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This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Breather from rally U.S. markets fell Monday, weighed down by a drop in semiconductor stocks and a 8.1% slide in UnitedHealth . Tech stocks fell 6.36%, while telecoms stocks rose 1.97%. Indeed, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who's a member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, noted that the central bank is "a long way from where [rates are] likely to settle."
Persons: ASML, there's, They're, Michael Hartnett, Mary Daly, who's, Dow, Piper, Craig Johnson, , Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, UBS, Tech, ASML's, Bloomberg, Nvidia, AMD, Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Survey, U.S . Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Federal Locations: New York City, U.S, Tuesday's, Netherlands, ., Beijing
Still, that’s far lower than the 528 drop boxes that the commission was aware of in 2020. PoolNick Ramos, the executive director of the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign, a voting rights group that has pushed for more drop boxes, said he was discouraged by the number of municipalities that had decided not to use drop boxes this election. “Drop boxes are safe, they are reliable and secure.”Changing legal statusFor years, ballot drop boxes were legal in Wisconsin with little controversy or attention, and in 2020, they became a key tactic for municipalities to encourage safe voting during the coronavirus pandemic. A conservative group filed a lawsuit to ban drop boxes in Wisconsin, and the state Supreme Court’s conservative majority sided with them in 2022, banning drop boxes except ones inside clerks’ offices. In Milwaukee, most drop boxes are in front of libraries, and in Madison, the state capital and a Democratic stronghold, officials decided to locate almost all of their drop boxes in front of fire stations.
Persons: Donald Trump, Dale Schmidt, Trump, Nick Ramos, “ We’re, ” Ramos, “ It’s, Joe Biden, Doug Diny, Diny, , , I’ve, Jeff Mandell, Nancy Stenzel, Robin Vos, Scott Fitzgerald, Vos –, Janet Protasiewicz, Protasiewicz, Dylan Brogan, Schmidt, ” Schmidt, Eric Hovde, “ We’ve, ” Hovde, Catherine Engelbrecht, ” Engelbrecht, Mandell Organizations: CNN, Wisconsin county, , Trump, Commission, Madison, Wisconsin Democracy, Wausau, Republican, City Hall, Department of Justice, Council, State Assembly, GOP, Democratic, USA, Conservative, US, Washington Post, WIRED Locations: Wisconsin, Dodge County, Milwaukee, Dodge County , Wisconsin, Juneau , Wisconsin, Wausau, , Hall, Madison, Kenosha
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed still has the green light to cut rates, says PIMCO's Erin BrowneErin Browne, PIMCO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss market’s multiple, her year-end playbook and sector she's watching.
Persons: PIMCO's Erin Browne Erin Browne
Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, as U.S. Treasury yields eased, while market participants waited for more U.S. economic data to determine the number of interest rate cuts the Federal Reserve is likely to deliver in the near term. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,667.97 per ounce by 0217 GMT, $17 shy of a record high hit last month. The 10-year Treasury yields slipped for a third straight session, making zero-yield bullion more appealing. "The game changer in gold prices is the U.S. monetary policy easing as it sets the stage for investment demand," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari. Delegates to the London Bullion Market Association's annual gathering predicted gold prices would rise to $2,941 over the next 12 months and silver prices would jump to $45 per ounce.
Persons: Soni Kumari, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Benjamin Netanyahu, Emmanuel Macron Organizations: SA, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ANZ, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta Fed, London Locations: Budapest, Hungary, U.S, rearming
We did hold onto our rate-sensitive names like Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley , which were among the best performers since the last Monthly Meeting. Morgan Stanley: 16.2% Following the Fed's decision, shares advanced as investors became more optimistic about a soft landing for the U.S. economy. Morgan Stanley benefits from lower rates — and, in turn, a better economy — because it can usher in more Wall Street dealmaking such as initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions. That's because the Club has been debating exiting Morgan Stanley altogether for a potentially better investment banking rebound play like Goldman Sachs. Morgan Stanley reiterated its buy-equivalent rating on Oct. 10, arguing that Eaton has a positive setup into earnings season.
