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The US economy will grow by an extra $7 trillion over the next decade, according to estimates from the CBO. "The labor force in 2033 is larger by 5.2 million people, mostly because of higher net immigration. AdvertisementThe CBO also found that net immigration has risen since 2022, and it expects it to remain elevated through 2026. The US labor force is expected to surge over the next decade thanks to strong net immigration trends. Another knock-on effect of America's net immigration trends is its impact on the housing market, since it should result in continued demand for new homes.
Persons: Phillip Swagel, Swagel, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CBO, Congressional, Office, Immigrants Locations: Japan, America
In Las Vegas, the cacophony of voices, music, ringing slot machines and car horns that typically pulsed through the Las Vegas Strip was replaced by silence, the chirps of birds and the wails of sirens. In tourism-dependent Nevada, the unemployment rate rocketed even higher, topping out at 30.6% that month. “This is an unemployment rate that’s not driven by job losers, this is an unemployment rate driven by job seekers,” he said. Homes under construction in the Summerlin community, on July 31, 2023, in Las Vegas, Nevada. As of December 2023, the Reno metro area’s unemployment rate was just 0.2 percentage points above the nation’s 3.7% rate.
Persons: John Simpson, Steve, Sisolak, ” Simpson, It’s, , they’re, I’ve, Stephen M, Miller, Mario Tama, Bob Potts, there’s, There’s, Nevadans, Annie E, Casey Foundation’s, Jamelle Nance, Marty Elquist, ” Elquist, , Andrew Woods, Nicholas Irwin, Start’s Simpson, Irwin, Ethan Miller, Maurice Page, Page, Tesla, ” Potts, Carolyn Cole, Potts, You’ve, you’ve Organizations: CNN, Las, Republican Party, of Labor Statistics, University of Nevada, Lee Business School’s Center for Business, Economic Research, New York, Nevada Governor’s, Economic, Las Vegas, New, Workforce, Children’s, Alliance of Nevada, Education, Development, Silver State, Center for Business, UNLV, Reno, , Homes, Nevada Housing Coalition, Harvard University’s, for Housing Studies, Silver, Means, Reno Industrial Park, Apple, Panasonic, Google, Reno Industrial, Los Angeles Times, NCAA, NFL, NFL Pro Bowl Locations: Nevada, Las Vegas, Reno, ” Nevada, State, New York, New, Las, New Mexico, Vegas, “ Nevada, Silver, UNLV . Nevada, California, Sparks, Las Vegas , Nevada, Florida, Hawaii, Clark County, Sparks , Nevada, New Orleans, Denver, Southern Nevada, Northern Nevada, Los Angeles
Read previewClaudia Sahm, the former Federal Reserve economist who developed the Sahm Rule recession indicator, believes the US economy will likely avoid a downturn this year. We solved the labor shortage by getting more labor," Sahm said. "The foreign-born labor force has made a disproportionate contribution to reducing the jobs-workers gap. This has been driven by two factors: above-trend immigration growth and greater foreign-born labor force participation," said Jan Hatzius, the chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, in an August 2023 client note. "Growth in the foreign-born labor force has accelerated by 50k to 160k per month this year, lifted by a surging foreign-born labor force participation rate," Hatzius added.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, Sahm, doesn't, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, National Bureau of Economic, US, Labor, Board, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed Locations: flatlining
The United States is on a pace to add nearly $19 trillion to its national debt over the next decade as the mounting costs of an aging population and higher interest expenses continue to weigh on the nation’s fiscal outlook, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday. Annual deficits over the next decade are 7 percent smaller than the $20.3 trillion the budget office forecast last year. A deal that President Biden and congressional Republicans struck last year to limit discretionary spending for two years reduces deficits over the decade. So does a surge of 5.2 million new workers into the labor force, most of them immigrants. But those deficit declines are partly offset by an increase in the estimated budget costs from Mr. Biden’s clean-energy agenda, an aging U.S. population and higher interest rates on the national debt.
Persons: Biden, Biden’s Organizations: Republicans Locations: States, U.S
The inverted yield curve means that a recession is still likely, the indicator's inventor wrote this week. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe inverted yield curve has been flashing red for 15 months, but don't think that ongoing economic strength makes it a false signal, Campbell Harvey wrote in a Research Affiliates note. "The yield curve indicator suggests growth will substantially slow in 2024. On the business side, past experience with the inverted yield curve has led entities to take preventive action when Treasury rates flip.
