A direct war between Israel and Iran could lead to substantially higher oil prices through 2025, according to Bank of America.
This scenario assumes that Iran's crude oil production falls by up to 1.5 million barrels per day due to the war.
Crude oil prices have fallen for three consecutive trading sessions in the wake of Iran's weekend missile and drone assault against Israel.
The bank has penciled in the first Fed interest rate cut in December, and oil prices would come down by then though remain elevated.
"Should supply losses build up regionally, it may also prove difficult to access spare production capacity, so oil prices would likely settle above $150/bbl for several months," the bank's analysts forecast.
Persons:
Brent, Israel, Michael Bloom
Organizations:
Bank of America, Israel, Bank, Federal, bbl, Israeli
Locations:
Israel, Iran, OPEC, U.S