Persons: It's, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, Salesforce, Marc Benioff, Piper Sandler, Guggenheim, Meta, Eaton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Angela Weiss Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Procter, Gamble, Meta, Fed, Northland Capital Markets, UBS, Citigroup, Analysts, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Salesforce, Eaton, Tuesday's, Northland
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNever seen investors this afraid of a market that's doing so well: IG North America CEO JJ KInahanJJ Kinahan, IG North America CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, impact of the 2024 election, market outlook, and more.
Persons: JJ KInahan JJ Kinahan Organizations: North, IG North America
Over the past month, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.2% to break above 5,800 for the first time. "Despite all the soft-landing and Fed rate cut optimism, the S & P 500 up almost 40% y/y has simply over-shot," he wrote in a note to clients. "S & P 500 over-valuation has been supported by (and fully reflects) the Fed likely cutting the real funds rate," he added. This summer, he said he expected the S & P 500 to fall to 5,000 by the fourth quarter. While not included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , that forecast would mark Stifel as the second lowest among those surveyed.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Stifel, manias, Bannister Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Citi, Cisco Systems
Here's a rapid-fire update on all the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use for the CNBC Investing Club. Broadcom: Of course, we love the company's AI business — both its custom silicon solutions for companies such as Alphabet and its networking chips that help stitch data centers together. Stanley Black & Decker: Jim said that this stock is the "most significant beneficiary" from lower rates in the entire portfolio. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim, there's, Lisa Su, Wells, Salesforce, CrowdStrike, it's, we've, Walt Disney, , Eaton, we're, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jim's, Linde, Eli Lilly, Lilly isn't, That's, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, D.A, Satya Nadella's, Palo, cybersecurity, Brian Niccol, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, TJX, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo's, Jim Cramer, Angela Weiss Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, Club, Apple Intelligence, Abbott Laboratories, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Broadcom, Apple, Federal Reserve, Costco Wholesale, Costco, Coterra, DuPont, Disney, ESPN, GE Healthcare, Democratic, Biden, Honeywell, Linde, Adobe, Microsoft, Davidson, Palo Alto Networks, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Corona, TJX, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Dover, Eaton, China, U.S, Chipotle, New York City
Morgan Stanley shares soared to all-time highs Wednesday after third-quarter beats on the bank's top and bottom lines, with strength seen across the board. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD Club stock Morgan Stanley was up 7.5%. Morgan Stanley outpaced expectations in just about every aspect of each operating division and put up very strong quarterly results in terms of firmwide key performance indicators. Given its 15.1% CET1 ratio, Morgan Stanley has plenty of excess capital at its disposal to both continue investing in growth and return excess capital to shareholders. Morgan Stanley Why we own it : We own Morgan Stanley for the rebound taking place in IPO and M & A activity along with growth in wealth management, which provides more durable fee-based revenues.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley's, Sharon Yeshaya, Morgan Stanley repurchased, Goldman Sachs, Ted Pick, Morgan, Yeshaya, That's, Eaton Vance, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Bing Guan Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Morgan Stanley YTD, Investment, Bloomberg, Institutional Securities, Bank of Japan, CNBC, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo
However, the group has been left in the dust by large caps, which continue to thrive. Here are 17 stocks to buy as SMID caps make a major comeback. So-called SMID caps seemed poised to take the baton from large caps over the summer. Why a shift toward smaller stocks is comingCentral to BMO's bullish thesis for smaller stocks are the group's eye-grabbing relative performance and valuations. 17 stocks to buy before a market reversalAfter a series of false starts, Belski believes smaller stocks will finally lead the market higher.