Persons: , Campbell Harvey, Harvey Organizations: Service, Duke University, Federal Reserve, Fed
Advertisement"Since 2021, Gen Z has been living with rates of inflation not seen in the US in decades," the Standard reported. AdvertisementAccess to loans, a strong 401(k) retirement account, and reliable insurance coverage are benefits that Gen Zers expect from employers. Over 90% of Gen Zers and millennials said they're considering leaving their jobs, per a 2023 LinkedIn survey. AdvertisementBy offering intentional tools toward sustained economic stability, The Standard said companies will have better luck recruiting and retaining Gen Z workers. Are you a Gen Z worker and willing to share details about your economic stability goals and how you plan to achieve them?
Persons: , Zers, Gen Z, Gen Zers, X, millennials Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Standard Locations: homebuying
Antonio Neri, CEO, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, at the NYSE, Oct. 19, 2023 Source: NYSETechnology stocks have taken back the No. 1 spot in the JUST 100, an annual ranking of large public companies on issues of key importance to the American public, with Hewlett Packard Enterprise topping last year's No. Career advancement opportunities, worker training and development, benefits and retention are other issues which helped push HPE and other companies higher in the 2024 JUST 100 rankings. All of these issues, Whittaker said, "cluster all around the questions of 'How good am I as an employer?'" Whittaker said that's also the case with the key worker issues that are the most heavily weighted in the rankings.
Persons: Antonio Neri, HPE, Martin Whittaker, Paul Tudor Jones, It's, it's, Whittaker, Kristin Major, we've, Russell, Major, that's Organizations: Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NYSE, NYSE Technology, of America, Capital, Just, Just Capital, Apple, Microsoft, Citigroup, Elevance, Devices, Micron Technology
Recent job cuts have been concentrated mainly in just a few sectors: technology, finance and media. Relative to the U.S. labor force of 160 million people, layoffs so far have been dwarfed by consistently vigorous hiring — a monthly average of 248,000 jobs added over the past six months. THE LAYOFFS ARE SPREAD OVER TIMEHigh-profile job cuts typically involve many layoffs that aren't implemented immediately. So they weren't included in the January jobs data that was released Friday because the layoffs hadn't yet taken place. Jobs cuts are deeply distressing and disruptive for people who suffer them.
Persons: they've, , They're, That's, binges, Todd McKinnon, Organizations: WASHINGTON, Blockbuster, eBay, UPS, Spotify, Manufacturers, Labor Department, Companies Locations: Federal, U.S
For a year, it allowed him to pay rent, more comfortably pay his bills, and spend time with family. He couldn't afford rent anymore after the program, but he's hopeful the extension will help him again. Basic income programs including those in Austin and Minneapolis showed that most recipients spend their payments on soaring housing costs. For the first year, the project gave participants either $1,000 monthly, $500 monthly with $6,500 upfront, or $50 each month as a control group. Some of his former coworkers found out he was living in his car, and they helped him find a place and pay rent.
Persons: Jarun Laws, , It's, Laws, Karl W, Smith, Mark Donovan, he's, I'm Organizations: Income, Service, Denver, Bloomberg, Colorado Trust, University of Denver's Center for Housing, Homelessness Research, Safeway, Doordash, BI Locations: Denver, Austin, Minneapolis, Greater Denver
New York CNN —The first jobs report for 2024, set to be released at 8:30 am ET Friday, is expected to underscore the strength of the US economy despite 11 rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. That can make the January jobs report among the trickiest to forecast, said Sarah House, a senior economist with Wells Fargo. Friday’s jobs report also will include the final annual benchmark review of payroll data for the 12 months that ended in March 2023. However, excluding January 2023, last month’s job cuts were the highest seen in January since 2009, according to Challenger. US worker productivity grew 3.2% in the fourth quarter, according to a BLS report released Thursday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, he’s, Sarah House, Wells, “ We’re, , there’s, Boussour, EY, ” Boussour, Daniel Zhao, Zhao, haven’t, ” Andrew Challenger, people’s paychecks, ” Diane Swonk, , , Swonk Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Labor, Workers, Challenger, , BLS, KPMG, CNN Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, United States
“We’ve had a very strong labor market, and we’ve had inflation coming down,” Mr. Powell said. “So I think whereas a year ago, we were thinking that we needed to see some softening in the economy, that hasn’t been the case. But few if any economists expected job gains to remain this robust at a time when higher interest rates were expected to meaningfully weigh down the economy. The question for the Fed is what it means if the job market not only fails to slow down as anticipated, but actually accelerates again. While one month of data does not make a trend, officials are likely to keep an eye on strong hiring and wage growth.
