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The data didn't sway the market odds on the Fed cutting interest rates three times this year, starting in September. The industrial conglomerate raised its full-year outlook. Two of the Club's industrial names, Honeywell and Dover , reported earnings this week with mixed fortunes for their stocks. Dexcom shares plunged more than 35% after the medical device company missed on revenue and cut its full-year outlook. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Bristol Myers, Abbott, Skechers, Lockheed Martin, L3Harris, Japan's Eisai, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Transportation, Electronics, Honeywell, Colgate, Palmolive, Abbott Laboratories, Libre, Deutsche Bank, Lockheed, EU, Novo Nordisk, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Dover
CNN —Yet another favorable piece of economic data shows that price hikes are slowing and that long-unruly inflation appears to be tamed. On a monthly basis, the price index increased by 0.1%, also landing in line with expectations. Falling energy prices, which dropped 2.1% from May, continued to help put a damper on overall inflation in June, as did goods prices, which dropped 0.2%. Food and services inflation increased just 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively, for the month. Taking inflation out of the equation, real spending was still up for the month, rising 0.2%.
Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commerce
Shares of Stanley Black & Decker were on the move again Friday, adding another 7%, following the morning release of the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation gauge. We've said all along that Stanley Black & Decker would benefit from lower borrowing costs. Stanley Black & Decker brands, which also include Dewalt and Craftsman, are needed for that kind of work. Stanley Black & Decker trim SWK YTD mountain Stanley Black & Decker YTD With Stanley Black & Decker set to deliver earnings Tuesday and its stock now up more than 10% this week, the bar for a strong quarterly print is that much higher. That's why we're leaving a nice-sized chunk of Stanley Black & Decker shares in our portfolio going into the report.
Persons: Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, We've, We're, we're, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Stanley, CNBC
The stock market is gearing up for its rate cut era
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Data Thursday showed the economy expanded at a robust 2.8% annualized rate during the second quarter, blowing past economists’ expectations. While the Fed has penciled in just one rate cut for this year, traders are betting on up to three, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. While the market was broadly higher on Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday logged their worst daily performances since 2022. Shares of smaller companies tend to perform poorly when rates are high, since they have more floating rate debt than their larger counterparts. Investors are also picking at other areas of the market poised to gain when rates come down.
Persons: , Dow, Russell, Stephen Lee Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Nasdaq, MRB Partners, YouTube, Logan Capital Locations: New York
The summer is usually a peak time for the housing market, but rising prices and still-high mortgage rates have kept demand relatively low. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.78%, according to Freddie Mac. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's, you'll, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Fed officials use the PCE measure as their main baseline to gauge inflation, which continues to run above the central bank's 2% long-range target. An important gauge for the Federal Reserve showed inflation eased slightly from a year ago in June, helping to open the way for a widely anticipated September interest rate cut. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, showed a monthly increase of 0.2% and 2.6% on the year, both also in line with expectations. Goods prices fell 0.2% on the month, while services increased 0.2%. The report also indicated that personal income rose just 0.2%, below the 0.4% estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fed
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point at 4.2563%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.4307% after falling by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Friday as investors awaited the release of key inflation data ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy meeting next week. Those are some of the last key economic data releases before the Fed meets next week to discuss monetary policy. The inflation figures come after economic data throughout the week have given mixed signals about the state of the economy.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, U.S, PMI
In this article ETH.CM=BTC.CM= Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTDado Ruvic | ReutersCrypto prices rose on Friday following two down days in which investors rotated out of risk assets. Bitcoin was last higher by 4.5% at $67,720.83, according to Coin Metrics, and ether advanced 4% to $3,248.25. In equities, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and the broad-market S&P 500 — which suffered their worst single trading day since 2022 this week — rallied. Many expect favorable crypto comments from Trump — who in recent weeks has painted himself as the pro-crypto candidate in this year's election — could boost prices in coming days. Still, bitcoin is little changed for the week, while ether is on pace to end the week with an 8% loss.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Bitcoin, , MicroStrategy, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Reuters, Metrics, Nasdaq, Federal, Bitcoin Conference, Trump — Locations: Nashville
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as a picture of Vice President Kamala Harris is displayed on a television screen, on July 22, 2024. Overall, Stoxx losses have eased from last week, when the regional index recorded its worst performance since October. LONDON — European markets are heading for a mixed open Friday, as a global stock selloff eases and investors await U.S. inflation. The biggest item on the data front Friday is the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index, due at 8:30 a.m. Asia-Pacific markets largely rebounded Friday, as Tokyo's headline inflation slowed slightly to 2.2% in July from 2.3% in May.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Wall, Dow Jones, Mercedes, Stellantis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LONDON, Mercedes Benz Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, .