Persons: , BMO —, Brian Belski, Belski, BMO's, they've Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, BMO, BMO Capital Locations: , Central, US
A number of bank research desks have raised their S&P 500 price targets in recent weeks. AdvertisementThe bull market hasn't weakened in the fourth quarter, and top bank research desks have been rushing to raise their S&P 500 price targets into year-end. AdvertisementBelski said his upgrade was based on strong market gains so far this year, which he says typically leads to stronger-than-normal gains in the fourth quarter. Lakos-Bujas kept his 4,200 price target for the S&P 500 unchanged, though. AdvertisementThe more upbeat 2024 forecasts come as the bull market charges on, with the S&P 500 up 3.2% in the last month and 22.6% this year.
Persons: , hasn't, Goldman Sachs, Jonathan Golub, Patrick Palfrey, David Kostin, Kostin, Brian Belski, Belski, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas Organizations: Service, UBS, BMO, Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg, Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should consider diversifying beyond tech, says Defiance ETFs CEO Sylvia JablonskiSylvia Jablonski, Defiance ETFs CEO and CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, where investors can find opportunities right now, and more.
Persons: Sylvia Jablonski Sylvia Jablonski Organizations: Investors
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, Goldman Sachs' earnings result might be a sign of the long-awaited return of M&A . The big storyM&A for allWin McNamee/Getty ImagesDon't look now, but M&A might finally be coming back. Goldman Sachs, Wall Street's perennial M&A king, smashed analysts' third-quarter expectations , notching $3 billion in profits. One analyst took things a step further, floating the idea of an "M&A supercycle" once the money that's been sitting on the sidelines finally gets put to work.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Win McNamee, Insider's Reed Alexander, David Solomon, that's, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Mariana Bazo, Tyler Le, TSMC, Biden, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, TK, Alex Brandon Elon Musk, Kamala Harris, Alain Tascan, Jeet Shroff, Shroff, Morgan Stanley, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, LaGuardia Airport, Getty, BI, Monetary Fund, Chartered, Apple, Bloomberg, Google, Trump, PAC, America PAC, AP, Trump PAC, Epic, Discover Financial Services Locations: Midtown Manhattan, China, lockstep, New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. Fed interest rate easing cycle would be positive for stocks and gold: CIOBob Elliott of Unlimited discusses his asset allocation amidst Fed rate cuts that would "add fuel to the fire" and increase the risk of the U.S. transitioning to credit and borrowing-driven growth.
Persons: Bob Elliott Organizations: U.S, Unlimited Locations: U.S
Treasury yields inch higher after Columbus Day holiday
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.9560%, rising over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Tuesday as bond markets reopened after the Columbus Day holiday. Investors were assessing the outlook for the economy as they considered the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials and looked to economic data due throughout the week. Investors are also looking ahead to upcoming economic data releases, including fresh insights from the manufacturing sector on Tuesday, as well as the latest consumer inflation expectations report. In Europe, the next interest rate decision from the European Central Bank is due on Thursday.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, Columbus, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: U.S, Europe
Why a 'no landing' scenario may take place after all
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A soft landing occurs when economic growth slows just enough to bring down inflation below the Federal Reserve's 2% target without tipping the economy into a recession. She thinks the economy is experiencing a no-landing scenario as it continues to expand without slowing down. "So far, clearly bank earnings are coming in better than expected, both top line and bottom line. "The other thing that that's showing [is] that our call for the 'no landing' is actually playing out." It's not just bank earnings that point to solid economic growth.
Persons: BNY Wealth's Alicia Levine, Levine, It's, Peter Perkins Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, U.S, MRB Partners Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
The Federal Reserve is about a month into its rate-cutting cycle, and money market fund yields are already starting to pay less. That's where short and ultra-short duration bond funds and ETFs may come into play. An eye on duration Duration is a measure of a bond's price sensitivity when interest rates fluctuate. In that case, ultra-short bond funds and short-term bond funds might be "a natural landing spot for that cash." Those ultra-short bond funds have one to three years of duration and offer some stability day to day, Bartolini added.