Persons: “ We’ve, we’ve, ” Mr, Powell, hasn’t, Mr
That can make the January jobs report among the trickiest to forecast, said Sarah House, a senior economist with Wells Fargo. Friday’s jobs report also will include the final annual benchmark review of payroll data for the 12 months that ended in March 2023. Fresh data on job cuts and productivityOn Thursday, the layoff picture became clearer. However, excluding January 2023, last month’s job cuts were the highest seen in January since 2009, according to Challenger. US worker productivity grew 3.2% in the fourth quarter, according to a BLS report released Thursday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, he’s, Sarah House, Wells, “ We’re, , there’s, Boussour, EY, ” Boussour, Daniel Zhao, Zhao, haven’t, ” Andrew Challenger, people’s paychecks, ” Diane Swonk, , , Swonk Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Workers, Challenger, , BLS, KPMG, CNN Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, United States
It appears that a soft landing, where price rises are tamed and the economy manages to avoid recession, is possible. Before the Bell: Is it fair to say that the US is outpacing China in the race for economic supremacy? Just last year people might have said the opposite — that the US was heading towards recession and the Chinese economy was thriving. It is remarkable to see the US economy blazing ahead while the Chinese economy sputters and slips into deflation. What else should investors be aware of when they read about the Chinese economy?
Persons: Bell, Eswar Prasad, Jamie Dimon, he’s, Marianne Lake, Jennifer Piepszak, Piepszak, Troy Rohrbaugh, Rohrbaugh, Dimon, hasn’t, , Brian Fung, Oregon Democratic Sen, Ron Wyden, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Cornell University, International Monetary, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, Bloomberg, NSA, National Security Agency, Oregon Democratic, Pentagon, CNN Locations: New York, China, Oregon
For those seeking new job opportunities, geography could be one way to narrow the search. Personal finance company WalletHub recently looked at more than 180 cities across the country and ranked its best cities for jobs based on metrics such as job openings per job seeker and median annual incomes. Here are the top 10 cities for job search according to WalletHub. "This ensures there will be plenty of hiring opportunities for people entering the workforce," says Cassandra Happe, WalletHub analyst. 1 best U.S. city to live in is Cambridge, Massachusetts—see which other cities made the listMoving to a new city?
Persons: Cassandra Happe, Daniel Zhao Organizations: jobseekers, U.S Locations: WalletHub, Scottsdale , Arizona Tampa , Florida Salt Lake City , Utah Columbia , Maryland Austin , Texas Atlanta , Georgia Seattle, Washington Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania Plano , Texas Boston , Massachusetts Scottsdale, Tampa, Salt Lake City, Cambridge , Massachusetts, U.S
For the first time in over a decade, more students are choosing to go to college. Undergraduate enrollment rose 1.2% in the fall of 2023 compared with one year earlier — a gain of roughly 176,000 students, according to the National Student Clearinghouse's latest research. "The number of students in college has finally turned the corner after years of decline," said Doug Shapiro, executive director of the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. "Students have been increasingly opting for shorter term degrees and more vocational programs and vocational certificates," he added — at the expense of a four-year degree. "We have more families asking about pre-professional programs," Greenberg said.
Persons: Doug Shapiro, Z, Biden, Shapiro, Eric Greenberg, Greenberg Organizations: National, Student Clearinghouse Research, Finance, Greenberg Educational Group Locations: New York
New York CNN —New Hampshire, the “first-in-the-nation” primary state (which will hold those elections Tuesday), has been a relatively “better-off” state than most others nationally. Median income/povertyThe typical New Hampshire household has a higher income compared to the average in the United States, and a smaller share of state’s residents are in poverty. Southeastern New Hampshire — where three-quarters of the state’s residents live — benefits from being close to the Boston metropolitan area, said Phil Sletten, research director at the left-leaning New Hampshire Fiscal Policy Institute. Some 42% of New Hampshire residents approved of Biden on the economy, with 55% disapproving, according to a November CNN/University of New Hampshire poll. But when it comes to their personal finances, New Hampshire residents are downbeat.
