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St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Thursday the U.S. central bank needed to keep raising interest rates given that its tightening so far "had only limited effects on observed inflation". The comments, coming on the heels of strong retail sales data, dampened hopes of the Fed toning down its hawkish approach following softer-than-expected inflation reports. They are getting more comfortable with a generally higher interest rate regime," said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. ET, Dow e-minis were up 224 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 35.5 points, or 0.9%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 118.25 points, or 1.01%. Applied Materials Inc (AMAT.O) gained 4.0% after the chip tools maker forecast first-quarter revenue above estimates, on hopes of easing supply chain constraints.
US stocks climbed Friday as investors digest strong earnings and comments from Fed officials. Shares of Ross Stores, Palo Alto Networks, Live Nation, and Gap, among others, rallied Friday. For the week, the Dow is down 0.6%, the S&P 500 is off by 1.2%, and the Nasdaq is 1.6% lower. Ross Stores, Live Nation, and Applied Materials all ticked higher, too. "To attain a sufficiently restrictive level, the policy rate will need to be increased further."
Morning Bid: Bear Hunt
  + stars: | 2022-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Long-term sovereign bond yields have been falling sharply all week in advance of finance minister Jeremy Hunt's new budget, dragged down largely by U.S. disinflation hopes. UK 10- and 30-year gilt yields outperformed, however, dropping to their lowest since early September before backing up slightly on Thursday. U.S. housing starts numbers out later will give another glimpse at the state of the ailing property sector. Reverberations continued around the world from this month's latest implosion in the crypto universe and the failure of the FTX exchange. Major crypto player Genesis Global Capital suspended customer redemptions in its lending business on Wednesday, citing the FTX collapse.
Nov 17 (Reuters) - Chip tools maker Applied Materials Inc (AMAT.O) forecast first-quarter revenue above market estimates on Thursday, on hopes that easing supply chain constraints will help it meet pent up demand from chipmakers ramping up production. Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based company rose nearly 3% in trading after the bell. The company posted revenue of $6.75 billion for the fourth quarter ended Oct. 30, compared to analysts' average expectation of $6.45 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES data. The company forecast current-quarter revenue of $6.70 billion, plus or minus $400 million, compared with analysts' average estimate of $6.45 billion. Applied said the outlook includes expected impact of recently announced U.S. export regulations and ongoing supply chain challenges.
The FOMC still has 100 basis points more of rate hikes to go, in the bank's view. To cool down the economy, then, the Fed will likely look to tame hourly wage growth and push the unemployment rate higher, JPMorgan said. "By most measures hourly wage growth is currently running around 5%," the analysts wrote. And that sort of wage growth deceleration will likely require an unemployment rate between 4% and 5%, depending on how entrenched wage growth expectations have become." The Fed's tightening efforts, ultimately, will tip the economy into a recession, JPMorgan analysts said.
Gap – The retailer popped 10% after beating Wall Street's estimates for revenue. Palo Alto Networks – Shares of the cybersecurity provider added 6.5% after beating expectations for revenue and per-share earnings, according to Refinitiv. Ross Stores – Shares shot up 15% following the discount retailer's report of beats on per-share earnings and revenue for the latest quarter. Keysight Technologies – The electronic design company added 4.2% after it reported beating FactSet's expectations for revenue and per-share earnings. Applied Materials – Shares rose 3.4% after the manufacturer known for its semiconductor offerings beat analysts' estimates on revenue and earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter.
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoSummarySummary Companies October retail sales rise more than expectedTarget's dull outlook weighs on retailersMicron's supply cut triggers chip selloffIndexes: Dow up 0.05%, S&P down 0.51%, Nasdaq down 1.10%Nov 16 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell on Wednesday as a grim outlook from Target spurred fresh concerns for retailers heading into the crucial holiday season, while Micron's supply cut triggered a selloff in the chip sector. Target Corp (TGT.N) tumbled as much as 17% in early trading as a pullback in consumer spending despite heavy discounting cut its third-quarter profit by half. Despite the sales warning from Target, data showed U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in October, boosted by purchases of motor vehicles and suggesting that consumer spending remained stable. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.73-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 2.23-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 50 new highs and 104 new lows.
Tech stocks saw a rebound in trading last week, as a lighter-than-expected inflation reading spurred hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve would soon temper its aggressive pace of monetary policy tightening. Unsurprisingly, tech stocks were among the top global individual stock performers last week. Of the 25 stocks on the MSCI World Index that saw gains of more than 20%, seven were from the tech sector. With the rebound, the stock now has an average potential upside of 46.7%, with nearly 60% of analysts giving it a buy rating. Other tech stocks that saw big jumps last week include cloud data platform provider Snowflake , semiconductor company Applied Materials and database platform provider MongoDB .