On Friday, the tech-heavy S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite ended the week with losses, down 0.8% and 2.1%, respectively. However, the bulk of Magnificent Seven results is set for release in the week ahead. As it is, all seven of the Magnificent Seven companies closed out the week with losses. FOMC meeting, July jobs report Elsewhere, investors will also be reviewing the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision set for release on Wednesday. Traders will also get insight into the labor market next week, with the release of the July jobs report on Friday.
Persons: Russell, Ryan Grabinski, John Belton, Tesla, Belton, FactSet, Stanley Black, Decker, Lam, Kraft Heinz, Ingersoll Rand Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Microsoft, Facebook, Apple, Nvidia, 2H, 3Q, Gabelli, Traders, Dallas Fed, Semiconductor, Nation Entertainment, Electronic Arts, Starbucks, Match Group, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Howmet Aerospace, Procter, Gamble, Pfizer, Merck, Co, PayPal, ADP, Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Lam Research, eBay, Qualcomm, Western, Cruise Line Holdings, Hess, Boeing, Mobile, Marriott International, GE Healthcare Technologies, Generac Holdings, Mastercard, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Intel, Holdings, Motorola Solutions, Technology, Air Products, Chemicals, Jobs, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Locations: Chicago, Albemarle, Kellanova, Hershey, Moderna
Improving news on inflation again has raised investors' hopes that the Federal Reserve soon will start to aggressively lower interest rates. Futures market pricing now indicates that while the Fed will remain on hold at next week's policy meeting, it will commence cutting in September and move again in November and December. The market-implied probability for a September cut nudged up to about 90% Friday morning, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool that measures fed funds futures pricing. Traders in early 2024 were pricing in at least six cuts this year, but the central bank's rate-setting group has remained on hold for a year. Following the two-day meeting that concludes next Wednesday, the Fed meeting schedule is empty for August, save for the all-important annual conclave in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, , Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Friday's Commerce Department, RSM, Traders, Federal Open, Fed Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Real gross domestic product , a measure of all the goods and services produced during the April-through-June period, increased at a 2.8% annualized pace adjusted for seasonality and inflation. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for growth of 2.1% following a 1.4% increase in the first quarter. Economic activity in the U.S. was considerably stronger than expected during the second quarter, according to an initial estimate Thursday from the Commerce Department. The so-called chain-weighted price index, which takes into account changes in consumer behavior, increased 2.3% for the quarter, below the 2.6% estimate. There also is pressure in the housing market: Sales are declining while home prices continue to climb, putting pressure on first-time homebuyers.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Stock, Federal Reserve, Fed, Philadelphia Federal Locations: U.S
Separate data on spending shows that American shoppers are still shopping. That measure strengthened in the second quarter, rising to a 2.9% rate compared to 2.6% seen earlier this year. Generally, one risk that comes with an economy that’s expanding robustly is that price pressures can either get stuck or heat up. Businesses are still spending, but less on thisBusinesses invested much more in the second quarter than in the first three months of the year. The measure for that — known as “nonresidential fixed investment” — rose to a 5.2% rate in the second quarter, up from 4.4% in the first quarter.
Persons: That’s, pare, , Jamie Cox, ” Scott Helfstein, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, PCE, Harris Financial Group, , Nationwide
Treasury yields fall ahead of key economic data
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over five basis points to 4.2349%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than five basis points lower to 4.3585%. U.S. Treasury yields declined on Thursday as investors awaited key economic data points that could inform Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors awaited key data as they considered the state of the U.S. economy and the outlook for interest rates. The data will provide more hints about the state of the economy and comes ahead of key inflation figures due Friday in form of the personal consumption expenditures price index.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, PMI Locations: U.S
US stocks gave back gains to trade mixed on Thursday amid more tech weakness. GDP grew 2.8% in the second quarter, according to advanced estimates from the Commerce Department, well-above the 2.1% growth economists had expected. PCE inflation rose 2.6%, down from the prior reading of 3.7%. Mega-cap tech stocks continued to slide after Tesla and Alphabet delivered disappointing results for the second quarter. Alphabet was down for a second day, dropping another 3% on Thursday.
Persons: , Neil Dutta Organizations: PCE, Service, Dow Jones, Treasury, Commerce Department, Fed, Macro, Meta, Microsoft, Here's
Read previewAmerican consumers have been frustrated by high prices over past years, but there's some good news: wages have outpaced inflation since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Since 2020, average hourly wages for most US workers have risen faster than the consumer price index, meaning income has maintained its purchasing power against rising prices. While wage gains have outpaced inflation, it can be difficult for consumers to feel the growth, and plenty of people still miss the "good old days" of lower prices. Since spring 2023, year-over-year wage growth for production and nonsupervisory workers has consistently been above inflation. While US consumers adjust to higher prices, strong wage growth should help ease affordability concerns, Krugman wrote.
