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Semiconductor stocks suffered a series of blows in 2022 as demand for consumer discretionary items fell off a cliff and supply chain disruptions continued. Betting on semiconductor favorites Despite ongoing volatility, some analysts and investors are still betting on once high-flying names in 2023, even though the challenges of 2022 continue. One of those is Advanced Micro Devices, a chip stock commonly connected with PC and server chips that fell hard in 2022. Texas Instruments held up better than the rest of the semiconductor market in 2022, shedding a little more than 12%. Bailey is mostly shying away from former, rapid growth names, with small bets on ASML and Marvell for clients looking for possible higher growth.
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: UBS downgrades Microsoft to neutral from buy UBS said in its downgrade of the stock that it's concerned about Microsoft Office risks. Wells Fargo downgrades Target to equal weight from overweight Wells said in its downgrade of the stock that it sees too much 2023 uncertainty. " UBS downgrades JB Hunt to neutral from buy UBS said in its downgrade of the shipping company that it sees volume and pricing risk. UBS downgrades Honeywell to sell from buy UBS said in its downgrade of the stock that the multiple is "inflated." UBS reiterates Amazon as buy UBS lowered its price target on the e-commerce giant to $125 per share from $165 but says it's standing by the stock.
Some Wall Street analysts see a buying opportunity in Tesla in 2023 — though others think the car maker's recent deliveries miss spells trouble for the electric vehicle maker. Kallo's $252 price target implies the stock can more than double from Friday's closing price of $123.18. The anayst reiterated a buy rating on Tesla, and maintained a $275 price target. Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi also had an underperform rating on the stock, saying he expects that consensus estimates are too high, and that demand pressures will continue for Tesla. His $150 price target represents roughly 22% upside for shares of Tesla.
This year, markets have been ruled by hot inflation, with investors flocking to stocks that benefit from rising prices. "The surge in inflation has been a dominant—if not the dominant—financial market theme of 2022," said Wells Fargo in a note, noting that global consumer inflation accelerated to multi-decade highs. "Globally, we see inflation peaking in 4Q this year, with disinflation driving the narrative next year," said Morgan Stanley in its 2023 Global Economics Outlook report. Wells Fargo expects global consumer price index inflation to "slow meaningfully" to 5.2% in 2023 from a projected 7.2% this year. But Europe, including the U.K., could be the exception — the bank expects that the effects of rapid inflation and rising rates there will "linger for some time."
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi reiterates Apple as buy Citi said it sees several reasons that Apple stock is likely trade higher. Jefferies names McDonald's a top 2023 pick Jefferies said the fast food giant is a top defensive idea for 2023. Jefferies downgrades Starbucks to hold from buy Jefferies said it sees a more "balanced" risk/reward outlook for the stock. Evercore ISI reiterates Alphabet as outperform Evercore lowered its estimates on the stock but said it's still "highly attractive" for long-term investors. UBS reiterates Nike as buy UBS said Nike's earnings growth potential is "underestimated" after the company's earnings report on Tuesday.
The difficult outlook for software stocks should continue into 2023, but companies offering growth at a reasonable price stand to gain and come out on top, according to Morgan Stanley. Software stocks suffered a dismal 2022 as rising interest rates brought down stocks with sky high price-to-earnings ratios. Despite ServiceNow's decline of more than 39% this year, Morgan Stanley's $612 price target implies more than 55% upside from Friday's close. Along with its top picks, Morgan Stanley named a host of stocks poised to benefit in any recovery. Morgan Stanley also included Toast and Datadog as stocks to build positions in as interest rates subside and growth improves.
With the Federal Reserve out of the way, and major economic news light (only the PCE on this Friday), traders are bracing for a wave of earnings reductions from the analysts community ahead of fourth quarter earnings. "Fed induced recession fears are to blame for December's pullback," Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, said in a note to clients. Analyst earnings expectations for the fourth quarter have been in negative territory for several weeks, and now expectations for the first quarter of 2023 are also on the verge of going negative. It's very early, but early reporters have not been disastrous. So, early February 2023 is when the worst of the cuts may occur," wrote Raich.
JPMorgan is still bullish on shares of Amazon but sees it rising less than previously expected in 2023. The firm slashed its 12-month price target to $130 from $145 in a Dec. 16 note. The new price target implies more than 46% upside to where shares currently trade. Lower estimates JPMorgan now sees fourth quarter net sales of $143.4 billion and operating income of $2.0 billion, a 1.4% margin. The firm's total 2023 revenue estimate is down about 2% to $563 billion, including 17% AWS revenue growth on the year.
