance, Western Alliance Bancorp, Regional Banking, Blackstone Investment, Truland Locations: Horton, Friday's

☆ JPMorgan Chase is set to report second-quarter earnings — here’s what the Street expects
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report second-quarter results before the opening bell Friday, kicking off the banking industry's earnings season. Here's what Wall Street expects, according to analysts' estimates:Earnings: $4 per share, according to RefinitivRevenue: $38.96 billion, according to RefinitivTrading revenue: Fixed income $4.12 billion, equities $2.41 billion, according to StreetAccountInvestment banking revenue: $1.42 billionNet interest income: $21.21 billionJPMorgan has been a standout recently on several fronts. Last month, several regional banks disclosed lower-than-expected interest revenue, and analysts expect more banks to do the same in coming weeks. In May, JPMorgan said revenue from those Wall Street activities was headed for a 15% decline from a year earlier. Wells Fargo and Citigroup are scheduled to release results later Friday, while Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report Tuesday.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, That's, Banks, sidestep downturns, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, U.S, Capitol, New Democrat Coalition, Washington , D.C, Refinitiv Revenue, Investment, KBW, Republic, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, Wells Fargo

☆ Morning Bid: Banks lob earnings into giddy markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

But there's likely to be a scattering of the herd in terms of performance during that three months. For universal banks such as JPMorgan and Wells Fargo that serve retail consumers and firms, earnings per share are expected to have jumped more than 40% over the previous year. Overall, the U.S. earnings season is expected to show S&P500 profits down 6.4% from the same period a year earlier - with revenue down a more modest 0.8%, according to Refinitiv research. Stock markets around the world and S&P500 futures held most of their outsize weekly gains, however, and were mostly flat into the open. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Wells, behemoths Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Christopher Waller, that's, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank, Export, Stock, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, University of Michigan, European Union, Brussels Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, China, Brussels

☆ The American banking landscape is on the cusp of a seismic shift. Expect more pain to come
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

But even as the dust settles from a string of government seizures of failed midsized banks, the forces that sparked the regional banking crisis in March are still at play. What is coming will likely be the most significant shift in the American banking landscape since the 2008 financial crisis. JPMorgan shares are up 7.6% this year, while the KBW Regional Banking Index is down more than 20%. Some of those pressures will be visible as regional banks disclose second-quarter results this month. "The fundamental issue with the regional banking system is the underlying business model is under stress," said incoming Lazard CEO Peter Orszag.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Brian Graham, Banks, KeyCorp, Matt O'Connor, Peter Orszag, SVB, Chris Wolfe, Wolfe, you've, You've, Goldman Sachs, Lazard's Orszag, Orszag, Janet Yellen, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Klaros, Graham Organizations: First, JPMorgan, Silicon Valley Bank, CNBC, Klaros, Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Justice Department Locations: First Republic, Silicon Valley, SVB, KBW, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Republic

☆ Even Wall Street has no clue which way the economy is going
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street hasn't been so divided for two decades, according to Bloomberg. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Similarly, the Federal Reserve's own forecasters say it's a 50-50 call whether the US will manage to escape a severe economic slump. And you can add Wall Street to the list of places where there's limited agreement on if there'll be a recession before the end of this year. The range of views on Wall Street is so wide that when it comes to stocks, analysts haven't been so divided for 20 years, according to Bloomberg.

Persons: Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, there'll, Goldman Sachs, there's, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Wilson, haven't Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal, Bank of America, JPMorgan Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ How the Fed’s new instant money program could lead to another regional banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Sure, you can currently Venmo or Zelle your friends instantly, but the banking system hasn’t kept up. Most transfers currently run on old systems that take hours, or even days, to process the money. Kevin Jacques: It’s a network that lets banks transfer money between themselves and between the account holders at the different banks in a near-instant way. The increase in average hourly earnings remained at 0.4% month on month, unchanged from May; and is up about 4.4% from last year. Instagram has more than two billion users, far more than the 238 million users Twitter reported having in the months before Musk took over.