Persons: , Sarah Foster, Foster, Paul Krugman, Krugman Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Michigan Ross, Economic Policy Institute, Federal Reserve, New York Times Locations: jtowfighi@businessinsider.com
Gold prices climb as investors focus on U.S. economic data
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Bullion prices scaled an all-time high of $2,483.60 last week amid rising bets of rate cuts. Spot gold may break resistance at $2,417 and bounce further to $2,432, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. "Growth estimates in photovoltaic panel usage have been markedly revised higher, resulting in silver demand draws far exceeding supply.
Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, Wang Tao Organizations: ANZ, Management Locations: India
Mortgage rates haven't moved much in recent days, with average 30-year mortgage rates sticking around 6.51% so far this week, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 6.05% this week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a 12-basis-point decrease from the previous week. As inflation comes down and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should fall further as well. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, Freddie Mac Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Chevron
US stocks dropped Wednesday, with the Nasdaq seeing its steepest single-day loss since 2022. AdvertisementUS stocks dropped on Wednesday, led by a steep sell-off in the tech sector after the first batch of mega-cap earnings disappointed investors. Tesla shares dropped 12% after the carmaker missed earnings estimates and logged a big drop in auto revenue. AdvertisementOther mega-cap tech stocks also tumbled in Wednesday's session as investor sentiment soured. Investors are waiting on more mega-cap tech earnings, with Meta, Apple, and Amazon set to report their financials next week.
Persons: Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, YouTube, Nvidia, Meta, Tech, Apple, Here's Locations: Tech
Treasury yields slip as investors weigh state of economy
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.2427%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last over one basis point lower to 4.5105%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower on Tuesday as investors considered the outlook for the U.S. economy ahead of key data slated for the week. Investors awaited the latest economic data as they assessed the state of the U.S. economy and what this could mean for monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve. Markets are not expecting interest rates to be cut then but are anticipating clues about a timeline for monetary policy being loosened.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, Fed, Traders Locations: U.S
Mortgage rates are up slightly today but they remain below their early-July highs. Mortgage rates are expected to trend down throughout the remainder of 2024 as long as inflation continues to slow. As mortgage rates drop, borrowers with rates in the 7% or 8% range should be able to save money by refinancing. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down as well.
Persons: Fannie Mae Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron
A general view of the Lotte tower amid the the Seoul city skyline and Han river during sunset. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 17,741, higher than the HSI's last close of 17,635.88. South Korea's Kospi rose 1.01%, while the small-cap Kosdaq climbed 1.22%. South Korea's producer price index in June rose 2.5% year-on-year, compared to a 2.3% climb in May. According to economists polled by Reuters, the country's consumer price index is expected to climb 2.7% year-on-year.
Persons: Australia's, Narendra Modi's, , Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Nikkei, Barclays, Traders, Reuters, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Locations: Seoul, India, Asia, U.S
Understanding the Federal Reserve's role in mortgage ratesThe Federal Reserve's actions are a big influencer in where mortgage rates head. In the time since the Fed began raising rates, mortgage rates have climbed steadily. The Fed's impact on mortgage rates FAQsHow does the Federal Reserve affect mortgage rates? The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates by setting the federal funds rate, which impacts borrowing costs, investor activity, and market conditions. When the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates often increase as well, making borrowing more expensive.
Persons: Michael Gifford, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, it's, Mortgage Bankers Association, Reserve, Chevron Locations: lockstep
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.2077%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 4.5043%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Monday as investors awaited key economic data slated for the week and markets considered the latest U.S. political developments. Investors looked ahead to key data due this week that is set to provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and could inform the Federal Reserve's decision-making when it comes to monetary policy. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders were last pricing in an around 96% chance of a September rate cut.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, White, Democratic
S&P 500 futures are near flat Monday night, with traders readying for earnings reports from major companies after the benchmark posted its best day in more than a month. Futures tied to the broad index sat near their flatline, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . The S&P 500 rose more than 1% for its best session since early June, while the Dow ticked higher by 0.3%. The S&P 500 was led higher by the information technology and communication services sectors, which gained roughly 2% and 1.2%, respectively. "If we get that bullish inflation report, I think you could see another leg higher in small caps and the banks."
Persons: Russell, Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, Mattel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Blue, Motors, Comcast, UPS, Technology, CNBC
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