Delivery volumes are gaining speed, and that could be a good thing for shares of Nio , Deutsche Bank said Thursday. Analyst Edison Yu opened a catalyst buy call on the electric vehicle stock, expecting an uptick in monthly sales for December. "Considering cumulative deliveries were 274,000 exiting Nov, this suggests production is ramping up nicely and 4Q guidance is very much achievable (43,000-48,000 units)." At its annual "Nio Day" later this month, the company should also reveal two new vehicle models, which Yu expects consumers to like. Despite a 62% slump this year, Nio shares could rally about 74% from Wednesday's close given the bank's $21 price target suggest.
Guggenheim names Nike a top 2023 pick Guggenheim said Nike's brand remains "healthy and strong." Bank of America names Amazon a top 2023 pick Bank of America said Amazon is a "share gainer" that will continue in 2023. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Verizon to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said Verizon shares are "historically" attractive. Morgan Stanley downgrades AT & T to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more balanced risk/reward. Morgan Stanley downgrades Lockheed Martin to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees more "limited upside" for shares of the defense company. "
Morgan Stanley names Exxon Mobil a top 2023 pick Morgan Stanley said Exxon Mobil is one of the best-positioned stocks heading into 2023. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said concerns about App Store competition are overdone. Bank of America downgrades Best Buy to underperform from neutral Bank of America said the environment is too challenging right now for Best Buy. Bank of America reiterates Nike as neutral Bank of America said it's cautious going into Nike earnings next week. Bank of America reiterates Alphabet as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating on Alphabet but that investors need to hear more about the Google parent's cost-cutting initiatives.
Analysts at Bank of America named five stocks this week that they say every investor must own heading into 2023. CNBC Pro combed through Bank of America research looking for stocks with major upside potential. Netflix Shares of Netflix are down 46.8% this year, but analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich is standing by the streaming giant. Kroger Kroger shares have gained nearly 2.6% this year, but the stock has a lot more room to run, according to analyst Robert Ohmes. ... We rate Solo Brands' shares Buy as we believe its unique platform strategy should enable its high growth Leisure brands."
It holds a 19.4% stake in gas producer Novatek and minority holdings in liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects Yamal LNG and Arctic LNG. "Under these circumstances, the board of directors of TotalEnergies has decided to withdraw the representatives of the company from the board of PAO Novatek with immediate effect." "The stake in Novatek was, in our view, potentially the least arduous of TotalEnergies' interests to exit." He said he did not expect TotalEnergies to exit Yamal LNG and believed the decision would not impact Novatek dividend payments to TotalEnergies. It said the Novatek write-off also meant it would no longer book related reserves, with an impact on the company's reported proved reserves at the end of 2021 of 1.7 billion of barrels.
Its top experts explained what's worth buying in stocks, fixed income, and alternative assets. Globalization was an aid to economic growth over the last few decades, but it's fading, or even reversing. Meanwhile productivity growth is weakening, and the aging populations of many countries means there are fewer workers, which makes growth harder to achieve and sustain. Global Fixed Income Strategist Graham McDevitt says that bond yields are peaking and prices are attractive in a lot of fixed income sectors, but overall fixed income pricing "is much more aligned with a soft landing" than the recession Macquarie's experts expect. Lastly, in real assets, McCormack says he's bullish on infrastructure and agriculture assets, and positive on real estate to a lesser extent.
It's time to move to the sidelines on Victoria's Secret after its latest earnings results, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Matthew Boss downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight, citing continued pressure ahead for the lingerie company's core business given a tough macro backdrop. Shares of Victoria's Secret declined more than 2% in Thursday premarket trading after the company reported a mixed third quarter. The lingerie company reported earnings of 29 cents per share on revenue of $1.32 billion. Shares of Victoria's Secret are off about 17% in 2022.
Morgan Stanley downgrades Capital One and Ally Financial to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its downgrade of Capital One and Ally Financial that it sees "significant risk" for both stocks. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by it's overweight rating on Tesla but is concerned 2023 could be a disappointing year in general for electric vehicles. Morgan Stanley initiates Vizio as equal weight Morgan Stanley said it's concerned the television tech company lacks scale to keep up with bigger competitors. Morgan Stanley reiterates Salesforce as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by shares of Salesforce after the company's disappointing earnings report on Wednesday. Morgan Stanley reiterates Snowflake as overweight Morgan Stanley said investors should stick with shares of Snowflake for the long-term after its earnings report on Wednesday.