Persons: New York CNN — FedNow, hasn’t, Bell, Kevin Jacques, It’s, You’ve, heartened, Payrolls, Job, Rucha Vankudre, Alicia Wallace, “, We’re, ”, Joseph Davis, Jerome Powell, Candice Tse, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Musk, Brian Fung, Instagram Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Cota Capital, Fed, There’s UPI, Silicon Valley Bank, ”, Vanguard, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Meta, Twitter Locations: New York, India, Brazil, Silicon

☆ Earnings season is upon us. What to look out for when major banks report Friday
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Wells Fargo (WFC) and Morgan Stanley (MS), our two financial holdings, will report quarterly numbers Friday and a week from Tuesday, respectively. All 23 institutions tested, including Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley, passed the exercise that simulates a hypothetical severe global recession. Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley announced increases in their capital returns to shareholders after clearing that regulatory hurdle. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo YTD performance Wells Fargo has a unique story among the major U.S. banks because of its multiyear restructuring plan. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD performance When Morgan Stanley reports, net assets in its wealth management (WM) business will be a key metric.

Persons: Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Christopher Whalen, Whalen, Banks, Wells, ROTCE, there's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Silicon Valley Bank, Street, Street Journal, CNBC, Barclays, Investment, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: U.S, Silicon, SVB, Wells, Wells Fargo

☆ Wall St Week Ahead As earnings loom, investors weigh recession resilience
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The financials sector is down 2%, while energy is nearly 9% lower. These unloved sectors are growing attractive to investors increasingly torn over whether a long-feared U.S. recession will ever materialize. Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial noted a "tug of war" in the market over the likelihood of a recession. The healthcare sector trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6, well below the 20.1 ratio of the broad S&P 500. Yet a continued rally in megacaps will likely stretch their valuations further, prompting some investors to rotate toward healthcare and financials, LPL Financial's Krosby said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Sameer Samana, Max Wasserman, Financials, Tom Ognar, Morgan Stanley, John Quealy, Financial's Krosby, David Randall, Megan Davies, Michelle Price, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Global, BofA, Commerce Department, LPL Financial, Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, FINANCIALS, Miramar Capital, Abbott Laboratories, Allspring Global Investments, LPL Financial Holdings Inc, Trillium Asset Management, Russell, Thomson Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, megacaps

☆ US bank stocks fall as investors turn jittery ahead of Q2 results
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

July 6 (Reuters) - U.S. bank stocks fell and a key regional index hit a near two-week low on Thursday amid lingering worries about the health of the lenders in the aftermath of the crisis in regional banks and ahead of second-quarter results that start next week. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) fell 3% to its lowest since June 23, adding to its year-to-date loss of 25.9%. The S&P 500 Banks Index (.SPXBK) slipped nearly 2.8%. Regional lender PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) dropped 8.1% after KBW analysts cut the price target on the stock to $9 from $14. Last week, shares rose after the Federal Reserve's annual health checks showed lenders could weather an economic slump.

Persons: Raymond James, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Banks, Manya Saini, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Banks, U.S, PacWest Bancorp, Comerica, U.S . Bancorp, Bank, Federal, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Bank of America, Thomson Locations: U.S . Federal, U.S, Wells Fargo, Bengaluru

LONDON/HONG KONG, July 4 (Reuters) - Global stocks held steady on Tuesday, as investors balanced the inflationary force of rising oil prices with hopes that central banks would not over-tighten monetary policy into a potential recession. Earlier in the session, Australia's central bank held interest rates steady at 4.1%, saying it needed time to assess the economic impact of its rate hikes so far. Complicating the outlook for inflation, oil prices rose on Tuesday as markets weighed supply cuts for August by top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia. Brent crude futures climbed 0.6% to $75.09 a barrel, with West Texas Intermediate crude adding the same amount to $70.23. "At least the improved supply-demand imbalance seems to be having an effect on price pressures," Capital Economics global economist Ariane Curtis said.

Persons: Europe's, Brent, Ariane Curtis, Curtis, Manishi Raychaudhuri, Raychaudhuri, Schatz, Paul Volcker, Ankur Banerjee, Sam Holmes, Himani Sarkar, Alex Richardson Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Wall, West Texas, Institute of Supply Management, Economics, Asia, BNP Paribas, Treasury, Independence, U.S, Fed, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Singapore

LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - U.S. manufacturers reported another widespread decline in business activity during June, which continued to weigh down industrial energy consumption and prices. Chartbook: U.S. industrial energy useThe forward-looking new orders component rose to 45.6 (9th percentile) in June up from 42.6 (6th percentile) in May but was still down from 49.2 (19th percentile) a year ago. ENERGY CONSUMPTIONIndustrial energy consumption is closely correlated with the manufacturing and freight cycle. Softness in diesel and electricity consumption is consistent with the moderate but persistent downturn in manufacturing evident in ISM surveys since the middle of 2022. It has helped take some of the pressure off diesel and electricity supplies and reversed the previous upward trend in prices.