Persons: ’ ”, Charlie Dougherty, , ” Dougherty, “ You’ve, Patricia M, Anderson, Patrick Connelly, ” Connelly, that’s, Brian Gottlob, , Spencer Platt, Lori Harnois, Gottlob, Phil Sletten, Sletten, Joe Biden, Biden, Gina Ferazzi Organizations: New, New York CNN —, United States, of Labor Statistics, Wells, Labor, Reserve, Dartmouth University, CNN, Housing, Tax Foundation, Tourism, Census, Granite State, Survey, New Hampshire —, University of New, Commerce Department, University of New Hampshire Survey Center, Patrons, Los Angeles Times, Independents Locations: New York, New York CNN — New Hampshire, Granite, New Hampshire, Boston, , New Hampshire, “ New Hampshire, , Hampshire, Chester , New Hampshire, Manchester, Devon, Bartlett , New Hampshire, Ohio, Washington, New, Canada, Pennsylvania, United States, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, Colebrook , New Hampshire
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "Monetary policy now is as tight as it has ever been on the precipice of a recession," he said, barring an exception in 1984. The problem is that the Fed badly misread how long high inflation would linger, prompting it to raise rates much more aggressively than needed. In December, the core inflation print notched an annual 3.2% increase. "In 2019 when they missed by a mere 30 basis points it was enough to get a 75-basis-point mid-cycle adjustment."
Persons: , Brevan Howard, Sully, Jason Cummins, Bloomberg's, Cummins, They've Organizations: Service, Business, Fed
It’s a decline not seen around the rest of the developed world, where higher education is expanding. Provide universal low-cost child careFrom my vantage point, the single highest barrier to Millennial economic stability is child care. The reasons behind that are complex, but cost is certainly among them: The United States has some of the highest child care costs in the world. Affordable, high-quality, universal child care helps mothers, and particularly low-income mothers, to stay in the workforce, which pays dividends for their families. Child care programs help to prepare kids for school and may keep them more active and socially engaged.
Persons: Jill Filipovic, CNN —, haven’t, We’ve, , Z, Gen Zers, isn’t, Millennials, Organizations: Twitter, CNN, Boomers, American Boomers, Ivy League, OECD Locations: New York, Europe, States, tony
New York CNN —The CEO of Texas-based baby clothing company Kyte Baby has issued two apologies after denying a remote work request by an employee whose baby was admitted into a neonatal intensive care unit. “We work at Kyte Baby: Of course we’re going to bring our kids to work,” an employee says in one TikTok video. “We work at Kyte Baby: Of course we’re expecting,” another chimes in. Another video titled “Meet the Kyte Baby Team” introduces various Kyte Baby employees, each dancing with a child or two in tow. According to a survey published by Bankrate that same month, 77% percent of full-time working women with children under the age of 18 support hybrid work schedules, while 74% support remote work.
Persons: Kyte Baby, Kyte, Marissa Hughes, ” Hughes, Hughes, Ying Liu, “ Kyte, Liu, , ” Lauren Jennings, Alison Brod, James Haggerty, ” Jennings, , , It’s, ” Kyte Baby, “ Marissa, Bankrate Organizations: New, New York CNN, Alison Brod Marketing, Communications, CNN, Brookings, Department, Labor’s Locations: New York, Texas, America, United States
Read previewThe push by US businesses to make more stuff in America has an ongoing challenge: It's hard to find workers. Ulbrich says this stands in sharp contrast to Mexico, whose growing manufacturing base could entice companies to make supply chain investments there, rather than in the US. Even as the pandemic-era labor shortage has eased, the demand for construction and factory workers has continued to exceed supply. Mexico's median age is roughly 30, he added — compared to nearly 40 in China — which has contributed to a strong labor supply. Compared to Mexico, manufacturing in the US would likely offer businesses reduced supply chain disruptions and lower transportation costs.