Persons: Brett Sheely, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, AllianceBernstein's Sheely, , Vincent Caintic Organizations: Federal, Investment Company Institute, State Street Global Advisors, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Bond, SEC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, . Locations: SPDR Americas
New York CNN —Wall Street traders are popping champagne and toasting the two-year anniversary of a period of outsized gains known as a bull market. What makes this bull market unusual is how much uncertainty and economic worry investors have had to contend with during its run. Historically, bull markets recover around 194% of the previous downturn, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. While the first two years of a bull market often see significant gains, history shows that the third year can bring challenges, said Stovall. On average, bull markets entering their third year post a modest return of just 2%.
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Adam Turnquist, Quincy Krosby, , Stovall Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, LPL, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Europe, East
Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150 per dollar
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. central bank kicked off its easing cycle with an aggressive 50 basis points at its last policy meeting in September. The dollar got a lift after Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead, citing recent economic data. That has cast doubts over when Japan's central bank will next tighten policy.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Kazuo Ueda, Shigeru Ishiba, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Traders, Boeing, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Caixin Global, Treasury, IG, China National, Congress Locations: U.S, Japan, China
Investors should favor stocks over bonds as the economy supports risk-on sentiment, Goldman analysts say. The US economy is in a pro-risk, late-cycle environment due to Fed easing and a strong economy. AdvertisementRisk-on sentiment is back after a brief flight to safety over the summer, and that should support stocks over bonds in the coming months, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note Tuesday. AdvertisementFed cutting cycles in general tend to support risky assets as long as the economy avoids a recession, the analysts say. This risk-on, late-cycle backdrop means stocks will benefit from higher earnings growth and valuations as bonds face downside risks, the analysts say.
Persons: Goldman, , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service Locations: China
But they’re growing increasingly anxious about mounting credit card debt. Debt balances have been growing, and US consumers are nervous about whether they’ll be able to keep up: Americans haven’t been this worried about missing a minimum debt payment since April 2020. Outside of the pandemic, that’s the highest delinquency expectation reading seen in the monthly survey since January 2017. “For people with good incomes and good credit scores, things are going well; they’re still able to access plenty of credit and, by and large, paying on time,” he said. Now the other half, that can be a much more troublesome situation when you think about potentially longer-term credit card debt.”Lower-income Americans face higher inflation, research shows.
Persons: they’ll, haven’t, Ted Rossman, it’s, that’s, ” Rossman, Rossman, , they’re, Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, Fed, Bankrate, , Minneapolis Federal, of Labor Statistics, York Fed Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, Minneapolis
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia's numbers aren't a hallucinationNvidia shares rose 2.4% to close at $138.07, a new record for the stock. Data on employment, inflation and economic growth have signaled that the "economy may not be slowing as much as desired," Waller said. [PRO] Small cap strategyMarket wisdom has it that the performance of small-cap stocks will outstrip that of big-cap stocks.
Persons: Dow, it's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Kelly Ortberg, Russell, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Nvidia, U.S . Federal, Boeing, P Global
Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks were mixed Tuesday morning as traders assessed the latest earnings, though several results before the bell helped strike a positive tone in early trading. While earnings will be this week's focal point, investors will also watch for September's retail sales and initial jobless claims to release on Thursday. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Brent, Adriana Kugler, Mary Daly Organizations: Service, Citigroup, Bank of America, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Dynamic Funds senior portfolio manager Noah BlacksteinNoah Blackstein, Dynamic Funds senior portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, impact of AI technology on the markets, and more.
Persons: Noah Blackstein Noah Blackstein Organizations: Dynamic
Bank of America topped analyst estimates for third-quarter profit and revenue on better-than-expected trading results. Here's what the company reported:Earnings: 81 cents vs. 77 cents LSEG estimateRevenue: $25.49 billion vs. $25.3 billion estimateThe bank said Tuesday that net income fell 12% from a year earlier to $6.9 billion, or 81 cents a share. Revenue rose less than 1% to $25.49 billion as a rise in trading revenue and asset management and investment banking fees offset a decline in net interest income. That's a key question after the lender signaled in July that a rebound in net interest income was coming in the second half of this year. Bank of America has seen its haul from net interest income get compressed as the Federal Reserve boosted rates over the past two years.
Persons: Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: of America, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo
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