Black Friday was better than expected for retailers this year, with discount names Walmart and Costco poised to be among the season's winners, according to Bank of America. The big-box retailer made significant price investments to offer deeper discounts and traffic appeared very strong in stores, Ohmes noted. "Specialty retailers appeared to be relative winners while we observed decent trends across the discounters and department stores," said analyst Krisztina Katai. Morgan Stanley also called out strong traffic results for Lululemon and American Eagle, as well as Abercrombie & Fitch and Victoria's Secret. "These strong traffic results were achieved despite 1) similar or lower y/y discounting levels, & /or 2) discounting activity below total sector averages.
Morgan Stanley highlighted stocks that may be good contenders that are "ripe for repurchase" after investors have realized their tax losses. Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak cut his price target on Alphabet last month to $125 from $135. Meanwhile, Disney , which whiffed on Wall Street's expectations for top and bottom lines , is also on Morgan Stanley's list. Advanced Micro Devices also caught Morgan Stanley's attention. Shares have taken a beating in 2022, toppling over by 47%, but Morgan Stanley remains positive.
JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as top idea JPMorgan said the e-commerce giant is well positioned heading into the holiday season. " Morgan Stanley initiates Las Vegas Sands as overweight and names DraftKings as a top pick Morgan Stanley said in its initiation of Las Vegas Sands that it sees an attractive risk/reward. Morgan Stanley downgrades MongoDB to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said in its downgrade of the database platform company that it's concerned about slowing growth for MongoDB. JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight JPMorgan said Charles Schwab is well positioned as one of the biggest "distributors of third-party mutual funds." Morgan Stanley upgrades Restaurant Brands to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said it likes that the owner of brands such as Burger King appointed the former Domino's CEO as executive chairman.
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: UBS reiterates Apple as buy UBS said wait times for Apple's iPhone are hitting "extreme levels." Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said Amazon is a key beneficiary of automation. UBS downgrades Advance Auto Parts to neutral from buy UBS said in its downgrade of Advance Auto Parts that it's losing share. UBS reiterates Walmart as buy UBS said the stocks is undervalued after the company's earnings report on Tuesday. Credit Suisse reiterates Nvidia as outperform After a change in analyst coverage, Credit Suisse named the tech company as a top pick. "
U.S. biotech stocks have been on the up recently. To identify biotech stocks that look cheap and are expected to rally looking ahead, CNBC Pro screened the iShares Biotechnology ETF on FactSet. The ETF, which tracks U.S. biotech stocks, has jumped around 10% in the past month, and risen more than 4% in the past week. Two stocks stood out as having average potential upside of more than 100%, and a buy rating from all analysts who cover them. One stock — Chimerix — had an average price target upside of 266% from analysts, 83% of whom gave it a buy rating.
Boots seller Boot Barn made the cut, with 83% of analysts covering it giving the stock a buy rating. Target also made the list, with 59% of analysts rating it a buy and an average price target implying upside of about 17%. The retail giant's stock has dropped more than 25% in 2022, but it has rallied 16.8% in the fourth quarter. Seventy-one percent of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy, and the average analyst price target implies upside of 41.4%, FactSet data shows. Nearly 80% of analysts covering the e-commerce giant rate it a buy, with the average price target implying upside of 41.6%.
UBS upgrades Werner to buy from neutral UBS said it sees upside for several trucking company names. "We are upgrading three truckload names to Buy from Neutral including HTLD, WERN , and SNDR and reiterating our Buy on KNX. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said reports of a cost cutting review at Amazon are a "positive." JPMorgan reiterates Silvergate as overweight JPMorgan said the crypto company's exposure to FTX is overblown. JPMorgan reiterates Netflix as overweight JPMorgan said it has "increased conviction" in shares of the streaming giant.
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Deutsche Bank reiterates Roblox as buy Deutsche says it expects a strong earnings report for Roblox when the online gaming platform company releases results on Wednesday. Deutsche Bank upgrades Dave & Buster's to buy from hold Deutsche said in its upgrade of the stock that it sees a "compelling" risk/reward. Bank of America reiterates Meta as neutral Bank of America says it sees too many headwinds for Meta shares right now. Bank of America reiterates Nvidia as buy Bank of America says it's standing by shares of Nvidia heading into earnings next week. Deutsche Bank reiterates Electronic Arts as a top pick Deutsche says it's very bullish on the company's upcoming release slate. "
Global hedge funds advance in October amid stocks rally
  + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Equities, event-driven and macro hedge fund indexes went up last month, according to HFR, adding two-thirds of all hedge funds posted gains. Only macro hedge funds, however, delivered positive returns to investors in the first 10 months of 2022. In October, macro funds rose 0.95%, raising their gains in the year to 11.51%. Event-driven hedge funds soared 3.7% in October, the highest return among all categories. Equities hedge funds jumped 2.93%, posting their first gain since August and their highest monthly return this year.
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