Coatue Management's Philippe Laffont trimmed his big Tesla holding in the third quarter, while ramping up his exposure to semiconductor stocks. The stock has shed 27% in the fourth quarter partly because Musk has been selling billions of dollars worth of Tesla shares to fund his acquisition of Twitter. The hedge fund significantly added to its Nvidia holding, making it the fifth-largest bet at the end of the third quarter, the filing showed. Coatue kept its big Moderna holding unchanged in the third quarter. The hedge fund's other top holdings included Rivian , Uber, PayPal , Amazon and Disney at the end of the third quarter.
Beyond a slew of retail earnings reports, the government will report retail sales figures for October on Wednesday. But the most recent Consumer Price Index figures for October provided some relief for shoppers…and Wall Street. Consumer spending rose 1.4% during the third quarter, according to the government’s most recent gross domestic product (GDP) report. A report on housing starts and building permits data for October will come out towards the end of this week. When Home Depot reported its most recent earnings in August, it noted that customers didn’t make as many purchases as they did a year ago.
Markets closed higher for the week after a stellar rally Thursday that saw Big Tech stocks soar on the back of weaker-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) data for October. The S & P 500 closed up more than 5% for the week, its best week since June. Meanwhile, Club holding Amazon (AMZN) is reportedly conducting a broad cost-cutting review , according to The Wall Street Journal. But we think more data is needed before the Fed is able to tone down its hawkish commentary on rates. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
This week, bond yields also came off their highs and were sharply lower, paving the way for gains in tech and growth shares. They include Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard, New York Fed President John Williams and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari to name a few. Hogan said that group includes Bullard, Brainard and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Many strategists are calling the move higher a bear market rally, and some expect it will fizzle in December while others say it could continue into the new year. Friday Earnings: JD.com, Foot Locker, Buckle 8:40 a.m. Boston Fed President Susan Collins 10:00 a.m.
Stocks mounted their biggest rally since 2020 after October’s reading of consumer prices raised investor hopes that inflation has peaked. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 1,201.43 points, or 3.7%, to 33,715.37 for its biggest one-day gain since stocks were emerging from the depths of the pandemic bear market. The S&P 500 jumped 5.54% to 3,956.37 in its biggest rally since April 2020. Treasury yields plunged after the CPI report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling more than 18 basis points to 3.946% as traders bet the Federal Reserve would slow its aggressive tightening campaign that’s weighed on markets all year. The yield on the 2-year Treasury dropped more than 23 basis points to 4.395% (1 basis point equals 0.01%).
Semiconductor companies are also in the news a lot lately, whether it's the U.S. government cracking down on chip exports to China or innovations in connected cars and artificial intelligence. Since these companies don't need to invest in expensive fabrication facilities, they can run a more agile asset-light business model. Memory : The two main categories of memory chips are NAND and DRAM. Examples include those used for 5G, WiFi, Bluetooth, radiofrequency chips, near field communication chips (NFC), application-specific integrated circuit chips (ASICs), and so on. These chips are made by companies like Qualcomm, Marvell Technology, Broadcom (AVGO), ON Semiconductor, NXP Semiconductor (NXPI), and others.
Check out the companies making headlines after the bell:Meta Platforms — The Facebook parent plunged more than 13% after missing earnings estimates for the third quarter. Meta beat revenue estimates, posting a better-than-expected decline year-over-year but shared disappointing guidance for the fourth quarter. ServiceNow — The software stock soared 12.4% postmarket as earnings per share came in 12 cents ahead of Wall Street expectations. Align Technology — The maker of Invisalign dental straighteners toppled 16.8% after missing earnings estimates for the recent quarter. O'Reilly Automotive — Shares gained more than 3% after hours following a beat on revenue and earnings for the third quarter.
Oct 19 (Reuters) - Chip-making technology provider Lam Research Corp (LRCX.O) on Wednesday warned of a $2 billion to $2.5 billion revenue hit in 2023 from U.S. curbs on exports of high-end technology shipments to China. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterLam Research, which gets 30% of its business from China, is the latest company to flag a hit from the sales restrictions. read moreLam Research also reported strong first-quarter earnings on Wednesday and gave an upbeat revenue forecast for the current period. The company expects second-quarter revenue between $4.80 billion and $5.40 billion, the midpoint of which is higher than the $4.91 billion estimated by analysts, according to Refinitiv data. Shares of Lam Research had initially risen 4% in extended trading on the earnings report but pared most of the gains after the revenue warning.