Persons: , Christian Ulbrich, Ulbrich, Matt Turner, Biden, Houthi, Tesla, Susan Golicic, Andres Abadia, Abadia, Luis Torres, Colorado State's Golicic, Golicic Organizations: Service, Business, Economic, General Motors, Intel, Companies, Ford, Reuters, Colorado State University, US, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Locations: America, Mexico, Ukraine, Taiwan, Canada, China, Asia, shoring, San Antonio, Tennessee, Alabama, Colorado
Celia and Anna LeBaron are the children of murderous cult leader Ervil LeBaron. AdvertisementTo look at them, you would never know that Celia and Anna LeBaron grew up in a violent cult. AdvertisementCelia and Anna say they barely knew their father — Anna only recalls meeting him twice. They were just two of more than 50 children Ervil fathered with his 13 wives. A yearslong killing spreeAnna and Celia's father Ervil LeBaron.
Persons: Celia, Anna LeBaron, Ervil LeBaron, LeBaron, , Anna, Lamb, God, — Anna, Ervil, Celia's, Alma Dayer LeBaron, Alma, Ervil's, Joel, Rulon Allred, Heber, Aaron, Heber LeBaron, Aaron LeBaron, Joseph Smith . Heber, Patricia, Richard, couldn't, Mae LeBaron, Anna parented, Celia LeBaron, Anna each, Isaac, I'm, That's Organizations: ABC, Service, ABC News Studios, Mexico —, LeBaron —, Times, of Locations: Dallas, polygamist, Mexico, Anna
People moving to New York are younger, make slightly more, and rent more than those leaving. 545,600 people moved from New York between 2021 and 2022, while 301,500 people moved into New York. Advertisement"When I came into office, we had a clear agenda, and then we also not only executed on that, but we actually spent money and time in marketing the city outside of just Jersey City," Jersey City Mayor Steven Fulop told BI last September. The typical person moving to New YorkThose moving to New York tended to be younger than those moving away. Since many are moving to New York City, over 78% rented, and among the 22% of homeowners, the average home value was $671,900.
Persons: , Xers, boomers, Steven Fulop, Jim, Ellen Diamond Organizations: Service, Survey, University of Minnesota's, Census, A New York, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New, New York, Hudson, Jersey City Locations: New York, New York . New York, Florida, New Jersey, New Jersey , Pennsylvania, California, A, York, New York State, New, Jersey City, Hoboken, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Jersey, New York City, Manhattan
SAP CEO: 2024 will be year AI moves from discovery to execution
  + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSAP CEO: 2024 will be year AI moves from discovery to executionChristian Klein, CEO of SAP, discusses the key challenges to properly embedding AI into businesses, including establishing trustworthiness and reskilling labor forces.
Persons: Christian Klein Organizations: SAP
December's jobs report showed employers added 216,000 positions for the month while the unemployment rate held at 3.7%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for payrolls to increase 170,000 and the unemployment rate to nudge higher to 3.8%. That increase in the "real" unemployment rate came as the household survey, used to calculate the unemployment rate, showed a decline in job holders of 683,000 as the ranks of those working multiple jobs increased by 222,000. Major averages meandered through the day as markets reacted to a lower than expected reading from the ISM services gauge. The report showed that inflationary pressures, despite receding elsewhere, are still prevalent in the labor market.
Persons: downwardly, Dow Jones, Andrew Patterson Organizations: Labor Department, meandered, Treasury, Leisure, Federal Reserve, CME, Vanguard Locations: U.S
"After entering 2023 with a sonic boom, the US job market is headed into 2024 at a comfortable cruising speed," Bunker said. Bunker noted that just a few sectors – education and health services, government, and leisure and hospitality – accounted for more than 75% of the job growth in December. The public sector led the way last month with 52,000 jobs, overwhelmingly in local government, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Job growth was strong in the sector throughout 2023, adding 55,000 positions a month on average compared with monthly gains of 46,000 in 2022. Social assistance positions rose by 21,000 in December, with jobs gains averaging 22,000 per month in 2023, slightly more than the 19,000 average monthly increase in 2022.
Persons: Bunker, Nick Bunker Organizations: North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Health, Employment, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S
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