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German inflation at highest level in over 25 years
  + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Full shelves with groceries are pictured in a supermarket during the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Berlin, Germany, March 17, 2020. REUTERS/Fabrizio BenschSummary EU-harmonized inflation at 10.9%Energy costs up 43.9% year-on-yearAnalyst: ECB must act quickly, vigorouslyBERLIN, Sept 29 (Reuters) - German inflation was at its highest in more than a quarter of a century in September, driven by high energy prices, data showed, as analysts warned that the energy crisis has yet to make itself fully felt. Consumer prices, harmonised to make them comparable with inflation data from other European Union countries (HICP), increased by 10.9% on the year, the federal statistics office said. That was the highest reading since comparable data going back to 1996. Dwindling gas supplies from Russia have pushed energy prices, and correspondingly inflation, to highs not seen in decades, with the massive loss in consumer purchasing power adding to the likelihood that a recession is on the way.
Inflation's impact on small business owners
  + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation's impact on small business ownersDoris and Marco Montoya of Peruvian Pastries join Brian Sullivan and the 'CNBC Special: The Fed Factor' to discuss how rising rates and inflation are impacting small businesses on Main Street.
Outside the Fed, however, there is a growing sense that the path to a soft landing is unlikely. Some analysts estimate the unemployment rate, which hit 3.7% in August, may need to rise as high as 7.5%. The new projections, though, will include anonymous estimates from each official for where the policy rate should be at the end of 2022 and the following three years. Reuters GraphicsThe 1.2-percentage-point difference between the two, the so-called "real" or inflation-adjusted federal funds rate, showed the Fed bowing to the need for tighter policy. But inflation eventually will have to move for the Fed to change course.
But David Schassler, who co-manages the fund while also serving as VanEck's head of quantitative investment solutions, isn't taking a victory lap. Schassler added: "This severely limits the Fed's ability to successfully fight inflation without causing significant economic destruction." "It's not only that we own the right assets, but we've been overweight the right assets within the mix of inflation-fighting assets that we own," Schassler said. His three-step process is as follows: identify the right assets to own, optimize the portfolio by diversifying, and adapt to different inflation regimes. Examples of the right assets to own, in Schassler's view, are listed above.
Here's quick look at some economic downturn-resistant sectors in consumer staples and health care; our energy inflation hedge; and how to play out-of-favor tech. We're talking about Club names Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google-parent Alphabet (GOOGL) to name a handful. All four of those big tech stocks are rated as a 1 , meaning we view them as buys at these levels. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
As for Ford, which reports results on Wednesday, Evercore said it expects a cut to the 2022 outlook. GM and Ford both must manage the costs of launching new electric vehicles. Ford will officially launch regular production of its electric F-150 Lightning pickup on Tuesday. In the United States, GM's sales for the first quarter fell by 20%. Ford's U.S. sales fell by 17% in the first quarter compared with a year ago.
He said inflation is measured using a "market basket" of goods and services. The CPI can't fully explain inflation's rise — some price increases go to corporate profits, he says. Our own experience as consumers informs us that prices on various goods and services are rising, and the inflation rate, derived from the CPI, confirms that our experience is true. But what the CPI can't explain — at least, not fully — is how and why inflation is rising. The United Kingdom, for example, reported a 5.4% inflation rate in December.
"We're seeing growth come ripping back" after roughly a year of investors opting for value, Gordon said. Communications stocks have lagged the rest of the S&P 500 , but a return to growth could make them 2022's "sneaky catch-up plays," Inside Edge Capital Management founder Todd Gordon told CNBC's "Trading Nation" on Wednesday. This quarter's worst-performing sector could make a comeback in the new year, one trader says. "I think one of the sneaky catch-up plays ... is going to be communications next year. His 2022 strategy took the other side of the low interest rate trade, favoring dividend plays, particularly real estate investment trusts involved in industrial and medical office properties.
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