Applied Materials says sales for its current quarter will probably be lower than it previously expected. Chip companies are facing a new period of tumult with a global semiconductor drought giving way to a sharp drop in demand for consumer electronics and new trade restrictions on China. U.S. curbs on exports of some of the most advanced chips to China unveiled less than two weeks ago have triggered a new round of profit warnings from semiconductor businesses and have prompted analysts to cut earnings forecasts for some of the companies designing chips and the tools to produce them.
Chip-tool maker Lam Research warned of a potentially steep drop in sales as the U.S. imposes new restrictions on exports to China, highlighting how the global semiconductor industry’s earnings woes have grown beyond a slump in demand for some consumer electronics. U.S. curbs on exports of some of the most advanced chips to China unveiled less than two weeks ago have triggered a new round of profit warnings from semiconductor businesses and have prompted analysts to cut earnings forecasts for some of the companies designing chips and the tools to produce them.
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley named the tech giant as its top pick in a downturn. Cowen reiterates Amazon as outperform Cowen said shares remain attractive heading into earnings later this month. Morgan Stanley resumes Prologis as overweight Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of the supply chain logistics company and named it a top pick. Morgan Stanley upgrades Clorox to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of Clorox that it sees some earnings upside ahead of the company's earnings later this quarter. Oppenheimer reiterates Chipotle as outperform Oppenheimer says Chipotle is a "rarity" as the firm sees earnings upside among a deteriorating macro.
Taiwan Economy Minister Wang Mei-hua speaks during an interview with Reuters in Taipei, Taiwan, September 30, 2021. REUTERS/Ann WangTAIPEI, Oct 15 (Reuters) - Taiwan's economy minister has drummed up new business worth T$30 billion ($940 million) in meetings with top executives at four major tech firms in California's Silicon Valley, the ministry said on Saturday. Taiwan is a major semiconductor producer, home to the world's largest contract chip maker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp (2330.TW), , and supplies most the world's major tech firms. "The visits are expected to bring back U.S. research and development investment and orders in Taiwan worth more than T$30 billion," it said, without elaborating. Wang said on Tuesday that if Taiwan remains safe, global supply chains of vital semiconductors would also be secure.
Club holding Wells Fargo (WFC): net interest margin (NIM) in the third quarter 2.83% versus 2.68% expected. Revenue $19.51 billion versus $18.81 billion. Net interest income (NII) in Q3 $12.1 billion versus $11.6 billion expected. Guidance for Q4 NII $12.9 billion versus $12.42 billion expected. Q3 net interest income reported: $17.52 billion versus consensus $16.92 billion.
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday advised investors to take any chance to sell stocks next week as the busy earnings season continues. Monday: Bank of AmericaQ3 2022 earnings release at 6:45 a.m. Tuesday: Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson, NetflixGoldman SachsQ3 2022 earnings release at 7:30 a.m. Johnson & JohnsonQ3 2022 earnings release between 6:25 and 6:40 a.m. Friday: VerizonQ3 2022 earnings release at 7:30 a.m.
It was a 52-week low for the stock. Applied Materials – The chip stock turned 4% higher after hitting a 52-week low earlier on disappointing revenue outlook. Otonomy — The biopharmaceutical company shot down 56.1% after the company said a drug for hearing loss showed "no clinically meaningful improvement." Dish Network — The TV and wireless company hit a 52-week low, down 2%. The stock was at a 52-week low during day trading.
SummarySummary Companies U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMTAroundtown slumps after Citi downgradeOct 13 (Reuters) - Europe's STOXX 600 index fell for a seventh day on Thursday, dragged by technology and real estate stocks, with investors focussed solely on U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-hike trajectory. The region-wide (.STOXX) index was down 0.5% by 0810 GMT, and on pace for its longest losing streak since early February 2018, if losses hold. All eyes are on U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMT. "The effects of inflation and expected economic contractions on shoppers caution are expected to continue to weigh on consumer discretionary stocks, particularly retail, travel and hospitality," Streeter said. Norwegian aluminium producer Norsk Hydro (NHY.OL) jumped 5.6% after reports that the United States was weighing restricting imports of Russian aluminium.
The measures are set to undermine China's efforts to develop its own chip industry aimed at reducing its reliance on foreign-made chips. These are the questions," says Marco Mezger, a consultant in Taiwan who tracks the global memory chip sector. Washington is also scrambling to tackle unintended consequences of its new export curbs, people familiar with the matter said. Hours before the new restriction took effect, South Korea's SK Hynix (000660.KS) said it got U.S. authorization to receive goods for its chip production facilities in China without additional licensing imposed by the new rules. Yet business at toolmaking firms servicing Chinese customers has already slowed dramatically, leaving their staff with little work to do but creating an opening for Chinese equipment makers seeking to catch up with western rivals, sources said.
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