Persons: John Kemp, David Holmes Organizations: Institute, Supply, Business, Institute for Supply Management, Manufacturers, U.S . Energy Information, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, United States, doldrums

☆ US 2yr/10yr yield curve hits deepest inversion in 42 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

July 3 (Reuters) - A widely watched section of the U.S. Treasury yield curve on Monday hit its deepest inversion since the high inflation era of Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, in a signal that financial markets see the current Fed tightening cycle eventually tipping the U.S. into recession. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields hit the widest since 1981 at -110.80 basis points in early trade, a deeper inversion than in March during the U.S. regional banking crisis. The gap was last at -108.30 bp. Reporting by Alden Bentley; editing by Philippa FletcherOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Paul Volcker, Alden Bentley, Philippa Fletcher Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Fed, Thomson

☆ Spread between 2- and 10-year Treasuries at deepest inversion since '81
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The closely-watched spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields hit the widest since 1981 at -109.50 in early trade, a deeper inversion than in March during the U.S. regional banking crisis. A yield curve inversion - in which shorter-dated Treasuries trade at higher yields than longer-dated securities - has been a reliable signal of upcoming recessions. The spread between 2 and 10-year Treasuries has been inverted since last July. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.6 basis points at 4.913% in morning trading Monday. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 1.2 basis points to 3.831%.

Persons: Paul Volcker, Ian Lyngen, Treasuries, Alden Bentley, Philippa Fletcher, Susan Fenton Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Fed, BMO, San Francisco Fed, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S

☆ This is where to find hot yields in July, according to UBS
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Now's the time to focus on fixed income over equities, according to UBS. Yet some fixed income products are more attractive than others right now. Mortgage-backed securities UBS calls mortgage-backed securities a "unique" opportunity in fixed income. Preferred securities Banks and financial institutions issue the majority of preferred securities , which have characteristics of both stocks and bonds. UBS recently upgraded preferred securities to most preferred.

Persons: it's, Frank Sileo, Jason Draho, Sileo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, AAA

NEW YORK/LONDON, June 30 (Reuters) - Global mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity fell 36% year-on-year in the second quarter, but investment bankers and lawyers expressed optimism that the stock market's recovery will gradually restore chief executives' dealmaking confidence. "Global uncertainty is what is impacting M&A most - it just makes people uncomfortable. It's easier to say, I'll pass on a deal - nobody gets fired for passing on a deal. M&A volumes in the United States declined by 30% to $318.4 billion, while Europe and Asia Pacific volumes shrank 49% and 24% respectively. Not a single so-called mega-deal, which typically refers to transactions worth over $25 billion, was signed during the quarter.

Persons: Michael Aiello, Weil, Raymond McGuire, Steve Baronoff, Bunge, John Collins, Morgan Stanley, there’ll, Ethan Klingsberg, Deringer, Manolo Falco, Scott Miller, Sullivan, Cromwell, Howard Ellin, Flom, Dwayne Lysaght, Eric Schiele, Kirkland, Ellis, Anirban Sen, Andres Gonzalez, Stephen Coates Organizations: Manges LLP, Lazard Ltd, Bank of America, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Magellan Midstream Partners, Viterra Ltd, Carrier Global, Investment, Citigroup Inc, JPMorgan Chase, Antitrust, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Horizon Therapeutics, Thomson Locations: United, Europe, Asia, Skadden, Slate, New York, London

LONDON, June 30 (Reuters) - The economic pain of higher interest rates seems duller than many had braced for only late last year - and subdued household debt burdens may be at least partly responsible. More interest rate sensitive countries with more flexible loan rates - such at Canada, Australia and Sweden - are already turning higher. What's more, the overall impact of higher borrowing rates is partly offset by rising interest rates on savings. And so net of interest income, JPMorgan points out, interest costs are up only 0.2 percentage point of disposable personal income since the start of the Fed hiking cycle early last year. Higher costs are still coming with a lag for many and will drag on the economies further from here.

Persons: Jerome Powell, JPMorgan's Joseph Lupton, Maia Crook, Lupton, Crook, it's, Mike Dolan, Alison Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Canada, Australia, Sweden, Britain, Central

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